Mason’s Musings: Patience

Eakin Howard-Imagn Images

I woke up on April 25th of 2005 like I did any other day. I only had vague recollections of the night before and I was shaky and a bit nauseous, but that was normal because I was an alcoholic. I grabbed the bottle that was reserved for the mornings and I walked over to the sink in my bathroom. I looked in the mirror and didn’t like who looked back at me. Instead of pouring the contents of that bottle into a glass, I poured it down the sink. I was sick and tired of being sick and tired.

Patience. 

As long as I don’t drink today, tomorrow, I will celebrate 21 years of continuous sobriety. I don’t tell you this to impress you, even though I secretly hope it does. I speak publicly about my struggles because I know that out there are people who are struggling the way I once did and I hope it gives them hope that recovery is possible. Sobriety isn’t easy for everyone. It wasn’t for me. My first year in sobriety was an absolute mess. I made a lot of mistakes and struggled mightily because of it. I lost my job. I lost my home. I was arrested. I felt alone. I came very close to giving up because it was so difficult. I remember laying in bed on multiple occasions reminding myself that even though it felt like my world was falling apart, if I made it to bed that day without taking a drink, it was a successful day. 

Patience. 

Someone once told me “don’t quit five minutes before the miracle happens.” It is something that has always stuck with me because I have been close to quitting many times. The idea is that if you work hard and stay on the right path, usually things work out for you in the way they are supposed to. I am here today because I didn’t give up and I kept moving forward. That job I lost led me to eventually get out of bartending and move into addiction counseling and later fantasy analysis. When I was kicked out of the house I was living in, I ended up moving into a house with a guy who had a sister I would end up dating, then marrying and having children with. That arrest forced me to confront the issues I had been avoiding and eventually I was able to step in front of a judge and get off of probation early because I had become a productive member of society who made a positive impact in my community. That loneliness I felt compelled me to find people like me for social support. 

Patience. 

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Being an alcoholic, I am super impulsive. It is not a great attribute in most areas of my life, especially fantasy baseball. I often want to make decisions quickly and not let things play out. One of the biggest things I have had to work on is not overreacting too quickly, especially early on in the season. If a player of mine is struggling, my heart tells me to cut them or trade them immediately. If I take a step back and think about it, most of the time, my brain tells me to relax and not make a brash decision. We spend all offseason prepping and studying for an upcoming season and when anything happens in fantasy, the instinct for most of us is to do something we probably shouldn’t. 

Patience. 

We live in a world now with instant information. This gives us the ability to analyze the players and the game much faster than five, ten or twenty years ago, but sometimes it makes it much more difficult to read through the noise. We are beginning to see some of the underlying numbers for players start to stabilize, but there are still a lot of things that are noise from a small sample. If you had a reason to like a player after your weeks or months of offseason prep, then you shouldn’t be ready to drop or trade them yet. Don’t quit five minutes before the miracle. 

Patience. 

Corey Seager

Seager was my most drafted hitter this year and has rewarded the faith I had in him by hitting .207/.317/.448 with six home runs and one stolen base thus far. The six bombs are great but he has struggled to get on base and is striking out a ton more than he has previously. Yes, the swinging strike rate has been higher this year, but most of his underlying numbers are right in line with where they normally have been. He is hitting the ball hard, barreling the ball, and making good contact. 

Patience. 

Ryne Nelson

Nelson was my most rostered pitcher and that doesn’t feel great with his 6.97 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. However, almost all that damage came in his last start when he gave up eight runs on eight hits and a walk in a third of an inning. Prior to that he had a 3.54 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP with a 22% strike out rate in his first four starts. He has a 109 Stuff+ and the best K/9 of his career. It will take him a while to work off that last start, but he should be fine. 

Patience. 

Vinnie Pasquantino

Pasquantino is hitting just .160/.248/.298 with three home runs in 109 plate appearances. The underlying numbers are down a little compared to last year, especially the bat speed which has gone from 58th percentile to 18th. However, this may be because he has been a little more aggressive in the zone and is not being as patient waiting for his pitch. He is looking better as the bat speed seems to be climbing and his ideal attack percentage is as well.  He should be fine. 

Patience. 

Logan Webb

Webb was marketed as the “safe ace.” The “safe ace” has produced a 5.11 ERA and zero wins through six starts.  His walk rate is up, but that is a trend we are seeing across the game as the league-wide walk rate has gone from 8.4% in 2025 to 9.8% so far this season. His Stuff+ is a little down, but the Location+ is the best of his career. His biggest issue is the defense behind him is taking a hit with Luis Arraez and Rafael Devers on the right side of the infield, but ultimately while he may take a small step back, he will end up being just fine. 

Patience.

Royce Lewis

If you drafted Royce Lewis then you should have known what you were getting yourself into and I definitely knew I was kicking the football like Charlie Brown with him. He has already had his first of probably many IL stints and he hasn’t been great when he has been on the field, hitting .205/.340/386 with two home runs and two stolen bases. However, the underlying numbers are encouraging. He has his best Z-Contact percentage, swinging strike rate, O-Swing, Hard Hit percentage, and average exit velocity of his career. He is walking at a 15% rate which may be a bit of the problem as he has been extremely passive at the plate. If he ratchets up the aggressiveness with those underlying skills, he should be great, until he gets hurt again. 

