Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat – 5/19/16
by Paul Sporer
May 19, 2016
Thanks for joining me in the marathon 4-hour chat!!
| 2:01 |
: Is Khris Davis a sell-high? What kind of pitcher would you look for him?
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| 2:02 |
: Whoops, forgot to say hi first!
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| 2:02 |
: Anyway, hi, y’all!!!
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| 2:03 |
: I’m fine selling high on Davis. That power is awesome, but he’s definitely one of the streakier guys (all players are streaky, that’s just baseball, but some are streakier than most and Davis qualifies there). I’d ask pretty high from a power-starved team. Try a Salazar-type, settle for CarMart/Tanaka
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| 2:03 |
:
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| 2:03 |
: Needed power, deep in pitching, I traded Porcello for Conforto straight up. Thoughts?
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| 2:03 |
: Hot! I really like that.
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| 2:04 |
: What to make of this Danny Valencia cat?
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| 2:04 |
: I think I got him wrong. Didn’t buy the improvements vs. RHP at 30, but he was hitting well apart from power before last weekend and then busted out for 6 HR. He’s good. I was wrong.
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| 2:04 |
: Paul, would you drop Gausman for Tillman/Rubby/Conley? I’ve avoided Tillman like the plague in the past but can’t deny what he’s doing this year
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| 2:04 |
: I still think Gausman has more upside, but I like all 3 of those guys. Anyone else you can chop?>
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| 2:04 |
: Do you think Lorenzo Cain + Matt Andriese is enough for Adam Eaton? 12 team H2H dynasty where Andriese has RP elig and no inning limit
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| 2:06 |
: It certainly should be. I don’t see much diff between Cain & Eaton tbh so if you’re ok giving a sweetner like Andriese, it should def work
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| 2:06 |
: Best bar and restaurant in Austin?
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| 2:08 |
: I don’t really go to bars anymore. Franklin BBQ is pretty lit
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| 2:08 |
: Paul, I own Grichuk and A. Gordon as depth OFs in a 10-team triple slash. Jake Lamb and M. Saunders are available – are you dropping either/both of my guys to pick up those guys? After listening to the most recent pod I’m thinking of dropping Grichuk for Lamb
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| 2:08 |
: I like the Grich for Lamb. I still like Grichy, but in a 10-teamer, you can’t afford to wait around for guys to get going. His HR/SB are there, but .218 AVG is so bad
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| 2:09 |
: Kang or Story ROS? OBP/TB instead of AVG/HR
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| 2:10 |
: It’s close and I love Kang in general, but Story is the better bet here bc he runs more
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| 2:10 |
: Hi Paul!!
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| 2:10 |
: Hiiii!
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| 2:10 |
: Starting 2B in a shallow triple slash – Rendon or Russell? I am already set at SS and 3B
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| 2:10 |
: Addy!
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| 2:10 |
: I was able to snag Kolten Wong and Devon Travis off the WW this week. Are they good enough for my 2B and IF spots to trade away Neil Walker for an SP? I need some help in the rotation after Max/Salazar/Nola..
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| 2:10 |
: Ya they can get you by espec. since Walker should bring a real SP back
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| 2:11 |
: Drop Corbin for Miley?
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| 2:11 |
: I’m OK w/that
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| 2:11 |
: Dietrch’s numbers have me dreaming about mid-level (read: top 150) breakout potential – think he’s got that upside? Do you think he seize full-time at-bats from someone when Gordon comes back?
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| 2:12 |
: I think I admit my wrongness enough for it to not be too obnoxious when I backpat a bit so I’ll mention that I was high on Dietrich all winter/spring. So ya, I like him. And they’ll find PT if he keeps mashing
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| 2:12 |
: Do you expect Franco will turn it around? Using him at UTIL and have other options there. If I shop him what sort of SP would you expect in return?
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| 2:13 |
: Yeah he’s not even that far down. He’s a hot week from batting .280 (like a 10-for-20 kinda hot streak). Pwr still there w/7 HR already
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| 2:13 |
: Gattis worth stashing for C eligibility (5 games on Yahoo) in a shallow league? Have Sal Perez already
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| 2:14 |
: Ehhh, I guess, but he’s not that much better than Sal
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| 2:14 |
: Would you do Yelich for Greinke in a 12 team OBP?
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| 2:14 |
: I’d prefer Yelly
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| 2:14 |
: Paul, could really use your help. Playing in a 10-teamer and have a roster crunch with Odor’s upcoming suspension. Have a rotation of Nola, Hamels, Verlander, Wacha, and Tanaka. Feel okay about dropping any of those guys in this shallow of a league to free up a spot?
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| 2:14 |
: Man, it’s tough to cut any of those guys even in a 10-teamer. I’d really try the trade route which I know is much easier said than done.
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| 2:14 |
: Hi Paul. Which Visions track title best applies to Berrios: Hype? U With Me?? Redemption? Faithful? Too Good? Invested big. Hold him in AL-Only, 3 bench spots? Thanks!
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| 2:15 |
: You mean Views, but I’d say “Faithful”. Stuff was still evident even in the struggles. Just wasn’t quite ready yet.
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| 2:15 |
: Collette really was down on Archer on the pod a few days ago. I love him, but in a 10-team lg that has saves and holds, my relievers are unbalanced towards holds. Are you optimistic enough to hold Archer, or should I try shopping his name value around for a pretty good closer, Britton/Robertson/Ramos? or shoot for higher?
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| 2:15 |
: Shoot for the best closers for him. Though I consider Britton in that class, so you are. He just doesn’t look right
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| 2:15 |
: Didn’t know there was a new Chance album out! What a guest list…
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| 2:15 |
: It’s so good
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| 2:15 |
: re: the gausman question he’s my worst SP I think. other options would be J Garcia, K Hendricks, L McCullers
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| 2:16 |
: I’d cut Hendricks before him, but he’s not really worse than the group, either. Prob just hold
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| 2:16 |
: Have you warmed to Samarzdija yet? Is he a top 30 SP going forward?
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| 2:17 |
: Ya I was a little bit of a scorned lover after last year, but I still recognized how good this move was for him. He’s pitching well home & away. I’d say top 30 is possible. I think I’ll have him more top-40 when I do my updated rankings which are going out to SP Guide folks this week
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| 2:17 |
: What’s a fair return for Lindor? Looking for a young hitter at another position.
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| 2:18 |
: Shoot really high. He’s awesome. Maybe not first-rounders, but anything after that is a fair ask.
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| 2:18 |
: Lawrie or Pearce at 2B?
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| 2:18 |
: Lawrie for me
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| 2:18 |
: Hey, Paul. Love the podcast. 6×6 roto with IP, QS instead of W, K/9 instead of K, and OPS, SLG instead of AVG. Would you deal Velasquez and Castellanos for Votto or Braun? I need OBP and SLG help, am in good position in K/9 and QS, avg WHIP and poor ERA.
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| 2:19 |
: Thanks, Andrew! I’m cool with that deal. Classic sell-high (and buy low if you choose Votto).
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| 2:19 |
: Thoughts on Jose Ramirez? Think he can steal 20 bases while keeping his OPS above .700?
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| 2:20 |
: 20 feels high as he’s not terribly efficient. But teens with a .750 OPS is possible. I think ppl don’t realize he’s a young guy who had some prospect love.
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| 2:20 |
: Hi Paul. Listened to your p-cast earlier today. I want Maybin. What level AL-Only arm makes sense? Santiago too low?
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| 2:20 |
: Santiago should get it done, IMO
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| 2:20 |
: Danny Valencia sounds like a Game of Thrones character, just saying.
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| 2:20 |
: if I LOL at that, it’d be a fraud as I don’t watch GoT, but I posted it for others to enjoy
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| 2:20 |
: Your last podcast has me worried about Archer. Should I be trying to flip him for an upside arm like Stroman? I was offered Gray and Raisel for him, but how worried should I be? (I don’t need the Ks).
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| 2:21 |
: I’d actually be open to the Gray/Raisel even though I’m a little worried on Gray (though I think it’s more a funk for Sonny than injury). Sounds you like prefer Stro, though, so go for that. It’s defensible for sure.
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| 2:21 |
: Brad Ausmas is the worst, just the worst. Agree?
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| 2:22 |
: Nah, nowhere near the worst. But I get the frustration.
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| 2:22 |
: McCullers is available. My worst SP’s are Pineda/Chen/Odorrizi/Eovaldi. Should I make a swap? I’m more concerned about playoffs than winning right now
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| 2:22 |
: Byyyyeeee Michael Pinata (hat-tip to Chris Liss for the fitting nickname)
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| 2:22 |
: Been offered Puig for Shaw in a redraft. At the start of the season I would have jumped on this, but I’m not so sure at the moment. Shaw is helping me weather Fielder’s poor start. Would you take Puig?
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| 2:24 |
: I would. Shaw has impressed me, but he’s a double platoon plate – home only and vs. right only. I can’t tell you it’s all roses & butterflies w/Puig, but the bad parts of his profile (namely the pop-ups) are correctable
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| 2:24 |
: Herrera settles in as a top 30 outfielder?
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| 2:24 |
: I think so!
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| 2:24 |
: Adam Duvall has been pretty good in LF for the Reds. Does this affect Jesse Winker’s ETA at all, or is mostly about when Jay Bruce gets traded?
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| 2:25 |
: I think the latter is most important of what you listed, but also Winker isn’t exactly forcing his way up with a modest .729 OPS so Duvall has leash
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| 2:25 |
: Pick 2 ROS: Colby Lewis, Martin Perez, or Yordano Ventura
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| 2:25 |
: Perez, Yo
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| 2:25 |
: what do you think Sano stats will look like at the end of the year?
