Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – February 1st, 2019 by Paul Sporer February 1, 2019 Friday’s transcript is live! 2:40 Paul Sporer: It’s finally February! Equipment is being loaded up for Spring Training and baseball is juuuuust around the corner, let’s goooo!!! 2:42 Will: Fgpts league, Barreto and O’Neill for Treinen? 2:43 Paul Sporer: That feels a bit light for Treinen 2:43 Al : Paul, 2:43 Paul Sporer: Al, 2:43 Beef: I’m usually pretty anti-pay for saves, but would you keep Blake Treinan for $5 (for reference, $350 budget, 12 team H2H, counts saves)? 2:43 Paul Sporer: Ya bc in this case you’re not paying for saves. That’s really cheap for a great closer, even if he regresses 2:45 Keeper King: All things equal keep Albies, E Diaz, Gallo in an OBP/Doubles? 2:45 Paul Sporer: I’m going Albies here 2:45 wolfs: I just joined Twitter today (I know, I know)…any baseball follow recs? 2:45 Paul Sporer: Eno Sarris, Jason Collette! 2:47 Paul Sporer: This is a great list, too! https://prospects365.com/2019/01/21/twitter-the-most-underrated-weapon… 2:47 Cory: Paul, I have Kluber, Donaldson and Ozuna and can keep only two this year. After 2019, I have to dump one more. What would you do? 2:48 Paul Sporer: I’d go Kluber, Ozuna. I really like Donaldson (more on him in today’s 3B pod that will be releasing later today). I don’t like to far out so I’m not as concerned about that aspect, but JD and Ozuna are close in total value so I’ll go the younger iteration 2:48 Al : Paul, I hate that baseball looks bad waiting 3 months for its top free agents to sign. It’s the polar opposite of NFL and NBA. Can we fix free agency 2:49 Paul Sporer: It needs fixing, but I don’t have the answers right now. It’s not a simple fix. But it’s really bad 2:49 joe h.: Hey Paul! Should I avoid Charlie Blackmon where he is going or do you trust him? Trying to go mostly hitters early and in a few mocks, I have had a tough time deciding between him, Soto, and a few other similar names. 2:49 Paul Sporer: Really like what Soto was able to do last year, but I’m still going with Blackmon there 2:49 Russell : Projections seem to prefer Chris Archer compared to Jameson Taillon, why does most of the fantasy world think otherwise? a 2:51 Paul Sporer: Do they prefer Archer? I don’t really see that. Ratios seem similar and all the projections on our players page are giving Taillon the K edge 2:52 Cards closer: Paul, in your opinion – is Hicks worth a keep for saves in St.Louis? I know A.Miller is there now, but I feel he’ll be used in high leverage, but not saves (at least not initially) 2:53 Paul Sporer: Not if you’re banking on the saves, but he should do enough to be worth a keep (depending on price) even if he isn’t the primary closer 2:56 chacochicken: Who will be a better deal for their auction price, Taillon or Musgrove? 2:57 Paul Sporer: I still prefer Taillon even with Musgrove being cheaper. Truth be told, I’m in on both 2:59 Nasty Yakkers: Hey, Paul… I’m in a 14-team H2H 5×5 OPS league. Redraft, but each team gets up to 4 keepers. My 4 best are Bauer, Benintendi, Kershaw, Corbin. If I keep all 4, too unbalanced? Thinking I can find value power later, but potentially roll with best SP 1-3 combo in league. Or toss Corbin back for potentially #50-ish pick… Thoughts? 3:00 Paul Sporer: I’d just go with the stocked SP tbh and then hammer hitting for your first several picks 3:00 Scott: Deep keeper league..what kind of SP or RP should I target in return for Devers? 3:01 Paul Sporer: Yearly reminder that these questions are impossible. Every market is different and it really depends what your league will give. It’s better to say I’m targeting X, Y, Z pitchers for this hitter, what do you think about that? Still not perfect, but more much answerable. 