Bullpen Report: May 13, 2014
A few quick updates from Monday:
• Addison Reed blew his second save on the year and now holds a 1-3 record and is 11/13 on save chances. Kirk Gibson squashed any closer controversy rumors but the fact remains that Reed has not pitched well this year. The Diamondbacks gave up some value in a trade for Reed so he should have a long leash but a 5.03 ERA and 5.49 FIP certainly isn’t pretty. Reed is actually striking out more guys (26.7%) and walking fewer batters (4.7%) than last year but the long ball has killed him. A 21.4% HR/FB ratio isn’t sustainable but Reed allows many balls fly through the air with a mere 32% career ground ball rate. I’ll take Gibson at his word and not sound the alarm on Reed but Brad Ziegler is someone to take a look at.
• Kyle Farnsworth recorded his third save of the season last night against the Yankees but according to Adam Rubin “there is no longer a set closer” for the Mets. That doesn’t mean Farnsworth’s owners should let go of his services but Jeurys Familia, Daisuke Matsuzaka and even Papa Grande could see a save opportunity in the future.
• Jim Johnson was on the road back to closer but he struggled in the ninth inning last night and Sean Doolittle picked up his second save of the year. It’s a fantasy owner’s nightmare but Oakland might be back to a closer by committee. I wouldn’t put much weight on the order in the grid below as Johnson, Doolittle and Luke Gregerson should all receive save opportunities in the near future. Johnson nearly worked his way back into the full-time role and that could be the case again but it’s a committee for now.
• It wasn’t a save but Casey Janssen pitched a scoreless ninth inning last night to finish a 7-3 win for the Blue Jays. So long as he remains healthy, it’s safe to assume Janssen will receive all the save opportunities in Toronto.
And now for Tuesday:
• Well look at that, Casey Janssen pitched tonight and recorded his first save of the season. As we know, health has been a big concern for Janssen so it’s a relief (pun intended) to see him pitch well on back-to-back days. Janssen was also hitting 91-92 mph on his fastball, which is right in line with last year. The Blue Jays finally have a closer.
• Aroldis Chapman entered the ninth inning tonight in a 1-1 game and although he recorded two strikeouts he also gave up the go-ahead run on a Chase Headley home run. Chapman figures to have a few hiccups as he works himself into form and so this certainly isn’t a concern but he did have a little case of gopheritis last season. Chapman’s swing and miss stuff will always make him elite but a lot of his balls in play are fly balls and a night or two like this is to be expected. Still, the important thing is Chapman is healthy and throwing his usual 100 mph gas, his owners should throw him out there with confidence. Huston Street recorded the save on the other end of the game and is now a perfect 12/12 on the season.
• Joe Smith pitched a clearn eighth inning tonight, and that looks to be his role in the near future with Frieri continuing to get save opportunities, which played itself out with Fieri nailing down his fifth save of the season. Frieri will likely always be a bit of a roller coaster ride so I wouldn’t cut bait with Joe Smith just yet but the role is clearly in Frieri’s hands.
• Tommy Hunter blew his second save in a row tonight, allowing a three run homer to Miguel Cabrera followed by a solo shot by Victor Martinez. After tonight’s outing Hunter now supports a ghastly 6.60/5.04/3.74 ERA/FIP/xFIP line. Darren O’Day pitched a perfect eighth with two strikeouts, lowering his ERA to 0.60. O’Day’s been a bit lucky this year and won’t keep a 100% LOB% all season and is actually getting fewer whiffs than last year which has corresponded with a decreased strikeout rate. He’s still likely first in line for saves if Hunter’s struggles continue or if Baltimore decides to make a change. Also of note is Zach Britton who didn’t pitch tonight but also has a shiny ERA (0.84) with better peripherals than O’Day along with the velocity (93.8 mph on his fastball) that were accustomed to seeing from closers. Both should be owned/monitored in any league counting holds and teams in need of saves should look their way as Hunter has been ineffective of late.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias
As a Mark Melancon owner, should I just ride him as far as I can with Grilli likely back before the end of the month or should I see if I can get someone like Shaw off my waiver wire?
I would ride him. I think he’s the better pitcher going forward, and I think the Pirates know that. Grilli is too old, last season was kind of a fluke for him, and he’s had some real problems staying healthy going back to the second half of last season. Melancon definitely seems like the better play rather than trying to guess what will happen with the other closer committees.
I just wish the Pirates would give him more save opps.
Hurdle indicated that the job will be Grilli’s when he returns. Before his injury, Grilli had converted four of seven saves.”I hate to take a guy’s job away because of an injury,” Hurdle said. “Grilli is feeling fine again. He is starting to feel aggressive.”
Hurdle indicated that the job will be Grilli’s when he returns. Before his injury, Grilli had converted four of seven saves.”I hate to take a guy’s job away because of an injury,” Hurdle said. “Grilli is feeling fine again. He is starting to feel aggressive.”
keep him. I bet he holds off Grilli.. Melancon is a very good reliever and Grilli is old/injury-prone and no need to make a change when it’s working…
If you’re relying on Melancon for saves and Shaw is available I would look to see what else you could drop for a guy like Shaw but I would recommend holding tight on Melancon. Grilli might get his job back upon his return this month but that’s barring no setbacks and Melancon has pitched better than Grilli this season, so it’s not a lock Melancon isn’t closing anymore once Grilli comes back.
It is so good to see Janssen back! Throwing strikes on the black, there is no substitute.
Rosenthal just blew the save. Era above 5 it and Mott returning soon, maybe he should be yellow.
Rosie has been hittable this year and his walk rate is atrocious. I’ll keep it green for now given his talent level and no obvious option breathing down his neck. Motte could factor in if/when he returns as well as Carlos Martinez.
Fernando Rodney can blow me after blowing Iwakuma’s gem. Ugh.
O’Day has been lucky sure, but look at his career strand rate – 100% isnt too far off the mark! Also his babip in comparison to britton’s is more in line with career numbers
Fair point. O’Day is clearly their primary setup, a la Joe Smith, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see someone else (Britton) take over or Hunter regain the role, keeping O’Day in his spot. There just aren’t too many closers with mid 80s heat.
the Closer Carousal goes around and round;
spin the top, spin the bottom
pick red, pick yellow, pick blue
any horsey would do
……..
anyway, yikes, I wonder if Doolittle is going to supplant the committee thing eventually-since he throws hard and can pitch? Except for the truly elite guys, it’s a best bet not to draft closers at all in general.
I still think Johnson regains the job, but I feel a lot less confident saying that today versus a week ago.
yeah, I’d agree with this assessment, he does make $10M (Johnson, that is)…so, money talks, I seriously think it’s odd that Bob Melvin pulled Johnson so quickly.
Mejia will be closing fir the mets by next week, until his next injury then maybe Antonio Alfonseca
I’ve got Melancon and Grilli and am going to try to hold Melancon as long as I can even once (if) Grilli is back and closing games. I’m worried Grilli could struggle or get hurt again. I guess if he is solid for a month or something, I’ll need to free up the roster spot and drop Melancon, but I want to avoid the situation where I drop Melancon right away and then Grilli pulls something else (he’s probably spent more than half the time since last July on the DL) and I have no closer…
Frieri with the save last night and Smith pitching the 8th. Today Frieri pitched the 8th with Smith on for the save. Clearly I overstated Frieri’s hold on the job as Smith is still involved. I see Frieri as the longer term closer this year for Angels but hold onto Smith.