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| 2:26 |
: .230-32-80
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| 2:26 |
: OF is Stanton, Justin Upton, Yelich, Mazara, Reddick which one would you try to move for pitching in a 12 team OBP Keep 7 and what am I shooting for?
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| 2:27 |
: Don’t sell low on J Up, won’t get enough. Honestly depends how badly you need SP and what you need in pitching. Stanton still draws the most. I know he’s hitting .221, but I’m not taking less than an ace.
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| 2:27 |
: With the injuries are Reed & Gallo still June-ish timetables or much later now?
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| 2:28 |
: Reed who? AJ? Gallo could still be up shortly after returning from injury, so yeah, sometime next month
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| 2:28 |
: Is Trevor May worth owning anymore for spec saves? (12 team league). His last few outings have me concerned. Maybe Will Harris has more value?
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| 2:29 |
: Not only 3 straight disasters, but also Perk on his way back so yeah go ahead and move on
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| 2:29 |
: Buying into Neil Walker’s power surge? Batted ball mix looks different and he added a high leg kick from the right side to generate more power
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| 2:30 |
: I do. I think we’ll see a new career-high so at least 14 more HRs
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| 2:30 |
: 12 team Hth keep forever. Dealt mccutchen, wacha and maenea for price, nelson Cruz and bettances. Badly needed the pitching help and think Cruz numbers won’t look too different from mccutchen at the end of the year with mccutchen not running and a batted ball profile that might lead to a lower avg then Weve seen in the past. Did I do alright or sell too low on cutch? Thanks for your time!
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| 2:30 |
: I think you did well for sure. Nice deal.
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| 2:31 |
: Who’s the better stash, Bregman, Swanson, or neither yet?
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| 2:32 |
: Breg, though both could be here this summer
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| 2:32 |
: start Stroman tonight at minnesota?
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| 2:32 |
: Ya, I don’t sit studs
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| 2:32 |
: What kind of pitcher should I be looking at to trade Jeremy Jeffress straight up? I’d rather not trade for a streamer but I don’t think Jeffress has much value to trade.
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| 2:33 |
: Ya depends who you sell to and how badly they need saves. Maybe Teheran?
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| 2:33 |
: What do you make of Trayce Thompson? Is he ownable in 12 team OPS leagues? Thanks
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| 2:33 |
: Discussed him at length yesterday in fact: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-346-grounder-day/
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| 2:33 |
: I’ve already got Dyson. Do I drop Strickland and pick-up Bush to double-down on the Rangers bullpen or do you think Strickland is the guy for SF this year? (At some point)
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| 2:34 |
: I’d still hold Strick. You have the guy in Tex then a chance at another bullpen
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| 2:34 |
: With Semien at SS, is Reyes worth stashing in a triple slash league?
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| 2:34 |
: Depends how many teams and how many spots on reserve. Need more info, guys. This so hard to answer with no info.
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| 2:34 |
: When is it time to cut ties with Domingo? 12 tm H2H. Oh, and his shoulder is injured again.
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| 2:34 |
: You can move now in 12 tm
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| 2:35 |
: Hey Paul, thanks so much for chatting. I have Thor, Salazar, CarMart, Taijuan, and Teheran in a QS league (12 tm mixed). Should I target a low ERA/low WHIP guy, or try to stream a 6th man the rest of the way?
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| 2:35 |
: Streaming takes work and I usually stream in hopes of finding someone to stick so ideally find a sticker
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| 2:37 |
: Guys, the what should I get back for this guy questions are really hard. I have no idea your league market. And I know you’re kind looking for general ideas, but leagues vary so much that even that can be useless a lot of the time. Why not include someone you want to go for and I can answer if I think it’s a viable target?
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| 2:37 |
: I’m going to be on House Hunters in Austin soon, so that’s neat. I just traded JBJ for Greinke in a 16 team, keep 4 forever league. Do you think Greinke will be worth more than JBJ ROS?
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| 2:37 |
: That’s pretty awesome… on both counts!! I’m not huge on Greinke this year, but I still think that’s a sharp sell-high, buy-low
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| 2:38 |
: 10 tm mix. I’m thinking about a 1B upgrade (have Prince, Duda, Freeman). My SPs are Price, Archer, Nola, stroman, Salazar, Smyly, Iglesias. Who should I deal and what kind of guy should I be trying to get? Thanks
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| 2:38 |
: Deal whoever gets best value and target whoever can help your needs most.
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| 2:38 |
: I’d prefer to keep Salazar of that group, but rest are all on the block IMO
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| 2:38 |
: would you drop corbin for conley, hahn or eovaldi? which one?
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| 2:38 |
: Conley
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| 2:39 |
: Buying or selling Castellanos’ ROS production? 45-13-57-0.325 OBP-.449 SLG
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| 2:39 |
: I can buy that.
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| 2:39 |
: Addy, D. Travis, or Eaton a better end of bench stash?
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| 2:39 |
: Addy
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| 2:39 |
: Over/under .848 OPS for Freddie Freeman from here on out?
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| 2:40 |
: Good line. I’ll say under a bit… and with 10 RBIs 🙂
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| 2:40 |
: Trade away Pence for Adam Jones and an injured Perkins? I really need another closer.
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| 2:40 |
: that’s a fair deal. but if you really need another closer, why not get a primary closer and then lesser OF?
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| 2:40 |
: So i just traded VV and Prince for Stroman. Did i give too much?
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| 2:41 |
: Not necessarily. I’m worried about Prince’s health and you got 48 great IP from VV. He might only have 100 more.
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| 2:41 |
: Do you think Ken Giles has a chance of regaining closer responsibility?
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| 2:41 |
: I do.
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| 2:41 |
: Six straight scoreless apps with 5 Ks in 4.7 IP
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| 2:42 |
: And velo on the rise
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| 2:42 |
: 16 team dynasty, OF is set, is Ben Revere droppable for Jerad Eickhoff?
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| 2:43 |
: I’d rather not. Only 12 gms from Revere so far. Let him get going and trade him for someone better than Eick to a leaguemate who really needs speed
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| 2:43 |
: Strasburg, Altuve, Marte, Tulo, and Chris Davis for Correa, Mazara, Pineda, Rendon, and Carlos Santana is super unfair, yes?
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| 2:44 |
: i mean it’s so many players that it’s kinda dizzying. I prefer side A, but it’s not vetoable
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| 2:44 |
: 3b breakouts question. Shaw or lamb ros? Are either or both solid starters in a 12 teaser going forward? Thanks!
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| 2:44 |
: Lamb
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| 2:44 |
: Am I utterly crazy to think that Valencia will hit 30 Hrs if he stays healthy the rest of the way?
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| 2:45 |
: Not *utterly* crazy, but def crazy! 🙂
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| 2:45 |
: Am I utterly crazy to think Suarez will be the better player ROS vs. Story?
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| 2:45 |
: Not *utterly* crazy, but def crazy! 🙂 Joking aside, why is he better in your opinion?
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| 2:45 |
: Paul — which side do you like better in AL only 4×4 — Betts/Pedroia or Bautista/Cano?
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| 2:45 |
: Side B
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| 2:45 |
: Better power stash – C. Carter, K. Davis, or C-Dick?
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| 2:46 |
: I like KD a little better
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| 2:46 |
: Don’t let Liss beat up on you… Your points are valid. He’s just tight. Need a ranking for the back-end of my hitting… M.Upton Jr., Jake Lamb, Joc Pederson. Who would you keep and who would you package in a deal?
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| 2:47 |
: Chris is my boy. We just got like to go back n forth! I’d take em in reverse order. I think you deal Lamb bc he’s the buzziest of the bunch rn
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| 2:47 |
: Good time to trade for Carrasco?
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| 2:47 |
: If the tm w/him is willing to sell, yes
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| 2:47 |
: I dropped Rendon for Schoop.. Dumb?
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| 2:47 |
: Why does Rendon get so much love from fantasy ‘experts’ only to have these rather pedestrian projections from ZiPS, Steamer & Co.? What’s so exciting about a 15 HR, 9 steal guy who you had to reach to get in most drafts?
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| 2:49 |
: He’s a highly skilled hitter. Injuries ate half his season last year and he was still essentially average. Why would he only steal 9 w/5 already? I think his SBs are an indicator that he’s healthy so I’m definitely buying. .280 BABIP and 4% HR/FB are light, I really think he’s been running a bit cold. Hot streak coming, IMO.
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| 2:49 |
: Jeff, i don’t think it’s dumb (w/out knowing the tm count), but I wouldn’t have done it
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| 2:50 |
: About your epic battle with Liss, I agreed with Chris until I heard you on their XM show. Building a nine man rotation is what we care about, totally correct.
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| 2:51 |
: Yeah in a one-off, I get that Teheran’s Ws hurt him being on ATL, but I can cover that w/the rest of my rotation. Plus he won 11 on a dogshit tm last year so he’s not destined to 5 Ws this year
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| 2:51 |
: I’m in a 12 team H2H with deep benches and I need major help with my pitching. I was thinking of picking up Ryu. What do you think of him as he’s coming back?
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| 2:51 |
: he’s on rehab, I like spec’ing on him!
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| 2:51 |
: Keep forever, bat/arm balance not a consideration. Berrios or Gallo?
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| 2:52 |
: When all else is mostly equal, gotta go hitter. I’m not a huge Gallo guy and I do love Berrios, but pitchers break. That’s just what they do.
