Brad Johnson Baseball Chat – 6/13/2017
Here’s today’s chat transcript. There was an unusual number of comments (i.e. any) about Napoleon Dynamite. I only published one of them.
2:58 |
: What’s up folks? We’ll get started in a moment. I’m trying to decide who to cut for Clayton Richard in my dynasty league.
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2:59 |
: You don’t want me brah
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2:59 |
: I’ll provide a little background in a moment before I start answering questions
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3:00 |
: The cut is either Pat Corbin or James Shields fwiw
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3:01 |
: So, over the weekend Chad Young and I threw in the towel on 2017 in our 20-team, 45-player, keep-28 dynasty
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3:02 |
: We are in last place among the 12 or so “contending” rosters. We’ve had terrible luck – Miggy, Donaldson, JDM, Quintana, Aaron Sanchez, Carlos Sanchez, Story, Zobrist, Salazar, Morton, etc
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3:03 |
: Basically, the whole roster except Blackmon and Paxton have performed to their 25th percentile projection or worse
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3:03 |
: should have been a top 3 roster…
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3:03 |
: Anyway, the decision was made to pursue Mookie Betts which predictably cost a fortune
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3:04 |
: We traded Archer, Quintana, Donaldson, Bush, Doobie Herrera, and A.J. Ramos for Betts, Smoak, Godley, Ryu, Davidson, and Sogard
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3:05 |
: Admittedly, getting Godley was a sneaky throw-in. We think he has a shot to be the best pitcher in the deal.
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3:05 |
: Then we traded Miggy, C. Santana, and K. Herrera for Rizzo, Alex Kirilloff, and Kevin Merrell
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3:05 |
: Then Mike Leake and Nick Markakis for Chris Taylor and Jesus Sanchez
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3:06 |
: Long story short(ish), we’re low on pitchers.
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3:06 |
: And now…
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3:06 |
: Thoughts on red hot, 27 year old, 2B/LF, SD Padre, Jose Pirela? Obviously not a sustainable .647 BABIP, but can he be a full time MLB player now? His super small sample contact quality is off the charts. 106.1 MPH avg EV on ground balls, 103.6 MPH avg EV on Low Drives, 105.7 MPH avg EV on High Drives, and 96.6 MPH avg EV on Fly Balls, and 0 popups. Numbers elevated immensely over previous seasons. K% only slightly elevated from previous MLB stint.
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3:07 |
: Pirela looks like he could be a legit breakout. I wouldn’t pay a ton for him, but if the only cost is a waiver add, go get him.
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3:07 |
: He’s a guy I’m trying to get right now in that dynasty league
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3:07 |
: Mccullers is at 70ish IP so far and all of last year he did 90ish. Do you see them capping him later in the season?
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3:07 |
: They’re pretty careful with him start-to-start
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3:08 |
: I think he gets to pitch whenever he’s healthy
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3:08 |
: how you feel about a 2 start gerritt cole
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3:08 |
: Dangerous. He’s been so bad lately, looks like maybe he’s lost feel for his mechanics
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3:08 |
: Is Procello droppable in a 10 team roto? I just dropped Lackey
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3:09 |
: Yea, probably. That can be a very shallow format, just depends how your leaguemates manage their bench
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3:09 |
: See anything in Alex Meyer? K’s and walks, but not horrible vs. that Yankees line-up yesterday. Velocity up slightly…
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3:09 |
: He throws hard, tosses 30+% curves, and has crappy command
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3:09 |
: He’s a streamer for 12-team leagues
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3:10 |
: I picked him up on that dynasty though
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3:10 |
: Who do you think will be the closer in Washington after yet another implosion last night?
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3:10 |
: Eventually, Brad Hand, Kelvin Herrera, David Robertson, or similar
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3:10 |
: Still believe in Koda Glover too long term
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3:10 |
: stuff is nasty but inconsistent
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3:10 |
: What reasonably-calculable statistics are the best metrics to determining the most valuable players in my company softball league?
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3:11 |
: For hitters, hard contact rate and ability to hit to the opposite field
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3:11 |
: that’s always an automatic triple
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3:11 |
: Cut Hanley in 12 team roto?
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3:12 |
: Can for the right player.
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3:12 |
: He probably should be owned by somebody in your league though
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3:12 |
: just isn’t necessarily you
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3:12 |
: Abreu and Judge for Goldy in an OPS league?
