MASH Report (2/18/13)

Recent injury data

 • Lance Berkman is at 80% after two off season knee surgeries. The team wants him at 100% before he joins the team. He could easiliy miss at least a couple of weeks at the beginning of the season.

 • Ricky Romero’s knee and elbow are feeling better this season after a couple of off season surgeries. He definitely showed signs of a possible injury last season. His average fastball speed dropped from an average around 93 mph in early 2011 to just above 91 mph at the end of 2012.

Also, he has had more and more issues being able to keep the ball in the strike zone over his career.

Season: Zone% (pfx)
2009: 49.4%
2010: 48.7%
2011: 47.2%
2012: 46.2%

In 2012, he BB% jumped to 12.7%. It will be interesting to see how the surgeries affect his 2013 performance.

 • Johan Santana is throwing off the mound and hopes to be ready by opening day. We’ll see if he is over his back, ankle, shoulder, pectoral and/or elbow issues of the past 5 years.

 • Matt Garza was sidelined while throwing batting practice for a strained lat. He reported his elbow, which cost him 2 months last season, feels fine.

 • Jaime Garcia’s shoulder is fine after deciding to rehabilitate it instead of having off season surgery. I am not a fan of just rehab. I could see him have shoulder issues in the near future.

 • Pablo Sandoval is fat. I am not sure how much of an issue is the weight. Here are the peak offensive seasons using wOBA for some big boned players who were between 5’7″ and 6’1″.

Name: Age at peak offensive season
Greg Luzinski: 26
Bob Hamelin: 26
Cecil Fielder: 26
Prince Fielder: 27
Kirby Puckett: 28
Mo Vaughn: 28
Matt Stairs: 29
Luis Sojo: 29
Vinny Castilla: 30
John Kruk: 31
Kevin Mitchell: 32
Tony Gwynn: 34

The peak ages averaged out at 28.8. With Sandoval heading into his age 26 season, his weight doesn’t seem to be an issue when looking at short heavy players from the past. Don’t let his weight be an issue this season.

 • Mike Trout is not fat.

 • Delmon Young will likely miss time to start the season. The big playing time winners will be Domonic Brown and Darin Ruf. The pair will likely be the starting right and left fielders for the Phillies on opening day.

 • Mike Pelfrey says he is on track to be ready by opening day. He would be pitching 11 months after having TJS. I don’t see any reason to roster except as a spot starter in a deep or AL-only league.

 • Mike Napoli’s hip has not gotten worse in a whole 2 weeks. Time to hold a party.

 • Mat Gamel tweaked his surgically repaired knee which kept him out for most of the 2012 season. He was to play 1B while Corey Hart is out because of knee surgery also. The Brewers are taking a wait and see with him and owners should also. A clearer picture of how this injury will shake out will become clearer in a day or two.

Update: Gamel is done for the year. Hunter Morris looks to be the new 1B while Hart is out (h/t to dockmarm)

 • Andrew Cashner has moved up his time table for returning from May to opening day.

 • Edwar Cabrera (shoulder impingement) and Josh Tomlin (TJS) were both officially placed on the 60-day D.L.

 • Albert Pujols is feeling fine and taking it slow after off season knee surgery.

 • John Danks threw is first team bullpen session after having surgery last year to repare damage to his rotator cuff and biceps.

 • J.A. Happ (broken foot) and Casey Janssen (shoulder) both appear to be back on track for the regular season after each had off season surgery.

 • Everett Teaford’s shoulder is not 100%. If wouldn’t matter if he was healed, he is just not a realistic fantasy option.

