Catcher ADP Market Report: 2/1/2023

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

Top 100 Players Rising

Dalton Varsho (+11.59)- Varsho is rising up the ADP following his trade to Toronto. With his trade it is likely that he doesn’t catch moving forward, but for this season that is fine because he can rack up a ton of plate appearances in the outfield while retaining that catching eligibility for 2023. His power/speed combo is rare at the position and it would not be surprising if he is a second rounder come March. 


Top 100 Players Falling



Top 200 Players Rising

MJ Melendez (+11.86)- It is a little surprising for Melendez to be rising considering there hasn’t been any news that changes his role. He is another catcher that can rack up plate appearances because of his real life positional flexibility. I don’t know if there is a massive power breakout for him this year, but we could see a little more for the most part. He is a valuable accumulator at a position where there aren’t a ton of them. 

William Contreras (+18)- Contreras is rising after his trade to Milwaukee. The good news is that now that he is out of Atlanta, he should find his way to 400+ plate appearances. The bad news is that I just don’t know that we see a massive breakout because of it. I think his ADP is fine, but if it rises any more, I am probably out. 

Sean Murphy (+25.61)- Murphy is rising now that he is out of Oakland following his trade. You couldn’t ask for a better landing spot either. It is a much better park and team around him which should lead to an improved stat line in all categories outside of stolen bases. On the flip side, I don’t see him leading catchers in the Major Leagues in plate appearances again so it may not be as big of a bump as the ADP rise suggests. Even after the rise in ADP, I don’t think the price is out of line at the moment as of yet. 

Danny Jansen (+29.25)- Jansen is quickly becoming one of the favorites of draft season in the catching department and for good reason. He was electric in the second half and the Blue Jays traded away one of his main competitors for playing time in Moreno. However, I worry a little bit about Brandon Belt taking away opportunities from him as the designated hitter. He is currently my 13th ranked catcher and he is going off the board 13th, so as long as he doesn’t continue to fly up the board, I am good with the price. 


Top 200 Players Falling



Top 300 Players Rising

Jonah Heim (+17.9)- I am a little surprised to see Heim continue to rise after his complete disaster of a second half because that usually tanks a player’s ADP. Maybe people are looking at the second half BABIP and hoping that he just got unlucky. I don’t know if he is special enough where it matters enough to take the gamble on him as his price goes up. 

Gabriel Moreno (+46.16)- Moreno is rising after the trade to Arizona. The only problem with that is that he gets enough playing time with Carson Kelly on the roster to make a huge difference for fantasy in 2023. I think his long term value is great but I am not ready to buy in on him for this season. 

Christian Vazquez (+21.77)- Vazquez has been rising after signing to be the main catcher in Minnesota, but he has such a low ceiling it is a bit surprising to see the move help him a lot. He does have a nice floor so he won’t actively hurt you, but he doesn’t make much sense outside of deep 2-catcher format. 


Top 300 Players Falling

Travis d’Arnaud (-19.7)- d’Arnaud is dropping after the trade of Murphy to the Braves and for good reason. He is not not the primary catcher and has a ton of injury risk considering his history. I was already out on him this season, but the addition of Murphy put the nail in that coffin. 

Yasmani Grandal (-23.65)- Maybe I am dumb, but I just can’t quit Grandal yet. He did look washed last season, but I wonder if he was banged up for much of the season. He is also a career .299 hitter with no shift in place and while I don’t want to overrate that, it is some nice confirmation bias. The discount is so nice that I am willing to take the gamble. 


Others of Note

Nick Fortes (+28.12)- I really like Fortes, but I worry that the Marlins will prefer to give Stallings a lot of playing time behind the plate because of his defense. If he can find 300+ plate appearances, he could be a really nice C2, but I do worry that is kind of a big if. 

Christian Bethancourt 베탄코트 (+33.98)- Bethancourt is rising after a surprise season in which he hit .252/.283/.409 with 11 home runs and five stolen bases in 333 plate appearances. I do think he regresses a little because of his plate skills. He had a 19.9% swinging strike rate, a pitiful 77.5% zone contact, and swung outside the zone 47.4% of the time. There is some pop and a bit of speed, but I just am not impressed.