3:01 Thomefan251: Get to pick my draft spot this year cause I won conso last year. Where do you like picking? I’m thinking #1 cause ive always wanted to own Trout in fantasy lol 3:01 Paul Sporer: Ya gotta go #1 if you get the top choice. No sense making it more difficult than it has to be 3:01 Ginny: How much of a bump will Realmuto get if he gets traded from the Marlins? 3:02 Paul Sporer: Substantial. Top 35-type pick 3:03 foul: Glasnow could be awesome right? 3:04 Paul Sporer: Sure, he could be, but the probability that he’s awesome in ’19 isn’t terribly high. I’m eager to see if he holds (or even improves upon) his BB% gains with TB 3:04 Cito’s Mustache: In a 10-team roto, 6×6 (OBP and QS) it’s keep 3 and surrender corresponding draft pick. Which 3 should I keep? Stanton (1st round), Votto (2nd), Yelich (4th), Rendon (5th), Nola (7th), Buehler (12th). Thanks! 3:05 Paul Sporer: Yelich, Rendon, and your fave of the 2 SPs … I have Nola over Buehler, but the 5 round difference makes it tight 3:06 Vegan Man!: 12 team roto, keep 5 forever, with a 180 start limit (R, HR, RBI, SB, OPS and QS, ERA, WHIP, K’s, SV+HD). Who are your 5 keepers – Harper, Stanton, Carpenter, Suarez, Dee, Cain, Nola, Carrasco, Syndergaard. Thank you! 3:06 Paul Sporer: With no costs associated, it’s Harper, Stanton, Nola, Carrasco, Thor 3:07 Scott: Deep keeper league…what kind of SP or RP should I target in return for Devers? 3:07 Paul Sporer: Please don’t repeat questions, I’ll get to them as quickly as I can! 3:07 Joliet Jake: Better 2019 keeper for $3 – Newcomb or Rodon? QS instead of Ws and K/9 instead of Ks 3:08 Paul Sporer: I’d lean Rodon here. If his Ks can return and go with his up and in heat that helped him in the 2H, he can be a good bit better than Newk 3:09 Steve: Which package would you prefer for George Springer: Kingery, Kieboom and Darwinzon Hernandez…..or Jo Adell….or Matt Manning and Luis Garcia (Wash) 3:09 Paul Sporer: Is that Carter Kieboom? I think I’d go with that trio since you get a buy-low Kingery, too. But Adell is v close. He’s really impressive and could be a major fantasy asset v soon. 3:09 Shelbyville: 2 catcher leagues – Are you paying for catchers this year? 3:10 Paul Sporer: Yes, I try not to get the bottom of the barrel – https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-636-pau… 3:10 Relief pitching: 14-team league – i have some quality relief keeps in the terms of dual eligibility – T.Glasnow, C.McHugh, & J.Urias – smart play to hold them all to use as RP, & gain starting pitching stats from 3 relievers on my active roster? 3:11 Paul Sporer: Ya that can be very valuable in leagues that require RP spots. Without knowing the keeper setup or anything, I’m open to all 3, but it depends what kinda limits you have 3:11 Scott TINSTAAPP: Paul…if you invest a top 10 round pick in NFBC 15 teamers on a closer, do you think it’s deep enough to warrant handcuffing? 3:13 Paul Sporer: It really depends who you get. A standard 15-team NFBC is deep enough to warrant handcuffing, but not really w/the Treinen/Diaz/Kimbrel, etc… guys. More with the mid-tier closers 3:13 Nerd: Thoughts on a Fernando Tatis/Alex Kiriloff/Yordan Alvarez for Walker Buehler/Stephen Piscotty swap in a dynasty league? 3:15 Paul Sporer: That’s pretty fair. I’m really torn on a side, too, which means it’s a straight up deal 3:15 Scotty: dynasty points league: Haniger or Whit? 3:15 Paul Sporer: Whit by a smidge 3:16 AD: In a 20 team dynasty would a Marte for Eloy trade pass the smell test depending on team goals? 3:16 Paul Sporer: Ya, I don’t see why it wouldn’t 3:16 Peter: All things being equal, keeping or selling Maikel Franco in a dynasty if you can get a solid return? 