Brad Johnson RotoGraphs Chat - 6/21 | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball

1:44	Brad Johnson: The chat is go. Exciting operational notes first…

1:45	Brad Johnson: I am without my usual dual monitor setup so please be patient with slower responses

1:45	Brad Johnson: And I just finished writing about Ryan Schimpf for a dynasty column so feel free to ask 🙂

1:45	Gary: When do we see Bregman? Would the Astros really call up Reed first?

1:46	Brad Johnson: So the latest speculation is that Bregman will play in the Double-A AS game then get promoted. I think somebody just made that up honestly.

1:46	Brad Johnson: No idea what their actual plans are

1:46	Gucci: How bad would the Dodgers be without Kershaw?

1:46	Brad Johnson: About as bad as the Angels are now. It’s a top heavy town.

1:46	Gary: Talk to me about Daniel Mengden, Johnson my man. His command looked terrific against Texas last week.

1:47	Brad Johnson: Eno was really talking him up to me over the weekend. I haven’t really watched him yet but the peripherals read as a plausible mid-rotation guy

1:47	Brad Johnson: and he was somebody I was tracking for statistical reasons before the call up

1:47	Linus: Maikel Franco still a hold in 10-team?

1:48	Brad Johnson: Redraft? You can probably do better. I do think he’ll develop into what we expected eventually

1:48	Billy: I own Aaron Judge in a dynasty league, where do I go from here? Try to get value now or hope he turns it around

1:48	Brad Johnson: You should always be trying to get value on your dynasty prospects. I even try to sell prospects when I’m rebuilding. The key is not trading anyone decent for peanuts

1:49	Brad Johnson: so yea, if you can get a real, good MLB player for Judge+, go ahead and do it

1:49	Brad Johnson: if not, ride it out

1:49	Drew: Just traded Desmond for Buxton and Glasnow in a dynasty. I’m happy.

1:49	Brad Johnson: Congrats. Sounds like it’s probably a win-win assuming that guy is mid-contention

1:49	Hooha: Not in contention in a keep 3 12 5X5 league. Already aquired stanton, do you see anybody else who could be nice buy lows for this year and keepable for the next year?

1:50	Brad Johnson: That’s going to be hard to finagle. Your best bet is probably to trade all of your good players for a 1st round talent

1:50	Brad Johnson: in the kind of deal that makes everybody extremely angry

1:51	Brad Johnson: are you really sure you’re not in contention? People throw the towel way too early

1:51	Chris: How low does it go with James Shields? Drop him for Kyle Gibson in AL Only?

1:52	Brad Johnson: Well, I like Gibson’s start tomorrow, but I wouldn’t use him otherwise. Not sure I’d ever use Shields either. Maybe grab the Gibson spot then snag a multi-inning reliever like Erasmo or Andriese

1:52	Mel: Justin Turner: legit breakout or just a hot streak?

1:52	Brad Johnson: Since he was excellent the last two seasons, I’ll happily call this real without consulting the numbers

1:52	Harry Caray’s Ghost: Nomar Mazara. Top 100 guy for keep-forever leagues? Better than that (pretty please say yes)?

1:52	Brad Johnson: hell yes

1:53	Brad Johnson: I entered the season with him as a top 50 asset

1:53	Brad Johnson: his performance has to have him pushing top 30

1:53	Gorky: Keep the faith with Aaron Nola, or are the wheels coming off?

1:53	Brad Johnson: well, here’s the thing, he was never a 2.XX ERA pitcher. He’s a solid 3.35 ERA guy on a team with no run support

1:54	Yankees Fan: What are the chances Profar/Gallo get traded to the Yankees for Miller/Chapman?

1:54	Brad Johnson: very low

1:54	Brad Johnson: but I think the Yankees could get Mark Zagunis and Dan Vogelbach from the Cubs

1:54	Plop: I have been stashing Zunino for a while in my AL Keeper, should I keep being patient or cut bait? My current C is Ianetta…

1:54	Brad Johnson: Depends on opportunity cost, but I have spare patience for Zunino

1:55	Billy: I’m in a league with 25 man MLB rosters and 25 man MiLB rosters. I’m in contention currently… Prospects that aren’t going to get called September worth moving regardless of who they are, or are guys like Benintendi worth holding?

1:55	Brad Johnson: Depending on the number of owners, that’s intense. And the keeper rules matter. But I’d look into trading Benintendi for a monster of some kind.

