Dustin Pedroia’s wrist pushed back my look at pitchers coming back from Tommy John surgery. While doing the Pedroia article, I created a query to look at HURT values on a month to month basis. While it isn’t really needed for the off-season, it will be ready for the start of the 2014 season.
Boston Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia has surgery scheduled for Nov. 12 in Arizona to repair a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his left thumb, but the procedure may be a bit more complicated than originally thought.
“I should be fine for spring training.”
Pedroia said he expects to be sidelined between 4-6 weeks or 6-8 weeks depending on which procedure Sheridan chooses.
At the latest, he should begin baseball activities in the mid-January. He should easily be 100% healthy for the regular season start. The most important note from the article was:
Pedroia conceded that while the injury to his thumb made for a long, painful season (he injured it the first game of the year sliding head-first into first base), he learned quickly how to compensate for it.
A season long injury could explain his power outages.
Stat: 2012 Value, 2013 Value
ISO: .160, .114
HR/FB: 8.5%, 5.6%
HR&FB Dist: 271ft, 263 ft
After June, he saw continued improvement as he had to learned to hit differently. The change can be seen in his month-to-month HURT values (a 100 value is usually a player showing signs of being hurt).
A 164 HURT would have sent up some early red flags. Since I didn’t create HURT until June, the full extent of his injury went undetected.
Going into 2014, I see Pedroia being undervalued because of 2013 power outage. I would be looking to buy low with him.
Possible Players on the DL to Start the 2014 Season
(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
(****) Free Agent
Red colored entries are updates since last report.
Major League Report
Minor League Report
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.