Archive for Featured

Justin Mason’s 2022 Apology Tour: NFBC Main Event

2022 was the worst year I have ever had as a fantasy player. I played in 16 leagues and did not cash in a single one. The hard part is that I don’t even know what went wrong. I had teams I really liked coming out of the draft and some that were doing very well throughout the season. Over the next few weeks I will deep dive into each team in a series of articles to examine what went wrong and what the common threads were. This is my 2022 Apology Tour.
Read the rest of this entry »


2022 Biggest Hitter Busts

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

For this I used the Auction Calculator which includes the ADP pulled from the NFBC and focused on the guys who weren’t complete injury washouts. Adalberto Mondesi was indeed a bust, but he managed just 54 PA so you had a replacement all year. Injuries certainly play a role in bust seasons, whether it’s something that costs a player time or a nagging injury that compromises their play but doesn’t take them off the field. I used a 300 PA cutoff here which is admittedly arbitrary and does include guys who hit the IL, but figured it gave us a better group of guys whose bust status is more performance-based.

Wander Franco | 58.9 ADP 

-$2 in 344 PA – .277 AVG, 6 HR, 8 SB, 33 RBI, 46 R

Among the hitters drafted in the top 100, Franco was the only negative value who eclipsed 300 PA. He did have a pair of IL stints that essentially cut his season in half, but the production while on the field didn’t really match his draft price. The 22-year-old shortstop still has incredible upside, and the market definitely won’t run away from him based on this season. He went 89th in the one draft I’ve done so far and I expect him to slowly rise up the board over the winter and wind up around the Top 75 come draft season in March.

Read the rest of this entry »


Deep League Starting Pitchers (Wesneski, Clevinger, Quantrill, & Steele)

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

I am examining starters going later than pick 300 in the latest NFBC ADP (since October 1st). Here are the previous editions:

Hayden Wesneski (302 ADP)

It looks like the 24-year-old righty isn’t going to be a secret like I hoped. He shoved in four starts with a 1.85 ERA (3.87 xFIP), 0.95 WHIP, 49% GB%, and 8.1 K/9. While he just threw 33 major league innings, he threw a combined 143 IP when his AAA numbers are included. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s 2022 Apology Tour: NFBC Auction Championship

2022 was the worst year I have ever had as a fantasy player. I played in 16 leagues and did not cash in a single one. The hard part is that I don’t even know what went wrong. I had teams I really liked coming out of the draft and some that were doing very well throughout the season. Over the next few weeks I will deep dive into each team in a series of articles to examine what went wrong and what the common threads were. This is my 2022 Apology Tour. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (10/26/22)

Kodai Senga and Shintaro Fujinami, both from Japan, are likely to sign with a major league club this offseason.

Right-hander Kodai Senga is planning to trigger the opt-out in his contract with the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and become a free agent, according to a report from Sankei Sports (Japanese language link). Senga and the club agreed to a five-year extension back in December, though that contract contained an opt-out clause after the first season. Senga will be a free agent and won’t be subject to the MLB-NPB posting system. It was reported in August that Senga planned to pursue MLB opportunities this winter and it now seems he will follow through on those plans.

and

The Hanshin Tigers of Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball are going to make right-hander Shintaro Fujinami available to MLB clubs this offseason via the posting system, according to a report from Kyodo News. Back in September, reports from Japan (Japanese link from Sponichi Annex and English link from The Japan Times) relayed his desire to attempt the move to North America. It now seems that the club will grant him his wish.

Here are the ZiPS projections for both.

ZiPS Projections for Senga & Pujinami
Name Age G GS IP ERA WHIP K/9 BB/9
Kodai Senga 30 22 22 140 3.54 1.18 10.7 3.5
Shintaro Fujinami 29 24 12 96 3.70 1.33 10.4 4.2

Senga is definitely the more interesting of the two.

• I’ve continued to update the hitters who played through an injury list. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s 2022 Apology Tour: TGFBI

2022 was the worst year I have ever had as a fantasy player. I played in 16 leagues and did not cash in a single one. The hard part is that I don’t even know what went wrong. I had teams I really liked coming out of the draft and some that were doing very well throughout the season. Over the next few weeks I will deep dive into each team in a series of articles to examine what went wrong and what the common threads were. This is my 2022 Apology Tour. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1108 – Dissecting Justin’s SP Rankings

10/14/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

REVIEWING JUSTIN’S SP RANKS

Finesse Lefties:

Read the rest of this entry »


Deep League Starting Pitchers (Eflin, Garrett, Carrasco, & Gore)

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Last year, I picked the starting pitchers using an NFBC ADP of over 300. With no official ADP to go off of yet, I’m starting with pitchers taken after pick 300 from this draft.

Note: The Dodgers prospect Bobby Miller is on the list. I’m going to examine him at a later date once I can compile more prospect information. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s 2022 Apology Tour: Triple Players Ball

2022 was the worst year I have ever had as a fantasy player. I played in 16 leagues and did not cash in a single one. The hard part is that I don’t even know what went wrong. I had teams I really liked coming out of the draft and some that were doing very well throughout the season. Over the next few weeks I will deep dive into each team in a series of articles to examine what went wrong and what the common threads were. This is my 2022 Apology Tour.
Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s 2022 Apology Tour: Battle of the Podcasts

2022 was the worst year I have ever had as a fantasy player. I played in 16 leagues and did not cash in a single one. The hard part is that I don’t even know what went wrong. I had teams I really liked coming out of the draft and some that were doing very well throughout the season. Over the next few weeks I will deep dive into each team in a series of articles to examine what went wrong and what the common threads were. This is my 2022 Apology Tour.
Read the rest of this entry »