March Composite Rankings – Outfield
Our staff composite rankings continue on! Today we doubled up with third base earlier and now the outfield.
We’re using Yahoo! eligibility requirements which is 5 starts or 10 appearances. These rankings assume the standard 5×5 categories and a re-draft league. If we forgot someone, please let us know in the comments and we’ll make sure he’s added for the updates. If you have questions for a specific ranker on something he did, let us know in the comments. We can also be reached via Twitter:
There will be differences, sharp differences, within the rankings. The rankers have different philosophies when it comes to ranking, some of which you’re no doubt familiar with through previous iterations. Of course the idea that we’d all think the same would be silly because then what would be the point of including multiple rankers?! Think someone should be higher or lower? Make a case. Let us know why you think that. The chart is sortable. If a ranker didn’t rank someone that the others did, he was given that ranker’s last rank +1.
Key:
- AVG– just the average of the seven ranking sets
- Adj. AVG– the average minus the high and low rankings
- SPLIT– the difference between the high and low rankings
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| NAME | Paul S | Mike | Jeff | Justin | AVG | Adj. AVG | Split | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| 2 | Charlie Blackmon | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Mookie Betts | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 5 | Bryce Harper | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 6 | J.D. Martinez | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Kris Bryant | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Aaron Judge | 11 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 8 |
| 9 | Cody Bellinger | 13 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 10 | Christian Yelich | 8 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 11.8 | 11.0 | 11 |
| 11 | George Springer | 9 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12.8 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 12 | Starling Marte | 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 13.3 | 10.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Tommy Pham | 12 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 5 |
| 14 | Nelson Cruz | 14 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 15 | Andrew Benintendi | 20 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 7 |
| 16 | Rhys Hoskins | 19 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 15.8 | 19.0 | 13 |
| 17 | Marcell Ozuna | 15 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 14 |
