Bullpen Report: August 5, 2013
• The Biogenesis fallout today didn’t have too much of an effect on the Bullpen Report but it did snag one victim of note, Philadelphia Phillies lefty and set up man Antonio Bastardo. Bastardo wasn’t in the initial Biogenesis rumors but he was handed a 50 game suspension today, effectively ending his season. Bastardo was gaining some traction as Papelbon has been more pedestrian this year but any hopes of him sneaking saves for the Phillies will have to wait until 2014 now.
It’s slim pickings as far as Bastardo’s replacements are concerned but one name to keep an eye on is fellow lefty Jake Diekman. Diekman’s numbers (3.72/4.13 FIP/xFIP; 7.11 K/9) aren’t great, but as a lefty in the late innings for Philly, he could be in line for a holds boost.
• Colin mentioned Parnell’s neck discomfort last night but it seems as though it’s worse than expected and a DL stint is likely. The usual suspects, David Aardsma and LaTroy Hawkins should fill in for Parnell. David Aardsma’s blown save last night might give Mr. Hawkins the next shot. Although Hawkins might feel like old news (he’s 40 years old), he’s actually been quite effective this year with a 2.98/3.47/3.25 ERA/FIP/xFIP line, keeping the ball on the ground with a 52.3% ground ball percentage. Aardsma can generate a few more swings and misses than Hawkins (8.14 K/9) but he’s generally been pretty lousy this year (4.65 xFIP) and his leash for saves might only extend to the one try he had. Lastly, I wouldn’t expect Scott Rice to see consistent chances if Parnell hits the DL but he could see a save opp or two against a lefty heavy ninth.
• Chris Perez entered the ninth inning tonight looking for his 18th save of the year but four batters and four earned runs later, Perez left with a blown save but without recording an out. Perez’ job isn’t in imminent danger but his 4.11 xFIP is certainly less than impressive. If Perez were to continue to stumble or miss any time with injury expect Joe Smith and Cody Allen to move up the chain.
• Craig Kimbrel had pitched on three consecutive days so Jordan Walden was called upon in the ninth and recorded his first save of the year. Kimbrel’s peripheral stats have gone down a tad but with a 13.92 K/9 and a 2.09 FIP, he’s still a premier fantasy closer, if not the best. Walden has been a little lucky with balls leaving the yard this year (only a 2.1% HR/FB) but with a 10.46 K/9 and 2.12/3.53 FIP/xFIP, he’s making himself rosterable in leagues to help your ratios and certainly a must own in any saves plus holds leagues.
• Ryan Madson was released by the Angels tonight. If healthy, it wouldn’t take much for Madson to take saves away from Ernesto Frieri at the moment but clearly that’s not the case as he hasn’t pitched since 2011 with the Phillies. I don’t expect anything from Madson this year but his name should resurface again this offseason. My guess is that some rebuilding team will take a flier on him returning to form, hoping to flip him at the trading deadline.
• With a bunch of lefties due up in the ninth, Paco Rodriguez stayed in for a second inning and notched his second save of the year. Kenley Jansen is still the Dodgers closer but depending on the matchup, Paco could steal a save or two from here on out.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias
That Paco Rodriguez save wasn’t about matchups – it was about Jansen needing a night off after saving the last two games and almost every game over the last week and a half.
yup, also, brian wilson should nvr be on this list again =D
What this does establish is that Paco is the first non-Jansen save guy, and should be ahead of Belisario on the chart.
You are correct and I thought the change was made last night. Updated now.
Not even a mention of the Astros’ situation/Fields save?
Considering how terrible the ‘Stros have been over the last two months, I’m not sure how many real save chances Fields or whoever gets that Closers job is going to help fantasy owners. I would rather gamble on someone like Farquhar who if he can hold onto the job should at least get a decent number of chances the rest of the way.
Four Red Sox faced, four swinging strikeouts. I dropped Cisnero and picked him up, because why not.
You are absolutely right! Josh looks like the guy now to me, esp. after what I heard on the broadcast tonight: “Are we looking at our new closer?” They noted that striking out all 4 hitters he faced was delicious revenge for Josh, who was released by these same Red Sox this spring.
Seriously, I gotta say this, look at Cisnero right now! Would you want to hand the game to this guy? For the past month, almost walk and a run per inning, plus a blown save versus the Twinkies on Friday. If he already had the job in July, you would expect him to be losing it now. No reason to hand it to him…
If you don’t like SSS, check out the whole rest of his career, and see if you can find a season that looks attractive to you.
(Considering Seattle currently is 15-19 and 1-run games, and Houston is 14-21, it looks to me like both teams have similar opportunities for saves. Farquhar, meanwhile, has some stiff competition to keep the role as closer.)
Fields has definitely been ruffed up this year after his major league debut, but he has been solid since the All Star break, and that, together with a stellar 2012 minor league season in AA & AAA and this year, I think he can hold the job.
I agree that the Astros probably won’t provide anyone in the pen with a ton of save ops, I was just wondering why there wasn’t a mention of it and/or why the closer grid wasn’t changed.
I know deeming one Astro the “closer” isn’t an easy task given the lack of information we have. However, since Cisnero was available and Porter opted to stick with Fields, I think that’s probably enough to put him at the top of the “committee” for the time being.
Note: this wasn’t supposed to be a huge critique of Ben/this edition of the Bullpen Report. I’m more wondering if he thinks Cisnero is the leader for saves or if Fields has jumped to the front of the pack.
Cisnero came in during the eighth recently so to me he was ruled out (he blew the lead so we don’t know who would have come in the ninth).
Now we do. It’s not locked obviously but I don’t see why someone would hold onto cisnero over fields at this point.
Apologies for that. Fields was working the ninth as I was publishing the post and just missed it.
I changed the grid moving Fields first. Please note that Red doesn’t even do the Astros situation justice. It was an impressive outing, and Fields should receive the next opp because of it, but he’s hardly cemented in the job and as the Astros closer, he’s obviously unlikely to help your team too much.
With that said, thanks for the comments!
Thanks for all your hard work on the grid this week! I appreciate your flexibility.
Fields would be nice speculative grab. Cisneros came in the 8th on Sunday but blew hold opportunity. as bad as the Astros are, Vera’s had 19 saves at the time of the trade.
Oops didn’t see this before I posted mine
wilhellmsen sent down to minors…
Yup, thanks for the update, grid has been changed.
Is there a timetable for when Brian Wilson will be up? Mid-August or do you guys think after?
that’s probably a good estimate
Agreed. They said he’d be down there for a couple of weeks but depending on how he looks, that process could move quicker.
Dear Chris Perez,
F@#$ You.
Sin,
Corey Kluber Society
Any comment/thoughts on the fact that E. Frieri was yanked in the middle of a save opportunity on Sunday, then DeLaRosa came in and gave up the tying and winning singles…Is DeLaRosa the guy moving forward?
I’m curious about Kohn, and Coello when he gets healthy. I think both are the more talented guys than de la Rosa or Jepsen. Can’t believe a team with such a huge payroll has nobody in the pen who you know, forget about trust to close a game!
I’d lean towards de la Rosa but it certainly would have been nicer if he didn’t let Frieri’s runs score.
The Angels just don’t have many options right now, which is why Frieri hasn’t been outright replaced. De la Rosa, Jepsen and Coello when he returns could receive an opp here or there but the Angels are either intent on letting Frieri stake his claim again or just afraid of the alternatives.