Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – August 19th, 2024
Here is today’s chat transcript
9:58 |
: Chat will begin shortly. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, mastodon, threads, post, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well! |
10:00 |
: Currently rostering Stephenson in a 1C h2h league. Is it worth moving to Bart? hes been killing it for the last month |
10:00 |
: Yeah, in a league like that, I don’t mind moving on and streaming the position |
10:00 |
: Do you think Rizzo has anything left in the tank for 2025? He got dropped in my 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league and was thinking of throwing $1 or $2 of FAAB at him. |
10:01 |
: I think he is definitely worth the gamble in an AL Only. He should play everyday once he returns |
10:01 |
: Would you rather have Parker meadows or Josh lowe ROS? h2h redraft. they seem like pretty similar profiles outside of meadows platoon |
10:03 |
: I think I lean meadows here because of the fact he is moving up the lineup. It think Lowe’s upside is greater, but the more likely production comes from Meadows. |
10:03 |
: Drop Lodolo for Francis? or is that a lateral move |
10:04 |
: I am ok with that. While I think that Lodolo has the better stuff, the blowups are really damaging at this point in the season. |
10:04 |
Reese Olson $1, Festa $1, Lively $1 or Josh Smith $8? : Who would you rather have as your last 2 keepers in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league…..Hendriks $1, Joyce $1, |
10:05 |
: Festa and Hendriks |
10:05 |
Jared Jones, Rooker, O. Cruz. : Keeper league. How would you order these keepers for next year and the following year? Chourio, |
10:05 |
: Chourio, Jones, Cruz, Rooker |
10:06 |
Nolan Jones both hit the wire in my 12 tm. Would you chase the high for both, if you’re dropping marginal pitching talent? : Lodolo and |
10:06 |
: I would. Both have massive upsides |
10:06 |
: Is Kavadas a keeper at $1 or $2 in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league? |
10:06 |
: Probably not. |
10:07 |
Robbie Ray and $5 Bailey Ober for $7 Bobby Miller and $8 Junior Caminero? : I’m in a 12 team Ottoneu points league and my team is in the midst of a rebuild. My goal is to get young, cheap assets with upside. Would you trade $1 |
10:07 |
: That is tough because I love Ober, but I would |
10:08 |
: Prefer to just trade Ray for Caminero if that gets it done, but I could understand if it couldn’t |
10:08 |
: Would you consider starting Camineiro over Volpe if I dont have a particular need for steals? |
10:08 |
: I don’t think I would yet |
10:08 |
Jake Fraley for nearly 2 weeks in April only for him to go 0/16 in 5 games with you? boy I hope I never do… but if so, lesson learned! : have you ever missed out on a 1st place in a roto because you held a DTD |
10:08 |
: I lost first place in a 20 team dynasty league on the last day because Gregor Blanco scored two runs after coming on as a pinch runner. |
10:09 |
Joe Ryan, Grayson Rodriguez, Herston Kjerstad, and Austin Riley. I was in first for a few glorious days. No question to ask. Just bummed. : I went all in and traded for Chisholm, |
10:09 |
: Pour one out for you |
10:09 |
: How confident are you in Houck, Buehler, Bobby Miller and Crotchet in 12-team H2H? Are you dropping some or all? The waiver wire is a little sparse, but I hate having that many spots devoted to so-so pitchers with potential. |
10:11 |
: I don’t have a ton of confidence in any of them to be honest. I think Houck has started to tire, but he is probably the one I have the most confidence in. I think Crochet is limited over his next few starts and then gets shut down and I have no idea what to make of Miller and Buehler right now. |
10:11 |
: ROS: Adolis Garcia or