| 18 | Justin Upton | 17 | 17 | 24 | 17 | 18.8 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 19 | Lorenzo Cain | 18 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 19.3 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 20 | A.J. Pollock | 21 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 6 |
| 21 | Khris Davis | 26 | 10 | 32 | 21 | 22.3 | 23.5 | 22 |
| 22 | Whit Merrifield | 22 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 23 | Billy Hamilton | 31 | 18 | 27 | 16 | 23.0 | 22.5 | 15 |
| 24 | Yoenis Cespedes | 16 | 27 | 23 | 30 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 14 |
| 25 | Byron Buxton | 23 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 25.0 | 24.5 | 7 |
| 26 | Andrew McCutchen | 25 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 25.5 | 25.5 | 11 |
| 27 | Nick Castellanos | 28 | 25 | 25 | 34 | 28.0 | 26.5 | 9 |
| 28 | Ryan Braun | 29 | 28 | 22 | 33 | 28.0 | 28.5 | 11 |
| 29 | Yasiel Puig | 24 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 28.3 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 30 | Ender Inciarte | 30 | 30 | 20 | 39 | 29.8 | 30.0 | 19 |
| 31 | Domingo Santana | 36 | 32 | 38 | 24 | 32.5 | 34.0 | 14 |
| 32 | Joey Gallo | 34 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 34.0 | 38.0 | 34 |
| 33 | Adam Jones | 42 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 36.3 | 34.5 | 8 |
| 34 | Eddie Rosario | 43 | 33 | 29 | 45 | 37.5 | 38.0 | 16 |
| 35 | Gregory Polanco | 37 | 45 | 42 | 32 | 39.0 | 39.5 | 13 |
| 36 | Chris Taylor | 33 | 37 | 52 | 37 | 39.8 | 37.0 | 19 |
| 37 | Kevin Kiermaier | 38 | 39 | 39 | 43 | 39.8 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 38 | Adam Eaton | 55 | 36 | 33 | 36 | 40.0 | 36.0 | 22 |
| 39 | Odubel Herrera | 44 | 38 | 37 | 51 | 42.5 | 41.0 | 14 |
| 40 | Delino DeShields | 39 | 44 | 49 | 49 | 45.3 | 46.5 | 10 |
| 41 | Ian Desmond | 40 | 78 | 36 | 27 | 45.3 | 38.0 | 51 |
| 42 | Ian Happ | 35 | 62 | 58 | 38 | 48.3 | 48.0 | 27 |
| 43 | Brett Gardner | 46 | 46 | 45 | 58 | 48.8 | 46.0 | 13 |
| 44 | Carlos Santana | 49 | 42 | 55 | 50 | 49.0 | 49.5 | 13 |
| 45 | Eduardo Nunez | 32 | 83 | 40 | 47 | 50.5 | 43.5 | 51 |
| 46 | Manuel Margot | 47 | 66 | 60 | 29 | 50.5 | 53.5 | 37 |
| 47 | Nomar Mazara | 48 | 61 | 50 | 44 | 50.8 | 49.0 | 17 |
| 48 | Jay Bruce | 50 | 35 | 66 | 56 | 51.8 | 53.0 | 31 |
| 49 | Trey Mancini | 53 | 63 | 44 | 48 | 52.0 | 50.5 | 19 |
| 50 | Avisail Garcia | 52 | 51 | 35 | 77 | 53.8 | 51.5 | 42 |
| 51 | Steven Souza | 58 | 48 | 69 | 40 | 53.8 | 53.0 | 29 |
| 52 | Michael Brantley | 56 | 52 | 28 | 81 | 54.3 | 54.0 | 53 |
| 53 | Adam Duvall | 51 | 41 | 75 | 55 | 55.5 | 53.0 | 34 |
| 54 | Shin-Soo Choo | 57 | 43 | 46 | 76 | 55.5 | 51.5 | 33 |
| 55 | Bradley Zimmer | 60 | 58 | 77 | 31 | 56.5 | 59.0 | 46 |
| 56 | Josh Reddick | 62 | 55 | 41 | 72 | 57.5 | 58.5 | 31 |
| 57 | Matt Olson | 27 | 56 | 80 | 73 | 59.0 | 64.5 | 53 |
| 58 | Mitch Haniger | 71 | 50 | 64 | 52 | 59.3 | 58.0 | 21 |
