Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 3-12-2019
by Brad Johnson
March 12, 2019
Here is today’s chat transcript.
| 3:55 |
: We’ll kick off in a few minutes
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| 3:57 |
: 6×6 H2H (w/OPS) who do you like better, Colin Moran or Renato Nunez (it’s a deep league).
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| 3:58 |
: Moran is massively more talented. Nunez is not a major league player.
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| 3:58 |
: That said, there’s a rather unhindered opportunity for Nunez whereas Moran is on the way out in Pittsburgh. Ke’Bryan Hayes seems likely to take over 3B by mid-season and Kang is still around too.
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| 3:58 |
: Plus some utility guys
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| 3:59 |
: it’s a crowded infield
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| 3:59 |
: And the O’s obviously like Nunez enough to play him over some kind of interesting non-prospects, so maybe there is something there I’m not seeing
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| 3:59 |
: I’d still take Moran
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| 3:59 |
: 12 team H2H league with two Util spots and six bench spots total. Given the lack of depth at 1B, do you try to draft two top 1B guys? For injury insurance, cornering the market, etc.?
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| 4:00 |
: I think you’ll find you won’t have that opportunity
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| 4:00 |
: and if you force the issue, you’ve possibly ruined your draft
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| 4:00 |
: I’m also finding that 1B is NOT drafting shallow despite cries to the contrary
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| 4:01 |
: The only shallow positions are SP (ace-level), RP (predictable CL), and C
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| 4:01 |
: Who will have a better season: Thor, Taillon, or Carrasco?
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| 4:01 |
: I kind of like Taillon most. I’m sure I’m succumbing to some sort of bias. Not a big Thor fan for fantasy purposes. Needs a breakout to be as good as people already think he is
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| 4:02 |
: If you’ve got 7th pick in a standard 12 team 5×5 and the clear top 6 (Trout, Mookie, Ramirez, JD, Arenado, Scherzer) are off the board, who are you going with? Yelich, Turner, Lindor, Sale, other?
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| 4:02 |
: For me, it’s Turner. I also don’t believe there to be a clear top 6
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| 4:02 |
: It’s Trout, Mookie, 20 guys
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| 4:03 |
: Which is why I aim my KDS at 1, 2, 8, 7, 9, etc.
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| 4:03 |
: I like the middle of the rounds this year if I’m missing Trout
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| 4:03 |
: (that was for 15-team)
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| 4:04 |
: How do you evaluate draft picks for player trades? For instance, in a roto keeper league I have an Eloy Jimenez that can be kept for a 21st round pick that will increase by 3 rounds per year while kept. If a rebuilding team wanted to snatch him, what kind of draft compensation should I aim for? Any resources or let market dictate?
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| 4:04 |
: Unfortunately, it’s all so individual. The best way to approach it is to try your best to guesstimate the player you’ll pick.
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| 4:05 |
: Then decide if you would trade for that player or similar
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| 4:05 |
: Depending on your league depth, Eloy should be quite the haul
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| 4:05 |
: Does the Kimbrel situation impact your valuation of Alvarado, Vizcaino, Robertson, or Doolittle at all, given the rumors that the Rays, Braves, Phillies, or Nationals might sign him?
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| 4:06 |
: No. I haven’t seen rumors of Rays being involved. The Phillies and Nats aren’t in at this time. Rumor says the Braves are out too.
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| 4:06 |
: Hey Philly, I know you don’t neeeed me, but how about a nice fat check for 1 year? Give me some stupid money!!
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| 4:07 |
: The problem with this is he’d come with an additional $8MM tax in the form of pushing Neshek, Nicasio, or Hunter off the roster. There already isn’t room for all three, although Hunter will start on the IL
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| 4:07 |
: Plus they’ll lose another draft pick which isn’t the worst thing…
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| 4:08 |
: But the upgrade of Kimbrel over their worst reliever really isn’t large enough to justify like $25MM and $8MM foregone and a lost pick.
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| 4:08 |
: Keuchel makes a lot more sense for them, and they’re reportedly trying to find a match similar to the Arrieta deal.