|
10:11 |
: Garcia |
10:11 |
: I have to drop one: M. Garcia, Hoerner, or Volpe. Who you dropping? |
10:13 |
: Hoerner |
10:13 |
Merrill Kelly 켈리 going forward? : Lost Greene and Glasnow this week in a QS league. Do you trust |
10:13 |
: I trust him to a point, but he won’t make up for what you lost. |
10:13 |
Parker Meadows or Lane Thomas ROS? : |
10:13 |
: Meadows |
10:13 |
: Start Woo @ LAD today? |
10:13 |
: yes |
10:13 |
: Are you trusting Schwellenbach versus Philly this week? |
10:14 |
: I am trusting him in deeper formats, but not in 10s and 12s |
10:14 |
: Hey there, I have Neto, Tovar, Semien, and Gimenez in a points league. We have to activate IR guys within 10 days, who do you drop to activate Betts? |
10:14 |
: Giminez |
10:14 |
Jon Gray or Civale? Thanks again, Justin. : Hi Justin, who do you think closes in TB? At 1B do you like Donovan, Yepez, Dezenzo or Kavadas? And |
10:14 |
: I picked up Uceta in leagues last night but I think it is a committee. I would go with Yepez and Gray |
10:14 |
Bryce Miller against the Dodgers in a 12 team points league? : You okay with rolling |
10:14 |
: I am |
10:15 |
Shay Whitcomb. Worth an add in 12 team roto? Should I pick him up? Shay or Nay? : Astros’ |
10:15 |
: Probably not. Just don’t think he plays enough |
10:15 |
: Think Houck is a hold or drop for points leagues? His schedule eases for a minute but remains a tough spot over ROS. |
10:16 |
: I am holding for right now but it is a short leash |
10:16 |
: but at least that Blanco situation wasn’t your fault! |
10:16 |
: I try and remind myself that all the time lol |
10:16 |
Cedric Mullins? Both seem to platoon. : Meadows or |
10:16 |
: I love Mullins, so I am biased |
10:16 |
: Okay rolling out Taj for 2 starts this week? |
10:16 |
: yeah, I am |
10:16 |
: Dodger SP concerns, Freeman injury, Padres are the team I wouldn’t want to play. Braves… no Albies, Zachary, Riley, and Soler iffy. Phillies… going thru a “ thing” but… this is wide op n this year for a team that gets hot. |
10:17 |
: Yeah, I still think it all goes through LA, but this is going to be a really fun stretch run and playoff season |
10:17 |
: Please rank these waiver wire SPs ROS: Festa, Francis, Perez, Nelson, Bido. 12-team, QS league. |
10:17 |
: Francis, Festa, Perez, Nelson, Bido |
10:17 |
: if Joe Ryan were on the Diamondbacks, would his arm have fallen off by now after they let him pitch because he felt fine? can’t believe what they’ve done with Ketel |
10:18 |
: loooooool |
10:18 |
: point awarded |
10:18 |
: that being said, Marte has a long history of injuries and while the team takes some blame, he does too |
10:18 |
Brandon Lowe or Gavin Lux ROS? : |
10:18 |
: Lux |
10:18 |
Justin Martinez, Houck, or Ryan Walker? : Who would you drop in a points league to activate Edman: |
10:19 |
: If you need saves badly, I think it;s Houck. If not, Martinez |
10:19 |
: Is Arrighetti getting bumped from the Astros rotation with Verlander returning? |
10:19 |
: I think they go to a six man |
10:19 |
: Nootbaar over L Butler this week? Butler has cooled and Noot faces a string of righties. |
10:20 |
: I am ok with that, but I think it is pretty even |
10:20 |
Jo Adell as an extra bench guy. Do you rate him near or better than either of those? Do you rate him at all? : im in a 14t H2H dynasty 7×7 (standard 5, BB, TB); I’m about to lose Kim to the IL but am covered and this gives me a free roster spot. I’m set with pitching so was gonna take a flier on Nolan Jones and see if he’s any better than Nate Lowe or |
10:20 |
: I think he is about the same as those guys. Big upside with a lot of downside |
10:20 |
Lawrence Butler or Cedanne Rafaela ROS? : |
10:20 |
: Butler |
10:20 |
