Bullpen Report: July 1, 2015

• Not a great day to be Santiago Casilla fan. Or a Giants’ fan. Or a Santiago Casilla owner. Or a Santiago Casilla owner who is also a Giants fan. Or… Well, regardless, Casilla had a game to forget today, giving up a pair of singles before Justin Bour walked the Marlins off with a three-run job. After seeing a pretty sizable gain in the DIPS department last year, Casilla has regressed somewhat in 2015, seeing his SIERA tend closer to where it was in 2010-2013 rather than 2014. This hasn’t been all bad for his owners, as the mark remains passable for the righty to notch some saves. Unfortunately, while Casilla’s K% is up, his BB% is teetering perilously close to the “uh oh” 10% mark, so it’d be nice to see him get the free passes under control. It’s worth noting that Sergio Romo appears to be back to the 2011-2012 version, as the slider specialist now owns a 2.00 SIERA. Unfortunately, the righty also owns a .367 BABIP so his 4.32 ERA does a pretty poor job of screaming “give me the ninth!” I still like rostering Romo as rates hold and a speculative saves add, but even with a couple rocky outings, my guess is Casilla remains safe for the time being.

• Weird times in Houston. Luke Gregerson came on to polish off a 6-5 win, which he did. “So why isn’t there a tick mark in the SV category?” owners staring at their Yahoo! rosters might ask. Well, Josh Fields technically blew a save (in the 7th), but with the Astros scoring again immediately, he was in line for the W. However, the official scorer invoked that pesky part of Rule 10.17 about “effectiveness” and deemed Fields ineligible for the win (even though, 99% of the time, they give him the win). Said scorer then ruled that Gregerson should get the win, not Joe Thatcher or Pat Neshek (who shared the 8th inning). By getting the win, Gregerson became ineligible for the save and here we are. I guess getting the “W” is some consolation, but you aren’t banking on your closer winning games, so probably a few fantasy owners who are mildly annoyed at the outcome. What are you gonna do?

Justin Grimm gets the save for the Cubs today. Don’t read anything into that — originally the save opp was supposed to go to James Russell before he got himself into trouble. Of course, the only reason Russell got the chance was the fact that Hector Rondon, Jason Motte, and Pedro Strop were all previously used by Joe Maddon in the extra inning affair. I’m still leaning Motte in this pen, but if there is one thing Maddon isn’t known for, it’s having a stable bullpen pecking order.

• Quick hits: Scoreless inning for Aroldis Chapman. The fact that the walk rate has crept up each of the last four years concerns me in dynasty leagues, but he’ll be a top 3 option rest of season in redrafts. Dellin Betances tossed an inning and a third for his seventh save of the season but Andrew Miller threw off a mound today and seems to be getting closer to a return. Obviously, both guys need rostering, but you probably didn’t need me to tell you that. Tyler Clippard, Zach Britton, and Jason Grilli all notched rather uneventful saves. I know there is some “sell Grilli!” sentiment, but with a 2.88 SIERA and the fact that he’s not going to bring a ton back in a trade? I don’t know, I’d hold unless I got a real good offer to help somewhere else.

• Quicker hits: On a rehab assignment, Aaron Barrett threw a scoreless first inning for the Potomac Nationals in a game that almost turned into a combined no-hitter. If healthy, Barrett is a sneaky buy in holds leagues, as his ERA is 5.06, but SIERA is a much sexier 2.28. Speaking of holds leagues, June’s #2 reliever by xFIP is likely gone (one Carter Capps, and I hope you bought in last time I mentioned him), but right behind him? The less heralded Zach Putnam who put up a 1.24 xFIP last month. He actually was pretty good last year, but a huge spike in K% is driving some big gains in 2015. They might not be sustainable, but even splitting the difference between 2014 and 2015 should give you a profit if you need rates.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Brad Ziegler Daniel Hudson Enrique Burgos Addison Reed
Atlanta Jason Grilli Jim Johnson David Aardsma
Baltimore Zach Britton Darren O’Day Tommy Hunter
Boston Koji Uehara Junichi Tazawa Alexi Ogando
CHI (NL) Jason Motte Hector Rondon Pedro Strop Rafael Soriano
CHI (AL) David Robertson Jacob Petricka Zach Putnam
Cincy Aroldis Chapman J.J. Hoover Ryan Mattheus Tony Cingrani
Cleveland Cody Allen Bryan Shaw Zach McAllister
Colorado LaTroy Hawkins Boone Logan Rafael Betancourt John Axford
Detroit Joakim Soria Joba Chamberlain Al Albuerquerque Joe Nathan
Houston Luke Gregerson Pat Neshek Josh Fields Chad Qualls
KC Greg Holland Wade Davis Kelvin Herrera
LAA Huston Street Joe Smith Fernando Salas
LAD Kenley Jansen Yimi Garcia Pedro Baez
Miami A.J. Ramos Carter Capps Steve Cishek
Milwaukee Francisco Rodriguez Jeremy Jeffress Will Smith
Minnesota Glen Perkins Blaine Boyer Casey Fien
NY (NL) Jeurys Familia Bobby Parnell Carlos Torres Jenrry Mejia
NY (AL) Dellin Betances Justin Wilson Chasen Shreve Andrew Miller
Oakland Tyler Clippard Evan Scribner Eric O’Flaherty Sean Doolittle
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Ken Giles Luis Garcia
Pittsburgh Mark Melancon Tony Watson Arquimedes Caminero
St. Louis Trevor Rosenthal Kevin Siegrist Seth Maness Jordan Walden
SD Craig Kimbrel Brandon Maurer Joaquin Benoit
SF Santiago Casilla Sergio Romo Hunter Strickland
Seattle Carson Smith Fernando Rodney Mark Lowe
TB Brad Boxberger Jake McGee Kevin Jepsen
Texas Shawn Tolleson Tanner Scheppers Keone Kela Neftali Feliz
Toronto Roberto Osuna Steve Delabar Brett Cecil Miguel Castro
Wash. Drew Storen Casey Janssen Matt Thornton Aaron Barrett

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]





There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.

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moose haas
Guest
moose haas

Why did I pick up Boone Logan?

mattmaison
Guest

Same reason I picked up Jeffress instead of Motte?