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| 2:52 |
:
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| 2:55 |
: If you were doing an OF tier where would JBJ be right now?
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| 2:55 |
: Top 40
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| 2:55 |
: So Bregman has roughly an 1.100 OPS in AA. How much longer do the Astros leave him destroying the minors?
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| 2:56 |
: I know guys can skip AAA, but they just called up Moran so I don’t think it’s imminent, but I understand the AL only stash
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| 2:56 |
: Views lost the poll (understandably), but still has some fire tracks, including Hype!
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| 2:56 |
: I got Gerrit Cole & Drew Smyly for yu Darvish, Drew Pomeranz & Lucas Giolito. Re-draft league. Did I do ok?
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| 2:57 |
: Absolutely, espec for redraft
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| 2:57 |
: Correa isn’t living up to his first round price. #sniffles
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| 2:58 |
: First-rounders are such as much for their floor as their ceiling, so I actually disagree quite a bit. He’s pacing toward 30-30.
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| 2:58 |
: How good am I and can i steal Gomez job?
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| 2:58 |
: You’re a legit prospect, but a healthy Carlos Gomez will still get back in the lineup right away, IMO
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| 2:59 |
: Red Sox can’t be serious about converting Swihart to OF, right?
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| 2:59 |
: Why not? They LOVE Vazquez and Swi’s bat is a bigger deal than his glove
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| 2:59 |
: Should I pick up Devon Travis to stach on my DL and drop Joe Panik once Travis is activated?
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| 2:59 |
: I still prefer Panik
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| 2:59 |
: What’s your take on Xander? Do you think he has an outside chance at 20/20 this year?
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| 3:00 |
| 3:00 |
: how legit is nola? top 20 sp?
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| 3:01 |
: I don’t think I can get him quite that high, but I really like Nola. Top-40 for sure, pushing top-30
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| 3:01 |
: I own JDMart, J Upton, Puig, Yelich, Mazara in 10 team keeper and need pitching badly. Who do I trade?
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| 3:02 |
: … whoever gets you the most
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| 3:02 |
: Brandon Crawford or Marcus Simien in a dynasty?
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| 3:02 |
: Pretty much a coinflip. I lean toward Craw
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| 3:02 |
: What does Yelich’s fantasy peak look like? Peak Alex Gordon?
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| 3:03 |
: Higher. He’s faster and can hit for more power as he learns to elevate. I think his peak is top-5 OF kind of production
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| 3:03 |
: Conforto and Rasmus are out on the Free Agent market. Worth dropping Justin Upton for either of them? Upton is really, really, really trying my patience….
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| 3:04 |
: Understood, but no. I imagine 10-team? I’m holding J Up a bit longer
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| 3:04 |
: My wainright for mccullers in keeper?
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| 3:04 |
: OK
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| 3:04 |
: If Colin Moran doesn’t perform well now that he’s been called up, does Alex Bregman get promoted in his place?
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| 3:04 |
: I can see it, but Moran will get a real look
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| 3:04 |
: What’s your outlook on yu Darvish after seeing him live? We’re dying to know your insight on this Paul!
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| 3:05 |
: Calmed down after shaky first inning. I think there will be bumps, but also strong starts. I think a 3.75 ERA with a ton of Ks and blah WHIP
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| 3:05 |
: You like Mazara? What if he’s just .300 with 15hrs? Seems overrated.
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| 3:07 |
: Damn, tough crowd. Three OF have gone .300+/15+ as a 21-year old since 2000: Pujols, Trout, and J-Up. I think you greatly underestimate how awesome that is at his age in his first MLB go. Tremendous prospect.
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| 3:07 |
: Traded Papelbon for Cody Allen straight up. I dislike Papelbon as a person and he doesn’t strike anyone out. Thoughts?
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| 3:07 |
: Love it!
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| 3:07 |
: I have ryu, box, yu returning, which 3 do I drop, Matt Cain, Danny Duffy, Eddie Butler or John Lamb
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| 3:07 |
: Keep Butler out of that group just in case he can figure ANYTHING out at home
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| 3:07 |
: Is Joe Musgrove the next big rookie SP to get called up in the American League? If not, who?
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| 3:08 |
: Shhh, he’s my sneak-tip guy! Actually really like Clevinger for CLE who was just called up, too
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| 3:08 |
: Does Fulmer get sent down when Greene returns?
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| 3:09 |
: Yeah, probably. It’s just the path of least resistance since he hasn’t forced them into a tough decision
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| 3:09 |
: How confident are you in Darvish being Darvish when he comes back? Activate him immediately, or wait and make sure he’s doing what he’s supposed to be doing?
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| 3:10 |
: Not very. I don’t mess with guys in TJ returns. There’ll be ups and downs and his WHIP is already suspect so it could be 1.35+
|
| 3:10 |
: I’m in first place of my AL-keeper league right now, so winning is of course my number one focus. However, I still can’t help going after prospects like Fulmer, Tropeano and Manaea. Should I be dropping any of those guys for Ervin Santana, or do I keep the pups for their bigger upsides?
|
| 3:11 |
: How the hell is Ervin Santana available in an AL only? I know his WHIP is high, but damn. Trade 2 pups for a stud and pick up Erv.
|
| 3:11 |
: Valencia or Reddick ROS?
|
| 3:11 |
: redd
|
| 3:11 |
: Eickhoff v. Atl OR Miley v. Cin?
|
| 3:11 |
: Miley. ATL can really stack lefties and they are Eick’s Kryptonite
|
| 3:16 |
: Pick up Bauer, Rubby or Folty OR someone like Snell/Taillon as a stash?
|
| 3:16 |
: How many teams?
|
| 3:16 |
: Is there anything Melvin Upton has done to make this seem like a real thing? His numbers look all over the place to me. Like sure, his swinging strike rate is significantly down, but its still 13.2%
|
| 3:18 |
: One number that jumps out is lowered infield FB rate. Meaning he’s striking the ball a lot better. Looks healthiest in a while, too. Not completely new, either, had a solid half season last yr, too. So 128 gms of solid production
|
| 3:18 |
: Shaw “home only player” goes 3-for-3 with a dong in KC on Tuesday…
|
| 3:19 |
: As if one games prove anything. And nobody said he was hitting .000/.000/.000 on the road. C’mom man, you have to know how ridiculous this is, right?
|
| 3:19 |
: Sitting on a pretty good staff so far with Carrasco as my ace and want to drop Pineda. Is he worth an Adam Duvall or streaming a pitcher?
|
| 3:20 |
: How many tms? I advocated cutting him earlier: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/tipping-pitches-cutting-bait-on-three-top-60-arms/
|
| 3:20 |
: Semien & Khrush are killing it HR wise but only OPSing in the 700s. Does that OPS go up or do the HR slow down?
|
| 3:20 |
: HR likely slow down
|
| 3:20 |
: Pick one of these injured sp to drop for an odor replacement when he gets suspended: Iglesias, Desclafani, E-rod
|
| 3:20 |
: Raisel
|
| 3:20 |
: Is “better than Colby Lewis” the best we can hope for from Ventura’s 2016? I am filled with regret.
|
| 3:20 |
: LOL. It’s been really bad. It’s almost been “has to be hurt” bad
|
| 3:21 |
: Fielder or Alvarez – ROS?
|
| 3:22 |
: Gun emoji
|
| 3:22 |
: Fielder, I guess. But I worry he’s hurt, tbh
|
| 3:22 |
: Need replacement for Berrios in a redraft. Please rank for 2016: Taillon, C. Reed (CIN), Reyes (STL), Ray
|
| 3:22 |
: Taillon, Ray, Reyes, Reed
|
| 3:22 |
: Is Michael Brantley going to justify the $10 I threw at him in the auction?
|
| 3:23 |
: Probably. Not a huge bar to clear. Let’s see how he is after returning. They admitted to rushing him
|
| 3:23 |
: Liriano is even more frustrating than normal this year. If you were moving him for a batter…Reddick? Holliday?
|
| 3:24 |
: Either, really, but I’ll say Reddick bc of the chip in speed
|
| 3:31 |
: Do your friends call you Spo?
|
| 3:31 |
: They do not.
|
| 3:31 |
: Is Archer too much for M. Franco? Keeper league
|
| 3:31 |
: No, I’m OK with that
|
| 3:32 |
: 10 team keeper (keep forever, up to 15)- Would you move W. Davis? What should be the return?
|
| 3:33 |
: Don’t need the Saves? Should get a top shelf return in your chief need
|
| 3:34 |
: upton/gio/andrew miller or harvey/britton/dickey?
|
| 3:34 |
: definitely fair. without knowing needs, I’d lean side A slightly
|
| 3:35 |
: got offered Tulowitzki and Wainwright for Story – I don’t really care about Waino because I think he’s cooked but is that a good buy low/sell high or am I wrong in thinking Story is going to outperform Tulo ROS
|
| 3:36 |
: if you’re totally out on Waino, I say pass. I don’t think it’s crazy to say Story > Tulo. If you believed Waino was gonna be at least a 3.50 ERA kind of guy for a buncha innings, I think that’d be enough to close the gap
|
| 3:36 |
: I want Kershaw in a 10-team re-draft. Arenado or Miggy too much to give up?
|
| 3:36 |
: Not at all
|
| 3:36 |
: He’s arguably the very best player in fantasy baseball
|
| 3:37 |
: You call him Michael Pinata because he’s full of candy right? hahaha, i get it.