3:16 Paul Sporer: Obv it depends on what a solid return is, but I can’t imagine it’d be that great of a return right now, so I’d just ride it out 3:17 Will: AL Only, thoughts on Yandy Diaz 3:19 Paul Sporer: I’m wondering where the playing time comes from after the Avisail Garcia pick up. Duffy at 3B and Ji-Man Choi at 1B. He’s interesting as a bench option in AL Only, I guess, but don’t count on him right now 3:19 Joliet Jake: What positions are you making sure you lock up top-talent early this year? What positions are you allowing yourself to hold back and take 3rd/4th+ tier players? 3:20 Paul Sporer: 1B thins out after the top. That’s the one where I’d really like to get a stud. I also don’t want to wait toooo long on C, but I don’t need Sanchez/JTR. Otherwise, I don’t zero in on any other position as a must-get at the top 3:20 Evan : Hi Paul! Would you deal David Dahl and Victor Robles for Kris Bryant in a keep 8, 12 teamer? standard categories plus OPS. Robles can be kept, but as a minor leaguer so he doesn’t count as one of the 8 keepers. 3:21 Paul Sporer: I don’t think so. Spoke well of Bryant on the 3B pod (out later!), but I can’t give Dahl & Robles for him, espec. w/a free Robles 3:21 CB: Last year you were super high on Castillo and while it wasn’t terrible it maybe wasn’t what we had all hoped for. Do you think Derek Johnson can add something to Castillo to make that leap to Ace-hood? 3:22 Paul Sporer: Ya I’m sticking with him. Johnson certainly helps, but I was keen on Castillo again even w/out the Johnson add 3:22 Fred Yost: Care to join this years Rendon bandwagon? 3:22 Paul Sporer: Gotta say, I’ve been firmly on the Rendon train for years 3:24 Nick: Curious how you would rank the Braves’ SP prospects in a dynasty league draft? 3:27 Paul Sporer: Soroka, Gohara, Wright, Anderson, Toussaint (feels like an RP in the making), Allard, Wentz, and Wilson 3:27 Adalberto: after you’ve passed on the top tiers of 3b, Longoria, Candelario, or Franco? 3:28 Paul Sporer: Franco unless Machado goes there. Otherwise Candelario then Longoria. 3:29 Pete: What is your best guess as to who are the closers for the Red Sox, Twins and Tigers? 3:29 Paul Sporer: Kimbrel, May, Jimenez 3:29 foul: Reid-Foley for Taijuan Walker in dynasty? 3:31 Paul Sporer: Fair deal. I’ve always liked Walker, but he’s coming back from TJ. SRF showed some interesting K upside, too 3:32 Guy With Question: First pick in a dynasty draft, needs at almost every position. Who from the 2018 draft class should be my target? 3:32 Paul Sporer: Jonathan India from Cincy 3:32 Pie Eaton Contest: Albies was pretty pedestrian after a torrid April. Have you backed off of him at all, and if not why? 3:34 Paul Sporer: I have not. He still had a full season 19 HR/14 SB pace from May on. He’s still just 22 years old. I hope everyone else backs off, though! 3:35 Chad: When is your SP rankings coming out? 3:35 Paul Sporer: Soooon. I know I promised an updated 100 earlier, but I will have it out v soon. 3:35 Paul Sporer: And then a detailed list later this month (meaning commentary on everyone) 3:35 Cincy Sam: Is there any chance that we see Nick Senzel break camp with the Reds? And if so, would he do so at 2B, or OF? 3:35 Paul Sporer: Very unlikely he breaks camp, just not fiscally smart, but could be up a couple wks into the season 3:36 Rusted Root: Chances my beloved White Sox seal the deal and get Machado? 3:36 Paul Sporer: 39% 3:36 #1 Matt Olson Fan: Tyler Anderson or Josh James as a late round gamble? 3:36 Paul Sporer: James! 3:36 Rick C: Who would you rather keep – Jansen at the cost of a 9th round pick, or Treinen at the cost of a 13th round pick? 3:37 Paul Sporer: Treinen for sure. Treinen is viable to keep at equal costs, so the extra four rounds makes it easy 3:37 John E: Kershaw and Kris Davis for Trea Turner in a keep 10 forever league? 3:37 Paul Sporer: Fair deal, I prefer Turner slightly 3:37 Jim : Does Taillon crack the top 15 pitchers this year? 3:37 Paul Sporer: Hmmm….. we shall see sooooon 3:37 Roger: Does Teoscar Hernandez do better, worse or the same as last year? 3:38 Paul Sporer: Same-ish… relatively equals, but more volume (hopefully!) 