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3:12 |
: Tempting, especially if you need the steals
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3:12 |
: Seems like you should be able to get a modest plus with Goldy
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3:12 |
: Pick one 2B for rest of season: LeMahieu or Merrifield.
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3:12 |
: DJLM
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3:13 |
: Is Kenta Maeda droppable to speculate on SP or grab Kahnle?
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3:13 |
: Yep
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3:13 |
: Trevor Bauer is a divisive figure among FG writers. What’s your view on his prospects this year?
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3:13 |
: He’s pretty bad
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3:13 |
: FanGraphs folks like him because he’s thoughtful about pitching
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3:13 |
: But command is a constant issue for him
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3:14 |
: Would you drop Harvey for Godley in a keeper league?
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3:14 |
: Yes
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3:14 |
: Toronto’s pitching.How do you see Aaron Sanchez’s performance when he returns,? What will be Biagini’s role with the regular SP’s back??
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3:14 |
: I think Biagini stays in the rotation unless they’re managing his innings
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3:14 |
: He’s good enough to start
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3:14 |
: Obligatory Judge question….every keeps saying his pace is unsustainable…..but what if its not? It’s mid June and he hasn’t slowed down yet….
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3:15 |
: I mean, there will be some regression. A slump even. But he’s damned good
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3:15 |
: he’s a legit Giancarlo clone
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3:15 |
: with different holes
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3:15 |
: Like Pirela better than Lowrie or Simmons?
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3:15 |
: Simmons probably
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3:15 |
: it’s really hard to say what Pirela is right now
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3:15 |
: his success came at a super friendly Triple-A setting
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3:15 |
: Thanks for chatting, Brad. I’ve thrown in the towel on my 8 tm NL only keeper lg (H2H pts). I’m trying to structure a deal to send my Daniel Murphy for Syndergaard, whose owner is still competing. Is that deal fair alone, or should I be throwing in add’l player(s) to account for Thor’s long-term upside?
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3:16 |
: More than fair
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3:16 |
: It’s risky to bet upon hurt pitchers of any talent level
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3:16 |
: Judge or Machado? Two weeks ago the guy with the longer track record was suggested to be better. I declined the trade and am sure glad I did!
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3:16 |
: Judge
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3:16 |
: Mallex leads AL in SBs by end of season?
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3:16 |
: quite possibly
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3:16 |
: He’s a slightly less prolific Billy Hamilton
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3:17 |
: or perhaps Jose Peraza is the better comp
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3:17 |
: he throws away some ABs
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3:17 |
: falls behind and gets super defensive
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3:17 |
: My Ian Kinsler for his Ian Desmond, who wins?
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3:17 |
: You? Maybe?
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3:17 |
: I don’t know tbh, solid challenge trade
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3:17 |
: Travis is intrigued with Peacock..but needs a larger sample size…are you also hesitant?
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3:18 |
: The strikeouts are real(ish). The question is, multi-inning reliever or short-outing starter
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3:18 |
: I think he’s elite in the relief role and passable as a SP
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3:18 |
: Who do you like ROS, Chris Owings or Javy Baez?
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3:18 |
: push
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3:18 |
: How good do you think Godley is going to be? Ace potential or not quite?
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3:18 |
: No, not quite
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3:18 |
: Marcus Stroman?
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3:19 |
: Long term outlook in a dynasty: Lowrie or Pirela?
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3:19 |
: Uh, as much as I like ’em both right now, I’m not looking beyond a month for either of them
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3:19 |
: With Chris Davis going down, will Trey Mancini be a 30+ HR, 100 RBI guy without even breaking 2 WAR this season?
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3:19 |
: HR barrage aside, he’s not that powerful
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3:19 |
: he’s more a 20-25 HR guy
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3:19 |
: Sam Travis the starting 1b next year? thoughts on him in an AL only setting
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3:20 |
: I like him in AL only. Kind of a second division starter in my opinion
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3:20 |
: Who would you rather have for this year: Joe Ross, Newcomb, Faria, or Farmer?
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3:20 |
: Ross I guess
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3:20 |
: some upside there
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3:20 |
: Mid-Season one Round Draft, Keeper League (no F/A moves allowed otherwise): Smoak, Alonso, ALtherr, M. Reynolds, Jimmy Nelson, Chase Anderson, Tim Beckham, LOMO. Who helps most ROS and who is best keeper in 25 man keeper format (with 25 round draft every year in dynasty)
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3:21 |
: Ooh tricky. Alonso is the best right now, closely followed by LoMo. Smoak seems good too, but there are some red flags
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3:21 |
: They’re all pretty old though
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3:21 |
: Altherr may be the better long term bet.