1:56	Josh: Hey Brad! 12 team mixed league: I can only roster 3 of these 6 due to some forthcoming DL activations. Which 3 stay out of this group? Heyward, L Martin, Valencia, Saunders, Reddick, Pearce. Ideally, I’d keep at least one of Heyward/Martin for the speed. Thanks!

1:56	Brad Johnson: Woof, that’s unfortunate, I like all those guys. I think you toss Valencia, Pearce, and Reddick for now

1:56	Shawn: Roll with Danny Duffy against the Mets tomorrow night?

1:57	Brad Johnson: The Braves swept them. I’d roll with anybody against the Mets at this point

1:57	yojiveself: need your help – which C to drop – Gattis or Weiters?

1:57	Brad Johnson: Wieters

1:57	Brad Johnson: Gattis starts every day, Wieters needs frequent rest

1:57	Jon Targ: Glasnow or Alex Reyes as a flyer this year only?

1:57	Brad Johnson: Reyes may be more likely to get an opportunity

1:57	Bob Dobolina: Vince Velasquez hit waivers in my league (11-team redraft) – he’s a must-add, right?

1:58	Brad Johnson: Only if you have an open DL slot

1:58	Bob Dobolina: Is Eovaldi a top-50 pitcher? Top-75?

1:58	Brad Johnson: top 75 smells right to me.

1:58	Batman: Is Chen droppable for Moore, Gausman or Hellickson? 14 team- 5×5

1:58	Brad Johnson: Only in the right matchups. They’re all streamables.

1:58	MarinerDan: Does Alex Reyes come up and make an impact in the Cardinals starting rotation in the second half?

1:59	Brad Johnson: Heh, just sort of touched upon this. He’s one of the closest MiLB pitchers to a MLB opportunity. It’s always hard to guess who will Syndergaard and who will Berrios.

1:59	Brad Johnson: the potential is there for some big starts

1:59	Jeet: At this point in the season are we seeing true talent for the year or can players like Villar regress back to career norms?

2:00	Brad Johnson: it’s more complicated than that. And to elaborate would take too much time in a chat. Remind me sometime and I’ll make it the lede for The Daily Grind one day

2:00	Gucci: Pitcher A has an ERA of 2.00. Player A’s offense averages 2 runs per game. Pitcher B has an ERA of 3.00. Pitcher B’s offense averages 4 runs per game. Which pitcher is more valuable?

2:01	Brad Johnson: Well, it’s situational. What’s your roto rank and raw numbers in wins and rate stats? (I ask rhetorically, the answer is to manage the categories that matter most to your team)

2:01	Shawn: In a shallow re-draft will I regret dropping Heyward or Hanley to stream guys who are hot?

2:01	Brad Johnson: You will feel regret at some point, yes

2:02	Brad Johnson: it’s possible to also benefit overall while feeling regret

2:02	Josh: Is K Marte starting SS material in 12 team mixed leagues? My other options are Semien and Jose Ramirez.

2:02	Brad Johnson: They’re all fringe starters if it’s not a MI league. Easily rosterable in MI leagues

2:02	Erik: Will Yelich ever pick up the pace on HRs and steals? Would you trade Carlos Carrasco for him?

2:03	Brad Johnson: maybe on SB. Just doesn’t lift the ball enough for HR

2:03	Brad Johnson: I’d hang onto Carrasco

2:03	Harry Caray’s Ghost: Addison Russell is still going to be great, right? Not every youngster can come up and be an instant success…

2:03	Brad Johnson: Correct. Great might be overstating it, but there’s big breakout potential.

2:03	Brad Johnson: I’ve been harping about Tim Anderson lately. He’s a super utility guy now but I think he’ll be a good starter in 2-3 years

2:04	Brad Johnson: For now, White Sox fans need to be patient

2:04	Billy: Took over a team on the far reaches of making the playoffs. In your idea of a rebuild how young do I get?

2:04	Brad Johnson: I can’t really sell you a formula for rebuilding. It’s all about chasing arbitrage opportunities

2:04	Brad Johnson: in your league, that may mean Kevin Maitan or Dylan Cozens or Randal Grichuk

2:05	K: Can I overreact and grab Rondon in my Holds-counting Dynasty league? I’d have to drop Motte who has actually owned the Rox 8th inning for 3 weeks and looked okay. But… 99 MPH!!!!

2:05	Brad Johnson: If the question is “can I drop Jason Motte” the answer is ALWAYS yes.