|
| 3:37 |
: LOL
|
| 3:37 |
: Yeah, a buncha shitty candy like circus peanuts and bit o honey
|
| 3:39 |
: Thoughts on a returning Homer Bailey?
|
| 3:40 |
: Out til 2017 for me. Should have some nice starts, but problem with a small sample return from TJ is that a couple bad starts can really spoil the bottom line
|
| 3:40 |
: Sadly I dropped Odubel before the season started, but I picked up Ozuna shortly thereafter… win?
|
| 3:40 |
: Not necessarily a flat out W (I love Odubel), but not a huge L (bc I also like Ozuna)
|
| 3:41 |
: any idea when we’ll get a new set of rankings?
|
| 3:41 |
: Like every position? Prob mid-season.
|
| 3:41 |
: Would easily beat you and any other 10 “experts” you choose in any $$ amount points league. Tell me who to email and we can set it up.
|
| 3:41 |
: LOL
|
| 3:42 |
: But for real, loooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooool at that. Does that ever work?
|
| 3:42 |
: Kenta Maeda outlook?
|
| 3:43 |
: Solid. We knew he’d come down. I had him 17th in NL in my tiers a few weeks back
|
| 3:43 |
: Would you trade for Rendon/Fielder/Darvish and give up EE/Wacha/W. Davis in a 10 team keeper league? Have Gregs, Ramos, Perkins, Zieg (Dyson on the wire still somehow). Jose F., Gausman, Stroman, Hamels, Cole, Berrios, Taillon, Cobb on my remaining pitching
|
| 3:44 |
: That’s not bad. I think Rendon gets going, but worried about Fielder and unsure on Yu so I can see it. Not sure you need SVs, though, so maybe deal some after this trade
|
| 3:44 |
: Best stash for 2016: Bregman, Albies, Swanson?
|
| 3:44 |
: Breg
|
| 3:44 |
: Last round Corey Seager and Tyler Glasnow for 2nd round Chris Sale in 12 team H2H OBP keep 8 league? Have hitting in spades (Trout, Harper, Machado) and need pitching since GRich went down (Stroman, Lackey, Porcello, Jon Gray, Aaron Sanchez, Rodon, Corbin). Hate giving up Seager and wary of Sale’s new philosophy. Thoughts?
|
| 3:45 |
: You’re competing now and need SP so I like it. Keeper values matter, but less relevant in midst of pennant chase. Sale still dominating even with efficient, lower-K philosophy. Can still dial it up. Total stud.
|
| 3:45 |
: Dickerson was lumped in with Chris Carter and Khris Davis in a question above. Is that just who he’s going to be now?
|
| 3:46 |
: Is that so bad? 30 HR, low AVG type is still pretty useful. We know Coors is worth about 50 pts of AVG… he hit .299 w/COL
|
| 3:47 |
: Thing about Teheran for me is that’s he so up and down and then even when he’s up you may not get Ks. It’s weird, some days it’s like 8 IP 0 runs and 3K and then next time is 5 IP 5 Runs 6 Ks
|
| 3:47 |
: That describes A LOT of pitchers outside of the top 2 tiers. I think we as a fantasy baseball community greatly overreact to every start.
|
| 3:47 |
: Next spec closer stash? Giles/Harris or someone else? Cishek was clean today while Benoit wasn’t sharp so that prob buys him more leash.
|
| 3:47 |
: Giles or Benoit works for me. Giles really getting going.
|
| 3:47 |
: Am I crazy for trading Wacha/Joe Ross for Archer/Eugenio Suarez in a SP-critical H2H points league? My staff is deep.
|
| 3:48 |
: Not crazy, no. I do have some concerns on Archer, but if you don’t share those, this is a good buy low
|
| 3:48 |
: Cingrani or Strickland?
|
| 3:48 |
: Strick. I’m so out on CIN bullpen
|
| 3:48 |
: Chances Ryu puts up similar numbers as last year?
|
| 3:48 |
: Too early to consider picking up hyun-jin ryu? Would have to drop either Pineda/Matt Moore/Gio Gonzalez though
|
| 3:49 |
: Gonna be the final word on Ryu for today. I really like him when healthy, but he’s a major health risk. So I kinda put him in the Jaime Garcia level of SP. Go ahead and scoop him if you can stash in most lgs (prob not 10 teamers yet), but know there’s big risk from health
|
| 3:49 |
: Swihart has a big bat? LOL
|
| 3:50 |
: Who said that? If you’re going to be snarky, you should at least pay attention to what’s being said, ya know?
|
| 3:50 |
: Verlander looking hella good again. He has 3 pitches looking nice
|
| 3:51 |
: has 2 bad starts this year. They were really bad (7 ER each), but otherwise v good. Not his ace-self, but very fantasy viable
|
| 3:51 |
: any chance Mike Napoli stays relevant?
|
| 3:51 |
: Ya, sleep apnea in check. Playing healthy for the first time in a while
|
| 3:51 |
: Any hope for Andrew Heaney this year or next?
|
| 3:51 |
: Probably next.
|
| 3:51 |
: Harvey or Kluber better ros?
|
| 3:51 |
: Hard to split. I’ll say Harvey bc of NL (so many tms tanking in NL)
|
| 3:51 |
: Adam Jones and Felix Hernandez for Jose Abreu? Decent trade or do I need more in a dynasty league?
|
| 3:52 |
: That’s fair for Abreu.
|
| 3:52 |
: is folty 10 team relevant? W+QS
|
| 3:52 |
: No
|
| 3:52 |
: Countering a proposal for Manny in a keeper (keep forever 10 tm) league….Asking for Cain/Sano/Stras…too much? Manny has SS elg (I have bregman for long term). Would you do it?
|
| 3:52 |
: No, not too much. The keeper element and SS elig. certainly allow you to ask for a mint. He’s a top 5 player easily.
|
| 3:52 |
: I’m desperate for saves. Giving up JoFer to land Kenley too much?
|
| 3:53 |
: if it’s 1:1 yes. But if you’re getting other stuff, I’m OK using a stud to plug needs
|
| 3:53 |
: Wainwright will finished with a 3.30 ERA and 175 K’s. Calling it now.
|
| 3:54 |
: Is that Marty Wainwright? Maaaaybe on the ERA, but there is no chance on the Ks. He’d have to fan more than a batter per inning rest of way
|
| 3:54 |
: Do you find yourself being the “villain” of a lot of your non-expert fantasy leagues? In that, other teams are working harder to beat you, and may make slightly more favorable trades with your competition?
|
| 3:55 |
: I find that they don’t want to trade with me as much, assuming I know something about the guys I want which can be frustrating, espec. since I’m always trying to construct solid win-win deals
|
| 3:55 |
: nvm on Folty just looked closer at his stats LOL
|
| 3:55 |
: missed this before posting, no prob
|
| 3:55 |
: Is JD Martinez OK again? You trashed him yesterday yet he’s hit 5 HR in his past 10 games
|
| 3:56 |
: Wait when did I trash him? He’s literally my favorite player next to Curtis Granderson. I honestly haven’t said a single bad word about him this year.
|
| 3:56 |
: You’ve been a huge help to my team this year Paul! Another question–should I trade Felix in a dynasty for Piscotty? I feel like my window to sell Felix may be closing.
|
| 3:56 |
: Thanks! And yes I would do that.
|
| 3:56 |
: Trade Ventura for Hector Santiago a fair deal?
|
| 3:56 |
: ya, it’s fair
|
| 3:56 |
: Should Yasmany Tomas be owned in a 12tm h2h league? Better option than Lamb at 3B?
|
| 3:57 |
: He’s close (and this coming from a Tomas hater who is changing his tune some). Still favor Lamb. We discussed him a lot yesterday: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-346-grounder-day/
|
| 3:57 |
: Grandal or Cervelli ROS in an OBP league?
|
| 3:57 |
: Cerv
|
| 3:57 |
: Any chance you can restore my faith in Puig?
|
| 3:58 |
: I can’t sit here and tell you it’s been GOOD, but it hasn’t just been a skills cratering to get to this 77 wRC+. There’s been some bad luck, too. Flaws are eminently correctable. I’m still holding. At least another couple of weeks.
|
| 3:58 |
: You taking the over or under on 35 HR’s for Khrush Davis?
|
| 3:59 |
: Under. But over 30.
|
| 3:59 |
: Sold my Diaz and JBJ for Story. Did I make a mistake?
|
| 3:59 |
: Not necessarily. Two sell-highs for a buy-high. I consider myself a JBJ guy for sure, but it’s not like he’s shown a ton of skills changes behind this, I just like his game. Story has Coors protecting his biggest flaw, has pwr/spd, and plays a premium pos
|
| 4:00 |
: I don’t have a great read on Aledmys, btw
|
| 4:00 |
: Sam Dyson gonna run away with the gig?
|
| 4:00 |
: if they stay as-is. But if they acquire someone, which is very possible, then he goes back to setup
|
| 4:00 |
: Is Urias getting the typical prospect overhype, or is he worth getting that excited about?
|
| 4:01 |
: Little column A, little column B. All top prospects have a little overhype bc we focus on their upper reaches as if they’ll come to the majors ready day 1. But he’s special.
|
| 4:01 |
: Now that manny is SS eligible, what should I do with Suarez and Cozart? Other owners in the 12 team dynasty don’t seem interested, but it’s tough to cut guys like that.