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3:21 |
: And see how Jimmy Nelson pitches today. He could be en route to a big season
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3:22 |
: Harper/Swanson/Daniel Norris or Correa/deGrom/Moncada/Rosenthal? Dynasty keep forever no cost 6×6 with OPS and QS added
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3:22 |
: Harper every time
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3:22 |
: Starved for steals and the Billy Hamilton owner won’t trade him, so I’ve taken the Moneyball approach and added Mallex, Maybin, and Delino Jr. Should I be set?
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3:22 |
: Yes, very set
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3:22 |
: Too soon to ask the question.. Judge or Stanton??
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3:22 |
: Maybe. But I like Judge until he reveals his flaws
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3:22 |
: How about Aaron Sanchez ROS? Which tier of SP might he fall into? Thanks.
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3:23 |
: Second or third? He’s very good.
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3:23 |
: Could be rusty when he first returns
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3:23 |
: Lewis Brinson a 10-team redraft bat?
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3:23 |
: No. Streamable
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3:23 |
: Most under owned pitcher (in most leagues) is…..?
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3:23 |
: I keep getting to recommend Zack Godley
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3:23 |
: there aren’t many quality SP floating around the waiver wire
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3:24 |
: everybody is drowning in injuries and underperformance
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3:24 |
: Samardzija: hold or stream in 10-team? Also, start @Coors this week?
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3:24 |
: Hold and as needed at Coors
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3:24 |
: Am I worth keeping in NL-only?
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3:24 |
: Sure. though I’m not a fan
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3:24 |
: I’ve got Odor and DJLM as my 2B and MI in 10-team. Set and forget, or seek to upgrade?
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3:25 |
: Probably want to get an upgrade in place
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3:25 |
: Do you think Villar will have a FT job when he gets off the DL?
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3:25 |
: At first
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3:25 |
: definitely playing his way into a utility role
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3:25 |
: Can you see Eric Young Jr. doing some damage on the basepaths ROS?
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3:25 |
: Sure, if he can beat a .250 OBP. He’s a bad hitter
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3:25 |
: you think the minor league bash bros (hoskins / cozens) perform in the MLB?
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3:25 |
: Hoskins yes, Cozens no
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3:26 |
: Hoskins makes plenty of contact, Cozens has the Russell Branyan profile
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3:26 |
: It’s working for Gallo and Renfroe though
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3:26 |
: I recently dealt Verlander to get Thames. Thought it was a no-brainer but “God” has been in a long slump since April. Which side of the deal do you like better?
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3:26 |
: Thames
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3:26 |
: Ryon Healy or Alex Bregman (ROS)?
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3:26 |
: Healy
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3:26 |
: Is it time to start worrying about my performance?
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3:27 |
: Oh yea. You’ve morphed into Francisco Cervelli
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3:27 |
: A trade partner is weighing my Paxton/Benintendi/Kintzler for his Trout/Osuna. If I swap Bellinger for Benintendi it’d put it over the top. Good move? 12-team HtH. I’m in first, he’s around .500.
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3:28 |
: This isn’t a keeper? I’m hesitant to bet heavily on a busted hand. Even if it’s Mike Trout.
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3:28 |
: So, Nats bullpen. What’s a fantasy player to do? Avoid that dumpster fire altogether for the time being?
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3:28 |
: Pretty much
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3:28 |
: Related note – who are your top save spec guys right now?
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3:29 |
: Bedrosian, Kahnle, Neshek (if he counts), Phelps, Joe Kelly (in event of injury to Kimbrel), probably forgetting a couple
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3:29 |
: Zack Godley or Jaime Garcia just this year – better FIP?
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3:29 |
: Godley
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3:29 |
: not even a question
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3:29 |
: So I scooped up Brand Hand a few weeks ago when it was looking like he might be in line for some saves. Hasn’t done much since – you think he’s worth holding onto in a 12-team redraft?
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3:29 |
: Maybe, maybe not. Just depends on your specific situation
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3:29 |
: another case where somebody should own him, not necessarily you
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3:30 |
: Attack of corner infielders: Could you rank Bregman, V-Mart, Duda and Castellanos for RoS?
