Archive for Prospects

Prospect Scouting & Stats — Pitcher Pitch Grades & Strikeout Rate

After concluding our look at hitter prospect scouting grades and stats, it’s time to flip on over to pitchers. I’ll begin by looking at the pitch type grades, strikeout rates, and SwStk% marks. First, let’s see how these pitch grades correlate with those two metrics.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Spd – Present

As continue our look at scouting grades and stats, let’s now move along to hitter speed, represented by the Spd grade. Although there is also a Future grade, we’re not going to bother with it, as only four of 420 prospects earned a higher Future grade than Present. So all our analysis will be based on the Spd – Present (SP) grades. We’ll start by looking at correlations and grade distribution.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Hit Tool – Future

Yesterday, I listed and discussed the top 12 prospects in the Hit – Present (HP) grade. Today, let’s look toward the future, as we’ll take a gander at the top 14 in the Hit – Future (HF) grade. Since there are a whopping 42 prospects slapped with a 60 grade HF, I’m going to only include those with an FV of at least 55 in that HF tier. If the prospect also appeared on yesterday’s board, I won’t discuss him again.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Hit Tool – Present

Yesterday, I analyzed the hitter hit tool grades and their correlations with various hitter skill rates and results. Now let’s take a look at the leaders in the Hit – Present (HP) grade. Below are the top 12 in HP.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Hit Tool

For the last week and a half, I have looked at prospect scouting power grades and stats. Today, we move along to prospect scouting hit tool grades. While power grades are pretty clearly meant to forecast a prospect’s Major League ISO and/or HR/FB rates, it’s not entirely obvious to me what a Hit grade is meant to tell us.

Is it indicative of underlying skills relating to hitting ability, such as walk/strikeout rates, along with BABIP, or is it more of the ultimate result of those skills, such as batting average and/or on base percentage? From perusing through Kiley McDaniel’s old articles back in 2014 explaining the scouting grades, it seems like OBP is the intent, but I’m not 100% sure. Either way, let’s dive into the correlations between the present and future hit grades with the various underlying hitting talent skills and results.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Raw Power – Future

Today I finish our look at the hitter power grade leaderboards, ending with raw power in the future (RPF). Let’s identify and discuss the 26 hitters with an RPF grade of at least 70. As usual, I will only discuss those missing from previous leaderboards.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Raw Power – Present

Today I continue the Prospect Scouting & Stats series, sticking with hitter power, but moving to raw power grades. We’ll start with raw power in the present (RPP) and then tomorrow will look at raw power in the future. Let’s discuss the 17 hitters that earned an RPP grade of at least 70. As a reminder, the table is sorted by RPP and then FV.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Game Power – Future

Yesterday, I listed and discussed the 20 prospects who earned a Game Power – Present (GPP) grade of at least 50. Today, I shift the future and will list and discuss 19 prospects who earned a Game Power – Future (GPF) grade of at least 60 and earned an FV of at least 50. Since the number of 60+ GPF players was 39, I wanted to narrow down the least to make it a similar size as the GPP list.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Game Power – Present

This week I continue my series on prospect scouting and stats. Today, let’s look at present hitter game power grades. While my High bucket encompassed present game power grades of at least 40, that was nearly a quarter of THE BOARD. So let’s only discuss the top of the top in the power department.

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Prospect Scouting & Stats — Hitter Power Part 2

Yesterday, I introduced you to my newest series, Prospect Scouting & Stats, and began by sharing correlations between the various scouting power grades and average exit velocity with minor league HR/FB rate and ISO. I generally found better correlations with HR/FB rate, and average exit velocity (EV), which is completely objective, actually correlated best. During my analysis, I wondered aloud whether we might find better correlations if the scouting grades and EV all agreed. So, I dove back into the data to find out. I decided to only look at HR/FB rate this time since we care more about it as fantasy players and the metrics correlated better with it.

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