Hitters Who Played Through a 2024 Injury

With the season over, it’s to find out how hitters performed who didn’t let an injury heal and played through the pain. Whether these hitters cause permanent damage to their bodies or pick up bad habits, they continue to underperform their projections. Besides collecting the names myself, I’ve asked for some help (article) for this past season’s list.

First, here is a look at how 2023 hitters performed compared to their Steamer projections.

Performance of Hitters Who Played Through a 2023 Injury
Name Steamer Proj Actual Diff
Aaron Judge .948 1.159 .212
Alex Kirilloff .767 .653 -.113
Andrew Benintendi .729 .685 -.043
Anthony Rizzo .770 .637 -.133
Austin Nola .683 DNP DNP
Bo Bichette .811 .598 -.213
Brandon Lowe .777 .783 .007
Brendan Donovan .783 .759 -.023
Bryan Reynolds .810 .791 -.019
Byron Buxton .774 .859 .085
C.J. Cron .723 DNP DNP
Carlos Correa .786 .905 .119
Chris Taylor .695 .598 -.097
Christian Yelich .794 .909 .116
Dylan Carlson .763 .563 -.199
Francisco Lindor .778 .844 .066
Gabriel Moreno .771 .734 -.037
Giancarlo Stanton .783 .773 -.010
Jake Fraley .779 .716 -.063
Jared Walsh .680 .637 -.042
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .762 .760 -.003
Joey Gallo .722 .613 -.109
Joey Votto .694 DNP DNP
Jonah Heim .729 .602 -.127
Jonathan India .769 .750 -.020
José Abreu .753 .361 -.392
Jose Miranda .738 .763 .025
Jose Trevino .665 .642 -.023
Juan Soto .981 .989 .008
Justin Turner .740 .737 -.004
Kyle Schwarber .835 .851 .015
Lane Thomas .741 .709 -.032
Manny Machado .824 .797 -.027
Mark Vientos .758 .837 .079
Matt Chapman .735 .790 .055
Michael Harris II .829 .722 -.107
Miguel Vargas .737 .506 -.231
Nolan Arenado .789 .719 -.070
Rafael Devers .893 .871 -.023
Rowdy Tellez .780 .691 -.089
Ryan Mountcastle .787 .733 -.055
Tim Anderson .710 .463 -.247
Tomás Nido .593 .534 -.059
Tommy Pham .736 .674 -.063
Tyler O’Neill .771 .847 .076
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .887 .940 .052
Will Smith .815 .760 -.055
Willson Contreras .796 .848 .052
Xander Bogaerts .784 .688 -.097
Yandy Díaz .858 .755 -.102
Yoán Moncada .730 .756 .026
Yordan Alvarez .989 .959 -.030
Zach Neto .736 .761 .024
Avg Diff -.039
Avg Adj Dif -.016
Median Diff -.028
Median Adj Diff -.005
Increase 34
Decrease 50
Rate 59.5%

The overall difference aligned with the historic values, but the adjusted rate took a hit with the league-wide OPS dropping 23 points (previous editions: 2017 to 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023).

By combining all the previous values, here are the historic adjustments.

Historical Performance of Hitters Who Played Through an Injury
Category Value
Total 307
Average OPS Change -.039
Avg Adj OPS Change -.036
# of Overperformers 130
# of Underperformers 238
Underperformed% 64.7%

 

A 36-point drop in OPS might not seem like a lot, but it’s just over a 10% drop in production (-10 points of wRC+).

With the historic numbers out of the way, here are all the batters I could verify played through an injury.

And here are the guys I suspect played through an injury but I could not verify the information.

Hitters Who Might Have Played Through a 2024 Injury
Name Location/Injury
Adley Rutschman wrist
Bo Bichette calf
Brandon Drury injuries
Brandon Lowe toe
Byron Buxton everything
Eloy Jiménez unknown
Jonny DeLuca hand
Jose Miranda back
Kyle Tucker shin
Logan O’Hoppe concussion
Oneil Cruz ankle
Steven Kwan bumps and bruises
TJ Friedl not at 100%

 

One hitter who made the second list and could be included in the first list is Adley Rutschman. Until July 27th, when Rutschman missed a couple of games with a hand injury, he was hitting .300/.351/.479. After the injury, he hit just .189/.279/.280. The best info I could find was his GM stating that something happened and Rutschman will have to say what.

That’s it for now but if any new information comes up during the offseason, I will add it to this article.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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JimMember since 2016
1 month ago

Jeff, you are really special.