2:05	Brad Johnson: Loving all the dynasty questions today

2:06	Brian: Dynasty league. Win now mode. Looking for MR with Ks and ratios and shot at saves. Been offered oh if I give up kilome and cease. Yay or nay

2:07	Brad Johnson: I haven’t put much research into Cease so it’s hard to say. Oh has a decent shot at getting some saves. Feels like Siegrist is first in line. Haven’t check in on their bullpen for a week

2:07	Brad Johnson: Ironically, the FanGraphs weekend in NYC meant that I haven’t watched any baseball since last Tuesday. Been doing my best to keep up on my phone

2:08	Brad Johnson: I’m living 20 minutes in the past, so I’m skipping up to 2:05

2:08	Philly Steak: If Jeanmar Gomez gets injured today, who closes for the Phillies tomorrow?

2:09	Brad Johnson: Hector Neris still. David Hernandez maybe 30% shot. Should be Hernandez if they’re looking for trade assets.

2:09	Gary: Drop Maikel Franco for Justin Turner for my 3B slot in 10-team redraft, or is that a bridge too far?

2:09	Brad Johnson: no, go ahead and do it

2:09	MarinerDan: How do you see Peter O’Brien’s playing time ROS? Seems like Chip Hale is incredibly irritating when it comes to allocating playing time. If you are going to call the guy up, play him consistently and see how he does! If you are not willing to do that, don’t call him up!

2:10	Brad Johnson: The DBacks are visiting Toronto right now. Unless they have another away interleague soon, I’d expect O’Brien to be optioned after the series

2:10	Punch Out: True or False – Tyson Ross finishes the season as a member of the Padres?

2:10	Brad Johnson: True

2:10	Brad Johnson: hard to trade an injured pitcher

2:10	Seth: best speculative reliever: neris, will smith, oh, siegrist, or dark horse michael lorenzen?

2:10	Brad Johnson: Smith or Raisel Iglesias

2:10	Brad Johnson: if you’re looking for dark horse reds

2:11	Mike c: In a keeper forever league, trade springer and mazara for Harper?

2:11	Brad Johnson: oh, that’s a tough one. I’d be scared on either side of that one

2:11	Brad Johnson: smells fair to me

2:11	Billy: Ozzie Albies for Jorge Soler in a dynasty?

2:11	Soler Array: Is Jorge Soler a Cub until the end of the year?

2:12	Brad Johnson: I really don’t care for Soler. He’s a 4th outfielder. The Cubs think he’s a 4th outfielder too. It’s why they signed Fowler (and Victorino before him)

2:13	Brad Johnson: Albies could be a better Elvis Andrus or a worse Alcides Escobar. That’s you range of likely outcomes

2:13	Brad Johnson: So…you could make that trade, especially if you don’t agree with my opinion of Soler

2:13	LT: In a dynasty league that heavily weights batting average, would you trade Lindor for either of Mazara or Meadows?

2:13	Brad Johnson: Nope.

2:13	Brad Johnson: But throw in a decent plus to Mazara and I’m there

2:14	The Farthammer: giolito + urias = what tier pitcher in ten-team dynasty

2:14	Brad Johnson: top tier non-Kershaw

2:14	Robert Duvall: If Duvall ends the season hitting .240 with 40 HR, would he be a top 20 hitter in an NL only 5×5?

2:14	Brad Johnson: yes, pending run production

2:15	Guest: Wondering why you see Nola as a 3.35 ERA guy? Currently FIP at 3.05 and xFIP at 2.80…Is it the velo, or is there another/additional reason for your skepticism?

2:15	Brad Johnson: Stuff doesn’t really support a strikeout rate above 9,00 K/9.

2:15	Stephen Strasburg: Would you trade me for Josh Donaldson in 12 team mixed?

2:15	Brad Johnson: Yea, sure.

2:15	Giant Steps: If Santiago Casilla gets injured, who is the best bet to get saves among Law, Gearrin and Strickland?

2:16	Brad Johnson: I’ve been trying to figure that out for awhile. I want to say Strickland but I think it’s Gearrin.

2:16	Brad Johnson: I need water, I’ll be back

2:18	The Farthammer: talking about jose reyes going back to the mets on the rundown right now. does that make him a must own in a ten teamer?