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3:30 |
: Duda Bregman no
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3:30 |
: JotCast apparently didn’t like my formating
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3:30 |
: Duda’s the only must-roster guy from that list
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3:30 |
: Time to stash Starling Marte in 10-team yet?
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3:30 |
: If you have the space, sure
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3:30 |
: Ian Happ or Tim beckham in an obp league? Yes it’s a bare cupboard.
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3:30 |
: Happ
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3:31 |
: Pirela is better though
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3:31 |
: or at least more interesting in an immediate sense
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3:31 |
: Chris Taylor – real or not. 10 team NL only dynasty – has to be worth something legit, right?
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3:31 |
: Too high BABIP and too many K to not worry about big regression
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3:32 |
: I’ve seen a lot of lazy comps to Justin Turner, but they’re nothing alike as hitters
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3:32 |
: What are your thoughts on owning too many guys from 1 team? I’m desperate for speed and want to get Delino, but already have Odor/Mazara and feel like owning 3 Rangers is too much.
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3:32 |
: Nothing wrong with it in roto
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3:32 |
: you just want the end of season stats. You’ll have a lot of week to week volatility, but it washes out in the end
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3:32 |
: It’s a riskier ploy in H2H
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3:33 |
: My Carpenter for his Justin Turner and addison Reed?
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3:33 |
: Do it
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3:33 |
: Hey brad – thanks for the chat. Save spec-ing. Who do you like (can you rank these): soria, bearclaw, hand, vizcaino, doolittle?
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3:33 |
: Doolittle is a name I forgot on the earlier list. Soria, Doolittle, Hand, Viz
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3:33 |
: Bearclaw isn’t first in line for the Marlins. Or even second
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3:33 |
: Battle of the DHs: Matt Holiday or Hanley Ramirez?
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3:34 |
: I’ll still take HanRam
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3:34 |
: Tanaka ROS: good or not-so-good?
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3:34 |
: Not
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3:34 |
: I currently have nicasio as my 3rd RP in a 14 teamer, should I swap him out for Kahnle who is a free agent
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3:34 |
: Might sit just a little longer on Nicasio just in case
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3:34 |
: Kahnle is still over a month from a Robertson trade
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3:34 |
: The bottom of my rotation (10x mixed) is Hill, Nola, Pomeranz, and Guerra. All under performing for one reason or another. The best available FAs are probably Godley, Montgomery, Cahill Carns, and Biagini. Roll with what I’ve got or shuffle some guys around?
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3:35 |
: I’d shuffle to some of those free agents. Start with Guerra for Godley
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3:35 |
: My Mookie and Bellinger and a 2nd round pick for his Trout. Good deal or nah? 16T H2H Dynasty
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3:35 |
: Seems reasonable. Depends on how many players you get to keep
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3:35 |
: In a dynasty league would you trade Javy Baez for Mallex Smith if you need SBs? Was hoping for more SBs out of Baez.
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3:35 |
: Sure
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3:35 |
: Looking to trade away Kendrys Morales for a 1B to replace Chris Davis. Any you suggest going after?
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3:36 |
: What about Morales? I assume your format doesn’t let him be a 1B?
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3:36 |
: Alonso, LoMo, Smoak, Duda?
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3:36 |
: What’s your opinion of Biagini, aside from his entertainingly awkward interviews?
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3:37 |
: Solid combo of whiffs and ground balls.
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3:37 |
: Will the real Kyle Hendricks ever come back or should I try to trade him?
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3:37 |
: Be patient
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3:37 |
: because ain’t nobody going to pay for him anymore
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3:37 |
: Short and long term thoughts on Yelich? Counting stats aren’t too far off historical norms but avg is lagging. Simply a case of low babip?
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3:37 |
: I think so. He’s staying the same while all the other hitters are getting better
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3:38 |
: Drop Story for Simmons or Beckham, or give Story a little more time? Doing well in HR overall.
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3:38 |
: Keep Story
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3:38 |
: Which NL SP should I pick up off the waiver wire: Cahill, Urias, or Finnegan?
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3:38 |
: Not up to date on Cahill’s recovery, but he’s probably the only one I’d bet on performing well
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3:38 |
: my knebel for his justin turner? (saves are more valuable than they should be)
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3:38 |
: If you need the no SB 3B
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3:38 |
: Asdrubal Cabrera to the DL…..Rosario time?
