Late-Round Bargains: ADP Over 200 by Jeff Zimmerman December 11, 2018 The current fantasy focus is evaluating the top-100 or so players, especially the first couple rounds. I’m going to deep dive and investigate some later round values. I will group 10 players together and pick which one I would take earlier than the others. 201: Arodys Vizcaino 202: Jonathan Schoop 203: Kevin Gausman 204: Luke Voit 205: Chris Taylor 206: Jake Arrieta 207: Forrest Whitley 208: Ross Stripling 209: Odubel Herrera 210: Yusei Kikuchi There are several players I really like in this group like Taylor, Stripling, and Herrera but easily the best bargain is Kikuchi. Kikuchi isn’t on par with Asian imports Ohtani or Darvish but he’s still extremely talented. He’s considered to be a better talent than Miles Mikolas and Mikolas is going 86th overall. I believe once Kikuchi signs and everyone gets to know him, his ADP will be cut in half and around a top-100 pick, if not double digits. 211: Joey Lucchesi 212: Josh James 213: Corey Dickerson 214: Adam Eaton 215: Jesse Winker 216: Jordan Hicks 217: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 218: Jeurys Familia 219: Ryan Braun 220: Trey Mancini Another list will several names I’d not be surprised move up. The name with the most upside is Ryan Braun. I completely understand health is an issue and always will be, but his balanced approach will make him valuable when he plays. In 15-team AVG leagues last season, he was a $14 value without any replacement level value baked in. The disappointment tax his high with him. 221: Andrelton Simmons 222: Johan Camargo 223: Nick Senzel 224: Trevor Williams 225: Marwin Gonzalez 226: Jhoulys Chacin 227: Miguel Sano 228: DJ LeMahieu 229: Alex Wood 230: Yan Gomes None of these names stick out. I might pop on Gomes if I needed a second catcher. It’s a tough choice but I think, I’ll go with Sano, but it’s really close with Senzel. Senzel may sit on my bench for a couple months while Sano’s talent, or lack of it, will be quickly noticeable and I can move on. 231: Tyler White 232: Jackie Bradley Jr. 233: Dellin Betances 234: Justin Smoak 235: Ketel Marte 236: Cody Allen 237: Kyle Seager 238: Carlos Santana 239: Zack Godley 240: Francisco Mejia I’d likely draft four to six players (Smoak, Marte, Seager, Santana, Godley, and Mejia) from this group before all the others in the previous group. I think I’ll go with Ketel Marte before the others but I could see another owner go with needs and take Smoak for power or Santana for on-base. Marte has limited upside but he has a nice talent base to build off of and may be heading to center field soon. while incumbent second baseman and sometimes shortstop Ketel Marte could see time in center field. He’s a solid player at this point of the draft especially for an owner filling out their middle infield spot. 241: Mike Zunino 242: Manuel Margot 243: Peter Alonso 244: Jorge Alfaro 245: Josh Bell 246: Willians Astudillo 247: Reynaldo Lopez 248: Didi Gregorius 249: Mychal Givens 250: Ian Happ While there are some fun players on this list, it’s a rough list. If an owner has a spot to take a chance on a rookie, Alonso is worth taking. I’d instead go with Givens. It’s not choice I feel great about but a closer, or more precisely, the chance of closer, should be a gamble. I’d rather pay nothing for him as the 250th player than have to send FAAB for his replacement. 251: Carlos Rodon 252: Drew Steckenrider 253: Adam Ottavino 254: Archie Bradley 255: Kenta Maeda 256: Danny Jansen 257: Randal Grichuk 258: Julio Urias 259: Dereck Rodriguez 260: Joe Musgrove Another great batch and the choice is difficult. Owners should probably be making the choice off need, but in a pure vacuum, it’s Randal Grichuk. A real potential for 30 homers this late, sign me up. 261: Jimmy Nelson 262: Julio Teheran 263: Steven Matz 264: Brian Anderson 265: Tyler Skaggs 266: Tucker Barnhart 267: Jeremy Jeffress 268: A.J. Minter 269: Scott Schebler 270: Isiah Kiner-Falefa Yuck. It’s got to be Brian Anderson for me. Qualified at third and outfield but a 52% GB% is dragging down his value. This pick is more on potential than production. Skaggs was a close second.