2:18	Brad Johnson: no

2:18	Brad Johnson: if Jose Reyes isn’t done, he’s in Jimmy Rollins land

2:18	Brad Johnson: i.e. nearly done

2:18	JD: What can I get for Dee Gordon now? What could I expect int terms of performance when he returns?

2:19	Brad Johnson: I can’t speak to what he’s doing to remain in game shape, so it’s hard to speculate about what he’ll do RoS

2:19	Brad Johnson: you could probably get a slightly better than waiver wire quality player now. like Robbie Grossman

2:19	Brad Johnson: wait 3 more weeks and you can trade him at near full price

2:19	Swinging Friar: Texas closer showdown! Who has more value ROS, Dyson or Harris?

2:19	Brad Johnson: Dyson

2:20	Brad Johnson: I always called him a poor mans Zach Britton. Now he’s pitching for strikeouts so he’s just a Britton clone

2:20	Peach: When Reddick comes off DL I need to decide between him, Belt, and Harrison to drop. I could try to trade one of them or Cain/Myers. What would you do? 12 team roto

2:20	Brad Johnson: Well the answer isn’t to cut Belt

2:21	Brad Johnson: I’m guessing you need Harrison’s utility

2:21	Brad Johnson: so that probably leaves Reddick on the outside unless you can pull off a 2-for-1

2:21	Brad Johnson: I’d try to before Reddick’s back

2:21	ScaredPirate: Will Cutch rebound this year?

2:21	Brad Johnson: Probably. But it is getting scary

2:22	Oddbal Herrera: Assuming it happens if you were to guess Buxton’s first ‘monster’ fantasy year what would you say? 2017? 2018? Farther?

2:22	Brad Johnson: I’ll say 2018 or never

2:22	Brad Johnson: maybe mid-2017

2:22

Vic Romano: When is the “right” time to trade away a stud in a dynasty league? I’m trying to win this year, so I’m not really looking to move Scherzer right now, but he’ll be 32 in a month and not getting any younger, so I’m kinda thinking about trying to cash in on him before it’s too late to get a huge haul in return.

2:23	Brad Johnson: I’d look to trade Scherzer with another player for somebody even better.

2:23	Brad Johnson: I hate disaggregating if my team is already good.

2:24	18 minutes in the past: So I grabbed Willlson Contreras b/c I had waiver priority, but I feel set at C w/ Realmuto and Martin (12-team 5×5, play two starting catchers). What kind of return should I expect from Contreras? Or am I better off moving one of the other guys?

2:24	Brad Johnson: Contreras really isn’t going to play much this year. If you’re in a keeper, maybe try to move Martin and put up with 2 games a week from Contreras. Otherwise, find a Cubs fan to take Contreras.

2:25	Giant Steps: Grin and Barrett Do you think Jake Barrett or Silvino Bracho could step in ahead of Clippard and Hudson if Ziegler is injured/replaced as closer?

2:25	Brad Johnson: not likely. not impossible

2:25	The Farthammer: please let stanton be back….please let stanton be back…

2:25	JD: What is Urias outlook for the rest of the year? Also, will he be babied like this forever?

2:25	Brad Johnson: He’s getting babied because he is, in fact, an infant

2:26	Brad Johnson: without confirming his exact numbers, he probably has 40 IP left, so 8 starts?

2:26	Brad Johnson: no postseason work for him

2:26	Ampersand: Is Stroman droppable in a 14-team redraft? I feel like I could stream the spot better than he’s been pitching.

2:26	Brad Johnson: possibly. I’ve been holding in a 12 teamer (regrettably)

2:26	Dan: I have 6 closers in a 10 team roto. Chapman, Allen, Harris, Zigler, Kelly and Rodriguez. I need more starting pitching and no one wants to trade. Who should I drop?

2:27	Brad Johnson: Ziegler to start

2:27	Brad Johnson: at least you have Chapman to balance his K/9, but he singlehandedly kills that stat

2:27	Friend: Is David Peralta worth holding on to right now in 14 team league? Keeps getting dinged up and not really moving the needle when healthy

2:28	Brad Johnson: I think so, but I also think you can move on for the right guy.

2:28	Guest: Given Weiters’ rest requirements….does it make sense to snare Caleb Joseph off waivers? Yes he’s hurt but catching is brutal and my current guys are Navarro and Gomes. 10-team AL-only keeper

2:28	Brad Johnson: Makes plenty of sense in that format

2:28	MarinerDan: Your pick for biggest fantasy impact ROS for a hitter and pitcher that has not yet been called up?

