Bullpen Report: June 9, 2014
• Colin did a great analysis of the Rays bullpen situation after Grant Balfour’s meltdown last night and the Rays are now looking at a bullpen by committee approach for the near future. Madden wants Balfour to regain the job but his problems might run deeper than anything a few days removed from the ninth inning can solve. For now I’d expect Joel Peralta, Jake McGee and Juan Oviedo to see the first chances with Brad Boxberger (12.63 K/9, 2.47 SIERA xFIP) as a potential sleeper. Balfour isn’t injured or on the DL but I’ll place him there on the grid for the time being as he lingers in the background.
• Casey Janssen picked up the classic no, no, no, yes! blown save into a win today against the Twins. Janssen returned from injury right around when Toronto started winning every game and he’s a solid 11/13 on saves with a 1.49/1.89/3.45 ERA/FIP/xFIP line on the year. Janssen’s ERA won’t stay that shiny all season long but given his performance since regaining the closing gig and the mess that was there before him, he should have a long leash. As closer on one of the better teams in the league he should also continue to rack up the save totals.
• As Dave mentioned today, Fernando Rodney is one of the few “proven closers” acquired this offseason that hasn’t been a disaster. Rodney continued his non-disaster ways this afternoon launching his 18th arrow in the air in a perfect ninth inning. Rodney’s 2012 overall season and walk rate is looking like an outlier but he’s still been effective this year converting 18 of 20 save opportunities with a 2.19 ERA and 2.84 SIERA with over a strikeout an inning. With the ninth inning firmly in Rodney’s hands of more interest in the Seattle bullpen might be Dominic Leone who recorded two outs today for his fifth hold of the year. Leone can miss bats (31 strikeouts in 26.2 IP) and has pitched to a 1.35 ERA and 2.66 SIERA, which could help those in need of a ratio boost in a deep AL-Only league and/or holds league.
• Tommy Hunter is off of the DL and although he hasn’t been anointed the closer, he threw a perfect ninth inning today with a four run lead. Zach Britton has been solid all year in general (3 ER in 32.2 IP) and in the closer chair, so no change is likely to occurr so long as that continues but more appearances like this from Hunter could get him knocking on that door.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias
Thoughts on Kirby Yates as a potential sleeper in the Ray’s bullpen?
Just no
OK? Care to explain? His minor league numbers look good.
Yates is doing extraordinarily well in AAA but he’s also a 27 year old reliever in the minors. While he is likely the definition of a deep deep sleeper, his path to higher leverage innings in Tampa is very unclear. Even if he’s promoted I don’t think he’d be thrown in important situations right away, leaving you some wiggle room to take a stab at him if he’s up and putting up #s like he is in AAA at the moment.
I thought he was younger than that for some reason. Thanks.
Shae Simmons pitched the 8th inning of the Braves/Rockies game last night. Think he should be somewhere on the grid at this point.
Correct. Fredi strongly implied that Simmons is replacing Carpenter.
I was watching the Jays game and the only reason that Janssen gave up two runs was because of a couple of bloop hits and defensive miscues. Definitely not anything to worry about, just one of those nights.
Thoughts on the Addison Reed dead arm/homer machine? Ziegler picked up save
Seems fitting for a “dead arm” question to be coming from a Rich H.
what about putz? just came off the DL and pitched in the 9th last night.
Yeah that didn’t sound like something that’s necessarily going to go away with a couple of days off. I wouldn’t drop Reed just yet, but Ziegler is a good pickup right now.
Putz is a name to certainly monitor but it looks like Ziegler is the guy down there when Reed is unable to go. We’ll have to dive into Reed’s situation this evening, homeritis and a dead arm period aren’t a good combination for saves for Reed.
What do you make of Trevor Rosenthal? Velocity is fine, but the fact is since last year he has gone from a 11.88 K/9 against lefties to a 9.00, and from a 1.89 BB/9 to 5.79. The ratio is the starkest way to see the jump: 6.29 K/BB to 1.56 against lefties. I’d be interested to see his plate discipline numbers against righties vs lefties, but I’m not sure where to find that info.