: How do you feel about Musgrove ROS and going forward? My understanding is he’s still pitching with a bone spur in his elbow right? Is this something that will need surgery in the offseason? |
10:21 |
: I am always concerned with elbow issues in season especially when he struggled with issues last season too. I have him in a number of leagues, but I am not pinning my hopes of championships on him. I think he will definitely get it cleaned up in the offseason. |
10:21 |
: Does Seranthony Dominguez hold this Os closer role ROS? Or is this temporary? |
10:21 |
: I think he definitely could |
10:21 |
Lars Nootbaar a platoon bat going forward? Does he get back full PT next year? : Is |
10:22 |
: Really depends on what the Cardinals do in the offseason. I think he should get an opportunity, but they may not give it to him. |
10:22 |
: My last reliever in a saves/ holds league robertson or Aroldis ? |
10:22 |
: Aroldis |
10:24 |
: Anything sustainable going on with
|
10:24 |
: The numbers are definitely intriguing. He is allowing more walks, but I think that is by design so he doesn’t give up the long ball. I haven’t watched him recently and may need to sit down and watch his next start. |
10:25 |
Luis L. Ortiz a keep in a 16 team dynasty format? : Is |
10:25 |
: I think he should be |
10:25 |
: Who’s getting everyday PT in the Mets outfield ROS? Are Marte, Winker, Bader, etc. all kinda part-time guys now (assuming no injuries)? |
10:26 |
: Nimmo and Marte play every day with a platoon of Winker and Bader? |
10:26 |
: Bader’s defense actually could keep him in full time. |
10:27 |
: Though with all of these guys, a light breeze could cause someone to miss time and then there isn’t a crowded situation |
10:27 |
: if the season ended now, who would you move forward with at 2B with Marte? Gleyber or M. Garcia? I’m thinking Gleyber if he bounces back is better, but I’m not sure about that I like all those SB I get from Garcia |
10:27 |
: I think I would go Garcia |
10:27 |
: Someone dropped Tatis in my 12-team redraft. I’m already assured playoffs and I picked him up. What do you expect from him ROS? I know if he gets hot he can carry a team’s offense for a week. |
10:28 |
: I think once healthy, he goes back to being a stud. Massive pick up for you potentially |
10:28 |
: Is Realmuto last the point of no return? I have Wong for now and later in dynasty and wasn’t ready to have to start thinking about life without JT |
10:29 |
: I think we are seeing a decline, but I don’t think this is the end. He still can hit the ball hard and has been a bit unlucky. There are some launch angle issues and I think the deadened ball hurts him more than others, but I don’t think it is over for him yet |
10:29 |
Xavier Edwards have the same number of steals this year : we’re beyond “complain loudly about Carroll” but I’m still amused that he and |
10:30 |
: Edwards has been a godsend for people including me. He may end up being a league winner for some people |
10:30 |
Addison Barger a legit shot at PT? : Why won’t the Blue Jays give |
10:30 |
: Because he hasn’t been very good? |
10:31 |
: I do agree that they should just let him play, either in the Majors or minors. |
10:31 |
: Who is the better keeper for next season of
|
10:31 |
: This is tough because all have merit. I think Jobe has the best upside |
10:31 |
: Arozarena is 0-for-his last 15. Did he forget how to hit again? What do you expect from him ROS? |
10:31 |
: I think he will be fine, but this has been a brutal stretch |
10:31 |
: Yepez, Chaparro, Norby, Call, McCray & Romo all available on FAAB -go get em? IN what order for ROS and 2025? |
10:33 |
: I would go and get Yepez and Call for this season, but they probably don’t have a massive future. Norby is really interesting for next season and ROS because he should play a ton. I don’t think the others are worth much outside of really deep formats. |