2:29	Brad Johnson: I’ll try to do this without consulting anything…

2:29	Brad Johnson: I’ll go Joe Musgrove for the pitcher

2:29	Brad Johnson: bit of a contrarian pick

2:30	Brad Johnson: Ryon Healy for hitter

2:30	Brad Johnson: The easy picks would be Glasnow, Giolito, Reyes, and Trea Turner

2:30	Ron is My Cousin: Is John Gant an under the radar number 3 starting pitcher?

2:30	Brad Johnson: nonono

2:30	Billy: Do you like Travis Shaw or Soler better long term?

2:31	Brad Johnson: Both bench players or second division starters

2:31	MarinerDan: Are you as down on Randal Grichuk as the Cardinals appear to be/

2:31	Brad Johnson: The Cardinals always do this – see Kolten Wong. They have options so why not let Grichuk get himself back in a groove

2:32	Brad Johnson: I don’t think they’re that down on him, they just recognize he’s in a funk and they don’t need to suffer through it

2:32	Batman: Joe Musgrove been hit hard last 3. Just a bump in the road? Does it delay his call up?

2:32	Brad Johnson: It kind of goes with his profile. As I wrote about Zach Eflin, command and control types can get into trouble

2:32	Russ: 12-team fairly deep… keep or stream Eickhoff and DeSclafani?

2:32	Brad Johnson: I think those are almost certainly streamers

2:33	Dr. Met: Is Schoop a 2B version of Mark Reynolds peak years?

2:33	Brad Johnson: didn’t Reynolds steal like 30 bases once? I’d be happy if Schoop stole 3

2:33	MarinerDan: Jameson Taillon: Does he stay in the rotation ROS? And, if so, what kind of an impact do you see?

2:33	Brad Johnson: No, he only have something like 50 IP left

2:33	Joe D: Keeper league: trade freeman and kemp for Miguel Cabrera?

2:33	Brad Johnson: yes!

2:33	Brad Johnson: go now

2:33	Friend: Does Giolito reach the majors this year?

2:34	Brad Johnson: Probably. Math and history say the Nats will lose a pitcher. And he’s looked good lately

2:34	Billy: If I have to trade Benintendi and Judge, is that too much for Matt Harvey?

2:34	Brad Johnson: yes.

2:34	Brad Johnson: Pick another pitcher like matt Harvey who doesn’t look like he’s burnt and toasty

2:35	Brad Johnson: but why do you have to trade both? Keep Benintendi and trade somebody lesser with Judge for Harvey

2:35	kc: In need of pitching in an 11 team roto, is Chris Davis + AJ Ramos too much for Bummy?

2:35	Brad Johnson: Depends on the opportunity cost. Could work

2:36	Brad Johnson: I’d usually be paying Bum+Ramos for Davis though

2:36	Mark: Appropriate target for aaron sanchez in a keeper league? 12 teams

2:36	Brad Johnson: if your rival is aware he’s going to lose his SP job soon due to IP, then not much

2:36	Brad Johnson: Assuming there’s some kind of cost attached to keeping him

2:36	MarinerDan: Can Danny Duffy be a top-25 pitcher the rest of the way?

2:37	Brad Johnson: That sounds ludicrous. I suppose anything is possible. He’s about as likely as Doug Fister

2:37	Bryan: Where would you rank Piscotty as a keeper? Top 75? Top 100? Better, worse?

2:37	Brad Johnson: yea somewhere in that 70-100 range

2:38	Crazy8: Is this Mengden fella worth a stream tmrw vs MIL?

2:38	Brad Johnson: yep

2:38	Brad Johnson: so is Junior guerra on the other side

2:38	Philips: 16 deep mixed points league, need a 2B, have Profar, but benched him and picked up Flores. Giovatella is on the wire, should I run with Flores or pick up Gio?

2:38	Brad Johnson: Wait, why isn’t Profar the answer here?

2:39	Brad Johnson: he is

2:39	Brad Johnson: you made me look

2:39	The Kid: $16 Heyward, $3 Hanley, $3 Matz for $43 Stanton. Which side do you take?

2:40	Brad Johnson: $3 Matz probably. Depends on your rules and budget. At this rate, Stanton’s only going to cost $33 to draft

2:40	ryN: Which 2 for my UTIL spots in a redraft: Puig, Mazara, Khrush Davis, Saunders?