Catcher ADP Market Report: 2/1/2023
12/2/22-2/1/23 Player Team Position(s) 11/1/22-12/1/22 10/1/22-10/31/22 Change
26.44 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 33.55 38.26 7.11
38.86 Daulton Varsho TOR C, OF 50.45 57.21 11.59
57.72 Will Smith LAD C 57.36 57.26 -0.36
65.68 Adley Rutschman BAL C 69.64 69.42 3.96
67.98 Salvador Perez KC C 64.64 65.53 -3.34
102.32 MJ Melendez KC C, OF 114.18 113.21 11.86
102.53 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 107.36 107.21 4.83
103.98 Willson Contreras CHC C 102.36 105.11 -1.62
123.18 William Contreras MIL C 141.18 148.32 18
124.84 Sean Murphy ATL C 150.45 159.32 25.61
139.77 Tyler Stephenson CIN C 136.55 134.89 -3.22
162.61 Cal Raleigh SEA C 166.09 168.53 3.48
187.75 Danny Jansen TOR C 217 222.16 29.25
189.42 Keibert Ruiz WAS C 194.55 203 5.13
216.79 Travis d’Arnaud ATL C 197.09 198.05 -19.7
242.74 Jonah Heim TEX C 260.64 285.58 17.9
243.02 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 289.18 299.42 46.16
251.05 Christian Vazquez HOU C 272.82 279.42 21.77
259.79 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C 257.27 301.42 -2.52
280.65 Yasmani Grandal CWS C 257 245.95 -23.65
291.04 Eric Haase DET C 296.55 324.42 5.51
318.95 Bo Naylor CLE C 289.36 338.68 -29.59
328.7 Nick Fortes MIA C 356.82 366.47 28.12
332.84 Christian Bethancourt TB C, 1B 366.82 394.84 33.98
345.28 Joey Bart SF C 341 347.26 -4.28
353 Elias Diaz COL C 361 336.11 8
354.26 Gary Sanchez MIN C 323.27 334.21 -30.99
366.81 Jose Trevino NYY C 354.45 414.95 -12.36
398.14 Endy Rodriguez PIT C 402.64 446.26 4.5
408.95 Carson Kelly ARZ C 367 360.42 -41.95
411.98 Austin Nola SD C 388.27 397.89 -23.71
433.3 Omar Narvaez MLW C 462 446.84 28.7
446.67 Francisco Mejia TB C 431.09 424 -15.58
449.93 Luis Campusano SD C 466.45 495.95 16.52
461 Yan Gomes CHC C 413.55 450 -47.45
461.12 Mike Zunino TB C 579.73 560.79 118.61
481.4 Reese McGuire BOS C 490.45 524.47 9.05
504.3 Ryan Jeffers MIN C 431.09 463.05 -73.21
533.88 Jorge Alfaro SD C 491.82 497.42 -42.06
557.42 Max Stassi LAA C 519.27 515.21 -38.15
570.37 Jacob Stallings MIA C 557.64 590 -12.73
592.25 Kyle Higashioka NYY C 628.64 629.53 36.39
597.12 Martin Maldonado HOU C 617.36 625.74 20.24
608.07 Sam Huff TEX C 559.91 571.26 -48.16
609.58 Connor Wong BOS C 695.09 715.37 85.51
614.72 James McCann NYM C 567.09 594.95 -47.63
621.35 Victor Caratini MLW C 574.09 649.32 -47.26
647.56 Tucker Barnhart DET C 719.27 710.68 71.71
676.05 Austin Barnes LAD C 674.27 689.47 -1.78
681.93 Seby Zavala CWS C 737.73 716.26 55.8
682.93 Tom Murphy SEA C 706.55 731.32 23.62
696.12 Austin Hedges CLE C 737.18 730.53 41.06
717.4 Korey Lee HOU C 710.18 726.26 -7.22
718.77 Blake Sabol SF C NA NA NA
721.23 P.J. Higgins CHC C, 1B 638.73 683.05 -82.5
721.88 Brian Serven COL C 730.82 739.37 8.94
724.84 Austin Wells FA C 699.18 683.47 -25.66
727.51 Manny Pina ATL C NA 743.21 #VALUE!
729.54 Jake Rogers DET C NA NA #VALUE!
732.75 Andrew Knizner STL C 638.64 630.32 -94.11
741.67 Tomas Nido NYM C 728.45 747.26 -13.22
741.7 Matt Thaiss LAA C 724 718.84 -17.7
742.79 Curt Casali CIN C NA NA NA
744.51 Garrett Stubbs PHI C 746 741 1.49
744.89 Riley Adams WAS C 743.82 742.53 -1.07
745.58 Diego Cartaya LAD C 717.09 723.11 -28.49
746.11 Ivan Herrera STL C 613.82 626.16 -132.29
748.44 Roberto Perez PIT C 726.18 732.79 -22.26
749.26 Kevin Plawecki TEX C NA 734.68 NA
749.72 Carlos Perez CWS C NA 749 NA
NA Luke Maile CIN C 750 NA NA
NA Freddy Fermin KC C 750.27 NA NA
NA Jose Herrera ARZ C 730.09 NA NA
NA Luis Torrens SEA C 747.09 726.53 NA
NA Mario Feliciano MLW C 749.27 741.37 NA
NA Pedro Severino MLW C 749.55 730 NA
NA Bryan Lavastida CLE C 749.64 NA NA
750.26 Ben Rortvedt NYY C NA NA NA
750.28 Austin Wynns SF C NA NA NA
750.61 Darik Buchar FA C NA NA NA
750.72 Luke Maile CIN C NA NA NA
750.96 Freddy Fermin KC C NA NA NA
ADP is based on NFBC Draft Champions leagues

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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3 months ago

Grandal is like a Molina or Posey where one remembers the better days and thinks he might still be able to get back to them. Unlike the other detritus on the lower end of the catching scale, where you probably very much know what you’re going to get (.220, 5-10 HR, etc), one might as well take a chance on Grandal and drop him if he truly looks done.

3 months ago
Reply to  LightenUpFG

Grandal does not deserve to be used in the same sentence as those two as a baseball player. He and Vazquez are exceptional values for close to free in fantasy.

3 months ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

Well yeah, wasn’t saying he was HOF worthy, just that Molina and Posey might have been called ‘done’ near the end of their careers but they still proved people wrong with their late career production for a year or two. I would hesitate to count Grandal out because he has proven that he can be very productive in the past, so his current price/rank/popularity level might prove advantageous for those who still give him a chance this year.