Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Raw Power – Future

Today I finish our look at the hitter power grade leaderboards, ending with raw power in the future (RPF). Let’s identify and discuss the 26 hitters with an RPF grade of at least 70. As usual, I will only discuss those missing from previous leaderboards.

Raw Power – Future Top 26
Name Org Pos Current Level ETA FV Age Top 100 Org Rk Raw Power – Future 2019 HR/FB
Oneil Cruz PIT SS AA 2021 55 21.5 32 2 80 12.9%
Seuly Matias KCR RF A+ 2022 40+ 21.6 12 80 10.0%
Anthony Garcia NYY RF R 2023 40 19.6 35 80 11.1%
Albert Feliz BOS LF R 2024 35+ 18 32 80 16.1%
Chris Gittens NYY 1B AA 2020 35+ 26.2 52 80 27.7%
Jo Adell LAA LF AAA 2021 65 21 4 0 70 14.3%
Marco Luciano SFG SS A- 2023 55 18.1 24 2 70 16.9%
Kristian Robinson ARI CF A 2022 55 19.3 28 1 70 22.2%
Nolan Gorman STL 3B A+ 2021 55 19.9 38 1 70 10.1%
Nolan Jones CLE 3B AA 2021 50 21.9 54 0 70 16.5%
Mark Vientos NYM 3B A 2022 50 20.3 106 3 70 10.3%
Triston Casas BOS 1B A+ 2023 50 20.2 57 2 70 16.9%
Kyle Lewis SEA RF MLB 2020 45 24.7 8 70 11.1%
Kameron Misner MIA RF A 2022 45 22.3 12 70 4.0%
Alex Jackson ATL C AAA 2020 45 24.1 11 70 30.8%
Bobby Dalbec BOS 3B AAA 2020 45 24.8 4 70 18.0%
Mason Martin PIT 1B A+ 2022 40+ 20.9 16 70 26.3%
Matt Wallner MIN RF A 2022 40+ 22.3 14 70 12.9%
Luken Baker STL 1B 2021 40 23.1 17 70 6.9%
Griffin Conine TOR RF A 2022 40 22.7 15 70 32.8%
Jhailyn Ortiz PHI RF A+ 2021 40 21.4 17 70 14.6%
Joshua Mears SDP LF R 2024 40 19.1 36 70 16.7%
Ryder Green NYY RF R 2023 40 19.9 27 70 11.8%
Niko Hulsizer TBR LF A+ 2022 35+ 23.1 43 70 23.3%
Bryce Ball ATL 1B A 2022 35+ 21.5 22 70 24.6%
Carlos De La Cruz PHI RF A 2023 35+ 20.5 36 70 8.3%

A whopping five hitters earned an RPF grade of 80, but only Oneil Cruz earned an FV that suggests any real chance to make an impact. That said, there’s one new name here that needs to be highlighted, Albert Feliz, even though he did appear on yesterday’s RPP board. He was skipped because of his lowly 35+ FV, but is worth discussing as one of just five hitters with an 80 RPF.

Amazingly, Feliz just completed his first minor league season…as a 17-year-old in the Rookie league. He posted a very respectable .178 ISO and 16.1% HR/FB rate, which is made all the more impressive considering his age. Given that performance and age, I was curious why he was slapped with just a 35+ FV. According to our prospect duo, he owns “relatively raw pitch recognition” skills, and will likely be limited to left field or first base, both of which make him risky and would cap his value. But hey, the kid is only 18 now and we know possesses mammoth power. I’d keep an eye on him in keeper and dynasty leagues.

Kameron Misner showed literally no power in his short 2019 debut, despite earning 65/70 Raw Power grades. What he did show, though, were excellent plate discipline skills, with a mid-teen walk rate and average strikeout and SwStk%. In fact, everything from his debut looks pretty good, except for the lack of power. That he also has speed and swiped 11 bases (a 34 steal pace over 600 plate appearances) make him an intriguing future fantasy contributor.

Joshua Mears is another youngin’ on this list, having just completed his age 18 season. Like many teenagers, he had trouble making contact, essentially doubling the league average SwStk%. He was willing to take a walk though, and showed decent enough power to give us up that good things can be in his future if he could cut down on the whiffs. We could say that about a lot of prospects though.

In his second go in the Rookie league, Yankees prospect Ryder Green massively cut down on his swings and misses and reduced his strikeout rate. Unfortunately, his home run power (HR/FB) plummeted and overall power (ISO) slipped. Of course, he was just 19, and he still managed to post a .357 wOBA. Oh yeah, he has speed as well and could call Yankee Stadium, a favorable hitter park, home if the team doesn’t trade him away.

Niko Hulsizer is old for his level (A+), but has shown excellent power. He’s yet another who will need to cut down on the strikeouts, as that will be the key to a callup. In his 2019 professional debut, Bryce Ball showed excellent power and posted very respectable strikeout and SwStk% rates. Only graded a 35+ FV, I think he’s one to watch, as I’m always a fan of hitters who own big power, but don’t strike out too often.

So I don’t normally look at a hitter’s height and weight, but because there were a bunch of Carlos De La Cruz‘ when I searched his name, I was curious if I got the right one and oddly looked there first. I literally did a double take when I stared at that height…6’ 8″?!??! Wowzers, talk about a large strike zone! It’s no wonder he has struck out in the mid-30% range during each of his two minor league stints. He has barely walked and hasn’t shown a lot of power either, so he seems to be a reeeeaalllll longshot.





Mike Podhorzer is the 2015 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Baseball Writer of the Year. He produces player projections using his own forecasting system and is the author of the eBook Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, which teaches you how to project players yourself. His projections helped him win the inaugural 2013 Tout Wars mixed draft league. Follow Mike on Twitter @MikePodhorzer and contact him via email.

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Jon
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Jon

Hi Mike – you mentioned in a previous article in this series that Fangraphs has MiLB exit velocity data. I’ve searched THE BOARD and can’t find it anywhere – can you let me know where to find it?

TheBabbo
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TheBabbo

Not Mike, but if you filter in the upper left corner for “2020 Report” (not the default “2019 Updated”) and then click on the “Scouting-Position” tab, you’ll see avg/max EV for most guys right before their FV in the far right columns. (But prospects on teams whose Top 30 lists haven’t been released yet won’t show up in “2020 Report,” unless they have an overall Top 100 ranking.)

Jon
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Jon

Thank you very much!!