2:41	Brad Johnson: Mazara and platoon of Davis/Saunders

2:41	Greg: Looks like Profar has been relegated to a bench role, your insight if he gets traded soon, sent to minors, or kept on team waiting on another Beltre/Fielder injury so he can take their place?

2:42	Brad Johnson: I don’t think he’s been benched

2:42	Brad Johnson: I think they’re worried about wearing him out – he played basically everyday up until last Thursday

2:42	Brad Johnson: they probably want him to be a 5 per week guy

2:43	Kirby: Quintina + Belt gets what kind of 1B/OF? Is Votto too much to ask? Abreu? Cutch?

2:43	Brad Johnson: All seem reasonable considering their struggles

2:43	TheRealThor: Buying, selling or holding Matt Harvey?

2:43	Brad Johnson: Hold or sell

2:43	Brandon Nimmo: Where am I Aug. 1st?

2:43	Brad Johnson: Not sure, but you should be in the majors within a few days imo

2:44	Brad Johnson: Conforto has options, as the Cardinals have shown, it’s sometimes wise to let your guys wreck milbers for a week or two

2:44	Russ: got a DL spot open… pick up VV or Wheeler?

2:44	Brad Johnson: Wheeler

2:44	Colin: Hey Brad, Segura or Schoop ROS in standard leagues. Well-balanced team, so more based on overall production than specific needs.

2:44	Brad Johnson: Want volatility or floor? I think you know which guy applies to which situation

2:45	Mile High Issues: Trade Story for Diaz and J. Upton in 5×5 dynasty? I’ve got Correa and Fowler just hit the DL

2:45	Brad Johnson: Jumbo Diaz, right? 🙂

2:45	Brad Johnson: Yea I’d throw the dice on that

2:45	Brad Johnson: I love Story for dynasty though.

2:46	JR: 10 team dynasty, trade Buxton for Conforto and Winker?

2:46	Brad Johnson: I think you can do that if you want some instant gratification

2:46	Brad Johnson: Buxton could be the latest Fernando Martinez

2:46	MarinerDan: Should we look to trade Drew Pomeranz now or is he likely to continue doing what he has done to date?

2:46	Brad Johnson: He’ll decline some as teams adjust to him using the curve so often

2:47	Brad Johnson: still a 2 pitch guy for the most part

2:47	Brad Johnson: He’s a guy you could reasonably buy hold or sell based on your needs/situation

2:47	show me on the doll…: do kris bryant and miguel sano have the same power? or is sano slightly plus

2:47	Brad Johnson: roughly, scouts will say Sano is better but what matters is ability to access it in game

2:48	Brad Johnson: time will tell, both are 30 HR boppers

2:48	JD: As a Cubs fan I hate having Cardinals on my team, but I picked up Matt Adams at the start of his hot streak and just took a flier on Wong bc he seems like a great bounce back candidate. What do you think of these two guys?

2:48	Brad Johnson: I like ’em as cheap plug-ins. Good arbitrage opportunities too. They’re sellable because of name value

2:49	Brad Johnson: ok, 5-10 more minutes, I’ll skip forward to the present

2:49	Aaron Burr: Better keeper: $26 Scherzer or $16 Salazar?

2:49	Brad Johnson: ooh. I think that’s about a push

2:49	Billy: Tommy Joseph as a catcher qualified player for just this year: where does he slot among C’s ROS?

2:49	Brad Johnson: Without looking, I’ll say about 11th

2:50	Whats that Odor: Should I drop wellington castillo for d’arnaud?

2:50	Brad Johnson: Probably, TDA will play a lot more

2:50	Dr. Met: re: schoop lol yes fair enough…. i guess the better question is if schoop will always be a low obp, high slugging and 250 avg MI? that still plays as tier2 guy at 2b right?

2:50	Brad Johnson: I don’t see that changing. More tier 3 or 4 to me, but maybe I’m just making more tiers than you

2:50	Billy: Is it worth trading Judge and Alford for one of: AJ Reed, Bregman, Buxton, Jake Lamb, Brendan Rodgers?

2:51	Brad Johnson: Bregman, Buxton, or Rodgers, sure

2:51	Joe D: Strasberg. For kenley and chapman in keeper league?

2:51	Brad Johnson: I don’t hate it. I assume you need CL. They’re all a risk to self-immolate

2:51	Gavin: Just lost Mallex Smith and could use some steals. Trade Schoop for B.Hamilton in 10 team roto redraft?

