Daily Fantasy Strategy — April 23 — For Draftstreet

So, it’s the day after #JoseFernandezDay. It’s so unfortunate that we’re only treated to one, or if we’re really lucky, two of those per week. Unfortunately, we can’t have nice things. The baseball gods knew Fernandez’s next start was today, so apparently they decided us mortals shouldn’t be treated to a Chris Sale start as well.

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Yesterday Jeff wrote a fantastic piece about Charlie Blackmon. While writing said piece, he noticed that more than a few Rockies’ batters had cut their strikeout rates. Or in other words, the Rockies are making more contact. So I began wondering which pitching staffs have allowed the most and least contact so far.

Team O-Contact% Z-Contact% Contact%
Braves 59.6% 84.3% 75.5%
Nationals 62.5% 83.8% 75.6%
Pirates 59.8% 84.9% 75.7%
Mariners 55.8% 85.5% 76.0%
Dodgers 61.7% 85.3% 77.0%

Not surprisingly, the Nationals haven’t allowed a lot of contact. As if you needed another reason to like their staff. The Braves topping the list somewhat shocked me, considering that like Washington, they’re down a key rotation piece. I expected the Dodgers to be here, with Kershaw, I wasn’t sure they’d be here without him, so good for them. The Mariners and Pirates are also interesting. If only Paxton and Walker could be healthy at the same time.

Team O-Contact% Z-Contact% Contact%
Twins 72.0% 90.9% 84.7%
Orioles 69.5% 89.2% 83.5%
Astros 68.5% 88.7% 81.8%
Rangers 66.8% 89.3% 81.4%
White Sox 66.9% 89.3% 81.4%

*Insert Twins jokes here.* Mostly teams that were projected to be bad are in the bottom five. The Rangers’ rotation does have Yu Darvish, but aside from him and the injured Derek Holland, they don’t miss a ton of bats.

This information could be meaningless, or it might be helpful given the fact that Draftstreet deducts points from your score every time one of your offensive pick strikes out. Onto the picks.

The Daily Five

Blue Jays stack

Edwin Encarnacion – $7,142
Melky Cabrera – $7,784
Colby Rasmus – $4,951

I’m not sold that Chris Tillman’s homer issues are solved, so I’m banking on a little regression to the mean today. Edwin finally left the yard last night. And for that, four of my fantasy teams rejoiced. Hopefully he has another in him today.

Nathan Eovaldi – $14,371

Eovaldi has been phenomenal to start the season. Today he gets a Braves’ lineup that is fresh off of a 15 strikeout performance, thanks to the aforementioned Jose Fernandez. The Braves do have the ability to leave the yard a few times, but their penchant for swinging and missing makes them an extremely interesting play today.

Jonathan Niese – $12,679

St. Louis, like Atlanta, also has the lineup to erupt, but they’ve been pretty terrible versus left handed pitching so far (.229 wOBA). At his price, Neise doesn’t have to do a whole lot to be a worthwhile buy.

We know you play in all sorts of leagues. So to help you fine-tune the analysis you’d like to read, we’ve added three tags to the categories on the right: Roto, Head to Head, and Daily Fantasy Update. Use these to get the information that is most relevant to your leagues!

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We hoped you liked reading Daily Fantasy Strategy — April 23 — For Draftstreet by Landon Jones!

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Landon is a senior writer at The Fantasy Fix. You can follow and interact with him on Twitter (@joneslandon).

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I usually avoid sharing this stuff because, well, I’m greedy, but yes, the Cardinals have a .229 wOBA vs lefties–in 168 PAs….and only 96 PAs against a LHSP (meaning a good portion of the rest were probably LOOGYs vs lefties)….with a .230 BABIP….and a lineup that will go 2-Molina (R), 3-Adams (L), 4-Ellis (R), 5-Carpenter (S), 6-Peralta (R), 7-Holliday (R), 8-Bourjos (R), 9-Craig (R). So yes, please, go buy Niese. The Cardinals may not have hit lefties hard yet, but they’ll be death on them by the time the year is out.