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3:39 |
: Everybody wants to see Rosario. I don’t see a meaningful fantasy asset in his profile
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3:39 |
: Let Orlando Arcia serve as a warning
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3:39 |
: Carlos Martinez for Khris Davis who wins?
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3:39 |
: Push, pending statistical needs of the owners involved
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3:39 |
: Will cueto surge in the second half or this is what he is
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3:40 |
: He’s been battling blisters. Could surge at any time if those clear up
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3:40 |
: i got offered mark reynolds for chris sale today. i’m not sure how to react. i’m barely even mad, it’s just kinda funny.
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3:40 |
: I was grumpy last week, I offered $7 to keep Gallo and Ozuna for unkeepable Andrew Miller in a 6×6 with OPS and K/BB
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3:41 |
: counter offer was Miller for Sale
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3:41 |
: Brad question about your stars and studs nad keepers strategy. What sort of percentage of budget should one not keep a stud player? Ex. I can keep Betts for $50, which is roughly 20% of the budget. In this scenario, is it better to keep someone like Devers, Wood, or Gleyber for $2 instead?
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3:42 |
: That’s a very tough puzzle to solve. I recommend crossing that bridge later
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3:42 |
: Tampa just called up Faria…is this someone who should be owned in 10 teamers?
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3:42 |
: No
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3:42 |
: You’re not Travis Sawchik. In case you’re wondering.
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3:42 |
: So very true
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3:42 |
: Is Travis chatting now too?
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3:43 |
: I kinda squeeze these things in as my schedule allows. I don’t know what the others are doing, except that they aren’t fantasy focused
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3:43 |
: Rosario has more of an upside than say JP Crawford no? Or same skill set?
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3:43 |
: Yea, he does
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3:43 |
: but that’s not saying much
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3:43 |
: Nobody believed me about JPC last year…
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3:44 |
: This time a week ago I was marvelling at how healthy and effective my pitching staff was. Now Keuchel and McCullers are down. Am I right to hope both are just having their innings managed since Houston is up so big in the division?
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3:44 |
: No, they’re hurt
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3:44 |
: but they may not be very serious injuries.
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3:44 |
: Two buy lows over the weekend in NL only: 1) got Degrom for Harrison 2) got Schwarber for AJ Ramos and eickoff. Was I too hopeful?
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3:44 |
: Those are ridiculously favorable trades
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3:44 |
: I’m surprised vetoes weren’t used
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3:45 |
: He was promised. You’re lovely, of course, but I don’t play fantasy. I play reality.
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3:45 |
: I’m sure he’ll show up. Is he the FanGraphs After Dark host tonight?
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3:45 |
: Are the recent power spikes of Schoop, Moustakas, and Bruce just flashes in the pan, or part of a “streaky hitter” profile?
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3:45 |
: Typical for who they are
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3:45 |
: Tapia stays up? Count on for more than 15 sbs this year?
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3:45 |
: Playing time is an issue either way
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3:45 |
: Over under 9 starts for Josh Hader
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3:45 |
: Under
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3:46 |
: wire is thin. drop pinder or motter for matt davidson or just hold?
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3:47 |
: Davidson is destroying LHP. Could probably drop Pinder. Kinda similar profiles except Davidson has a much friendlier home park
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3:47 |
: Sean Manaea a cat your’re holding or streaming in 10-team mixed?
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3:47 |
: Stream
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3:47 |
: What’s your take on taillon ROS?
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3:47 |
: Back end SP for 12-team
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3:47 |
: edinson volquez vs. zack godley. who should i pick up?
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3:47 |
: Godley
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3:48 |
: Volquez is fine too. He’s a better bet to provide volume
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3:48 |
: Godley has a better ceiling and odds for wins
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3:48 |
: Any guys drafted yesterday have a shot at getting a call to the show this year? Read a couple guys have the skill set to contribute right away, like Bukauskas in the pen perhaps?
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3:48 |
: Very doubtful
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3:49 |
: Specifically related to Bukauskas, I was under the impression that he needs to be completely rebuilt from scratch
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3:49 |
: Keep Zimmer or drop for old man Beltran?
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3:49 |
: Probably holding Zimmer for now or hidden door #3
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3:49 |
: Are you the same Brad Johnson who also writes articles for Rotowire?
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3:49 |
: Nope, there are two of us
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3:49 |
: I write for Rotoworld though
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3:49 |
: Rotoworld/wire don’t play nicely
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3:50 |
: we’re in completely different fantasy baseball silos
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3:50 |
: You’re wrong about me. I will easily outrank V-Mart and Duda by years end. My xBABIP is way higher than my actual. I hit balls hard and I’m finally starting to get hot.
