MASH Report (9/19/13)
Truthfully, not a whole lot to go over. The biggest key for the next couple weeks is to play players who will be in the starting lineup, not resting or calling the season done. One item which will probably come up is playoff bound pitchers who skip starts in order to rest.
• Matt Harvey opted for rehab vice surgery. I am not 100% sure I like this decision. If I was his owner, I would be very skeptical of any 2014 production from him.
• Matt Kemp finally returned with a week and half to go in the season. He doesn’t seem to be struggling in his two games. I think his upside outweighs the possible possible injury risk over the next week or so. Play him.
• Several players seem to be rushing back from the injuries to play in the post season like Jacoby Ellsbury, Jason Heyward, Justin Masterson (bullpen maybe) and Jaime Garcia. I would expect very little production out of this group if they return next week.
Pitchers Returning from the DL
• Johnny Cueto’s velocity looks good after coming back from the DL.
His release point pattern was tightly grouped and his Zone% was respectable (48%). I see no reason not to start him next week.
• J.J. Putz’s velocity was sitting on the low side in his one appearance
• Sean Marshall’s velocity is also on the low side
• Robert Coello’s velocity is way down.
• Finally, the New York Times looked if pitchers have a max speed they can throw a baseball.
PAIN (Pitcher Abuse INdex) Rankings (min 50 pitches in Sept to the rest of the 2013 season)
Any player with a PAIN value over 100 (red) has the traits of a pitcher likely to be hurt.
| Name | PAIN | Initial Velocity | Initial Zone% | Sep. Velocity | Sep Zone% |
| Steve Cishek | 363.5 | 92.4 | 52.5% | 91.0 | 33.9% |
| Josh Outman | 247.9 | 92.4 | 47.1% | 91.9 | 34.6% |
| Oliver Perez | 246.2 | 92.5 | 54.3% | 91.0 | 42.4% |
| Clay Buchholz | 236.5 | 90.8 | 48.3% | 88.9 | 40.0% |
| Cesar Ramos | 203.1 | 91.1 | 46.8% | 91.5 | 34.0% |
| Dane de la Rosa | 195.3 | 93.9 | 55.0% | 94.5 | 39.8% |
| Charlie Morton | 188.4 | 92.8 | 47.3% | 92.4 | 37.8% |
| Rob Wooten | 187.7 | 87.0 | 45.1% | 86.5 | 36.3% |
| Edward Mujica | 187.3 | 88.9 | 54.1% | 86.9 | 46.9% |
| Burch Smith | 184.2 | 92.6 | 58.1% | 91.1 | 48.7% |
| Aaron Harang | 173.5 | 89.8 | 49.5% | 88.9 | 41.3% |
| Dale Thayer | 173.0 | 92.8 | 54.8% | 92.7 | 43.2% |
| Jeff Francis | 172.3 | 85.5 | 48.7% | 85.0 | 39.8% |
| Roy Halladay | 169.0 | 87.6 | 45.8% | 86.1 | 40.8% |
| Drew Smyly | 167.8 | 89.0 | 47.8% | 88.7 | 38.8% |
| Luis Mendoza | 166.5 | 91.5 | 42.4% | 91.0 | 35.8% |
| Preston Claiborne | 164.0 | 92.8 | 46.1% | 91.7 | 40.3% |
| Craig Breslow | 160.3 | 89.7 | 43.7% | 90.3 | 33.9% |
| Roberto Hernandez | 154.8 | 91.5 | 49.8% | 91.3 | 40.8% |
| Tyler Clippard | 154.5 | 91.5 | 49.0% | 90.5 | 42.4% |
| Carter Capps | 154.0 | 95.4 | 51.3% | 95.7 | 40.3% |
| Mike Leake | 153.8 | 89.4 | 50.2% | 89.8 | 39.1% |
| Paul Clemens | 152.0 | 93.7 | 49.6% | 90.8 | 48.5% |
| Jerry Blevins | 151.6 | 89.9 | 46.4% | 88.8 | 40.9% |
| Kevin Gregg | 151.5 | 89.6 | 46.1% | 89.3 | 38.8% |
| Nick Tepesch | 150.9 | 90.9 | 48.4% | 91.7 | 36.8% |
| Jake Dunning | 150.2 | 90.5 | 49.1% | 89.8 | 41.8% |
| Danny Farquhar | 147.2 | 92.1 | 48.0% | 91.5 | 40.9% |
| Ryan Pressly | 142.2 | 92.9 | 48.4% | 93.5 | 38.2% |
| Lucas Harrell | 138.6 | 91.9 | 40.4% | 90.7 | 37.6% |
| Michael Gonzalez | 136.5 | 90.7 | 44.0% | 91.8 | 33.9% |
| Dan Jennings | 135.0 | 92.0 | 44.9% | 91.8 | 38.4% |
| Ivan Nova | 134.9 | 93.3 | 44.9% | 92.0 | 41.7% |
| Michael Blazek | 129.5 | 95.1 | 40.5% | 93.9 | 38.2% |
| J.C. Ramirez | 127.1 | 94.2 | 55.2% | 93.3 | 48.2% |
| Brad Brach | 121.8 | 90.8 | 45.8% | 90.8 | 39.2% |
| Gonzalez Germen | 119.0 | 92.8 | 41.9% | 93.1 | 35.8% |
| Danny Duffy | 118.8 | 93.4 | 51.4% | 93.3 | 43.8% |
| Trevor Cahill | 118.7 | 89.4 | 45.8% | 90.1 | 37.6% |
| Tony Sipp | 118.3 | 90.3 | 43.9% | 90.4 | 37.5% |
| Neil Wagner | 117.6 | 95.8 | 51.6% | 95.7 | 44.0% |
| J.P. Howell | 117.4 | 87.3 | 43.1% | 87.5 | 36.9% |
| Luis Avilan | 117.1 | 93.1 | 42.8% | 92.9 | 37.9% |
| Brandon Kintzler | 115.0 | 92.1 | 48.3% | 92.5 | 40.2% |
| Stephen Fife | 114.0 | 89.3 | 52.6% | 89.0 | 45.4% |
| Rex Brothers | 113.9 | 93.3 | 46.2% | 93.0 | 40.7% |
| Tommy Milone | 113.6 | 86.9 | 46.6% | 87.3 | 39.1% |
| Wade Miley | 112.7 | 90.9 | 46.8% | 91.0 | 40.4% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 109.5 | 96.2 | 55.1% | 96.4 | 45.8% |
| Julio Teheran | 109.2 | 91.4 | 53.3% | 91.0 | 46.5% |
| Boone Logan | 106.1 | 93.6 | 44.4% | 93.6 | 39.2% |
| Sergio Romo | 103.7 | 87.7 | 43.1% | 86.8 | 40.7% |
| Matt Moore | 101.1 | 92.4 | 46.6% | 92.2 | 41.6% |
Some of the same pitchers. I am not see anyone stick out.
Players on the DL
(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.
Unofficial DL List
Official DL List
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Any thoughts on whether Dom Brown’s Achilles will effect his power? He had a double last night but I’m really looking for HR’s. For the weekend do you like him (he faces 3 RHP)or
Belt (@NYY and faces 2 LHP),
Rasmus (very hot lately but also faces 2 Boston lefty’s)
Lawrie (faces those same lefties)
I would go in the order:
Rasmus
Belt
.
.
.
Brown
.
.
Lawrie
I don’t think Brown is healthy. Rasmus has the best power, but Belt is a left at Yankee Stadium. I think you will be safe with either one.