Bullpen Report: June 6, 2013
Just a few notes on a relatively slow night from the bullpen arms (at the time of this writing, at least)….
Jose Valverde needed just nine pitches in the bottom of the ninth-inning to close out the Rays and save a gem for starter Max Scherzer today. The Tigers stopgap last took the hill on 5/31 in Baltimore where he served up two long balls, leading to four earned runs and his second blown save of the year. So, it’s a safe bet that Detroit’s brass and his fantasy owners alike, took a deep sigh of relief at the conclusion of tonight’s efficient outing. With that said, Valverde’s velocity appears to be down a tick or more on both his fastball and splitter, entering tonight he’s been missing fewer bats (8.8% SwStr%) through 14 appearances versus his career 12.8% SwStr% and he’s been getting a bit lucky on balls in play (.156 BABIP). Hate to say it, but I see this glass as half-empty, and I’d be looking to add him as a sweetener in a larger deal with an owner in need of saves.
The Orioles called on Darren O’Day and Brian Matusz in relief of Miguel Gonzalez this afternoon in Houston before handing the ball to closer Jim Johnson — and relieve they sure did. O’Day dished an inning-and-two-thirds, allowed just one hit and struck out two Astros en route to his ninth hold of the twenty-thirteen campaign. Matusz entered with two down in the eighth frame and struck out Jason Castro to earn his ninth hold as well. A throwing error and a hit batsmen stirred up a bit of drama in the home team’s half of the ninth, but Johnson induced a game ending double play to seal his 20th save of the season — just how the ground baller drew it up. Over the past five outings, Johnson is a perfect 5-for-5 in save chances, sports a 0.00 ERA, a 0.40 WHIP and is the owner of a 5.0 K/BB.
What do Craig Kimbrel, Jonathan Papelbon, Aroldis Chapman and Fernando Rodney have in common? Well, yea, they are — or were (*ahem, Rodney*) — elite closers that owners paid a hefty price for during draft season. But, what is it that they are lacking about a third of the way through the season? As many saves as Cardinals’ closer, Edward Mujica has. And I know Mujica may not fan as many batters as his ninth-inning counterparts, but he’s been fantastic closing out games for St. Louis. Mujica is the reason we don’t pay for saves — he’s been waiver wire gold. Tonight he needed just two-thirds of a frame to notch his 18th save of the season, placing him in a tie for fifth-most among closers at the time of this writing. Mujica remains a perfect 18-for-18 in save opportunities with a sparkling 1.63 ERA and 0.61 WHIP.
Thirty-five-year-old Grant Balfour escaped a minor tenth-inning jam to earn his 14th save of the year. The minor jam came in the form of a leadoff single off the bat Alejandro de Aza, but the “Closer from Down Under” sat down the next three White Sox in consecutive order to remain a perfect 14-for-14 on the year.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
In addition to contributing to the RotoGraphs blog, you can find Alan at his own site, TheFantasyFix.com and follow his nonsense on Twitter @TheFantasyFix.
“What do Craig Kimbrel, Jonathan Papelbon, Aroldis Chapman and Fernando Rodney have in common? Well, yea, they are — or were (*ahem, Rodney*) — elite closers that owners paid a hefty price for during draft season. But, what is it that they are lacking about a third of the way through the season? As many saves as Cardinals’ closer, Edward Mujica has.”
Haha. Exhibit A why it’s a stupid idea to pay for saves.
Paying for saves early in the draft isn’t always wise, but it’s not always the worst thing.
For an example I have on my team (through keepers and drafts) Chapman, Papelbon and Romo. Sure they’re not imploding as closers tend to do, but add up their season stats and you’ll get near a full season of peripherals and K’s of a top 10 starter. Stupid to pay for ’em, but also risky to chance upon the next Mujica. Wait for the wrong ones and you have a higher likelihood of getting a bad season of Dontrelle Willis.
“Imploding”? I’m not sure that means what you think it means.
Also, just because you picked three guys that happened to work out, that does not prove your theory. More generally speaking, we’ve seen about 1/3 of the league’s closer situations have turnover already and we’re just over the 1/3 mark of the season.
That wasn’t exactly the purpose of that comment, but some may agree with you. I’m actually an advocate of drafting closers in bunches during the middle rounds and rostering top set-up men for their whiffs and ratios.
I was simply noting that Mujica seems to be “that guy” so far this season, who emerged as a top closer from the rubble of the waiver wire. We typically see one or two of those (or more?) each year.
I have this curse where every time I pick up a reliever off of waivers, their first start or two they will give up a bunch of runs. This week it happened with Coello earlier and tonight with Burton. Next time I really need to remember to bench them until they get those appearances out of their system.
Just gotta roll them out there each-and-every day. It should all balance out in the end as long as there’s no injury/mechanical issue.
putz is going to throw off a mound this weekend. any (very) early thoughts on if/when he returns and that situation?
To be honest, no. Have to wait for the reports after his session.
Giovani, you actually make the point as to why I will pay for saves. 1/3 of the closers are out or close to out… exactly!
Who wasted there time or free agent money on Boggs just to get welcomed with a bunch of ER in a few innings. Was Mujica more than a shot in the dark? Who jumped on Herrera in KC or Peralta in TB or who is still waiting for League to lose his job? What a waste of effort! In my AL league I kept Jim Johnson and drafted Mo. Add a bunch of setup guys to maybe get lucky and here I am with a crap load of saves and room to make deals. If JJ got demoted last week, I don’t really care because I had 2 great options.
Good luck to the next group of fools who bid on what amounts to be 2 saves and a 8 ERA. If you get lucky, it doesn’t make you smart!
I didn’t draft more than one closer in either of my leagues and I now have four in both (combinations of Mujica, Henderson, Gregerson, Bell, Pestano, Bailey, Valverde are doing just fine), and in the rounds where you’re taking guys that will only throw ~60, if you’re lucky, I’ll gladly let you have them and go after guys who can hit 30 HRs, steal 30 bags or give me ~200 quality innings.
Yeah, it’s a little more effort to chase the saves, but I don’t think there’s any question it gives you an edge. And that seems like a silly complaint to me in the first place – applying effort, research and timely decision-making? That’s basically the game you signed up for.
Can you give a name or two of guys you would pick up to get holds? I’m new to the category this year and keep cycling through guys with no luck…
Really depends on the depth of your league. But I usually do a middle reliever type piece on Thursdays that is geared towards those in holds leagues. Here are the most recent “tiers” I assembled, maybe you can pluck someone from this list if they’re still available? Click here for the tiers.