Bullpen Report: March 31, 2016

• Well it didn’t take long for us to have our first closer controversy in 2016 as John Gibbons announced that Roberto Osuna will be their closer on Opening Day. After trading Ben Revere for Drew Storen this offseason, it was assumed that Storen would be in the driver’s seat for the closing gig in Toronto but 2015 rookie sensation Roberto Osuna should take the job and run with it again. Adding insult to injury, after learning about his demotion from the closer’s chair, Storen allowed two runs in one inning of work yesterday. For those of you who had their drafts already, I’m sorry for your loss and you should try to convince the commissioner to hold the draft closer to Opening Day. For those of you who have not had their draft, please bump up Osuna’s value. While there is very stiff competition at the top of the relief rankings (these are a bit outdated and we hope to have an update soon), Osuna was darn impressive as a 20-year old and I could see him touching the top ten by the end of 2016.

• Andrew Miller fractured his right (non-throwing wrist) earlier this week, but he plans to pitch through it. While Miller is fortunate it’s his right and not left wrist that is hurt, he still has an injured wrist and just because he says he will pitch through it doesn’t mean he will be able to for the Yankees. If Miller were to miss anytime, Dellin Betances would slide right in for the closer roll…until Aroldis Chapman returns from susepension and moves Miller and Betances back to setting up. Considering he was originally only going to be closing for 30 games before the injury, I would knock Miller down in your pre-draft rankings until we see how he does moving forward.

• FanGraph’s own, Jeff Zimmerman updates a valuable resource with his changes in Spring Training velocities. These aren’t the gospel as pitchers can gradually gain in strength as the spring and season goes on but it’s worth noting a few pitchers who have seen some larger decreases. Those players include among others Wade Davis (-1.5 mph), Fernando Rodney (-1.9 mph) and Huston Street (-1.9 mph). I wouldn’t immediately look to trade Wade Davis or avoid him in drafts, but considering he was in the top tier of closers I would draft someone else in his tier like Kenly Jansen or Craig Kimbrel ahead of him, even if I originally preferred Wade Davis. Also worth noting however is that Wade Davis’ was sitting at -2 mph earlier this spring and he’s now at – 1.5, so he’s already starting to alleviate some of the concern. As for the others, drafting Rodney’s backups a round or two earlier could be a solid strategy as well.

• This doesn’t make it official, but Astros beat writer Brian McTaggart certainly feels strongly that Ken Giles will be the closer. I’ll leave the grid yellow for now since it’s not attached to an announcement by A.J. Hinch, but Giles is definitely in the driver’s seat for the ninth inning.

• Updating the closer grid is a process as teams figure out their bullpen situations and I have updated a few of the totem poles below. As always, please keep giving us feedback as we perfect the grid before the season starts.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Brad Ziegler Tyler Clippard Daniel Hudson
Atlanta Jason Grilli Arodys Vizcaino Jim Johnson
Baltimore Zach Britton Darren O’Day Mychal Givens
Boston Craig Kimbrel Koji Uehara Junichi Tazawa Carson Smith
CHI (NL) Hector Rondon Pedro Strop Justin Grimm
CHI (AL) David Robertson Jacob Petricka Nate Jones
Cincy J.J. Hoover Jumbo Diaz Tony Cingrani
Cleveland Cody Allen Bryan Shaw Zach McAllister
Colorado Jake McGee Jason Motte Chad Qualls Adam Ottavino
Detroit Francisco Rodriguez Mark Lowe Justin Wilson Bruce Rondon
Houston Ken Giles Luke Gregerson Pat Neshek
KC Wade Davis Joakim Soria Kelvin Herrera
LAA Huston Street Joe Smith Fernando Salas
LAD Kenley Jansen Chris Hatcher Yimi Garcia
Miami A.J. Ramos Mike Dunn Bryan Morris Carter Capps
Milwaukee Jeremy Jeffress Corey Knebel Michael Blazek Will Smith
Minnesota Glen Perkins Kevin Jepsen Trevor May
NY (NL) Jeurys Familia Addison Reed Hansel Robles
NY (AL) Andrew Miller Dellin Betances Jacob Lindgren Aroldis Chapman
Oakland Sean Doolittle John Axford Ryan Madson
Philly Andrew Bailey Dalier Hinojosa David Hernandez
Pittsburgh Mark Melancon Tony Watson Neftali Feliz
St. Louis Trevor Rosenthal Kevin Siegrist Jonathan Broxton
SD Fernando Rodney Kevin Quackenbush Brandon Maurer
SF Santiago Casilla Sergio Romo Hunter Strickland
Seattle Steve Cishek Joaquin Benoit Tony Zych
TB Alex Colome Danny Farquharr Xavier Cedeno Brad Boxberger
Texas Shawn Tolleson Keone Kela Tom Wilhelmsen
Toronto Roberto Osuna Drew Storen Brett Cecil
Wash. Jonathan Papelbon Shawn Kelley Blake Treinen

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]





When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias

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wubbie075
8 years ago

Some of these don’t agree with Depth Chart projections…

Brad Johnsonmember
8 years ago
Reply to  wubbie075

That’s a different process. The depth charts are compiled rather conservatively. This article offers an opportunity to be more aggressive with predictions.