Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 8–11
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.299 | 99 | TEX | 0.346 |
CLE | 0.286 | 101 | DET | 0.285 |
PIT | 0.335 | 95 | COL | 0.312 |
BAL | 0.337 | 95 | TBR | 0.375 |
NYY | 0.298 | 102 | OAK | 0.297 |
CHC | 0.340 | 98 | STL | 0.324 |
KCR | 0.292 | 93 | CHW | 0.296 |
MIL | 0.315 | 103 | LAD | 0.344 |
LAA | 0.334 | 107 | HOU | 0.302 |
ARI | 0.326 | 94 | MIA | 0.303 |
SFG | 0.329 | 90 | WSN | 0.297 |
CIN | 0.304 | 116 | NYM | 0.316 |
PHI | 0.329 | 106 | TOR | 0.324 |
ATL | 0.353 | 98 | BOS | 0.351 |
MIN | 0.312 | 96 | SDP | 0.318 |
Teams with favorable schedules next week include the Diamondbacks, Giants, Guardians, Nationals, Pirates, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, and White Sox
Teams with tougher schedules include the Astros, Blue Jays, Braves, Brewers, Cardinals, Mariners, Mets, Orioles, Phillies, Red Sox, and Reds.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vince Velasquez | 37.18% | COL | 0.312 | 3.79 | 14.6% | 0.84 |
Jhony Brito | 33.97% | OAK | 0.297 | 4.46 | 6.1% | 0.79 |
Dane Dunning | 16.03% | SEA | 0.299 | 3.31 | 7.6% | 0.00 |
Michael Lorenzen | 4.81% | CLE | 0.286 | 4.83 | 9.9% | 1.29 |
Rich Hill | 2.56% | COL | 0.312 | 5.34 | 12.9% | 1.95 |
Peyton Battenfield | 1.28% | DET | 0.285 | 5.89 | 3.9% | 1.56 |
I covered both Vince Velasquez and Rich Hill in my last column on Tuesday as two guys who have been particularly good recently. The former made a start against the Rays yesterday and left after three innings with elbow discomfort. He said he was optimistic about the injury after the game but his status is clearly up in the air. If he’s healthy, he’s scheduled to take the mound against the Rockies at home on Tuesday. Monitor his status closely.
In that A’s-Yankees series there could be a couple of starters you could call on to take advantage of some weak offenses. Jhony Brito is scheduled to start Wednesday and he looked a lot better in his last start against the potent Rangers lineup; he threw five innings of two-run ball with five strikeouts against just one walk. There are a bunch of A’s starters who you probably shouldn’t trust, even against the weakened Yankees lineup. Plus there’s the complication of Aaron Judge potentially being activated from the Injured List early in the week. If you had to pick an Oakland starter, I’d go with JP Sears; he’s coming off six innings of shutout work against the Mariners.
The Guardians-Tigers series features two of the worst offenses in the league going head-to-head. Michael Lorenzen and Peyton Battenfield draw starts in the series and both are worth considering simply due to the lack of offensive quality they’ll be facing. The former is a pretty known quantity at this point in his career, but the Cleveland rookie features some promise even if the early results haven’t been pretty. Battenfield features a cutter that possesses a 38.2% whiff rate, a weapon that makes him a far more interesting flier than a veteran innings eater.
Hot Starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Feltner | 17 | 2.30 | 16.4% | 0.00 | 6.32 |
Wade Miley | 17 | 3.83 | 5.9% | 0.53 | 4.37 |
I’d understand if you had completely missed out on the stretch of starts Ryan Feltner has put together recently. Over his last three turns in the rotation, he’s allowed just three runs while striking out 15 in 17 innings. Just one of those starts came at home in Coors Field and that’s really the sticking point with any Rockies starter. It’s a huge gamble to start them at home so you’re only really rostering them for half their appearances. At his peak, Germán Márquez was worth rostering; Feltner is definitely not at that point yet, but his stretch of solid starts makes him worth monitoring.
After tossing a seven-inning gem back on April 16 against the Padres, Wade Miley has followed it up with three solid starts including surviving Coors Field yesterday. The strikeouts aren’t there but he’s managing hard contact against him and isn’t walking anyone. He’s lined up to start against the Dodgers at home in his next turn through the rotation. If he can pass that test, he could be worth looking into to give your Ottoneu team some bulk innings.
Recap: May 1–4
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Domingo Germán | 8.1 | 65.5 | 7.86 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.2 | 11.0 | 1.66 |
Tyler Wells | 6 | -4.3 | -0.72 |
Drew Smyly | 7 | 27.9 | 3.99 |
JP Sears | 6 | 42.0 | 7.00 |
Total | 34 | 142.1 | 4.18 |
Season Total | 335.2 | 1112.9 | 3.32 |
A pretty good week with two clear wins, another solid start, and just one clear loss. Domingo Germán looked dominant against the Guardians and his ownership rate has skyrocketed over the 50% threshold we’re working with. Tyler Wells actually looked pretty decent against the Royals, but he was undone by allowing three home runs, the only hits he allowed in his start.
Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.