2:51	Brad Johnson: Cut Smith for Whit Merrifield?

2:51	Brad Johnson: That trade’s fine too

2:52	bookie metts: sell high on chris tillman or jose quintana?

2:52	Brad Johnson: yes on Tillman. Hold Quintana

2:52	Nolan: Regarding your endorsement of dropping Maikel Franco for Justin Turner: wouldn’t that be paying for production behind us at the expense of anticipation production yet to come?

2:52	Brad Johnson: I already anticipated Turner to outperform Franco

2:52	Corky: Scooter Gennett – any value in a 14 team OBP league?

2:52	Brad Johnson: not really to trade, but he’s a fine core guy

2:53	Zack: Which side in a 12 team ops, whip, k/9 roto? Nola + Rendon for Hosmer (Drop Corey Dickerson)

2:53	Brad Johnson: Nola/Rendon for me

2:53	Brad Johnson: I’m not a big hosmer fan. I think that’s an example of paying for the past

2:53	Jordan: Carlos Gomez or Danny Valencia? 10 H2H 5×5

2:53	Brad Johnson: Valencia

2:53	Nolan: Odds Shawn Kelly keeps the Nats gig ROS?

2:53	Brad Johnson: Very small

2:53	JAVY: D’Arnaud or Grandal ROS? Getting tired of waking up to Grandal’s 0-3.

2:53	Brad Johnson: Grandal

2:53	Billy: Conforto for Benintendi long term?

2:54	Brad Johnson: Benintendi

2:54	Vic Romano: How high is Bogaerts playing above his head? That .392 BABIP doesn’t seem sustainable.

2:54	Brad Johnson: well yea, it’s not. He’s a high BABIP guy but that usually means .333 BABIP

2:54	Brad Johnson: Otherwise, I think the rest smells sustainableish

2:54	Pedro Cerrano: What is a solid Choo comparable moving forward? 12 team H2H points league.

2:55	Brad Johnson: He’s kinda unique. Can’t think of a high OBP guy who will be healthy 1/3, playing hurt 1/3, and on the DL 1/3

2:55	N.W.enO: Just got an offer upped…Arenado/Sale/Odor for Trout/MadBum/Forsythe. Which side you like?

2:55	Brad Johnson: Trout me please

2:55	Bart: Start or sit Nola today (after 2 bad starts)?

2:56	Brad Johnson: Tentative start. I do like the matchup. I say that, but I’m sitting him and Verlander in ottoneu

2:56	JD: Benintendi in bigs this year?

2:56	Brad Johnson: No, he’s stalled

2:56	Ben Hester: Think Edwin Diaz figures into saves picture by year’s end?

2:56	Brad Johnson: My Mariners guy says no, Zych will jump ahead of him if he returns healthy

2:56	Brad Johnson: maybe if Zych doesn’t fully recover though

2:57	Pedro Cerrano: I have Gattis, Ramos and now Contreras – who do you keep in H2H points? 12 teams.

2:57	Brad Johnson: The first 2

2:57	Drewser: Can you name a few players from this year’s amateur draft who stand out for their high fantasy upside?

2:57	Brad Johnson: Let’s finish on this

2:58	Brad Johnson: Nick Senzel is one of the closest to the majors. Lewis and Ray are the other two hitters who could move fast and have a high ceiling

2:58	Brad Johnson: I’ve been a Josh Lowe fan for awhile, but he’s many years away. I didn’t see any pitchers I thought would be both fast moving and high ceiling/floor

2:59	Brad Johnson: ok I’ll blitz as many as I can in the 30 seconds left

2:59	Andy: Realmuto a top-7ish fantasy catcher in an OPS league?

2:59	Brad Johnson: push

2:59	Utility Knife: Baez turning a corner with some regular PT?

2:59	Brad Johnson: maybe

2:59	Will: Ryan Braun for Justin Upton re-draft challenge trade: which side wins?

2:59	Brad Johnson: upton

2:59	Von Schloss: 16 team dynasty, is Trayce & Semien for Yelich a good deal?

3:00	Brad Johnson: fair both ways

3:00	Bart: Villar or Segura?

3:00	Brad Johnson: villar

BAL	CHW	LAA
BOS	CLE	OAK
NYY	DET	SEA
TBR	KCR	TEX
TOR	MIN	HOU

ATL	CHC*	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM*	PIT	SDP*
PHI	STL	SFG

Brad Johnson RotoGraphs Chat – 6/21