Operation Middle Reliever
This summer I played in the deepest league I’ve ever played in, a 20-team mixed league with traditional 5×5 scoring plus OBP and Quality Starts*. It basically came down to who had the best injury luck and made the shrewdest waiver wire/free agency pick ups (i.e. whoever grabbed Jose Bautista first). My offense was fine, propped up by Robinson Cano, Jayson Werth, Hanley Ramirez, Carlos Gonzalez, and (eventually) David Ortiz. I can’t say the same about my pitching staff.
Cole Hamels and (especially) Wandy Rodriguez started slowly before having monster second halves, and the same was true for Brian Matusz. Dallas Braden was solid yet unspectacular (I had him on the bench for the perfect game figuring the Rays would hit him around), but Ben Sheets was pretty much a flop before getting hurt. My most consistent starter all year was C.J. Wilson. My weekly ERA and WHIP pretty much sucked, and the wins were scarce.
My team was still competitive thanks to the offense and luck, but the pitching staff needed work. I started to pursue trades rather aggressively in early-June but after a week or two I gave up. Quality pitching was hard to come by in this league and everyone knew it, so if you wanted a good starter you were going to have to overpay. Frustrated but in need of some kind of fix, I gave up on starters and instead turned to the free agent pool for middle relievers. Not closers and not necessarily setup men either, but guys that pitched a fair amount of innings with high strikeouts rates.
In the first week of Operation Middle Reliever I grabbed Hong-Chih Kuo (this was long before Jonathan Broxton fell apart), Arthur Rhodes, Darren Oliver, Mike Adams, and a rookie just breaking in by the name of Jonny Venters. All five had sky high strikeout rates at the time and were getting a boatload of work, so I figured it was worth a shot. Here’s what they gave me that first week…
15 IP, 11 H, 6 R, 5 ER, 7 BB, 19 K (3.00 ERA, 1.20 WHIP)
The numbers would have been better if it wasn’t for Rhodes’ first meltdown of the season, a 0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER effort that put the always scary “inf” in his ERA and WHIP columns for a few days. Aside from that, the overall production is pretty damn good, basically the same as adding two good starters to my staff. Our league carried 3 SP, 2 RP, and 3 P starting spots, so from that point on I had four or five middle relievers going every night. As the season progressed I got a better handle on things and leveraged my roster spots by keeping track of workloads (via Daily Baseball Data). The production was solid and best of all, there’s a seemingly limitless supply of these kind of relievers available. If someone got hurt or hit a rough patch, a capable replacement was just a few clicks away. Trust me, those were just the first five relievers I picked up, there was another dozen or so that came in and out as the season went on.
There’s a downside as well. Blow-ups like the one Rhodes had are inevitable and can screw up your week rather easily. If two relievers have performances like that, I basically done for the week. I was also close to punting QS, though things improved there once Hamels, Wandy, and Matusz hit their strides late. Roster efficiency was another issue; I needed four or five guys to give me the production I could be getting from two or three. I was pretty desperate for help, but the strategy worked. I finished the year with the best regular season record in the league but ultimately lost in the Championship Round.
While I recommend going heavy on quality middle relievers in deep leagues, my best advice to make sure you have good starters. I know it’s a helluva lot easier said than done, but I wouldn’t go into the season counting on bullpeners to carry my pitching staff. If you need help at midseason and aren’t willing to meet to asking price for starters in a trade, grab some high strikeout relief arms to tide you over. Don’t try to catch lightning in a bottle with sketchy starters.
* Not a fan of QS in fantasy, probably won’t use them again.
Mike writes about the Yankees at River Ave. Blues and baseball in general at CBS Sports.
just out of curiosity, why did you not like QS? i think it is a great measure of a starter, so i think it belongs, although it does penalize a team with fewer starters as you experienced.
I don’t like that a starter can have a GS, then give up a run in like, the 8th inning and lose it. Frustrating as well. Just a personal preference.
Counting Ws and QSs is entirely redundant.
You hit the nail on the head. I was in the AL division and middle relief was key to help keep the the ERA down while chipping in on the counting stats. I remember I ran into this team early in the season who had Clippard who did his best Vizcanio impersonation and vultured 3 wins that week! Good write up. Middle relief is key in deep leagues.
My own strategy in deep roster 12-team roto leagues (which usually have a 1450 IP cap) is to carry 4 elite starters (about 900 IP) and try to squeeze the rest out of relievers and the occasional SP match up. I like to also look for a guy or two who I think will become good but is starting the year in the minors or the DL. Last year that was Strasburg and Volquez. This year I’m thinking Parker and Pineda.
Great advice. I’m planning on playing in a 15-team, 30-man roster league next year (that’s a 450 player draft) and was starting to look into potential strategies. The league doesn’t specify SP or RP, it just has 9 starting slots for P so I could potentially start 5-6 relievers in a week. My other option would be to load up on prospects or high upside guys but I never like having roster spots for guys that don’t contribute and they likely wouldn’t until later in the year. Going with some middle relievers that I could get in the last couple rounds is definitely a strategy worth looking at. Thanks for the info!
A post about someone else’s fantasy team I was actually interested in – way to go!
In defense of the QS, there is nothing annoying about the QS that can’t be matched by a much more annoying quirk in W. Never can you have a BS, QS line, but a few years ago I picked up three points in wins thanks to my terrible closers.
You lose a win based on something that happens when your starter has been out of the game for three innings, you don’t get a win when Roy Halladay throws a perfect game against your Josh Johnson, etc. etc… switching to the QS was the greatest thing my league ever did
Isn’t it nice to have some volatility though? I feel stats like W add a nice degree of randomness that makes fantasy baseball slightly more influenced by chance. Real baseball is in large parts a game of chance, yet in fantasy the more finicky you get with stats, the more predictable the outcome of the season becomes.
There is plenty that is out of the pitcher’s control when it comes to a QS, but why would you want a pitching stat that is well less than half under the control of the pitcher?
It just boils down to what you want to accomplish with your league I guess. If your goal is randomness, why even show up to the draft? If your goal is to reward those managers that can find value in the draft, evaluate free agents, or make good strategic moves during the season given the scoring system it’s better to use stats the players can at least mostly influence.
Injuries, luck, sit/start decisions, in-season callups and breakout campaigns, stats that only imperfectly measure the quality of an individual player… plenty of randomness baked in there for me, but to each his own i guess…