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I am so sorry about dropping the ball on the 2-start sheet today. It slipped my mind this morning and I committed to some other tasks that ate up most of my day. Of the 2-start guys whose team didn’t play Monday meaning they can still be adjusted in the lineup at a lot of outlets, here is what I’m thinking:

• Pfaadt is starting everywhere even w/a tough NYM and LAD combo
• Lodolo is 15s and deeper eligible even w/OAK playing better in general and MIL lurking on the weekend, but there is big risk given his poor Aug. (8.84 ERA in 18.3 IP)
• Cueto is one of my favorite SPs ever so full bias on the table but at DET/v. SEA is enticing. DET’s young roster is playing better of late (5.6 R/G w/a 6-2 record in the L8), but I’d still take a shot in 15s where I’m trying to catch lightning in a bottle.
• Myers is starting everywhere. I know the sparkling 2.85 ERA isn’t fully supported by his metrics but even 5-6 IP w/3-4 ER in each outing puts him in a good spot to pull win.
• Manaea is a lineup lock right now so even though the at ARI isn’t easy, he can hopefully make up any potential damage w/the at CHW weekend start.
• Webb is a must-start in all formats, of course.
• Heaney has an amazing 2-step w/at CHW and v. OAK (again, all respect to OAK playing competently and their strength of HRs is Heaney’s weakness, but I’m still starting him everywhere).

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I’ll the run 2-start chart in the morning and there are definitely some guys I’m leaning away from today that do become compelling in weekly formats with their weekend starts. — I totally dropped the ball on this as my morning got away from me with a few others things I had to get done. I’ll still discuss the 2-start guys who start on Tuesday in Monday night’s SP Chart. I’m sorry, y’all!

Miller/Pepiot could drop 30 Ks!

Whenever I start sobering up on Keller, he reels me back in.

I was surprised by TOR’s success vR of late. It isn’t all Vlad, but it’s mostly Vlad. His 228 wRC+ is 2nd best vR in over that time, but hilariously almost 100 pts behind Judge’s 321!!!!

Madden is interesting, but it’s his MLB debut and then BOS comes calling on the weekend so I’m inclined to sit this week out and reassess on Sunday.

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For a full slate, this is a brutal board! Be careful out there if you’re streaming. Just 8 full recos, three of whom aren’t in my Top 50 SPs right now meaning they are far from sure things. The 1-2 x recos are just a mess between brutally tough matchups, poor recent performance, or both.
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We had Hurter listed for Detroit tomorrow, but he’s pitching right now–well, he just got merked by a comebacker right as I’m typing this. He taking some warmup pitches and seems no more Hurter than he was prior to today, but the bottom line is that he’s NOT pitching tomorrow. Maybe it’ll just be Maeda who was slated for tonight (Wednesday) originally?

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I just don’t know what to expect from Crochet innings-wise, so he’s no longer a must-start.

Only 8 full scale recos before things start getting dicey because of matchup or performance and sometimes both.

Look, I’m on the Tobias Myers Train. I’m not entirely sure how it’s working this well and I don’t think it will continue at this pace but I’ll trade some ratio regression for win opportunity w/MIL.

I know TOR popped off tonight, but I’m still feeling pretty good about Martinez.

Gotta see one from Verlander before slotting him in.

I had zero clue Cueto was still playing… it’s awesome that he’s back!

Still plenty of risk with Montgomery, especially with MIA hitting better of late.

Wednesday morning update: Skenes is starting tomorrow and German is going today… I’m not re-running the full board, so I just made the janky-looking update of slotting German in Skenes’ spot and removing all the x’s since I wouldn’t start him anywhere.

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Let me know if you have questions about anyone in the comments below!

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I posted the 2-start board separately on Sunday evening.
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I had some extra time this Sunday evening so I got the 2-start board done early!

Kikuchi has 24 Ks in 3 strong starts w/HOU (2.70 ERA, 0.96 WHIP in 16.7 IP) and this’ll be a huge test for talented lefty, but I’m running him everywhere.

Lack of offensive support for Woo is why he’s just 2-0 in his L5 despite a blistering 1.48 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 30.3 IP; even if I’m Ws chasing, I’d still start him.

Bradley suffering a fatigue-induced wear down or just 3 off-kilter starts (9.64 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, 13% K-BB in 14 IP)? Can’t say for sure, but I’m gonna run the 2-start and then reassess.

While Houck only allowed 3 ER in his last 2 starts v. HOU and TEX, he still had just 4 Ks and 5 BB in the 12.7 IP of work. With the previous 3 duds, he’s at 4.85 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and 1% K-BB in 29.7 IP over his L5. I realize he’s been excellent on the whole this year, but this is a brutal slate at HOU and v. ARI so I think there are some sits to be found out there. The sweeper ain’t sweepin’! Meanwhile the sinker and splitter have come in and out, too, leaving him nothing to rely on right now. He does setup

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I want to make sure it’s known that Arrighetti isn’t just up there because he’s facing the White Sox, he has been absolutely cooking lately: 3.25 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 26% K-BB in his L6 (36 IP) including 25 Ks in his last two starts. He has still allowed 5 HRs during this run (1.3 HR9) so the longball lingers as a potential problem, but as long as they are solos (4 of the 5 have been) he can survive.

I’m still loving what Schwelly is doing, too. He went into Coors and dropped a 6 IP/2 ER/7 K gem that deserved a win before Luke Jackson and Joe Jiménez decided to allow 7 runs in the 8th inning. Schwellenbach’s been even better than Arrighetti of late with a 2.54 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 28% K-BB in his L6 (39 IP). I’ll take either Spencer right now, though. They are both in the rotation regardless of matchup right now in virtually every format.

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Be veryyy careful with that 1-x group, 3 of ’em are facing really tough matchups and Maeda… well, look at his numbers. There’s some sketchiness in the 2-x group, too. I just want to avoid the 7+ ER meltdowns this late in the season and of course it’s impossible to predict them, but they are so punishing at this juncture. That said, we also can’t play scared (unless you’re protecting big ratio leads and just trying to successfully land a huge lead, but that’s rare), so trust your picks and don’t overthink the duds too much.
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