10:33 |
Gavin Williams, Festa : Please rank ROS: Kutter, |
10:33 |
: Fest, Kutter, Williams |
10:33 |
Jack Suwinski is 4-for-45 in his latest AAA stint? : would you believe |
10:33 |
: I think at this point, I have given up hope |
10:33 |
Mark Vientos for next year? Is he a top 15 3B moving forward? : How do you feel about |
10:34 |
: I think he is in that conversation for sure, but the hit tool will always be a problem for him and give him a terrible floor. His draft cost will determine a lot for me. He could be a bargain or way too expensive. |
10:34 |
: You probably hate these questions but in a 16 tm h2h playoff how would you rate this rotation: Freddy P, Ober, Ronel, Steele & Bibee categories: IP, QS, ERA, WHIP, K9 and SLDs |
10:35 |
: I am kind of in love with it. |
10:35 |
: Vodnik or Foley ROS? Need SV but also need to not blow up ratios. Could also stick with Y. Cano |
10:35 |
: Foley |
10:35 |
: Would you rather have Gallen or Schawllenbach for the next month? |
10:35 |
: Gallen |
10:35 |
: dropped Bobby Miller for a streaming slot. will i regret it before the season ends? |
10:36 |
: I honestly have no idea what to expect from him ROS. I don’t think you should regret it even if he ends up being good. It is the right process at this point. |
10:36 |
: Been a rough year of injuries for me, but somehow I’m in position for a playoff spot. In keeping my team afloat I’ve burned all but my last allowed waiver move. Zebby and Kopech are available (drop Hoffman I think). Do you gamble, burn that last move to solidify the spot now, and hope there’s no major offensive injury left on your team that the wire can plug? Or better to keep that last move freed up if I need it? |
10:37 |
: If you need a closer, I am grabbing Kopech now. Potential elite closer for the best team in baseball? Yes please. |
10:37 |
Cody Bradford vs Zebby, who’s better ROS in a 6×6 wins and QS league? Zebby is more skilled, but MN seems to limit their rookies to 5 innings unless they are cruising, and Bradford’s matchups look amazing (PIT,CWS,OAK,LAA,SEA,TOR,OAK,LAA) : |
10:38 |
: Give me Bradford. Zebby is still an unknown and while I am intrigued by him, Bradford has been good and that schedule is amazing |
10:38 |
: I’m prepared to be without Soriano for the remainder of 24, how concerned are you about the arm fatigue? |
10:38 |
: I don’t want to freak out yet, but it is concerning. Could just be a guy that isn’t used to pitching this many innings tho. |
10:38 |
: Who is my keeper catcher in 14 team dynasty for next year: JT Realmuto or Tyler stephenson … or cut both when the time comes? |
10:38 |
: REalmuto still for me |
10:38 |
Bowden Francis only went from 22% to 24% owned in Yahoo after yesterday. Too many people sleeping? : |
10:39 |
: Too many people that have turned their attention to football. |
10:39 |
Tyler Fitzgerald once (if?) he goes back to being a pumpkin? I feel the O’s could rest Rutschman more often as the season draws to a close. : Del Castillo is hitting pretty well but I have Rutschman and even when he sits he often pinch hits. Don’t really have extra bench space, but would you pick him up in a 12-teamer over say, |
10:40 |
: No, I would rather have the IF/OF guy that can plug holes over the back up catcher |
10:40 |
Zac Gallen/Merrill Kelly (my worst pitchers) or pickup someone hot like a Martin Perez or Jonathan Cannon? : Finals starts today in my 10-team H2H pts. League only 5 adds allowed over the 2 weeks. Would you let it ride with |
10:40 |
: I think I would ride with Gallen/Kelly |
10:40 |
Andrew Vaughn or Spencer Horwitz. (OBP league) : Cleanup Hitter on bad team: |
10:40 |
: Tough, but Horwitz |
10:40 |
