Bullpen Report: March 30, 2014
Happy “Opening Night!” Well, domestically at least. An early version of the Bullpen Report tonight since your author is on his way to San Diego (unfortunately, I’ll be in the air during Dodgers/Padres and not in a seat).
• The big surprise this afternoon was the annoucement Casey Janssen will open the season on the disabled list with a back strain. The news is odd timing; Janssen had battled shoulder weakness during the spring, but had just made his spring debut last week (and pitched Thursday and Friday). If the team had any inkling he’d have to open the season on the DL, they likely wouldn’t have thrown him in major league games, because his stint is now backdated to March 29th, meaning he’s not eligible to return until around the 3rd week of the season (at the earliest).
If Sergio Santos hasn’t been claimed in your league, go grab him. After major shoulder surgery in 2012 and dealing with other arm woes that cost him most of 2013, he finally appeared to have his punchout stuff and velocity back in September. He remains an injury risk, but, unlike guys like Jose Valverde, he could conceivably “reverse Pipp” the ninth inning and has top-15 closer upside if that happens.
• The White Sox continue to be coy about their closer situation. There has really been nothing to indicate it won’t be preseason favorite Nate Jones, but Matt Lindstrom has the most “proven closer”(TM) experience in the pen. To further complicate matters, Javy Guerra was slipped through waivers (after being claimed last week) and will open the season in the minors, opening a spot for the hard-throwing Daniel Webb. Lindstrom has the weakest peripherals of the three, but both Jones and Webb have the SwStr% (12+%) to operate as elite arms. I’d still probably want Jones if I had the choice between the three, but I might snag the other two if I had the roster space to burn the first week of the season. Remember, this is the same team that opened last year with Hector Santiago in the ninth.
• Sean Marshall and Jonathan Broxton will both open the season on the DL. I still like J.J. Hoover’s stuff here, but his weak spring is probably going to hurt his standing as the lone wolf in the ninth. Don’t be surprised if Reds lean on Sam LeCure, too. Last year he put up similar predictors to Hoover, just with a bit weaker punchout rate. My suggestion for chasing here is to grab Hoover or LeCure if you have the room and watch the box score. I’d bet the guy with the first clean save gets a bit of a leash.
• Other notes: Kevin Gausman has been sent to Triple-A. I think he’d make a fantastic closer if the Orioles can’t make room for him in the rotation in 2014, but they’ll keep him stretched out in the minors. The team hasn’t come out and say “Tommy Hunter, you’re the guy” but the job is his until further notice. David Hernandez has a torn UCL. Sounds like Tommy John is in his future. Drop him if you were hoping for a bounceback season in the holds department.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.
I don’t know if he’d be next in line for saves, but Wade Davis is supposed to be the setup guy in KC. Hopefully he can be as good as he was for TB in 2012.
He’s an excellent SP slot reliever in holds leagues.
http://www.kansascity.com/2014/03/30/4925775/ned-yost-says-wade-davis-will.html
Is $7 Gausman worth holding onto until he comes up in a 12-team keeper league w/ K/9 as a 6th category? Or drop for saves speculation on someone like Lindstrom
If anyone would care to offer any RP fantasy advice I would appreciate it. I was unable to make my Live Draft night and my auto draft picked up Kimbrell, Cishek, Soriano, Street. I am in an ESPN 8team Std H2H with three RP slots. Available are Nate Jones, Jim Henderson, Sergio Santos/Casey Janssen. I am not too sure that I want to keep Soriano (low K’s, projected higher ERA) and Street. I like Nate Jones’ 2013 K stats and command or perhaps Henderson. Thanks.
I’m higher on Santos/Janssen than any of the other guys, including Cishek.
don’t waste everyone’s time with 8team league questions
Go fuck yourself
Grabbed Santos yesterday after the forewarning in this article. Good stuff!
Hoover scares the crap out of me with his extreme flyballing ways in that ballpark. LeCure seems like a better choice for the 9th due to being slightly better in most metrics last season, with a more manageable GB/FB split. OTOH Hoover throws hard which many managers feel is a 9th inning requirement.
Overall, if there is a free roster spot in play I’d prefer to add LeCure. Hoover is the boom/bust play. LeCure may not get saves unless Hoover falters, but doesn’t seem to have the same potential to murder your ratios.
Hector Santiago was (briefly) the White Sox closer at the beginning of 2012, not last season.
You are missing Jason Motte on the DL section of the closer grid
Both Tommy Hunter and Matt Lindstrom are available in my league. Who’s better? More likely to stick in closer role?
I go Hunter there
So much for the green light for Milwaukee’s pen! Never seen so many closers lose their jobs before Opening Day.
And this is one owner kicking himself for not purchasing Mr. Santos. Jansen was bound to go down. Still think his arm won’t be right this year.