| 59 | Aaron Hicks | 61 | 57 | 78 | 46 | 60.5 | 59.0 | 32 |
| 60 | Ronald Acuna | 45 | 69 | 70 | 61 | 61.3 | 65.0 | 25 |
| 61 | Josh Harrison | 64 | 74 | 48 | 59 | 61.3 | 61.5 | 26 |
| 62 | Marwin Gonzalez | 54 | 79 | 56 | 57 | 61.5 | 56.5 | 25 |
| 63 | Randal Grichuk | 69 | 40 | 57 | 90 | 64.0 | 63.0 | 50 |
| 64 | Michael Conforto | 72 | 76 | 68 | 41 | 64.3 | 70.0 | 35 |
| 65 | Jonathan Villar | 59 | 59 | 81 | 68 | 66.8 | 63.5 | 22 |
| 66 | David Peralta | 70 | 70 | 63 | 67 | 67.5 | 68.5 | 7 |
| 67 | Scooter Gennett | 63 | 72 | 53 | 84 | 68.0 | 67.5 | 31 |
| 68 | Kevin Pillar | 98 | 47 | 43 | 85 | 68.3 | 66.0 | 55 |
| 69 | Carlos Gonzalez | 65 | 53 | 62 | 96 | 69.0 | 63.5 | 43 |
| 70 | Lewis Brinson | 68 | 67 | 76 | 65 | 69.0 | 67.5 | 11 |
| 71 | Jackie Bradley | 74 | 64 | 67 | 74 | 69.8 | 70.5 | 10 |
| 72 | Dexter Fowler | 73 | 75 | 51 | 82 | 70.3 | 74.0 | 31 |
| 73 | Scott Schebler | 77 | 60 | 83 | 66 | 71.5 | 71.5 | 23 |
| 74 | Eric Thames | 78 | 71 | 84 | 62 | 73.8 | 74.5 | 22 |
| 75 | Brandon Belt | 84 | 54 | 59 | 98 | 73.8 | 71.5 | 44 |
| 76 | Kyle Schwarber | 41 | 77 | 95 | 83 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 54 |
| 77 | Corey Dickerson | 76 | 81 | 71 | 71 | 74.8 | 73.5 | 10 |
| 78 | Kole Calhoun | 79 | 65 | 61 | 97 | 75.5 | 72.0 | 36 |
| 79 | Max Kepler | 83 | 92 | 82 | 53 | 77.5 | 82.5 | 39 |
| 80 | Carlos Gomez | 66 | 73 | 98 | 75 | 78.0 | 74.0 | 32 |
| 81 | Stephen Piscotty | 82 | 82 | 99 | 54 | 79.3 | 82.0 | 45 |
| 82 | Jason Kipnis | 93 | 49 | 73 | 128 | 85.8 | 83.0 | 79 |
| 83 | Nick Markakis | 95 | 80 | 86 | 89 | 87.5 | 87.5 | 15 |
| 84 | Chris Owings | 94 | 109 | 90 | 63 | 89.0 | 92.0 | 46 |
| 85 | Jose Martinez | 80 | 112 | 89 | 80 | 90.3 | 84.5 | 32 |
| 86 | Michael Taylor | 75 | 87 | 91 | 109 | 90.5 | 89.0 | 34 |
| 87 | Nick Williams | 92 | 86 | 93 | 91 | 90.5 | 91.5 | 7 |
| 88 | Jason Heyward | 96 | 88 | 88 | 95 | 91.8 | 91.5 | 8 |
| 89 | Willie Calhoun | 88 | 91 | 130 | 60 | 92.3 | 89.5 | 70 |
| 90 | Aaron Altherr | 91 | 101 | 92 | 88 | 93.0 | 91.5 | 13 |
| 91 | Joc Pederson | 90 | 93 | 115 | 78 | 94.0 | 91.5 | 37 |
| 92 | Denard Span | 105 | 84 | 72 | 122 | 95.8 | 94.5 | 50 |
| 93 | Mark Trumbo | 113 | 90 | 96 | 87 | 96.5 | 93.0 | 26 |
| 94 | Hunter Renfroe | 99 | 114 | 106 | 69 | 97.0 | 102.5 | 45 |
| 95 | Gerardo Parra | 103 | 98 | 87 | 100 | 97.0 | 99.0 | 16 |
| 96 | Hunter Pence | 101 | 85 | 79 | 125 | 97.5 | 93.0 | 46 |
| 97 | Dustin Fowler | 86 | 120 | 97 | 94 | 99.3 | 95.5 | 34 |
| 98 | Cameron Maybin | 67 | 99 | 100 | 134 | 100.0 | 99.5 | 67 |
| 99 | Mallex Smith | 102 | 104 | 85 | 111 | 100.5 | 103.0 | 26 |
| 100 | Curtis Granderson | 100 | 68 | 109 | 135 | 103.0 | 104.5 | 67 |
| 101 | Victor Robles | 87 | 138 | 102 | 86 | 103.3 | 94.5 | 52 |
| 102 | Mikie Mahtook | 106 | 89 | 74 | 145 | 103.5 | 97.5 | 71 |
