Bullpen Report: July 27, 2015
• Continuing in their trade deadline reboot, the Oakland A’s have traded closer Tyler Clippard (and $1 million) to the Mets in exchange for 20 year old starting pitcher Casey Meisner. Eno Sarris and Kiley McDaniel provided insta-analysis of the trade so we will just stick to how this affects the bullpens. Clippard’s ERA is similar to what we have come to expect but his 3.89 FIP is more pedestrian than Clippard’s recent years and his 5.31 xFIP is potentially worrisome. Either way, Clippard should still help the Mets bullpen’s depth. Jenrry Mejia hasn’t allowed a run since he’s returned but his suspension prohibits him from joining the playoff roster, if the Mets were to make it there. So, while the Mets will use the options that best help them win games, I expect Clippard to have a more prominent setup role than Mejia moving forward, and have changed the grid accordingly with Familia still safe on top.
As far as the Oakland side is concerned, it’s really anyone’s guess on who will be getting saves now. John Shea suggests that Eric O’Flaherty or Edward Mujica will now close but they’re both free agents who could also be on the move this week. Mujica has pitched decently since being on the A’s (14.2 IP, 2 walks, 12 strikeouts, 3 homers allowed and a 3.68 ERA and 4.50 FIP) while O’Flaherty has been pretty terrible this year with a 5.57/4.21/4.39 ERA/FIP/xFIP pitching line in 21 innings. O’Flaherty had an awesome run on the Braves but since 2013 it’s been a rocky road. Considering he’s also a lefty, I can’t imagine O’Flaherty getting many saves on Oakland. Also of note is the guy pitching the best right now, Fernando Rodriguez who I’ll put in the first chair until we see how this shakes out. In 30 innings this year, Rodriguez has a 3.60/1.53/3.07 ERA/FIP/xFIP line with 38 strikeouts against eight walks. Long thought as the eventual replacement for Clippard, Scribner had a few struggles in July and although he’s not on the grid, he’s still in the conversation. Also in that same long conversation is Drew Pomeranz, who had an abbreviated start last week but also received a save earlier this year. There are no great options to it’s a lot of speculation but for who will be seeing the most saves moving forward I’ll go Rodriguez – Mujica – Pomeranz – Scribner.
• In a 0-0 game in the ninth, Zach Britton allowed the go ahead run on an Adonis Garcia solo homer. Then in the bottom half of the inning, Jim Johnson blew the lead for Atlanta. In the grand scheme of things, one blown save shouldn’t do much damage to Johnson’s trade value but it’s never ideal to blow a save with scouts paying close attention. The Braves would likely sell anyone not named Shelby, Freddie or Andrelton and Johnson is certainly on the block to be moved. If/when the Braves find a suitor that wants to bolster the pen, I’d still expect Arodys Vizcaino to step into the closer’s chair in Atlanta.
• Jake McGee was on a nice little run with 21 straight scoreless appearances but he allowed a run in the eighth inning tonight against the Tigers. Brad Boxberger came on in the ninth and nailed down his 25th save with a scoreless inning and two strikeouts. Since he’s returned from injury this year, McGee has been the better pitcher but moving forward you should still expect Boxberger to receive the majority of save opportunities.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias
You posted this just before the Motte/Soriano disaster tonight. Maybe time to turn that green to yellow?
Looks like Rendon green now.
Fernando Rodriguez in Oakland is capable of going multiple innings and I fear the A’s will keep him in that role. FWIW, I still picked him up.
Don’t forget Axford’s continuing disaster.
Silver lining for Axford owners? Maybe the string of bad outings will torpedo any real-life trade, so he gets to remain the Rockies closer.
Carson Smith ought to be green by now, and ditto about Motte. I’d put Grimm in 3rd on that chart.
Time to bump up Osuna’s value for the ROS? Seems increasingly likely that with the Tulo trade and Sanchez being moved to the pen that the Jays stick with their young guns in the bullpen. We haven’t seen them attached to Papelbon, K-Rod, etc. for a few weeks now.
Sanchez is a real threat to Osuna. He was lights-out as a closer last September. It wouldn’t take much for them to switch chairs.
I’d leave him yellow until Sanchez has his feet wet, because they might just switch roles, with Sanchez becoming the closer.
True, though Osuna has been equally good in the role so far. But yeah, I see your point, Osuna probably is just not going to have much of a leash going forward with Sanchez in the pen now.
Just chiming in with this:
https://twitter.com/BKennedyStar/status/626130692515217408
Definitely sounds like a bit of a committee moving forward since they’ll “share” both innings.