: Is $15 G-Cole too much to pay in AL only keeper for Bryce Miller and Kyle “Not Dead Yet” Tucker? (Tucker would sub in for Mullins/Langford/Springer once revived) |
10:41 |
: I don’t think it is too much |
10:41 |
: Bradford, Springs, Bello, Festa, who is out? |
10:41 |
: Springs |
10:41 |
: I made this dashboard that I send out to my league weekly. No questions I’m just proud of it. |
10:41 |
: OMG! That is amazing! |
10:41 |
: Teach me your ways |
10:41 |
: Can’t believe I am asking this but in a 16 team league, 7×7 with holds, would you sub in Kahnle for Fried, Bello or Burnes? Bello has been good lately, but the Sneks are a strong offense. Fried and Burnes have been struggling. |
10:42 |
: I don’t mind subbing in for Fried. He scares me right now |
10:42 |
: 10-tm H2H pts made it to finals. I have Muncy and Buxton on IL. My league has 4 UTIL spots. What batters if any would you drop to activate them? (Cowser, Toglia are my worst bats, Semien seems to be heating up). Or would you make different moves prior to Muncy being activated today and just keep him and Buxton on IL (break in case of glass)? |
10:42 |
: Maybe just keep muncy on the IL in case of a setback for right now |
10:43 |
: If I did drop someone, it would be Toglia since the Rockies start a road trip today |
10:43 |
: 10 teamer keep 5: Judge ($59), Gilbert ($23), Witt Jr. ($17), Ober ($14), Imanaga ($13), Cole ($12), Santander ($7), J. Duran ($5), Flaherty ($5). Thanks! |
10:44 |
: Witt, Duran, Ober, Cole, Gilbert, Flaherty |
10:44 |
Devin Williams) but I have Mason Miller SP/RP to roll with 4 and I COULD pickup Kopech and/or Ryan Walker for more of the same. Other option is wait until there is an SP I no longer need but that will be a full week into the 2 week finals. : 10-team H2H points league finals start today: Would you drop a backup bat to roll with a 5th Closer? (league only has 3 RP slots (I have Hader/Yates/ |
10:44 |
: I don’t mind doing that at all. Just know that one terrible outing may bury you because of lack of innings to make up for it. |
10:45 |
: On a scale of 10, how confident are you in a H2H dynasty rotation of: Nola, Ober, Crawford, Wacha, C. Sanchez, Pepiot, Bello, Ortiz, Francis, Povich? I’m missing Senga, Olson, Soriano, Garrett due to injury. Sorry for the rate my team post |
10:45 |
: 6.9 |
10:45 |
: Francis or Boyd? Or just matchups? |
10:45 |
: Play the matchups for me. |
10:45 |
Jace Jung’s eye seems to have ported over from the minors. Is he a good OBP play over a more established but struggling bat like Verdugo? : |
10:46 |
: I think he should be. The strikeouts may be an issue, but he does have a great understanding of the strike zone and the Tigers have shown they like those guys |
10:46 |
: What is up with Austin Riley’s x-ray being “inconclusive”? |
10:46 |
: Sometimes swelling can prevent a good image and you need to wait for it to come down |
10:46 |
: Standard 5×5 NL-only keeper league. I’m in 1st by a single point. Had Kim & Nimmo get hurt last night. Kim is my only SS eligible player. WW is craptastic. Is DDLS ($5 in 25 & $9 in 26) & Kim ($8/$16) too much to give up for Adames ($11/$15 if he stays in NL)? |
10:47 |
: Feels like a lot to give up, but flags fly forever |
10:47 |
: Weekly HxH with playoffs, 12 team redraft. Have been patient with Langford all year but am just about done with him. I’ll be back on the train next year but am thinking of moving on at this point |
10:47 |
: Yeah, I get it. He is riding on my bench in a lot of spots. |
10:48 |
: Lodolo also available, would you take him over any of Bradford, festa, springs, Bello? |
10:48 |
: over Springs, yes |
10:48 |
: Bryce Miller @LAD or Cole vs. CLE? |
10:48 |
: Cole |
10:48 |
: at the 3/4 point here, what is the biggest ERA gap you would consider being able to make up if things go right in a 12t? depends on multiple factors ofc, but about how careful to be with waiver pitchers/streamers if you need ERA? (Arrighetti vs White Sox didn’t go great!) |