3:38 Keeper League Q: Would you trade Gary Sanchez for Joey Gallo in a 12-team keeper league, or shoot for higher? Starved at 1B, and also have Cubs’ Contreras rostered. 3:38 Paul Sporer: I understand being starved for 1B, but I’d shoot higher. Contreras for Gallo maybe, but not selling low on Sanchez 3:38 P: Ottoneu 4×4- Seager or Correa? 3:38 Paul Sporer: Seager 3:38 syracuse451: Am I missing something with Brandon Woodruf? Good velo, has a rotation spot, some upside, but isn’t high on any list. 3:39 Paul Sporer: I’m a big fan, but is the rotation spot guaranteed? I could definitely see him rising during the next 6 weeks. 3:39 Rusted Root: NL only, do you spend big money on a closer like Diaz? 3:40 Paul Sporer: I’d rather go Doolittle, Knebel, Yates level 3:40 BrokenBatSingle: Is there reason to be optimistic about 2019 Luis Castillo? 3:41 Paul Sporer: Strong arsenal and big second half. I really haven’t changed my outlook much 3:41 Rusted Root: NL only, keep Moran at $16? 3:41 Paul Sporer: No, even with inflation that seems way too high 3:41 Chip: Any top holds guys you see emerging this season? Hader was huge for me last year. 3:41 Paul Sporer: Haven’t done my deep dive yet this year, but I’m still intrigued by Adam Conley in MIA 3:41 John E: Are you trusting Danny Jansen as your C in a 1 catcher league? I’m not trying to play at the top end and I feel like he at least has upside… 3:42 Paul Sporer: I am – https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-636-pau… 3:42 chet: 6×6 H2H cats; offense is solid, top 2 in league. Very mediocre SP with strong RP for holds/saves. Do you think an opener strategy is viable? 3-4 RPaSP pitching the middle innings for ratios and some W/Holds? just gotta find 4 yarbroughs… 3:43 Paul Sporer: Just not sure the stock of arms if available for that. But you can get solid mid-tiers standard SPs to cover your needs 3:43 Ray: Will Greg Allen get enough steals to justify holding onto him in a keeper league? (Say, 25+?) Ideally I’d try to get him back in the draft, but I’m certain I’d be outbid. 3:43 Paul Sporer: Definitely like him as a late SB option bc they just don’t have enough OF options to not give him some real burn. Gotta include keeper costs, but if it’s a late rounder or something, I like it 3:44 TD: I picked up a number of breakouts last year for $1/$2. How would you rank these guys in terms of investing at $4/7/10 for the next three years: J. Aquilar, A. Mondesi, G. Marquez, Mallex Smith, T. Glasnow, R. Stripling, R. Osuna, A.J. Minter. Anyone you want no part of? 3:44 Paul Sporer: Mondesi, Aguilar, Osuna, Mallex, Marq, Strip, Glasnow, Minter 3:45 AD: Paul, if you do a rebuild are you usually one that waits until the end of a run has already come and your valuable assets have depleted, or do you try to get out ahead of it? I’m in a dynasty and I have a fringy team that isn’t getting any younger. Been debating whether to give it one last shot or to kick start a short-term rebuild if I can get some nice pieces 3:45 Paul Sporer: I generally wait until it’s upon me bc if I have a decent core, you never know so I’m unlikely to give up on a season before the first pitch is ever thrown 3:45 Beach life: Tell me that Francisco Mejia will get his chance to start at catcher for SD? He had his cup of coffee already – no need in holding him back right? 3:45 Paul Sporer: ……. I can’t quite say that 100%. Hedges is a damn fine defender so he’s going to get his burn. Without a trade, Mejia doesn’t have a clear path 3:46 Beef: So we’re really gonna watch the Super Bowl without Manny Machado and Bryce Harper being signed. This sucks. What fantasy sport are you going to write about during the strike of 2022? 3:46 Paul Sporer: Fantasy MLB The Show and Out of the Park Baseball where I host leagues and then play out the games on my Twitch stream 3:46 Cory: In a keeper league, where I can keep him for this year and next year and stash him on a DL spot, would you keep Cespedes? Or would you let him be someone else’s headache? 