First Base ADP Market Report: 3/14/22

by
March 16, 2022

As we hit peak draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day.

Top 100 Players Rising

None

Top 100 Players Falling

None

Top 200 Players Rising

Rhys Hoskins (+14.34)- Hoskins continues to rise as it appears the concerns about his health are unwarranted. He has a ton of power and while the average isn’t good, with the league-wide average being down, his .240 average doesn’t hurt you as much. This could be the season he breaks the 40 homer barrier. 

Max Muncy (+15.8)- Muncy’s rise has been in response to good reports about his health and most of this rise was before the most recent news. His price will continue to go up, but I am not buying it. While I have loved Muncy in the past, the risk that he could miss considerable time is too great to take him as a top 200 player. 

Top 200 Players Falling

Ty France (-11.04)- I am a bit surprised that France is dropping. Not because I like him, but because I know many in the industry do. To me, he has a bland profile that doesn’t have much upside. I think there is safety in it though. He makes a lot of contact and doesn’t strike out, but so much of it is on the ground. He isn’t a bad pick at the price, but he isn;t winning any leagues. 

Top 300 Players Rising

Brandon Belt (+14.64)- Belt is rising as people are buying what he did in a short stint. I am a little more skeptical though. Belt has struggled in the past to stay on the field and is at risk of losing at bats with the platoon happy Giants. I would have liked him more if he had ended up in a different park on a different team. 

Rowdy Tellez (+19.96)- Tellez rise is in response to the DH coming to the Nationals league. He is likely to get a fair share of the plate appearances at first base with the added offensive spot. Tellez was quietly good in the second half after being traded to Milwaukee, hitting seven home runs with a .280/.335/.500 for the Brewers. He has a legit chance to be a very cheap 30 homer guy if he can get to 500+ plate appearances and as the team is currently constructed. His biggest risk is platooning, but I don’t think he has proven to be a platoon player yet. 

Top 300 Players Falling

None

Others of Note

Darin Ruf 러프 (+50.16)- Ruf is rising with the DH coming to the National League. As the Giants are currently constructed, Ruf would be in line for a lot more plate appearances as the Giants DH. If the roster stays this way, I would love Ruf this year, however, I believe the Giants will add a piece. He is worth a gamble until we see a signing, but I wouldn’t pay a huge price. 