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3:50 |
: This has been true for what? Four years?
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3:50 |
: I’m tired of trusting our iffy models over my eyes
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3:51 |
: Traded Lamb/Bellinger/Wood for Yellich/W Myers and Kershaw in NL Only dynasty. Win/Lose or Fair?
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3:51 |
: that is a…rich trade
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3:51 |
: pretty tough to evaluate at the moment. I assume you both solved needs
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3:51 |
: Thoughts on Derek Fisher — any potential comp for production?
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3:51 |
: Big fan, no path to PT
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3:52 |
: Not sure if he’ll really run much in the majors
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3:52 |
: I don’t have an immediate comp coming to mind
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3:52 |
: Like with most young guys, there’s a risk it’ll take him time to make contact in the majors
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3:52 |
: Is Jordan Montgomery 10-team legit…or am I just in love in a weird way?
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3:53 |
: I like Monty too, but he has some growing to do. Better as a streamer than a hold
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3:53 |
: Can be held though
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3:53 |
: 10 team NL-only. Zero pitching available. Hang onto Luke Weaver for dear life?
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3:54 |
: Uh…is he even alive?
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3:54 |
: I guess find out about whatever he injured on Sunday
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3:54 |
: Then start looking at some deep plays
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3:54 |
: Grabbed Adams after Freeman injury, and am wondering if you think he’ll play when Freddy gets back?
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3:54 |
: I don’t
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3:54 |
: He’s not a MLB starter
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3:55 |
: Basically a left-handed Mark Reynolds. Some desperate team will always need to fill a void
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3:55 |
: Bregman or Shaw at 3B? General thoughts on Shaw?
|
3:55 |
: Shaw for now, Bregman through end of 2018
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3:55 |
: Shaw is a solid core performer with a good park and role
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3:56 |
: drop Puig for Bellinger
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3:56 |
: 2 months ago? yes
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3:56 |
: With some post-Davis lineup shuffling I will be down to 0 non-DL players on my bench. At what point do I have to consider cutting guys like Segura just to get a warm body in my lineup?
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3:56 |
: I don’t think you can cut a Segura
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3:56 |
: better to trade him
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3:57 |
: Any ideas of best prospect stash for SBs next year, outside of Albies?
|
3:57 |
: Zack Granite comes to mind. Light-hitting speedster in Minnesota
|
3:57 |
: should get some time later this year
|
3:57 |
: Would you rather have Stras or DeGrom RoS in a QS league?
|
3:57 |
: Strasburg
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3:57 |
: Going to wrap this up soonish
|
3:58 |
: OK. How about I already rank higher in most fantasy formats than either Duda or VMart and I haven’t even been good…..
|
3:58 |
: Duda missed most of the season. He’s on a 40 homer pace, and he has easy 30 HR ability
|
3:58 |
: Castellanos is waiver fodder in most 12-team formats
|
3:58 |
: can be owned, doesn’t need to be
|
3:59 |
: Hey Brad, what do you think about Haniger/Maybin/Harrison ROS? I’m thinking maybin
|
3:59 |
: I’m betting Haniger or Harrison
|
3:59 |
: depending on my risk tolerance for that league
|
3:59 |
: At this point, can we safely say that Vargas is a solid back-end fantasy rotation piece? Or do you still think he’ll turn back in to a pumpkin?
|
3:59 |
: No, he’s solid now
|
3:59 |
: Cameron Maybin’s been a revelation this year in my OBP league and he’s running like crazy! Aside from the occasional DL stint, do you think he can keep this up? His OBP’s over .380 since the start of last season.
|
3:59 |
: Not at this rate, but he’s a solid asset
|
4:00 |
: Brad, should i trade Albies and De Leon for Brinson in dynasty league? I could then add Didi off waivers for a 2nd SS
|
4:00 |
: Seems fine to me, but also not necessary
|
4:00 |
: they’re all high risk/reward
|
4:00 |
: Are you concerned about Gerrit Cole?
|
4:00 |
: Yes
|
4:00 |
: Story’s been awful. Should I zig and inquire on him as a really buy-low in a 20-team dynasty? I brought him up in trade talks with his owner preseason, and he was priced out of what I wanted to spend.