3:47 Paul Sporer: If it’s a free DL spot and you have others for the inevitable other injuries that will crop up, I say hold it. He could be a great stretch run addition for you 3:47 Michael: Hey Paul, how are you feeling about The Dentist this year? Seems like we’ve entirely soured on him since last season, but has a lot changed in that profile? Some BABIP luck with full time at bats seems potentially intriguing still 3:48 Paul Sporer: (Delino DeShields is The Dentist for those unaware… DDS) …… his price has TANKED so I’m back in now. He rose way too high last year and I wasn’t able to get him anywhere (thankfully as it turned out), but now as a mid-300s pick, let me get those cheap SBs 3:50 Joliet Jake: Who are you more bullish on this year – Austin Meadows or Harrison Bader? 3:51 Paul Sporer: Meadows. Love watching Bader play bc of that defense, but until I see improvements vR, I gotta tamp down my excitement for fantasy baseball w/Bader 3:51 Ryan: How do you value Aranado as a keeper going forward, I mean last year in CO, won’t there be some serious regression coming? 3:52 Paul Sporer: I wouldn’t say *serious*. Keep in mind that Rockies get impacted by a Coors Hangover that hurts their road numbers. Everyone shaves off their home numbers, but never accounts for the road penalty. Outside of Colorado, Arenado is probably a high-.800s/low-.900s kinda hitter with low-to-mid 30s HR totals and strong R/RBI (depending on park & lineup). He’s still going to be a beast IMO 3:52 Evan : Hi Paul! 3:52 Paul Sporer: Hey Evan! 3:52 Scott TINSTAAPP: So which Astros arms not named Justin or Gerrit are gonna have 150 IP this year? 3:52 Paul Sporer: Josh, Collin, and Wade 3:52 E: Is actually signing free agents the new market inefficiency? 3:53 Paul Sporer: LOL, right? That’s why teams like CWS and SD are jumping in. They see these top guys available and there is still value to be had at the top end. Top and bottom ends of the FA market can still be winners. It’s that mid-market that delivers most of the busts 3:54 Zack: Baez for belllinger too light? I have a ton steals and could roll with andujar at third and arenado at corner. 3:54 Paul Sporer: Nah, that’s pretty fair. You might be able to get a cheap secondary piece w/Belly bc Baez is so hyped right now while Belly’s hype subsided, but I don’t have them too far apart 3:54 jvetter: Over/Under 500 PA for Adam Jones 3:54 Paul Sporer: Need a landing spot. 600+ if he goes to Cleveland 3:55 Ham: Hey Paul, thanks for chatting! I’m working on a pay structure for a 12-team roto league w/ a $50 buy-in, and I’m trying to keep as many people interested over the course of a season as possible. Any tips? 3:57 Paul Sporer: Having a buy-in helps… the proverbial skin in the game. Could do something where not placing teams get incentives/dis-incentives… like if top 4 pays out, then 5th gets top pick (or top choice, maybe they don’t want #1). Like 5-6-7 get top 3 choices then 1-4 then 8-12 or something. No, finishing 6th or 7th isn’t some great achievement,but it keeps teams battling. Rewarding tanking is always bad in fantasy 3:57 Clay: Do you think teams might jump into the Harper/Machado sweepstakes with 6 or 7 year offers at AAV of $35-37M in with an opt out in year 3 or 4? Seems like that might be more attractive that what is being offered now. 3:57 Paul Sporer: Whatever the deal is, it will be complicated 3:57 Bman: Why is everyone down on Marco Gonzales (ADP 270ish)? He’s slated to be the #1, had FIP and xFIP in the 3.5s, and his new cutter has a .283 xwOBA! 