10:49 |
: So, what I would do is build a spreadsheet with your standings and start playing around with adding/subtracting earned runs to see how much your ERA moves. I think people would be amazed how much they can move at this time of the year |
10:49 |
: but each league is different and so I do this with all my leagues |
10:50 |
: Looking for OF speed in my H2H league. Would you rather P. Meadows or Crow-Armstrong? |
10:50 |
: Meadows |
10:50 |
Shane Baz) and use them and just leave JV on the IL (break in case of glass). : THX for answers! <3 Would you activate Verlander vs. BOS, or @PHI? Or would you do both or neither? My 3 options for my FINALS matchup is to (1) wait until JV’s @PHI start because I can drop a different pitcher by then. (2) activate him and drop my backup bat or Merrill Kelly or Zac Gallen (and use BOTH of JV) starts. Or I could add a WW pitcher: (Martin Perez, Jonathan Cannon, |
10:51 |
: I would activate for Kelly. |
10:51 |
Corbin Carroll ROS and next year? Thanks for the great chat! : Thoughts on |
10:52 |
: He seems to be turning a bit of a corner since the break, but he is just not running which is frustrating considering that was a big part of his value in draft season. I still think he will be a stud long term, but this season has been aggravating to say the least |
10:52 |
:
|
10:53 |
: I think he is worth the add until Walker comes back |
10:53 |
Which 3 bats (in order) would you possibly pickup right now in 2-week 10-tm H2H points finals starting today: Soler, Carlos Santana, B-Rodgers, James Wood, Chourio, Bride, Kerry C, Neto, Friedl, Joc, Call, Sheets, Vaughn, India, Shea? Thank you! : |
10:54 |
: Chourio, Neto, Wood |
10:54 |
: 12 team H2H 5×5 OBP redraft. I should be making the playoffs, and have a fairly strong SP roster (Burnes, Skenes, Ragans, Ober headline the group). Should I drop Crochet for one of R Walker, Erceg, Kopech, J Martinez? Waiver wire for SPs is barren (M Boyd, Kutter, R Nelson). |
10:54 |
: Give me Kopech |
10:54 |
Ben Rice still startable at catcher al only? Worth keeping for next year without getting catcher eligibility? : Is |
10:55 |
: I think once Rizzo comes back, Rice gets sent down. I don’t know that he is going to be keeper worthy because I would expect the Yankees to bring someone in |
10:55 |
: Wow! Made it through all the questions with five minutes to spare |
10:55 |
Kyle Tucker returns, who’s the cut for my increasingly crowded OF/UT spots: Springer or Toglia? Rest of OF/UT spots are H. Ramos, James Woods, Colton Cowser, Riley Greene. 12 tm H2H categories with OBP. Thanks! : When |
10:56 |
: I think I drop Springer |
10:56 |
Luis Garcia or Brandon Lowe? 12 team H2H 5×5 OBP. : ROS: |
10:56 |
: Garcia |
10:56 |
: Romo or Higashioka ROS? Romo in 2025? |
10:56 |
: Romo for this year and next |
10:56 |
: Sorry for the long list but if you had to sit 3 guys this week who would they be? Tough to evaluate matchups vs pitcher quality. Ober @SD, Brown @BAL, Springs @Oak, Civale @OAK, Festa vs STL, Zebby vs STL, Sanchez @ATL, Lugo LAA/PHI. |
10:57 |
: Springs, Civale, Brown |
10:57 |
: And thank you for these chats!!! |
10:57 |
: You’re welcome! |
10:57 |
: Seems like he is a full time platoon guy now sadly, thoughts on him the for rest of the year? Not like he was producing vs lefties but still sucks. |
10:58 |
: Yeah, I wish they would just let him play to be honest |
10:58 |
: Since I am out of questions again, I will wrap up. Please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, mastodon, threads, post, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well! |
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.