|
| 4:01 |
: it is tough to cut them, but if there isn’t much interest and you have other needs, I’d do it. Cozy goes first for me
|
| 4:01 |
: Sell CMart or hold and hope for better days ahead? His numbers are nowhere near as good as last year and besides him I have Lester, Carrasco, Kluber, Hill, Raisel, Conley, and Hendricks
|
| 4:02 |
: Ks are down, but hard to be upset w/3.14 ERA & 1.05 WHIP. I understand that LOB% and BABIP suggest worse days ahead so I get trying to sell him. But it’s not like he’s trash
|
| 4:02 |
: Not playing for this year, and I’m pretty ok in the outfield, but I’m thinking of stashing a guy to see if I luck into an elite player. Who would you use the spot on, Mazara or Benintendi?
|
| 4:02 |
: Maz
|
| 4:02 |
: How many more HR’s does Semien hit this year?
|
| 4:02 |
: 13
|
| 4:03 |
: Thoughts on Archer in a keeper league? Worth pursuing at a discounted price? Will he “right” the ship? Keep forever league
|
| 4:03 |
: I’m definitely concerned. Just not commanding like last year (and years before). Has injury precursors with prime velo and heavy slider usage. that said, if the discount is sharp enough, I’m down to buy.
|
| 4:03 |
: Do you like Rich Hill or Taijuan Walker more for this season?
|
| 4:03 |
: Walker, but I’m back in on Hill after panicking early
|
| 4:03 |
: Assuming he gets activated, do you start Darvish against Pittsburgh? Also–Boxberger or Colome??
|
| 4:04 |
: I assume you paid a decent price for him, so I’d be inclined to start him bc his talent is such that he can rip anyone as long as he’s healthy. With TJ there is no rhyme or reason to struggles. Some days they just don’t have it (go look at Waino’s return season… just had some random 5-6 ER outings)
|
| 4:04 |
: Stroman or Quintana ROS?
|
| 4:05 |
: Q, slightly. Has 3 200 IP seasons under his belt. Stro yet to log one.
|
| 4:05 |
: Start Addison Russell or Derek Dietrich at 2B? (Keeping Gordon on my bench)
|
| 4:06 |
: Addy (though I’m pro-DD in a lot of cases)
|
| 4:06 |
: Benoit or Doolittle better option for holds and possible saves? Madsen overrated. 30% line drive rate
|
| 4:07 |
: You don’t think the 30% LD rate is fishy with the rest of the profile? Hard% way down. Still getting tons of swings-and-misses. I’ll say Doodoo for HDs, but not sure Madson is overrated
|
| 4:07 |
: Paul, you need to branch out from your hip-hop hole. Extreme metal can be twice as exhilarating…
|
| 4:07 |
: I’m all set, thanks! 🙂
|
| 4:08 |
: Drop any of trace, Dietrich, grichuk, Domingo for Mallex Smith in 14 team OBP?
|
| 4:08 |
: Need speed? Drop Domingo for him if so
|
| 4:08 |
: Best local beer in Austin?
|
| 4:08 |
: I don’t drink, sorry
|
| 4:08 |
: Franco or Carpenter ROS?
|
| 4:08 |
: Coinflip, but I lean to higher upside which is Franco
|
| 4:09 |
: Buchter, Giles, Knebel worth speculative stashes for next year? I’m done this year. Any others?
|
| 4:09 |
: Giles. But trying to spec saves a month out is hard enough let alone a year out
|
| 4:09 |
: Been shopping CCarter in 10 tm OBP H2H league, with no success — I may be aiming too high (shot down when I asked for Nola, for example) What’s a fair return among SP for him? Among OF?
|
| 4:10 |
: Ya, that’s too high. i think everyone knows his story. Super streaky power bat. Maybe try for teammate Jimmy Nelson? OF-wise, buy low on Soler?
|
| 4:10 |
: Berrios or Velazquez in dynasty?
|
| 4:10 |
: VV
|
| 4:10 |
: I think you have talked about it on the pod, but Glasnow or Taillon?
|
| 4:10 |
: Taillon for me
|
| 4:10 |
: Can Villar steal 50 bases this year?
|
| 4:11 |
: Possible, yeah, but I’d say more 35-40
|
| 4:11 |
: What do you think about Villar? Can he be a top 5 SS ROS?
|
| 4:12 |
: Meant to put both Villar things are once. That BABIP will come down and he’s more a .270 hitter. But .270-8 HR-40 SB will push for top 5
|
| 4:12 |
: Rank Dozier, Forsythe, Odor ROS
|
| 4:12 |
: reverse order of your list
|
| 4:12 |
: Blood-for-saves 10-team re-draft with zero closers but plenty of SP3’s on the wire. In a roster crunch, would you drop a Wacha or Tanaka-type if another Dyson came out of nowhere?
|
| 4:12 |
: man that’s tough. I think those are closer to SP2s. Trade market not viable here?
|
| 4:12 |
: Is IFFB% easily correctable? Puig’s number was off the charts last time I looked
|
| 4:13 |
: Not necessarily EASY, but definitely correctable. Sometimes it means a guy is a click off, other times he is way off. Since we’re still seeing some positive aspects from Puig, I tend to believe the former so I’m standing pat with him
|
| 4:13 |
: Everyone ridiculous for calling you out? Ha ok
|
| 4:15 |
: What? Are you the guy who used one game of Travis Shaw on the road to refute that he’s a home-only guy? I have no problem with pushback on my thoughts, but there is no world where a one game sample refutes a point. Ha ok.
|
| 4:15 |
: First time playing 10-team. Any general advice for this format?
|
| 4:15 |
: Acquire as much star talent as possible. Take chances.
|
| 4:15 |
: You guys said on the pod that you’d take Ramos over Grandal. Does Grandal’s average exit velocity at least suggest better days might be ahead? He’s been pretty awful lately.
|
| 4:16 |
: Ya the biggest issue with Grandal isn’t talent, it’s health. Makes sense that he took PEDs in SD bc they help keep you on the field which has been his biggest issue.
|
| 4:16 |
: No, but one game of Michael Fulmer sure changed your thoughts. Ha ok.
|
| 4:16 |
: What?
|
| 4:17 |
: What are you talking about? Like seriously, what precisely are you talking about? The fact that I said he could get sent out when Greene returns? You do know that Al Avila decides that, right? Not me.
|
| 4:17 |
: Why are so many experts saying hold Pineda? He’s been hot garbage so far.
|
| 4:17 |
: Who are some buy low SPs you’re targeting? Please don’t say Pineda.
|
| 4:17 |
: Been out for a while http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/tipping-pitches-cutting-bait-on-three-top-60-arms/
|
| 4:18 |
: How would one quantify verlander being the best overall fantasy player in the game? My friend thinks he couldn’t be b/c he doesnt play every day like a position player.
|
| 4:18 |
: Are you messing with me? Love JV, but he’s obviously not close to the best player in the game.
|
| 4:18 |
: Stop answering Ha. Severino or Snell ROS redraft league.
|
| 4:18 |
: Snell. Sevvy hurting and wasn’t looking v good when pitching. Take a shot on Blake.
|
| 4:18 |
: Didn’t see you cover it but where do you see Matt Harvey finishing for the remainder of the year??
|
| 4:19 |
: I still like him, but I think stamina is an issue right now. There was talk of him being plump coming into the season and perhaps fitness is playing a role as he can’t make it through the lineup 3x rn. I’ll still say top 25, though
|
| 4:19 |
: 5×5 Roto with OBP Instead of AVG. Who got the best of this trade – Syndergaard for Story & Piscotty
|
| 4:20 |
: How many teams?
|
| 4:20 |
: if you’ll indulge a non-fantasy question – is Mets/Nats going to be the most exciting divisional race?
|
| 4:20 |
: Probably. SF-LAD pretty good, too
|
| 4:20 |
: Thanks for the chats, Paul. Always look forward to them!
|
| 4:20 |
: Np Alex. thanks for coming out
|
| 4:21 |
: Please tell me that Brandon Drury isn’t going to be a victim of Chip Hale trying to find playing time for Michael Freaking Bourn.
|
| 4:21 |
: i wish I could. I really wish I could, lol
|
| 4:21 |
: Sorry, that was mean to be Kershaw, not verlander
|
| 4:23 |
: I mean, you can use dollar values or something like ESPN’s Player Rater (though I think Altuve is ahead of him). you can pt out how he’s 1 of 9 compared to a hitter being 1 of 14 on your roster and so his excellence means even more to the bottom line. Honestly, I’d just link his BRef page and make your buddy prove how he isn’t. Just bc a hitter plays every day doesn’t mean he’s worth more. That’s some 1990s shit right there. I feel like we’re way beyond that these days
|
| 4:24 |
: Dynasty trade: My Suarez + Welington Castillo for his Pedroia, Wil Myers. Tempting, but I’m worried about Pedroia’s injury risk, not totally buying that Myers has things figured out, and I think Suarez looks like a perennial top 5-7 SS if he stays eligible there.
|
| 4:24 |
: My pushback would be, how is Suarez more proven than Myers?
|
| 4:24 |
: Can keep 2 more years. Rank AJ Reed, Glasnow, Taillon, Giolito, JP Crawford
|
| 4:24 |
: Crawford, Reed, Gio are my faves
|
| 4:25 |
: Just wanted to let you know so you can get back to being cool again that Drake sucks.
|
| 4:25 |
: I’m glad I didn’t give you any buy low SPs
|
| 4:25 |
: Side A: Fielder and Mazara Side B: Hosmer and Span. 12-team 5×5 redraft. Thanks!
|
| 4:25 |
: Side B
|
| 4:26 |
: Cybo, what makes you think your opinion of Drake should matter to me in the least? Music is subjective. You don’t have to like him. Just don’t click the links I post, but otherwise you can jam your msg.