| 103 | Jesse Winker | 111 | 107 | 94 | 103 | 103.8 | 105.0 | 17 |
| 104 | Jarrod Dyson | 85 | 105 | 113 | 113 | 104.0 | 109.0 | 28 |
| 105 | Ben Gamel | 109 | 110 | 105 | 93 | 104.3 | 107.0 | 17 |
| 106 | Leonys Martin | 108 | 102 | 116 | 92 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 24 |
| 107 | Hernan Perez | 114 | 97 | 110 | 101 | 105.5 | 105.5 | 17 |
| 108 | Ben Zobrist | 121 | 103 | 104 | 99 | 106.8 | 103.5 | 22 |
| 109 | Melky Cabrera | 112 | 119 | 65 | 133 | 107.3 | 115.5 | 68 |
| 110 | Albert Almora | 97 | 116 | 103 | 118 | 108.5 | 109.5 | 21 |
| 111 | Austin Hays | 110 | 159 | 101 | 64 | 108.5 | 105.5 | 95 |
| 112 | Derek Dietrich | 116 | 106 | 108 | 129 | 114.8 | 112.0 | 23 |
| 113 | Jose Pirela | 118 | 96 | 107 | 142 | 115.8 | 112.5 | 46 |
| 114 | Matthew Joyce | 133 | 95 | 117 | 120 | 116.3 | 118.5 | 38 |
| 115 | Austin Jackson | 122 | 121 | 111 | 116 | 117.5 | 118.5 | 11 |
| 116 | Derek Fisher | 123 | 113 | 125 | 110 | 117.8 | 118.0 | 15 |
| 117 | Nick Delmonico | 124 | 94 | 112 | 146 | 119.0 | 118.0 | 52 |
| 118 | Keon Broxton | 89 | 168 | 141 | 79 | 119.3 | 115.0 | 89 |
| 119 | David Dahl | 117 | 158 | 141 | 70 | 121.5 | 129.0 | 88 |
| 120 | Alex Gordon | 143 | 100 | 120 | 123 | 121.5 | 121.5 | 43 |
| 121 | Howie Kendrick | 127 | 134 | 124 | 102 | 121.8 | 125.5 | 32 |
| 122 | Brandon Nimmo | 128 | 117 | 135 | 107 | 121.8 | 122.5 | 28 |
| 123 | Matt Kemp | 81 | 129 | 127 | 151 | 122.0 | 128.0 | 70 |
| 124 | Cory Spangenberg | 126 | 132 | 119 | 115 | 123.0 | 122.5 | 17 |
| 125 | Jorge Soler | 130 | 108 | 126 | 132 | 124.0 | 128.0 | 24 |
| 126 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 132 | 123 | 118 | 127 | 125.0 | 125.0 | 14 |
| 127 | Adam Frazier | 136 | 126 | 121 | 119 | 125.5 | 123.5 | 17 |
| 128 | Andrew Toles | 107 | 141 | 141 | 117 | 126.5 | 129.0 | 34 |
| 129 | Lonnie Chisenhall | 119 | 111 | 141 | 137 | 127.0 | 128.0 | 30 |
| 130 | Greg Allen | 135 | 168 | 54 | 151 | 127.0 | 143.0 | 114 |
| 131 | Adam Engel | 125 | 142 | 140 | 106 | 128.3 | 132.5 | 36 |
| 132 | Yasmany Tomas | 139 | 136 | 137 | 104 | 129.0 | 136.5 | 35 |
| 133 | Jon Jay | 147 | 122 | 141 | 114 | 131.0 | 131.5 | 33 |
| 134 | Colby Rasmus | 120 | 118 | 139 | 151 | 132.0 | 129.5 | 33 |
| 135 | Teoscar Hernandez | 104 | 161 | 141 | 124 | 132.5 | 132.5 | 57 |
| 136 | Brett Phillips | 115 | 168 | 141 | 108 | 133.0 | 128.0 | 60 |
| 137 | Austin Meadows | 141 | 140 | 141 | 112 | 133.5 | 140.5 | 29 |
| 138 | Jose Bautista | 148 | 115 | 141 | 130 | 133.5 | 135.5 | 33 |
| 139 | Clint Frazier | 131 | 160 | 141 | 105 | 134.3 | 136.0 | 55 |
| 140 | Steve Pearce | 137 | 131 | 123 | 151 | 135.5 | 134.0 | 28 |
Everyone but Mike seems to think Starling Marte is the same player after his suspension. Can’t help but think that his suspension isn’t also the end of his PED use. That has to have SOME impact on performance, no?
