Archive for Strategy

Beat the Shift Podcast – Prospect Episode w/ James Anderson

The Prospect episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: James Anderson

Prospects

  • The top prospects already in the major leagues
  • Has the new incentives for rookies changed the timing of prospect call-ups?
  • Prospects to make an impact in 2024
  • Prospects to make an impact in 2025

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Strategy Section

  • Hit rates for prospects
  • What translates to short term success for prospects?
  • What translates to long term success for prospects?
  • How much FAAB should you bid on prospects when they come up to the majors (NFBC)?
  • How early should you pick up prospects off of the waiver wire (home leagues)?
  • When should you trade for/away prospects in keeper leagues?
  • When should you cut bait on a prospect in redraft leagues?

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Mailbag

Injury Update

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Relief Pitcher Episode w/ Doug Dennis

The Relief Pitcher episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Doug Dennis

Strategy Section

  • The value of rostering a closer handcuff
  • The value of middle relievers who won’t close games
  • Key Middle Relievers
  • Timing of when to pick up closer handcuffs off of the wire
  • Looking at overall skills vs. recent performance
  • How much FAAB to spend on new in-season closers?
  • How to deal with closers potentially being traded mid-season?
  • When to drop a struggling or demoted closer?
  • Decisions are context dependent
  • Closers on bad teams

The Doug Dennis Strategy

  • Tout Wars expert league strategy

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Bullpen Situations

  • Phillies
  • Orioles
  • Rays
  • Twins
  • Dodgers
  • Nationals

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Value Episode w/ Larry Schechter

The Value episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Larry Schechter

Larry’s new book – The History of Fantasy Sports

Strategy Section

  • Auction Draft Strategy
    • General Strategy
    • Bargains & Relative Bargains
    • High priced catchers
    • How to bump up catchers for replacement level
    • Valuing closers
    • Preparing with market values
    • How to incorporate risk in your values
      • Baked into player projections via playing time
      • Aggregating risk
    • Using projections
  • Mono vs. Mixed leagues
    • Valuing players in a mixed league
    • FAAB
  • In-person vs. online auctions

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Hot Episode w/ Sky Dombrokse

The Hot episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Sky Dombroske

Introduction

  • Tout Wars H2H
  • Head to Head format
  • Not having an injured list
  • Mike Trout injury

Strategy Section

  • Hot Starts
    • What metrics should you look at to determine if hot starts are for real?
    • Using pre-season players projections based partially on prior injured seasons
    • Which do you believe more – hot pitcher starts or hot hitter starts?
    • How quickly to act on picking up hot players off of the waiver wire?
      • How much should you pay in FAAB?
    • Trading
      • Trading for a hot player
      • Trading away a hot player
    • How long do you keep rolling with hot players in your active lineup?
      • Hitters vs. pitchers
    • How to know when a player has “cooled off”

Hot Start Hitters – How to handle?

Hot Start Pitchers – How to handle?

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Cold Episode w/ Sara Sanchez

The Cold episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Sara Sanchez

Catching Up

  • Las Vegas
  • Eclipse
  • Red Sox Opening Day
  • Softball
  • High School Baseball

Strategy Section

  • Starting Pitcher injuries
    • Velocity related?
    • Does MLB have a problem on its hands?
    • How should we alter our fantasy strategy?
    • Sholuld we be spedning more or less draft capital on pitching?
  • Cold Starts to the season
    • When to bench?
    • When to drop?
    • How to tell injury from a cold start?
    • What stats to look at to determine bounceback?
    • Hitters vs. Pitchers

Underperforming Pitchers – How to handle?

Underperforming Hitters – How to handle?

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

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Beat the Shift Podcast – 2024 Predictions Episode w/ Scott Pianowski

The 2024 Predictions episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Scott Pianowski

Strategy Section

  • Draft Recap
    • Drafting early vs. drafting late
    • The influence of projections
    • Helium players
      • What causes them?
    • Closer trends
  • Discussion about Average Draft Position (ADP)
  • Our most drafted players
  • FAAB in the first few weeks of the season
    • Importance
    • Opportunity Cost
    • How much to spend?
    • Tying in draft / roster construction

Bold Predictions

  • Hitter predictions
  • Pitcher predictions
  • Team predictions

Awards Predictions

  • MVP
  • Cy Young
  • Rookie of the Year

World Series Predictions

Injury Update

Softball

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Draft & Auction Recap Episode w/ Justin Mason

The Draft & Auction Recap episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Justin Mason

Strategy Section

  • TGFBI
    • What is TGFBI?
    • KDS Selections
    • Draft plan & execution
    • Freddie Freeman as a 1st rounder
    • Nico Hoerner as a draft linchpin
    • Relief Pitcher darts at the end of drafts
    • How much risk to take on, and when?
    • TGFBI Average Draft Position trends
  • Auctions
    • Differences between snake drafts and auctions
    • What is it like to draft against?
      • Ariel Cohen
      • Justin Mason
    • Adjusting draft strategy based on other owners’ tendencies
    • Coming to auction tables with market values
    • Hitter / Pitcher % Split
    • How to handle Ronald Acuna Jr. in auctions?
    • Online vs. in-person auctions
    • 12-team vs. 15-team auctions
  • LABR Mixed Auction Recap
    • Justin
      • Stars & Scrubs hitting
      • Low cost pitching
      • Late game / low valued injury darts
      • 3 Closers
    • Ariel
      • Big catcher spending
      • High value starting pitching
      • How to make up for the loss of Devin Williams
    • Trading leagues vs. non-trading leagues
  • Tout Mixed Auction Recap
  • Drafting as a proxy for a team’s owner
  • Tout Head to Head Recap
    • Do you need to follow the market’s Hitter / Pitcher % split in points leagues?
    • Nominating catchers early on
    • Salvador Perez’s value
    • Factoring in the HTH playoff format into player valuation

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Relief Pitcher Preview Episode – w/ Greg Jewett

The Relief Pitcher episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Greg Jewett

Strategy Section

  • General closer player pool observations
  • What price points should you purchase closers at?
    • General strategy
  • Is purchasing closers through FAAB a good investment?
  • What skills or information should you look at to speculate on closers in waiting?
  • Stay away from closers on bad teams?
  • When is it worthwhile to roster a closer handcuff?
  • Should you worry that a closer will be traded mid-season (enough to affect a buying/rostering decision)?

Closer Situations

  • Discussion of all 30 MLB team closer situations

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The Value of Activity in Ottoneu Leagues

I commonly hear people praising active managers in fantasy leagues, and there is good reason for this. Active managers make for a fun league. My favorite leagues are the ones with regular transactions, trades, etc., where every manager is engaged. While activity makes for a fun league, the praise for active managers often assumes active managers are “good” or “winning” managers. Fun is hard to measure, but good we can try to validate.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Mock Draft Episode – w/ Chris Welsh

The Mock Draft episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Chris Welsh

Strategy Section

  • General snake draft strategy
  • Early round pitcher strategy
  • Differences between various formats & depths
  • Tackling closers
  • Tackling catchers
  • KDS preferences
  • What is the most important statistic to focus on?
  • What is a category that you could get on the waiver wire?

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