Player Return Timetables

Name	Injury	Injury/Surgery Date	Early Return Date	Later Return date	Status	Source(s)
Scott Baker	TJS	4/17/12	Late March	May	Throwing off mound	(1)
Grant Balfour	Knee	2/14/13	Late March	Middle April	Rest	(1)
Brandon Beachy	TJS	6/21/12	Mid June	Mid June	Playing Catch	(1)
Lance Derkman	Knee	10/1/12	Late April	Mid March	Working out	(1)
Jeremy Bonderman	TJS	04/24/12	Late March	Late March	Healthy	(1)
Tim Byrdak	Shoulder Surgery	07/01/12	Early July	Early July	Bullpen Sessions	(1)
Edwar Cabrera	Shoulder	08/01/12	Mid March	Unknown	Unknown	(1)
Chris Carpenter	Nerve	02/05/13	September	Retire	Rest	(1)
Andrew Cashner	Thumb laceration	1/25/13	Late March	May	Rest	(1)
Carl Crawford	TJS	8/23/12	Late April	Early March	Throwing	(1)
Scott Diamond	Elbow Surgery	10/1/12	Early April	Early May	Unknown	(1)
Kyle Drabek	TJS	6/19/12	Mid Season	Mid Season	Unknown	(1)
Danny Duffy	TJS	6/13/12	Late May/Early June	All Star Game	Playing Catch	(1)
Neftali Feliz	TJS	8/1/12	July	August	Playing Catch	(1)
Frank Francisco	Elbow	2/14/13	April	Unknown	Rest	(1)
Corey Hart	Right knee surgery	1/26/13	Late April	Late May	Rest	(1)
Daniel Hudson	TJS	7/9/12	July	July	Playing Catch	(1)
Drew Hutchison	TJS	08/08/12	August	October	Rehabilitation	(1)
Derek Jeter	Fractured Left Ankle	10/1/12	Late March	Late March	Fielding	(1)
Ryan Kalish	Shoulder Surgery	1/25/13	Early April	Unknown	Rest	(1)
Matt Kemp	Shoulder	8/1/12	Late March	Late March	Light Training	(1)
Colby Lewis	Elbow Surgery	7/1/12	Late May	July	Throwing	(1)
Francisco Liriano	Broken humerus	12/1/12	Early April	Late May	Rest	(1)
Cory Luebke	TJS	5/23/12	July	July	Unknown	(1)
Ryan Madson	TJS	04/11/12	April	May	Rest	(1)
Nick Masset	Shoulder Surgery	09/07/12	Unknown	Unknown	Throwing	(1)
Brian McCann	Torn labrum	7/4/12	Mid April	May	Running and throwing	(1)
Logan Morrison	Knee	9/1/12	Late March	Late April	Light Training	(1)
Charlie Morton	TJS	06/21/12	June	Unknown	Throwing	(1)
Juan Oviedo	TJS	09/06/12	September	2014	Rest	(1)
Felipe Paulino	TJS	7/3/12	Early July	Early July	Unknown	(1)
Carl Pavano	Ruptured spleen	1/25/13	Late March	Mid April	Rest	(1)
Mike Pelfrey	TJS	05/01/12	Late March	Late March	Throwing	(1)
Michael Pineda	Shoulder Surgery	5/1/12	June	Early July	Rest	(1)
Alex Rodriguez	Hip surgery	1/16/13	Early July	2014 season	Rest	(1)
CC Sabathia	Bone Spur	10/1/12	Late March	Late March	Throwing	(1)
Johan Santana	Back		Late April	Middle March	Throwing off mound	(1)
George Sherrill	TJS	5/1/11	Late April	May	Bullpen Sessions	(1)
Joakim Soria	TJS	4/2/12	Late May	Early June	Playing Catch	(1)
Eric Surkamp	TJS	07/24/12	Late July	September	Unknown
Tsuyoshi Wada	TJS	05/11/12	Late March	Early July	Unknown	(1)(2)
Josh Tomlin	TJS	08/22/12	August	2014	Rest	(1)
Joe Wieland	TJS	07/27/12	Early August	2014	Catch	(1)
Brian Wilson	TJS	4/19/12	Unknown	Unknown	Not ready to pitch	(1)
Randy Wolf	TJS	10/30/12	2014	2014	Rest	(1)
Delmon Young	Right ankle	10/1/12	Mid April	Early May	Rest	(1)

Players Returning From Injury

Information will be added as it becomes available.

Players Playing Through Injuries

Name	Injury	Source
Hanley Ramirez	Shoulder	(1)

Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:

Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Matt LaPorta and Howie Kendrick