|
| 4:26 |
: Thanks, just made the trade for side B!
|
| 4:26 |
: Nice!
|
| 4:27 |
: I’m swinging over the ball a lot and inducing a lot of weak grounders. Yes I hit my first home run the other day, but not much otherwise. What kind of pitcher range would you trade me for in a 3 OF OBP/AVG league? Walker or Nola too low?
|
| 4:27 |
: It’s your wrist. I’m hoping the HR is a sign that it’s feeling better. Frankly, you might not be able to get either of those arms
|
| 4:27 |
: Paul, on your podcast with Eno you gushed about Fulmer and said you liked him more than any other rookie SP. You didn’t feel that way prior to his callup. So yes, youre guilty of one game rash decisions.
|
| 4:28 |
: He’s pitched 4 games. Opinions change as information comes in. You can’t truly be this dense, right?
|
| 4:34 |
: He pitched 4 games when you guys discussed his first start? Interesting
|
| 4:34 |
: I’m still not sure what you’re whining about.
|
| 4:34 |
: Wtf is wrong with Coghlan? I thought he’d be a decent 2B in AL only.
|
| 4:35 |
: Me too. Power is there, but rest has been rough. Whiffing too much. Not giving up in AL only, but leash has shortened
|
| 4:35 |
: i’ll gladly provide the podcast # and time when you return next week and then you can apologize to everyone
|
| 4:36 |
: Apologize for what? What exactly is your problem? You haven’t really explained what you’re whining about. You’re made that I like Fulmer? What about it? I still like him. But I can see him being sent down for Greene. So what is your hang up?
|
| 4:36 |
: WTF is wrong with Ha? I thought he’d have something better to do with his day than try and tear somebody down to try and make himself feel better about his life.
|
| 4:36 |
: I’m trying to figure it out, but I’m coming up short.
|
| 4:36 |
: Do you like Tony Kemp in a 12-team AL-only OPS keeper?
|
| 4:36 |
: Ya I’d take a shot in AL
|
| 4:36 |
: Brian Dozier is a total mess. Everyone keeps saying he’ll turn it on, but I see nothing watching his ABs to give me hope. Is there light at the end of the tunnel?
|
| 4:38 |
: I understand the concern for sure, but the profile does offer some hope. Soft% is the only thing really askew. If he’s hiding injury then obv that’s an issue, but otherwise, i can see him getting back on track and popping HRs with a .240 AVG
|
| 4:38 |
: Has nothing to do with him being sent down. You said you can’t change an opinion based on one game. You did with Fulmer.
|
| 4:38 |
: How so?
|
| 4:38 |
: Dont knock people in here looking for advice who make assumptions on one game the same way your opinion changed based on one guys start. You both will end up being wrong, well you already have been
|
| 4:38 |
: And if you honestly think 1 start = 1 batter game, then I really can’t help you
|
| 4:38 |
: So that really kills any point you’d hope to have from the start. But what did I change on Fulmer
|
| 4:39 |
: Andriese or Clevinger ROS
|
| 4:39 |
: Clevinger, I really like him. Looked sharp even with that rough sixth
|
| 4:40 |
: Ok, so Ha definitely was the guy who cited the Travis Shaw game as a reason he’s not a home-only guy, right? And he got mad that I dismissed it. And I think he’s saying I made some change on Fulmer but I can’t quite figure out what change he’s talking about.
|
| 4:40 |
: But again, 1 start isn’t the same as 1 game for a position player so it renders his entire point meaningless
|
| 4:40 |
: I’m in a 10-team dynasty, and sold Felix for Miggy. How did I do?
|
| 4:40 |
: A++
|
| 4:40 |
: I’m mixed on the new chance album, what’s your favourite tune? Also 12 tm league obp I have done well in pitching thanks to the pod, currently have Nola c mart Harvey bum Velasquez and shark, thinking of trading bum for stud hitter with h r and obp who should I target? (Sorry the long message)
|
| 4:41 |
: No Problem is my jam. I like selling Bum for premium bat. Basically anyone outside of first rd is viable
|
| 4:41 |
: Giles hasn’t REALLY gotten going. Still lots of hits.
|
| 4:42 |
: I don’t really agree there. Guy in May has been way better than April version. Velo rising. Gave up a bunch hits in Apr, but we’re talking recently.
|
| 4:43 |
: I have too many IFs in my weekly 14 tm keeper. Who should I try to move among Schoop/Travis; Kang/Semien; Lamb/Prado?
|
| 4:43 |
: Kang prob highest equity in market
|
| 4:43 |
: Would you trade Carlos Martinez and Adam Conley for Verlander and Mazara in a 12 team keeper league
|
| 4:43 |
: I’m OK with that if you need hitting more than pitching
|
| 4:43 |
: Need to plan for Carrasco’s return. What should I do? SP are DeGrom, Strasburg, Stroman, Maeda, and Nola
|
| 4:44 |
: Well the trade market should provide returns as you have lots of nice arms there. How much do you need hitting? If it’s just a little, focus on the last 3. If you need a huge bat, offer up the first two
|
| 4:44 |
: dozier for sonny gray, which side do you take
|
| 4:44 |
: Sonny
|
| 4:45 |
: Could I cobble together a decent 3b with Justin Turner & Plouffe? 12 team mixed OBP/SLG
|
| 4:45 |
: ya i think so
|
| 4:45 |
: Benoit going to be closing soon in SEA?
|
| 4:45 |
: I think SEA has a longer leash for Cishek than we in the fantasy market would
|
| 4:45 |
| 4:45 |
: Where will Joey Gallo be traded?
|
| 4:45 |
: Milwaukee in a LuCroy deal?
|
| 4:45 |
: 10 team redraft: Archer for T.Walker and C.Seager. Which side?
|
| 4:45 |
: Side b for sure
|
| 4:46 |
: Could you please rank Clevenger, Karns, and Manaea ROS?
|
| 4:46 |
: Karns is ahead of both bc he has a spot locked down. I still like Manaea more than Clev if Manaea gets to stick
|
| 4:46 |
: Ha, if you don’t like or trust Paul’s advice, leave and go read chats of people that you like or trust. No analyst is ever going t be 100% on everybody. Analysis is a fluid process. Get over it.
|
| 4:46 |
: Yeah I’m just not sure what he’s so bent about.
|
| 4:46 |
: i don’t think anything. I didn’t ask the Shaw question. But you knocked a guy for doing the same thing you did
|
| 4:47 |
: Again – and definitely for the last time – no I didn’t. You still haven’t outlined “what i did” and 1 gm for a batter is nowhere near the same as 1 start so you comparison just doesn’t work at all.
|
| 4:47 |
: Will the Austin Jackson rebecome hisself or is that flame exting’d?
|
| 4:48 |
: Soft spot for AJax from his Tigers days, but he’s league avg at best
|
| 4:48 |
: 1 Start doesn’t have to be equal to 1 batter game to still be ridiculous. Did all SP’s who threw a gem in game 1 of 2016 change your mind too?
|
| 4:48 |
: K bye.
|
| 4:48 |
: Best arm to sell high on in dynasty: Velasquez, Conley, Tillman, Hendricks
|
| 4:48 |
: VV gonna bring the most back
|
| 4:48 |
: If I’m stashing Urias in a deep keeper, is that me just getting too excited?
|
| 4:48 |
: No, I’m cool with it
|
| 4:48 |
: Sid’s question makes it sound like he wants to plan a party for Carrasco when he comes back, and he wants to assign his other SPs different jobs
|
| 4:49 |
: LOOOOL
|
| 4:49 |
: Verlander, Odorizzi, F Liriano ROS?
|
| 4:49 |
: That’s the order I have em
|
| 4:49 |
: At least we know you don’t have an explanation. Thanks for finally proving that
|
| 4:49 |
: I just can’t help myself… an explanation for what??????
|
| 4:51 |
: What crime do you think I committed? You haven’t explained yourself. And you’re still acting like 1 game = 1 start which is just plain stupid. You’re mad that I like Fulmer over Manaea and Berrios? Because why? And then what do you think has changed? Berrios is sent down and Manaea is on the cusp of it. So either explain what you’re talking about or just stop talking. You’re making zero sense and I really shouldn’t have given you this much time, but I’m a sucker for defending myself against clowns.
|
| 4:51 |
: “I don’t think anything.” – Ha
|
| 4:51 |
: Truer words….
|
| 4:51 |
: This Ha crap better not come up again next week. Definitely ruining the chat.
|
| 4:51 |
: Fair enough, Nate. It’s done. Even if he responds with an actual point….. LOL at that happening, though
|
| 4:51 |
: Let’s push through
|
| 4:51 |
: Very deep NL only, rank: Solarte, Wallace, Hernan Perez.
|
| 4:52 |
: Is Solarte on rehab? I like him.
|
| 4:52 |
: B Hamilton and B Burns just dropped, in need of SB, worth a 5 waiver in 12 team to pick up 1, if so which 1?
|
| 4:52 |
: Burns. Just a better hitter
|
| 4:52 |
: Anything to see with Mike Minor looking decent in rehab starts? Good chance he cracks the top 50 once he’s up?
|
| 4:53 |
: He has one good, one awful in the rehabs I think, right? Top 50 is really ambitious. I’d say top 100 would be a win
|
| 4:53 |
: Soler was dropped in my 14 team mixed…that’s too deep a league for him to be floating around isn’t it? Would you drop CDick for him?
