MASH Report (5/12/14)

• I don’t think Manny Machado’s knee is close to 100% yet. I timed him to 1B on a double play he sprinted on (5/7, 3rd inning).  He got to 1B in 4.6 secs which is a 20, the worst possible scouting rating. The rest of his stats back this lack of speed up. No doubles since returning (51 last season). No stolen base attempts. Three grounded into double plays (1 GDP per 43 PA in 2013, 1 GDP per 14 PA in 2014). Speed score down from 3.7 to 1.4. The knee just can’t be 100% yet.

Martin Perez is dealing with elbow discomfort.

His latest PAIN value was at 213 (100 means the pitcher is displaying traits of a hurt pitcher), the highest value for any pitcher this season. He has seen a 8 percentage point drop in his Zone% and a 3 mph drop in his fastball velocity. No surprise the injury news finally came out. For reference, here are the regular pitchers currently with a PAIN score over 100 IP.

    2014     2013    
Name PAIN IP Velocity Zone% IP Velocity Zone%
Martin Perez 213 51.1 90.5 0.405 124.1 93 0.483
Erik Johnson 203 23.2 89.6 0.389 27.2 92 0.469
Tyson Ross 194 50.2 92.3 0.413 125 94 0.457
Bronson Arroyo 178 38.2 85.9 0.433 202 87.2 0.561
Roberto Hernandez 174 39.2 90.1 0.427 151 91.3 0.501
Brad Ziegler 145 20 84.5 0.348 73 86 0.413
Kevin Jepsen 144 12.1 93.8 0.445 36 90.5 0.473
Danny Salazar 142 36.2 93.7 0.457 52 95.9 0.523
Francisco Rodriguez 139 20 89.6 0.438 46.2 91.1 0.522
Brandon League 134 20.2 92.9 0.405 54.1 94.3 0.479
Zach Putnam 133 15.2 87.7 0.421 3.1 90.7 0.486
Tyler Chatwood 127 24 92.7 0.411 111.1 92.9 0.481
Darin Downs 124 1.1 89.2 0.643 35.1 89.6 0.421
Francisco Liriano 122 42.2 92.2 0.401 161 93 0.422
Chris Withrow 119 18 94.9 0.439 34.2 96 0.487
Trevor Cahill 116 32.1 90.2 0.398 146.2 89.8 0.442
Dallas Keuchel 115 44 89.2 0.409 153.2 89.1 0.469
Shawn Kelley 113 15.1 91.3 0.395 53.1 92.1 0.48
Brad Brach 113 1.2 93 0.625 31 91.9 0.448
A.J. Ramos 112 16 91.1 0.446 80 93.3 0.497
Mark Melancon 109 18 92 0.391 71 92.7 0.465
J.P. Howell 107 14.2 84.6 0.36 62 87.3 0.429
Taylor Jordan 107 25.2 90 0.445 51.2 92.3 0.491
Garrett Richards 104 45 96 0.424 145 94.8 0.492
Lucas Harrell 102 12.1 90.9 0.357 153.2 92.2 0.405

Brandon Belt will be out at least six weeks. Here is Bochy talking about Belt’s return bench marks.

As of now, Belt’s estimated absence remains six weeks. Bochy said that the pins likely will be removed after four weeks, and at that time the Giants should know more clearly how long Belt will be sidelined.

I could easily see the rehab go an extra couple of weeks once the pins are gone. We me not se Belt until July.

CC Sabathia has been shut down for swelling in a previously surgically prepared knee. It seems like he dealt with the issue for at least a couple of starts.

Sabathia said he first felt the discomfort during last Sunday’s start against Tampa Bay. It was his worst start of the year, and his knee was swollen afterward, but he stayed on turn to make another underwhelming start on Saturday. When his knee grew swollen again, he finally spoke up, and a Sunday morning MRI revealed the problem.

Considering how much Sabathia has struggled this season, it would have been tough to blame the past two games on a new injury.

• Initial reports for Michael Pineda’s recovery were overly optimistic. He may not be ready until late June.

At the time, the Yankees said that Pineda was expected to return in three to four weeks, but that may have been an optimistic estimate; the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw sustained a similar injury in a March 22 start and did not start again in the big leagues until May 6.

• A small note on news coming out of Seattle, we may not get much. It seems Manager Lloyd McClendon could care less who is on the mend.

“I’m concerned about the guys I have, not about the guys I don’t have. So until they’re part of this 25-man roster, I’m not concerning myself with them,” McClendon said. “I guess to answer your question, I don’t follow these guys’ sidelines from day to day or how they throw 60 feet. It really doesn’t concern me. When they can get out on that mound and throw 60 feet, 6 inches, then I’m concerned about them.”

Most new injury data is acquired during manager press conferences and McClendon looks like he doesn’t really care about keeping up to date on it. I have not read an updated report on Walker in about two weeks and this quote explains possibly why.

Fastball Velocities for Pitchers Returning from the DL

Doug Fister’s looks fine.

Matt Cain’s was fine also.

• And Aroldis Chapman’s was off the charts.

• Finally, I have a little feature I want to run every report, the number of players on the disabled list for each report. So far the trend is just up and up as more pitchers are lost for the season.

Players on the DL

(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.

Major League Report

On DL

Minor League Report





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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David
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David

Do you track PAIN scores from week to week? I would think that it might be helpful to track how a player’s rating changes from one start to the next. Is a possible injury getting worse, or better? Are they basically fine but one bad outing really screwed their average? etc…