4:01 Paul Sporer: Being the #1 doesn’t mean anything. It doesn’t inherently make you better. He’s 107th among all Ps (incl. RPs) which seems fair. He’s a control artist but doesn’t really have great command to go with it. I think he’s a true talent high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy with a mediocre K rate. I don’t know that everyone’s down on him, I think he’s just part of a glob so he could range as high as 210 or so and I’m OK w/that. I think he’s solid, but just don’t see a ton of upside 4:01 Ryan: last keeper spot (of 12)- Devers or Marquez? Same price, balanced roster 4:01 Paul Sporer: Devers for me 4:01 Ryan: How many ABs can we realistically expect from Astudillo? 4:02 Paul Sporer: 350 realistically. Needs to carve out some time and it’s not there yet. The beauty is that any injury seems to bring him into consideration 4:02 E: Based on your interactions with your readers, if you played in 10 roto leagues against them, how many do you think you would win? (assuming you had the time) 4:03 Paul Sporer: I dunno, what’s a normal win rate for a quality fantasy player? I think I’m a pretty solid player and I’d continue to win at my normal rate. Skill can keep me in the top half, but it takes plenty of good luck to win, too 4:03 John E: What is your preferred order in NFBC? 4:03 Paul Sporer: 1-2-3-15-14-13 then just 4-12 4:03 dezre: which projection systems do you typically like best when prepping preseason rankings? 4:03 Paul Sporer: I don’t overly favor any. I like the ones we have on our pages 4:04 Vegan Man!: Garrett Hampson hit 10 HR in 110 games across AA/AAA last year (to go along with his elite OBP and 40 SB). Do you think he can hit 12-15 HR this year in COL? Think he’s a CIF starter in 14 team points leagues? Thanks! 4:04 Paul Sporer: Love Hampson, but more for his speed. He could pop 12-15, but I’m planning more for 8-10 with a boatload of SBs and good AVG 4:05 Jay: If I remember right, you’re a big Aaron Nola guy? Is he close enough to Luis Severino this year where it makes more sense to keep Nola at $27 instead of Severino at $46? Severino’s second half worries me, but seems like a lot of people are waiting for the workload to catch up to Nola without the elite FB velo. 4:05 Paul Sporer: I do like Nola quite a bit and yes they are close enough to make it easily Nola with a $19 difference 4:05 Porzingis: Are you gonna be a Mets fan now that Andrew Perpetua was hired by them? 4:06 Paul Sporer: No, still going for my Tigers, but I root for all of our brethren to have success. My best bud (also named Paul) is a diehard Mets fan and he’s no doubt psyched by the Andrew and Russell Carleton signings 4:06 Kyle: What’s your level of concern with Kris Bryant? He’s a great hitter no doubt but I get the feeling he’s a bit overrated for fantasy purposes. 4:07 Paul Sporer: I actually like him a good bit at pick 35. Unless we get reason to assume he’s still ailing, I don’t see why he wouldn’t return to his premiere levels. I’m buying in. 4:07 Moltar: Morton keepable in a points league or will he get Rays’d too much? 4:07 Paul Sporer: Yes he is even though he may get Rays’d a bit. They’ll maximize him 4:07 chacochicken: Can Ray or Godley or both relocate their 2017 success? Is Chase Field/new humidor having a negative effect on them? 4:08 Paul Sporer: I’m not a huge Ray guy but he still misses bats. Godley seemed to get almost TOO much extra grip on his curve w/the humidor which added break that made it easier to lay off the pitch (bc it was just spiked so often). I still like him, espec. now with a major price drop from ’18 4:08 Vegan Man!: Over/Under 30 HR for Christin Stewart this year? Viable starting OF in a 14 team points league (points skewed towards power hitters / OBP guys). Thank you! 4:09 Paul Sporer: I’ll say under in the high-20s just to be conservative, but 30 is reachable. Love the eye, too, so a league favoring power/OBP makes him plenty viable in a 14-teamer as a 5th OF type 4:09 Scott TINSTAAPP: why do you like drafting at the wheel in NFBC? Personal preference? 