|
| 4:54 |
: It’s borderline and I’m not sure I’d cut CDick. At least CD has guaranteed PT.
|
| 4:54 |
: Is Rodon and/or Wood worth a 6th SP spot in 12 team?
|
| 4:55 |
: I prefer Rodon, but he’s still developing. I thought he’d be ready for a bigger step this year and he could still get better this summer, obv, but he’s not as ready as I thought he might be
|
| 4:55 |
: Manny for Harvey/C. Seager- keeps forever, 10 tm, SS elg for Manny next. Sorry for all the manny questions- just trying to explore my possibilities here!
|
| 4:55 |
: in 10 tm, it’s Manny for me. I wanna accumulate superstars in 10-team. Seager could be too, but Manny already is
|
| 4:55 |
: Why are you continuing to indulge this Ha joker? Are there so few questions in the chat that you need to feed this troll to kill time?
|
| 4:56 |
: No, you’re right. I’m just a sucker for clowns. I don’t mind being challenged, but I get frustrated when it’s unfounded horseshit like that
|
| 4:56 |
: Paul, here are my SPs in 5×5 H2H redraft: Lester, Keuchel, Smyly, JV, VV, Nola, JRoss, Yu (DL). You already suggested drop Severino for Snell. Everything else looking good here?
|
| 4:57 |
: Ya that’s solid. Snell is a nice stash, but if something else pops up on the wire before he comes back, you can move him out
|
| 4:57 |
: Paul, my man… lets say Zeigler falters. I’m kinda thinking the d-backs slot clippard ahead of Hudson because of the $$$ involved/veteran thing, because ya know, they’re kinda dumb. Sound plausible?
|
| 4:57 |
: Perfectly plausible
|
| 5:00 |
: Taillon or Snell ROS? 12 teams.
|
| 5:01 |
: Snell, but it’s close. I just think Taillon will be on tighter IP leash given 2 missed seasons
|
| 5:01 |
: rank em: Summer Friends, Same Drugs, Angels, No Problem, All Night
|
| 5:02 |
: No Problem, All Night, Summer Friends, Angels, Same Drugs – that was hard… man I love this album!
|
| 5:03 |
: Except No Problem was easy #1 for me
|
| 5:08 |
: Do you like Alex Wood at all?
|
| 5:08 |
: I don’t, really
|
| 5:08 |
: Cut Berrios for Verlander, Conley? Keeper 10 tm
|
| 5:08 |
: for JV for sure. Really surprised he’s available. I know I’m a JV honk, but he needs to be a on team
|
| 5:08 |
: on a*
|
| 5:08 |
: What’s wrong with me?
|
| 5:08 |
: You’re in my chat instead of batting practice
|
| 5:09 |
: Honestly, nothin really. I mean, you haven’t been fully yourself, but within range of outcomes not to be worried. I see a patented EE run soon. Buy!
|
| 5:11 |
: Any chance Erasimo Ramirez is a relevant SP this season?
|
| 5:12 |
: There’s a chance, but I don’t feel as good as I did last month (is that OK, Ha?). They have 4 locked in and then chose Andriese over him. I think they like him as swingman. But Moore and Smyly have wonky health records so I’m not completely ruling it out
|
| 5:12 |
: Ayy Paulie! Thinking about unloading Brantley. What should I expect in return? Have a solid OF without him
|
| 5:13 |
: It’s a tough time to sell, but you can still get a viable piece. Odorizzi perhaps?
|
| 5:13 |
: You are quite popular
|
| 5:13 |
: Nah, these aren’t all fans 🙂
|
| 5:13 |
: How do you feel about jay bruce? Just a hot streak or a bit of a comeback year?
|
| 5:14 |
: A bit of both. I’d say 20 HR/.260 rest of way
|
| 5:14 |
: Do you buy on Junior Guerra?
|
| 5:15 |
: Going to investigate him more v soon and he’ll be discussed on a pod next week, but the boxscore scouting has me intrigued, espec. 11 Ks v. CHC
|
| 5:15 |
: hold or drop M Moore? Not much available
|
| 5:15 |
: How many tms?
|
| 5:15 |
: i just sent mallex smith, bobby Bradley and jake Thompson to a guy for Justin upton. y/n? (my OFers are gattis, c.gomez, kemp. with buxton and gallo waiting)
|
| 5:15 |
: Yeah I like that
|
| 5:15 |
: Is Jepsen even worth rostering in 10-team 5×5 with 4 RP slots? Once in a blue moon saves don’t seem to be worth the ratio risk.
|
| 5:16 |
: Ya I’m with ya. I’d rather a Hector Neris-type even though he’s not closing
|
| 5:16 |
: Who are some “buy low” SPs you’re targeting?
|
| 5:16 |
: Drake.
|
| 5:16 |
: Alex Wood is totally that “fool me once, shame on you” guy!
|
| 5:16 |
: Exactly!
|
| 5:16 |
: Wil Myers…..can he live up to his potential? Been pretty bad in May.
|
| 5:17 |
: Was pretty good in April, though. Health is always a concern and he’s battled calf and forearm recently. I don’t think it’s skills, it’s injuries.
|
| 5:17 |
: Any Anderson Paak love? Dude is pretty great.
|
| 5:18 |
: What should I check out of his? Unfamiliar with him.
|
| 5:18 |
: How much of Franco’s failure to fully break out are you putting on his approach vs. the lack of talent around him in the order?
|
| 5:20 |
: I kinda disagree with the initial premise, though. He’s pacing toward 30-100 on that team – something we’d have thought was a pipedream in March. AVG is off, but like I said earlier, he’s a hot streak from batting .280. I’m buying
|
| 5:20 |
: deep rotation w mad max stras Felix nola maeda zimmerman. crap corner ifs. you giving scherzer for Hosmer and wade davis
|
| 5:20 |
: can’t seem to get any value for my sps
|
| 5:20 |
: That’s not too bad of a deal. I’d prefer a more premium bat, but Davis is a beast closer so it’s a good deal
|
| 5:21 |
: My buddy called it a sequel to TLOP which fits. I heard he can’t get Grammy nominations bc it’s not for sale which is so bunk
|
| 5:21 |
: If Maybin keeps doing his best Rajai Davis impression think they move him up?
|
| 5:22 |
: Who do you move down, though? JD getting going again and I’m not taking Kins out of leadoff just for a speedier element
|
| 5:22 |
: Thinking of offering Trumbo+Archer for Betts+Britton (AL only) as I could use more speed. Seem fair?
|
| 5:22 |
: Definitely. Might not get it done, but definitely fair
|
| 5:22 |
: Re: Minor, By “good” I meant his FB was sitting mid 90s and had 12 Ks in 7 2/3 IP.
|
| 5:23 |
: That’s fair. But yeah, I’d still say top 100 is a win. Maaaaybe top 75. Just a tough one to peg rn
|
| 5:23 |
: The Ha thing was a misunderstanding. When you said Fulmar would get sent down when Greene’s back, he took it as you trashing Fulmar after a small sample
|
| 5:23 |
: He doubled down when I made clear that I was just saying that’s what the Tigers would do. I MUUUUCH prefer him to Pelf, but they’re paying Pelf 8 milly
|
| 5:24 |
: your chats seem to be 2-3x longer than everyone else’s. just want you to know that it’s highly appreciated!
|
| 5:24 |
: Thanks! They probably have cooler lives. Also it took me too long to get your name, but I died when I finally did
|
| 5:24 |
: You and Eno both got love for Snell. Would dropping Ventura for him be worth it? No idea when Snell is getting back up
|
| 5:24 |
: How many tm lg? AL Only?
|
| 5:25 |
: Paul, there is some absolutely killer wild hog bow hunting just outside of Austin. Ever partake?
|
| 5:25 |
: I haven’t. I’ve hunted once and it was upper peninsula in MI
|
| 5:25 |
: Well you guys are no help.
|
| 5:26 |
: Whattya mean, I answered the Carrasco question!
|
| 5:26 |
: how are you still going??
|
| 5:26 |
: I’m a beast!
|
| 5:26 |
: Franco for Odubel?
|
| 5:26 |
: Fair deal
|
| 5:26 |
: you have to stop….i’ll never have time to read all of this.
|
| 5:26 |
: Hahaha, sorry. You can skip the part where I got into a dumb argument
|
| 5:26 |
: How’s better ROS? Michael Saunders or Cameron Maybin?
|
| 5:27 |
: That’s a needs-based one for me. Both are injury risks due to shoddy health records. Saunders is power-speed (though he hasn’t run this year) and Maybin is speed-power (no HRs yet, but only 3 games)
|
| 5:28 |
: pick one, or two or rank ’em? mike clevinger, Derek Holland, mike bolsinger, kyle Gibson, danny duffy, Koehler, medlen, chase Anderson, shoemaker, ivan nova, my mom? (im leaning dh, kg, ca, dd, mc, km, shoe, ia, tk, mb) and what is my deal with danny duffy?
|
| 5:29 |
: Your mom is #1 in my heart. I’m finally over Holland. Is Duffy starting? Medlen looks like toast rn. Maybe just needs a DL stint. I’ll go Gibby, Bolsinger, Clev (though this better be pretty deep bc he might not even be up for good yet)
|
| 5:29 |
: My Brantley, Story and Moore for his Correa and Nola. Yes right?
|
| 5:30 |
: Major yes
|
| 5:30 |
: Does Bauer keep his rotation spot once Carrasco is back?