The studies that have been done say no
I think it all comes down to your steals expectations. He ran much less frequently last season than 2016 and at 29, I’m not about to project a return to 35-40 steals. I’m at 30, with all his other skills in line with history.
My understanding is that PED use is more often than not connected to rehabbing injuring and overcoming the wear and tear of the season, rather than adding bulk. So, it’s not like steroids=more home runs in most cases.
I think there’s a typo in the category descriptions. It says “Avg.” twice. I suspect the second one should say “Adj. Avg.”
Pod, little insight into your K Davis rank? I agree more with you than the others but am interested in what’s driving it for your projos. Thanks.
For the first time this year, I took some value out of steals and added it to the homer pool, so that explains some of the discrepancy.
40-106-88-.251
Right in line with what he’s done and the projections, so no idea why he’s so much lower than everyone else.
Souza below Happ? Sure, in a dynasty league, I’d agree. Otherwise, give me the guy in the middle of his prime with a guaranteed full time job, and being used to hitting in pitcher friendly parks. This isn’t to hate on Happ, I’m just not prone to trust the sophomore floating around the field with the worse projected OBP
Looks like I’m the only one who ranked Souza well ahead of Happ
Thoughts about Acuna in H2H?
Billy Hamilton over Buxton?
ya i think it depends on league. leagues like yahoo that allow trades I am all over Hamilton. If I have to hold him all season I avoid him like the plague.
When you can trade him you can always get way too much value from some guy in 4th or 5th whose in 10th in steals
Aaron Judge is the reigning fWAR Lord. He played half the season with an injured shoulder and still finished with a wRC+ of 173. He had a streak of 13 straight weeks with a 150 or greater wRC+. He had the best month of September by any batter in the past ten years. His final two weeks and two days were more valuable than the MVP’s final two MONTHS (what an embarrassment that vote was). In 102 games played in April/May/June/September, he hit .322/.453/.738 with 42 home runs and a wRC+ of 207. He has a true 80 power tool. And yet only one of you has him in the top 3,.
The answer to your implied question is batting average.
He hit over .303 in April, .347 in May, .324 in June, .230 in July, .185 in August, and .311 in September. The corresponding BABIPs were .310, .473, .434, .310, .292, and .283. So for 2/3 of the last season he hit over .300. Everyone seems to be operating on the assumption that the slump was caused by the league figuring him out, but his peripherals numbers (e.g hard-hit%, IFFB%) and his own admission suggest that his slump was caused by the shoulder injury around the time of the ASB.
Aaron Judge was a top 10 batter in the MLB (by fWAR) for four of the six months last season, while the MVPs of both leagues were top 10 batters for just two months. He was the best player in baseball in two different months (June and September), which is also something neither MVP did. He was at least 150% better than the league average better in every week for three straight months.
Find me another guy that had 13 straight weeks with a wRC+ greater than or equal to 150 — the data only goes back to 2002 — I don’t think you can. That’s not the kind of success you can fake. Sure, he could start off slow because of the injury. Sure, the league could somehow figure him out. And the kind of damage he did to his shoulder in his rookie season could be an indication that he won’t be able to stay healthy. But if you’re going to rank him right next to Cody Bellinger, who was half as valuable didn’t hit .300 in a single month last season, you should at least explain why.
Judge is a stud. He was unbelievable last year in 3 categories and a solid contributor in the remaining 2. My league doesn’t use fWAR or wRC+, so I wouldn’t use those to judge his fantasy value. The Sept/Oct explosion is a great sign for his ability to adjust. If he stays healthy all year and cuts his K rate, maybe you will get your wish and he’ll leapfrog the vets in front of him next year.