|
4:00 |
: He won’t be available cheaply in 20-team dynasty
|
4:01 |
: I mean, go ahead and try, but it’s not going to happen
|
4:01 |
: Please tell me Mazara starts banging em over the fence with greater frequency?
|
4:01 |
: Some day
|
4:01 |
: It’s probably going to take years for the light to click
|
4:01 |
: remember, he’s super young
|
4:01 |
: Currently rebuilding in my first year of an inherited Ottoneu team. Lester is one of my last key players I’m looking to flip for future assets. I was offered Snell + a small (undetermined) piece, but that felt light. Is pursuing Julio Urias from that same team worth it, or is that too much to ask for a rental?
|
4:01 |
: No, that’s perfectly reasonable
|
4:02 |
: There’s no reason to trade good players for non-keepers like Snell
|
4:02 |
: Gamel – thoughts?
|
4:02 |
: Not really. Pretty boring volume guy
|
4:02 |
: Kinsler or Jose Ramirez for 2B?
|
4:02 |
: Ramirez
|
4:02 |
: Who is Dinelson Lamet? Yikes, I have no idea what to expect from him now….do you?
|
4:02 |
: Yea
|
4:02 |
: He has poor command of pretty decent stuff. Extremely volatile with a lot of meltdowns
|
4:03 |
: decent deep dynasty stash – nothing more
|
4:03 |
: Deep plays like Lamet, Pivetta, Perdomo? Lamet was a dumpster fire, and the other two aren’t much better.
|
4:03 |
: I like all three of them long term. I think Lamet is a reliever though. Perdomo has GBs and Ks, just needs to cut down on HR
|
4:04 |
: Pivetta reminds me of the 2016 version of Jose Berrios. I think a light could go off at some point in the future
|
4:04 |
: Tim Beckham a 10-team worthy MI, or too shallow?
|
4:04 |
: Smells a tad shallow
|
4:04 |
: Is Eric Sogard for real?
|
4:04 |
: I’m not sure. He was thrown into a dynasty deal for me and I originally planned to immediately discard him
|
4:05 |
: upon closer consideration…I’m not sure
|
4:05 |
: Duda or Belt for rest of this season?
|
4:05 |
: Duda for power, Belt for the rest
|
4:05 |
: Time to wrap it up
|
4:05 |
: sell high on elvis andrus or is this for real?
|
4:05 |
: mostly real
|
4:05 |
: Thoughts on Michael Brantley in a 10 teamer? He’s been decent (5 HRs + 7 SBs) but has had a rough past few weeks.
|
4:05 |
: positive regression candidate
|
4:05 |
: I’m a big fan of Healy and love his gap-to-gap power. Do you see him as capable of making adjustments/improvements this season to increase his productivity?
|
4:05 |
: no, he’s already productive
|
4:05 |
: Eat the food Tina!
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You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
While definitely nothing more than a single anecdote, I can attest to the fact that having too many players from the same team in a H2H points league can be a bad idea. I had a lot of Blue Jays on my team, and they went cold right during the second round of our playoffs. Kershaw was also only recently back from the DL, and was essentially on a low pitch count as well.
I had the best roster in the league, and an absolutely horrific run of injuries last year, but still had the best roster. After the season, when I looked at the free agents, it was sad seeing the number of top players I had to drop just to field a roster in the playoffs. There was basically a core of a team that I had to drop.
Things had gotten so bad, that I had to pick up guys I’d never even heard off from free agency just to field a lineup for the first round. I pulled out the win. The first week of round 2 of the playoffs seemed to be when the Jays were at their worst. I faced a pretty big deficit going into week 2, but a few guys got healthy, some of the Jays played at least passably, and Kershaw got to pitch deeper into games. I almost came back, but fell just short.
Looking at my roster now, I think I’m going to swing some trades. I may do some add/drops closer to the end of the year. But I’ve got a lot of guys from Houston, Colorado, Oakland, and Milwaukee right now. I don’t plan on doing any too drastic, because some guys are gonna have to get traded for low-level draft picks next year, or outright dropped, when some guys come back from injury. AJ Pollock, Danny Duffy, and Freddie Freeman will help clear up some of that log jam.
In the end, talent is talent, though. You absolutely could win in H2H points with lots of players from the same team. You just have to hope that they’re either playing to their talent level, or they’re playing out of their minds like the Rocktober Rockies. A cold streak like the Jays went on last season could easily sink you in the playoffs.