4:09 Paul Sporer: Ya, just like making two picks quickly 4:09 Adam: Paul, happy February! 4:10 Paul Sporer: It’s baseball time! 4:10 Barry: Do you think Ross Stripling starts consistently this year? If so, he is a top _______ starter? 4:11 Paul Sporer: Consistently? Probably not bc of the Dodgers, but injuries do happen and could force their hand to get him 26-29. I’d plan for 19-22, though. Love the talent and still think he can be a top 40ish SP even with 20ish starts and relief appearances around that 4:11 Big fat whale: Is it ok that I am a whale on PPTP perfect team?? 4:11 Paul Sporer: Of course it is. Nothing wrong with that at all. I have two whale teams thanks to my stream supporting via donations. 4:12 Marty: Has Winker’s injury made him a sleeper again this year? 4:13 Paul Sporer: Ya, he’s averaging outside the top 200. That said, it could become a wide-awake sleeper situation if he has a nice spring (wide-awake sleeper are those guys that are on EVERY list so they start shooting up draft boards, robbing any real sleeper value… doesn’t mean they aren’t draftable, just that the bargain evaporates) 4:13 tacopocket: paul…what’s up. trade help. 5X5 12 man auction league ($300). i offered $31 yelich for $5 mondesi and $10 hoskins. He countered with mondesi and $8 suarez. I feel like suarez is close enough to hoskins to take this but whanted to check with you as you’ve neverl let me down before…Or i could hold yelich? What do you think? 4:15 Paul Sporer: Ya that’s a very fair deal, IMO. Yelich has to come back to earth a bit this year. That doesn’t mean he’ll flop or come anywhere near flopping, but a pullback is coming and he might be more of a $25 guy. Meanwhile, Mondesi/Suarez will easily double their $13 cost in value and likely go well beyond that. Good deal on both sides, but gimme the duo 4:16 Phil Plantier: Is Andujar a top 50 asset in a 5×5 dynasty league H2H? If not, how close is he? 4:16 Paul Sporer: Not quite that high for me. I’m thinking more top 80-100 range 4:17 Mick: Myers or Puig? 4:17 Paul Sporer: Puig for me 4:17 Albert Belle’s Biceps: Think Luis Urias sees 500 ABs this year? 4:19 Paul Sporer: I sure hope so, I’m a big fan. I can’t find a reason for them to not just turn him loose 4:19 Walugi Time: Name one Baltimore Oriole you’re targeting in drafts 4:20 Paul Sporer: Jim Palmer 4:21 Paul Sporer: Villar is the obvious one, but definitely my top choice. I don’t hate Chris Davis essentially for free in 50 round draft & holds (got him like 47th rd in one lg already… he’s going to play and PT is king in those leagues). Bundy still has an ace pitch w/the slider and now he’s super cheap. 4:22 Roadhog: My commute is in 5 minutes. Whens that yummy 3b pod coming Sporer 4:23 Paul Sporer: Not quite that quickly, pardon me sir! 4:23 Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe: Paul, ever play franchise mode in the Show? If so, do you like drafting out rosters or building off of the current rosters? 4:23 Paul Sporer: Always been a fantasy draft kinda guy! 4:23 Scott TINSTAAPP: Tell me why I shouldn’t be excited about Cedric Mullins given his cheap ADP, solid Steamer projections and what seems like a pretty clear path to 600 PAs? 4:26 Paul Sporer: Ya I’m fine w/him as a late speed option. Going in the 290s range and ranks 15th in sprint speed (min. 75 opps) so if they turn him loose, he could be a 12 HR/25 SB kinda guy 4:28 Paul Sporer: Wish I could get to all the questions, but I gotta get going. We’re due for some marathon chats in Feb/Mar to gear up for the season, though. I’ll also be doing subscriber chats for my Twitch viewers in the coming days/weeks, too if you want to participate – http://twitch.tv/sporer 4:29 Paul Sporer: Thanks so much for coming! Follow me on Twitter (@sporer), Twitch (sporer), and Snapchat (psporer). I’ll be posting the pod later this afternoon/early evening so look out for that! Have a great weekend!