|
| 5:30 |
: Depends on Clevinger, though I think Bauer will get preference
|
| 5:30 |
: Pick one catcher for ROS in a 6X6 with OBP…Grandal, Martin, Realmuto, Hundley or Gomes
|
| 5:30 |
: JTR
|
| 5:31 |
: Listen to Malibu or Venice or Dr. Dre’s Compton. He is all over it.
|
| 5:31 |
: Thanks. Favorited both on Tidal. Will listen tonight while streaming some MLB on Twitch
|
| 5:32 |
: 12 teams
|
| 5:32 |
: That’s for the Moore q, right? You can cut him, but if nothing grabs you on the wire, just bench him and wait a lil
|
| 5:32 |
: But couldn’t they go Maybin, Kins, Cabrera, V Mart/JD?
|
| 5:32 |
: Sure, they could, but I don’t think they should
|
| 5:32 |
: is piscotty enough for price? What about jd martinez?
|
| 5:33 |
: If you catch the right person who is a Pisc fan, then maybe, but probably not. JDM much closer, IMO
|
| 5:33 |
: What’s up with Rendon? Rather have him or Phillips ROS?
|
| 5:33 |
: Struggling a bit, but I buy a rebound looking at his profile. Would cut for BP
|
| 5:33 |
: Ditto on Anderson Paak… “Waters” is my favorite, and I really like The Bird
|
| 5:33 |
: Excellent. Looking fwd to listening
|
| 5:33 |
: Spaceman Spiff= top notch handle
|
| 5:33 |
: It really is!
|
| 5:33 |
: Paul!!! Please please rank these guys based on how worried you are down the road. Keuchel, Kluber, Archer, King Felix, Harvey. Thanks you’re the best.
|
| 5:36 |
: From most to least worried: Keuchel, Archer, Felix, Harvey, Kluber
|
| 5:36 |
:
|
| 5:36 |
: You my friend are a chatting champ
|
| 5:36 |
: Thanks!
|
| 5:38 |
: Also apologies for repeating a question. I read the whole chats on FG and hadn’t gotten that far yet because work is always getting in the way of the important things.
|
| 5:39 |
: I’d prefer an apology for the hurtful things you said about Drake!
|
| 5:39 |
: If Liam Hendriks gets over this injury do you see him being a big part of the Oakland BP?
|
| 5:39 |
: Like a solid MR, but it’s Mad/Doo for SVs
|
| 5:39 |
: With Harper getting the Bonds treatment, does that affect his line ROS heavily? Lineup is not too pretty
|
| 5:41 |
: I like the lineup alright. Some intriguing pieces that should get better (Rendon, Revere, and ZImm).
|
| 5:41 |
: This chat rocks. Thanks, Paul!
|
| 5:41 |
: you are an animal!!
|
| 5:41 |
: Dont stop. Power through!
|
| 5:41 |
: Conforto for Addison Russell. 12 team keep 8 forever league. I have starlin Castro and Andrus at the moment
|
| 5:41 |
: Addy, but they’re close
|
| 5:42 |
: Don’t look now but while healthy I have been decent…ros value?
|
| 5:43 |
: More of the same? Slightly above avg wRC+ with SBs. Prob a bit more punch (6-9 HRs)
|
| 5:43 |
: PS Drake is the GOAT.
|
| 5:43 |
: LOL good save
|
| 5:43 |
: Got some depth at OF. Who would you shop first among Hanley, Maz, Sano, or Odubel? 12 tm 6×6 (ops,qs). Leaning Hanley. Could always use more arms in a H2H. Any buy lows you could suggest?
|
| 5:44 |
: Hanley if the market is there, but I think a lot of have soured on him overall (not me, btw, I love a healthy Hanley). So I think Sano/Maz gonna draw most bites in market
|
| 5:44 |
: You knock the 1-game refutation of Shaw being home-only, but you got the home-away point from Eno who admitted it was only a couple hundred PA and too noisy. Considering how much narrower those OPS splits will be if he pops 2 or 3 more road homers, and considering that fact that he’s a player with a new skill-set we’re kind of all still evaluating, I think it’s definitely too early for you to parrot Eno’s theory as “an actual thing” for Shaw evals, like straight-up calling him a double platooner.
|
| 5:44 |
: Thanks for the reply! Love the chat! Brett Gardner is in the WW, would you rather him over Saunders/Maybin? I could use both the HRs and SBs hahaha (12 teams)
|
| 5:46 |
: Is Travis Shaw in here? The home-only thing was ancillary to the fact that’s a platoon option. Is looking at BRef splits “Eno’s theory”? I have the internet too. Damn, I hurt some feelings with that take, huh?
|
| 5:48 |
: Shaw also had a .660 OPS on the road last year. So it’s 1.014 at home in 220 PA, .660 away in 197 PA. His entire sample is 2/3rds of a season so it’s all noisy. Not sure why this upset so many (or just one since Ha probably = Jordan) of you. Jeez.
|
| 5:50 |
: Bobby, I’d take Gardner over both
|
| 5:50 |
: What is your Bath Room strategy for this chat?
|
| 5:50 |
: Check the timestamps, there are definite breaks in there. I even took Charlotte out earlier and checked the mail
|
| 5:50 |
: Are you buying or selling Castellanos in a keeper?
|
| 5:51 |
: Buying. But just for the sake of knowing, how many tms?
|
| 5:51 |
: Are you into Kendrick Lamar at all? I think he is a god! (This is the longest chat evah, so cool)
|
| 5:51 |
: I love Kendrick.
|
| 5:51 |
: Cueto looking good. Expectations ROS?
|
| 5:52 |
: He’s a fantasy ace for me.
|
| 5:52 |
: Had him 6th in my NL ranks
|
| 5:52 |
: Do you think Will Smith will close for the Brewers in the second half?
|
| 5:52 |
: I think his return could be a two-month audition to be dealt, so I’d say no
|
| 5:52 |
: You a Geto Boys first album guy?
|
| 5:53 |
: I remember it vaguely from my childhood, but i haven’t listened in forever
|
| 5:53 |
: Hate to bug you w/a quick follow-up, but if I could fill a moderate need by trading Phillips (leaving me with Rendon at 2B) should I do it? Thx
|
| 5:53 |
: Absolutely.
|
| 5:53 |
: What kind of SP is Steve Matz?
|
| 5:53 |
: A left-handed one
|
| 5:53 |
: ……………
|
| 5:53 |
: He’s good. I think more SP3 than the SP2 he was being drafted as this season. My concerns are health, not skills.
|
| 5:53 |
: What do you think about Thor and J Lamb for Machado in standard 5×5 10 tm h2h?
|
| 5:54 |
: Definitely fair
|
| 5:54 |
: When are you gonna quit your jobs and stream MLB The Show full time on Twitch?
|
| 5:54 |
: Never, but I’m gonna keep streaming for sure
|
| 5:54 |
: Josh harrison on Brandon Phillips ros? 12 tms mixed.
|
| 5:54 |
: J Hey
|
| 5:54 |
: Wong withering on the waiver wire in my keeper league. Have Walker, Semiem and Suarez utm, so Wong worth a bench spot in hopes of a return to form?
|
| 5:54 |
: Not really worth it over those others
|
| 5:55 |
: Franco or Castellonos ROS?
|
| 5:55 |
: Pretty much a coinflip. I’ll take team context as a tiebreaker and go Casty.
|
| 5:55 |
: And I know PHI has a better record, but it’s not bc of their offense
|
| 5:56 |
: When you say you’re worried about Archer, I think we take it out of context a bit. If I payed VV for him, I still have a lot of room before that trade backfires on me right?
|
| 5:56 |
: Oh yeah. That’s a perfectly viable buy-low/sell-high
|
| 5:56 |
: Keep forever: Alhibies, Barreto or Adames?
|
| 5:56 |
: Admittedly don’t have a ton on those guys, but Barreto strikes me as best fantasy option
|
| 5:56 |
: How crazy is Stroman and Maeda on waivers in a 10-team? We got that…
|
| 5:56 |
: Wow, that seems a little crazy to me.
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| 5:57 |
: Is Piscotty a top 10 OF in mixed leagues ros? Top 20?
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| 5:57 |
: 10 is too high. I can buy 20. I
|
| 5:57 |
: the one or two k starts from Holland are just brutal
|
| 5:57 |
: yeah and nothing to suggest Ks are coming back over last 18 starts dating back to last year
|
| 5:57 |
: So the “best rotation in the AL east” (tampa) hasn’t really done much. Has your opinion changed on anyone in particular?
|
| 5:58 |
: Have some Archer concerns which I’ve outlined. But I still like the rotation overall
|
| 5:58 |
: Guess Alex Reyes MLB line this year?
|
| 5:59 |
: Too tough to have any usefulness, espec. since he hasn’t even started his 2016 yet. I think he gets a look, but I’ll pass on trying to pin that down, sorry
|
| 5:59 |
: When do you think Nick Williams gets called up?
|
| 6:00 |
: Midsummer if he improves and they keep competing. Still toting a sub-.300 OBP
|
| 6:01 |
: Hamels and JP Crawford for Stroman and Wacha in a dynasty?
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| 6:01 |
: that’s fair. I’d lean side A even though those are 2 SPs I like on side b
|
| 6:02 |
: OK y’all, I gotta get going
|
| 6:02 |
: I need some dinner.
|
| 6:02 |
: Thanks for hanging out for so long!!
|
| 6:05 |
: Thanks for putting in ot on the chats today. Take care!
|
| 6:05 |
: Thanks for the long chat Paul!
|
| 6:05 |
: No problem. Take care!
|
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