Patience. 





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

28 Comments
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jzliMember since 2018
3 months ago

Thanks for sharing your story Justin. I am also highly impatient and have a post-it note on my computer that tells me to WAIT!!! BE PATIENT! as a daily reminder. Good to know it is not just me. Congratulations and good luck

Tommy
3 months ago

I agree with you on all of these except for Royce Lewis. He has burned me repeatedly in the past, and since last season, he isn’t even making up for it by raking when he is in the lineup. I had him on my “Do No Draft” list going into the season, and this may very well just be who he is now after so many injuries. We’ve seen this type of letdown player before, which is how I’ve got him labeled until he proves me wrong.

SculpinMember since 2025
3 months ago
Reply to  Tommy

Lewis’ career trajectory so far looks like Austin Meadows. A seeming uber talent who has an excellent season as a 24 yo (or half a season for Lewis because he can’t stay on the field even when the narrative demands it), followed by a disastrous drop as a 25 yo, and by the time they turned 26, serious questions about their future.

(For that matter, Grady Sizemore fits this same pattern of collapse in the mid-20s, except he had four exceptional years beginning in his age 22 season.)

Dennis BrownMember since 2024
3 months ago

It’s not easy to blend heavy personal backstory into a game that we all enjoy, but this pulled it off. Congrats on the parts that are truly important, and thanks for the parts that help us play the game better.

JimMember since 2016
3 months ago

Great patience, Justin. Congrats.

AnonMember since 2025
3 months ago

I think we’re to the point of having to start asking some hard questions about Lewis. When he came off the IL in June 2024, he went nuclear with a 371/437/903 with 10 HR over his 1st 71 PA.

And then the lights went dim.

The rest of that season he went 196/256/330 with 6 HR over 254 PA. I remember because I had him and flat-out waived him by Sept because he was unplayable.

Since June 23, 2024, Lewis has put up a 220/277/368 with 21 HR over 710 PA. That’s no longer that small of a sample size. That’s a full season.

His plate discipline over that stretch – 7.5% BB, 22.5% K. Very average-ish, maybe even below average.

His core plate discipline #s – 32.1% O-swing, 69.4% Z-swing, 83.4% Z-contact, 75.5% overall contact. Very average-ish.

His Statcast numbers over that period – 88.9 EV, 8.9% Barrel, 39.3% HH. Very average-ish.

Batted ball – 17.8% LD, 36.8% GB, 45.5% FB, 13.3% IFFB, 9.3% HR/FB. Below average LD and IFFB and HR/FB and more FB than GB. Not great for someone that doesn’t hit the ball that hard and fly balls that are popped up or aren’t hit hard lead to low BABIPs like the .257 he’s posted over that period.

He has yet to bat higher than 7th this year so he isn’t even getting to accumulate.

There’s patience and then there’s doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.

BTW, patience on Nelson may need to wait another start. He’s pitching in Mexico City this weekend at 7,335′ elevation. I’ve posted this in a couple comments sections, but the 4 MLB games there in 2023 and 2024 combined for 63 runs and 23 HR.

Rollie's MustacheMember since 2017
3 months ago

Did not expect the personal backstory when clicking on this article – what a pleasant surprise. Congrats on 21 years, Justin. That is truly impressive.

A note on Ryne Nelson – his 115 Location+ in his last start vs the Jays was a season high but for anyone watching the game I think they’d tell you he was serving up meatballs. Control wasn’t an issue. Command absolutely was. His velocity was fine but his arm angle was down significantly from a 55º season average to 51.6º and it didn’t seem like he was hitting his spots at all.

Not enough evidence to say he’s not healthy but I’d be paying close attention to his Sunday start against the Padres.

bill furlongMember since 2026
3 months ago

Jazz? 🙂

qaneMember since 2022
3 months ago

I try to convince myself that my impatient nature is a feature, not a bug. But it is often clearly a bug I need to consciously overcome.
Thanks for sharing your story.

Last edited 3 months ago by qane
TonMember since 2026
3 months ago

Beautifully written and inspirational thanks Justin.

GreggMember since 2020
3 months ago

Much respect! This is a really compelling series!

gonzomanMember since 2024
3 months ago

Stay strong, always

KrogMember since 2026
3 months ago

Impressive Sir. A message that I know I will learn from. Thank you!

Last edited 3 months ago by Krog
JolieMember since 2017
3 months ago

Thank you.

DODMember since 2022
3 months ago

Congratulations brother!

ROYMember since 2016
3 months ago

Happy anniversary! KCB

Andreas SophocleousMember since 2026
3 months ago

Great article. Good to see you be willing to put it all out there and glad you have been doing well. Thanks!

weststreetMember since 2026
3 months ago

Congrats and thank you Justin. Great article.

DavidMember since 2016
3 months ago

Any change of mind after a second straight stinker by Ryne Nelson? That’s now 14 ER in 5.1 ip over his last two starts… I have to drop one of either Nelson or Baz, and before yesterday it was Baz getting cut, but now I’m wondering…

JT LancerMember since 2018
3 months ago

Congratulations on your sobriety! I always enjoy your writing and analysis.