First Base ADP Market Report: 3/14/22
1/31/22-3/14/22 Player Team Position(s) 10/1/21-11/14/21 11/15/21-12/12/21 12/13/21-1/30/22 Change
7.05 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 1B 6.11 5.46 6.42 -0.63
22.03 Freddie Freeman FA 1B 19.17 17.92 22.68 0.65
52.01 Matt Olson ATL 1B 43.11 40.15 51.89 -0.12
55.85 Paul Goldschmidt STL 1B 60 46.62 56.49 0.64
58.76 Pete Alonso NYM 1B 67.78 58.08 64.53 5.77
90.59 Jose Abreu CWS 1B 72.61 68.58 87.7 -2.89
119.29 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 123.28 115.69 116.68 -2.61
119.35 Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B, OF 115.61 111.35 111.57 -7.78
122.43 Jared Walsh LAA 1B 112.72 116.88 123.3 0.87
126.67 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B, 2B, SS 122.83 122.5 124.26 -2.41
128.39 C.J. Cron COL 1B 140.94 130.5 131.55 3.16
128.68 Josh Bell WAS 1B 151.44 143.31 135.28 6.6
134.15 Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B 156.67 144.54 148.49 14.34
146.05 Joey Votto CIN 1B 165.11 166.08 154.7 8.65
153.87 Tyler Stephenson CIN C, 1B 173.78 158.58 154.87 1
154.76 Ty France SEA 1B, 2B 155.78 140.85 143.72 -11.04
169.71 Max Muncy LAD 1B, 2B 98.94 109.81 185.51 15.8
184.39 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B, OF 178.17 169.81 178.91 -5.48
188.63 Anthony Rizzo NYY 1B 160.44 157.04 180.64 -7.99
193.33 Trey Mancini BAL 1B 181.89 185.85 189.32 -4.01
202.28 Jonathan Schoop DET 1B, 2B 205.28 205.35 212.21 9.93
213.2 Yuli Gurriel HOU 1B 201.44 193.62 208.79 -4.41
219.11 Brandon Belt SF 1B 216.33 228.31 233.75 14.64
228.16 Nathaniel Lowe TEX 1B 243 252.85 231.28 3.12
229.88 Bobby Dalbec BOS 1B 260.56 225.12 233.96 4.08
234.93 Frank Schwindel CHC 1B 232.61 227.77 228.17 -6.76
261.05 Miguel Sano MIN 1B 273.11 264.08 264.72 3.67
265.03 Spencer Torkelson DET 1B 252.72 262.23 261.49 -3.54
267.19 Luke Voit NYY 1B 273.28 287.31 273.13 5.94
275.52 Jesus Aguilar MIA 1B 283.39 279.77 282.7 7.18
291.95 Rowdy Tellez MLW 1B 375 379.69 311.91 19.96
304.37 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF 1B, OF 301.33 302.54 307.91 3.54
329.56 Yoshi Tsutsugo PIT 1B, OF 528.11 402.69 312.87 -16.69
335.43 Eric Hosmer SD 1B 335.28 357.65 337.74 2.31
355.24 Yandy Diaz TB 1B, 3B 374.61 398.23 349.87 -5.37
368.28 Pavin Smith ARZ 1B, OF 352 348.27 356.7 -11.58
371.44 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 379.33 382.19 376.08 4.64
387.65 Darin Ruf SF 1B, OF 436.56 469.38 437.81 50.16
397.61 Christian Walker ARZ 1B 407.72 408.92 390.96 -6.65
402.13 Bobby Bradley CLE 1B 409.94 380.35 407.06 4.93
404.64 Keston Hiura MLW 1B 358.56 409.27 413.81 9.17
432.84 Carlos Santana KC 1B 430.67 437.65 425.15 -7.69
458.25 Jurickson Profar SD 1B, OF 518.72 478 450.64 -7.61
470.12 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B 461.39 453.15 454.11 -16.01
474 Juan Yepez STL 1B 574.39 495.65 469.98 -4.02
477.28 Triston Casas BOS 1B 534.17 517.96 480.42 3.14
481.2 Nick Pratto KC 1B 609.89 576.77 458.17 -23.03
518.25 Edwin Rios LAD 1B 543.11 578.27 512 -6.25
519.19 Lewin Diaz MIA 1B 536.11 608.88 528.98 9.79
520.65 Brad Miller PHI 1B, OF 531 565.5 537.74 17.09
530 Ji-Man Choi TB 1B 546.72 602.35 532.09 2.09
533.4 Jace Peterson MLW 1B, 2B, OF 608.61 577.38 538.25 4.85
583.09 Matt Beaty LAD 1B, OF 633 623.27 559.25 -23.84
600.93 Matt Thaiss LAA 1B 745.39 747.42 666.79 65.86
611 Sam Huff TEX 1B 608.78 612.5 588.4 -22.6
615.32 Colin Moran FA 1B 442.06 536.35 614.36 -0.96
622.45 Yu Chang CLE 1B, 3B 651.44 670.81 627.34 4.89
667.97 Eric Thames 테임즈 OAK 1B NA NA NA NA
685.73 Evan White SEA 1B 709.22 694.19 697.17 11.44
691.51 Vinnie Pasquantino FA 1B NA NA 691.25 -0.26
696.72 Phil Gosselin LAA 1B, 3B, OF 542.61 573.27 657.19 -39.53
710.57 Daniel Vogelbach FA 1B 685.06 711.38 717.51 6.94
718.17 Johan Camargo PHI 1B NA 736.85 726.55 8.38
740.03 Albert Pujols LAD 1B 743.11 721.58 735.7 -4.33
742.83 Travis Shaw BOS 1B, 3B 694 NA 738.42 -4.41
742.85 roberto ramos FA 1B NA NA NA NA
742.91 Taylor Jones HOU 1B 747.5 741.65 739.96 -2.95
743.75 Joshua Fuentes COL 1B, 3B 676.56 738.5 729.72 -14.03
746.93 Ryan O’Hearn KC 1B, OF 733.22 744.19 747.32 0.39
748.44 Jake Bauers FA 1B, OF 746.11 743.96 742.45 -5.99
749.17 Willians Astudillo MIN 1B, 3B 731.22 740.35 745.34 -3.83
749.79 Ryan Zimmerman WAS 1B 749.22 737.08 748.89 -0.9
750.04 Justin Smoak FA 1B NA NA NA NA
750.33 John Nogowski FA 1B NA 747.58 748.62 -1.71
NA Wyatt Mathisen SEA 1B NA NA 748 #VALUE!
NA Jose Marmolejos SEA 1B 749.22 NA 750.25 #VALUE!
ADP is based on NFBC Draft Champions leagues





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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