MASH Report (2/21/13)
Russell Carleton wrote a good article on what traits are common for injured pitchers. The leading cause to no surprise was past injuries.
Recent injury data
• Dustin Ackley had off season surgery to remove some bone spurs which were bothering him. The injury could have been part of the cause of his struggles last season. Marcels projected him to produce .276/.349/.427 in 2012 while he only hit .226/.294/.328. If the bone spurs were really bothering him, he looks to be a player to out perform his 2013 projections.
• Lorenzo Cain strained his right hand, but looks to be back soon. Cain spent two stints on the DL last season for a strained groin and hamstring. Keep an eye on this injury because his replacement would be stolen base accumulator Jarrod Dyson.
• Matt Thornton reported elbow inflammation. While he has closed in Chicago in the past, I would not count on him getting the chance this year.
First, his fastball took a 1-2 MPH dive last season.
Also, the 36-year-old lefty has recently struggled getting out right-handed hitters and is basically a LOOGY.
2012 Stats
vs. LHH: 5.0 K/BB, 0.3 HR/9,
vs. RHH: 1.8 K/BB, 0.9 HR/9
• Albert Pujols will not play until mid-March, but plans on being ready for opening day. This news does not move him out of the top 10 or so picks. If I was torn between Pujols and another player, I would go with the other player as Pujols may miss some time and still be hampered by the injury.
• Matt Garza is expected to miss only a week with a oblique/lat strain. With last season’s injury and this one, I would be leery of paying too much for him on draft/auction day.
• Phil Hughes is dealing with a bulging disk, but plans to be back pitching within a couple of weeks. Back injuries give me caution with both pitchers and hitters.
• Daniel Murphy was sent to New York after pain in his ribs. He got a cortisone shot and should be ready to go in a day or two.
• Brian Cashman stated Alex Rodriguez will be back by the All-Star break yesterday on Clubhouse Confidential (4:00 mark). I will take the over right now.
• Rafael Furcal will miss some time because his elbow hasn’t yet healed. He had the problem before the end of last season and did nothing about it. The news makes he pretty much un-roster-able. Instead of a being a declining useless vet, he is now an injured declining useless vet.
• Shelby Miller was shutdown with shoulder tightness. Keep track to see how the shoulder reacts the next time he takes the mound.
• Matt Capps should be pitching in games within a week or two. All is good for now.
• Wilson Ramos plans on being ready for opening day after tearing his ACL last May. He is Kurt Suzuki’s back up, so he doesn’t have much of fantasy value.
• Tsuyoshi Wada is throwing off the mound and expects to be back in May or June (h/t to Joelskil)
• Daniel Hudson (TJS) and Ryan Kalish (shoulder surgery) were both officially placed on the 60-day DL.
Player Return Timetables
Name | Injury | Injury/Surgery Date | Early Return Date | Later Return date | Status | Source(s) |
Scott Baker | TJS | 4/17/12 | Late March | May | Throwing off mound | (1) |
Grant Balfour | Knee | 2/14/13 | Late March | Middle April | Rest | (1) |
Brandon Beachy | TJS | 6/21/12 | Mid June | Mid June | Playing Catch | (1) |
Lance Berkman | Knee | 10/1/12 | Late April | Mid March | Working out | (1) |
Jeremy Bonderman | TJS | 04/24/12 | Late March | Late March | Healthy | (1) |
Tim Byrdak | Shoulder Surgery | 07/01/12 | Early July | Early July | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
Edwar Cabrera | Shoulder | 08/01/12 | Mid March | Unknown | Unknown | (1) |
Chris Carpenter | Nerve | 02/05/13 | September | Retire | Rest | (1) |
Andrew Cashner | Thumb laceration | 1/25/13 | Late March | May | Rest | (1) |
Carl Crawford | TJS | 8/23/12 | Early March | Late April | Throwing | (1) |
Scott Diamond | Elbow Surgery | 10/1/12 | Early April | Early May | Unknown | (1) |
Kyle Drabek | TJS | 6/19/12 | Mid Season | Mid Season | Unknown | (1) |
Danny Duffy | TJS | 6/13/12 | Late May/Early June | All Star Game | Playing Catch | (1) |
Neftali Feliz | TJS | 8/1/12 | July | August | Playing Catch | (1) |
Frank Francisco | Elbow | 2/14/13 | April | Unknown | Rest | (1) |
Mat Gamel | Knee | 2/18/13 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
Corey Hart | Right knee surgery | 1/26/13 | Late April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
Daniel Hudson | TJS | 7/9/12 | July | July | Playing Catch | (1) |
Drew Hutchison | TJS | 08/08/12 | August | October | Rehabilitation | (1) |
Derek Jeter | Fractured Left Ankle | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Fielding | (1) |
Ryan Kalish | Shoulder Surgery | 1/25/13 | Early April | Unknown | Rest | (1) |
Matt Kemp | Shoulder | 8/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Light Training | (1) |
Colby Lewis | Elbow Surgery | 7/1/12 | Late May | July | Throwing | (1) |
Francisco Liriano | Broken humerus | 12/1/12 | Early April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
Cory Luebke | TJS | 5/23/12 | July | July | Unknown | (1) |
Ryan Madson | TJS | 04/11/12 | April | May | Rest | (1) |
Nick Masset | Shoulder Surgery | 09/07/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
Brian McCann | Torn labrum | 7/4/12 | Mid April | May | Running and throwing | (1) |
Logan Morrison | Knee | 9/1/12 | Late March | Late April | Light Training | (1) |
Charlie Morton | TJS | 06/21/12 | June | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
Juan Oviedo | TJS | 09/06/12 | September | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
Felipe Paulino | TJS | 7/3/12 | Early July | Early July | Unknown | (1) |
Carl Pavano | Ruptured spleen | 1/25/13 | Late March | Mid April | Rest | (1) |
Mike Pelfrey | TJS | 05/01/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
Michael Pineda | Shoulder Surgery | 5/1/12 | June | Early July | Rest | (1) |
Wilson Ramos | ACL | 5/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Catching | (1) |
Alex Rodriguez | Hip surgery | 1/16/13 | Early July | 2014 season | Rest | (1)(2) |
CC Sabathia | Bone Spur | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
Johan Santana | Back | Late April | Middle March | Throwing off mound | (1) | |
George Sherrill | TJS | 5/1/11 | Late April | May | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
Joakim Soria | TJS | 4/2/12 | Late May | Early June | Playing Catch | (1) |
Eric Surkamp | TJS | 07/24/12 | Late July | September | Unknown | (1) |
Tsuyoshi Wada | TJS | 05/11/12 | May | Jun | Throwing off mound | (1) |
Josh Tomlin | TJS | 08/22/12 | August | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
Joe Wieland | TJS | 07/27/12 | Early August | 2014 | Catch | (1) |
Brian Wilson | TJS | 4/19/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Not ready to pitch | (1) |
Randy Wolf | TJS | 10/30/12 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
Delmon Young | Right ankle | 10/1/12 | Mid April | Early May | Rest | (1) |
Players Returning From Injury
Name | Injury | Source |
Hanley Ramirez | Shoulder | (1) |
Players Playing Through Injuries
Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:
Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Dustin Ackley, Matt LaPorta and Howie Kendrick
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Carl Crawford’s early return date is “Late April” and his late return date is “Early March.” Unless you mean March of 2014, I do believe this might be an error.