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| 4:09 |
: How many ABs for Willie Calhoun this year? Is he an every day player?
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| 4:09 |
: Not sure, but he’s not making the OD roster as far as I can tell
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| 4:09 |
: Choo is the DH
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| 4:09 |
: Calhoun doesn’t have a position or all that much bat tbh
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| 4:10 |
: He’s a really weird prospect.
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| 4:11 |
: To be clear, he’s somewhere in the 100-130 wRC+ range, but that doesn’t play as a DH-only
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| 4:11 |
: I also don’t think people realize he’s 5’8”
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| 4:11 |
: Am I crazy to draft JT Realmuto in Round 4-5? I am in an OPS league (instead of BA) and the way I see it there’s a big drop-off in catcher after the first 3-4, which creates a big advantage?
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| 4:12 |
: No, that’s around where he’s going
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| 4:12 |
: I don’t know that prioritizing catcher is a winning strategy, but if that’s the play you’re trying to make Realmuto is one of just a few fits
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| 4:12 |
: I know spring training doesn’t mean much, but the blue jays have been MASHING! Which non-Vlad/non-Bichette prospect in that system most excites you for both this season and long-term?
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| 4:13 |
: Probably Jansen. There’s potential for a long term top 5 C
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| 4:13 |
: Am trying to get a handle on At Bats for some prospects. Do you have a PT take on Cedric Mullins (who might be mediocre), Kyle Tucker (who might be blocked), and Brandon Lowe (who might be both)? Thanks!
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| 4:13 |
: Mullins SHOULD be nearly everyday initially
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| 4:13 |
: They should be taking the next 2 years to evaluate him. He could bounce to Triple-A if he struggles
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| 4:14 |
: Tucker is very blocked, but I think he’ll play once there’s an injury
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| 4:14 |
: As much as I love Tony Kemp, I don’t think he can block Tucker
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| 4:14 |
: Later in the year, Tucker could force Reddick out of the lineup. Or White if he doesn’t continue to slug.
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| 4:14 |
: Or White could go to 1B for Gurriel
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| 4:15 |
: There are a lot of ways in the door for Tucker
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| 4:15 |
: I… don’t really get the Lowe love
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| 4:15 |
: Isn’t Joey Wendle better? And don’t they have 35 other comparable 2b?
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| 4:15 |
: That’s barely hyperbole
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| 4:15 |
: Luzardo or Paddack? This year? And next 3-4 seasons?
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| 4:16 |
: I kind of like Paddack a little more, but I’ve gotten a lot of looks at him compared to Luzardo
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| 4:16 |
: So that might just be me liking the guy I’ve seen
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| 4:16 |
: Favourite holds targets?
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| 4:16 |
: I had an article up a few weeks ago on East relievers. Planning Central for this week and West for next.
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| 4:17 |
: Here’s the first one – https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/bullpen-sleepers-of-the-east/
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| 4:17 |
: With the Adam Jones signing should we start the “Free Wilmer” campaign again?
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| 4:17 |
: I don’t know how that all shakes out
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| 4:17 |
: I’ll believe Adam Jones is their CF when he’s still in the everyday lineup on April 15
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| 4:17 |
: I just don’t buy it
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| 4:18 |
: Bigger fantasy production for the Dodgers this year: Dustin May or Tony Gonsolin?
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| 4:19 |
: That’s a ludicrously deep league ask. Neither was on my radar for Tout Draft and Hold which took 750 players.
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| 4:19 |
: They’re what? SP 10 and 11 in that system? Later?
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| 4:21 |
: Yea, maybe I’m missing a guy or two… Kershaw, Buehler, Ryu, Hill, Maeda, Stripling, Urias, Santana, Stewart, Ferguson all on the 40-man
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| 4:21 |
: Is Teoscar going to be in a LF platoon, or is he the everyday guy?
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| 4:21 |
: Reports say he’s on the weak side of the platoon
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| 4:21 |
: Fir a saved only Roto league, are the Rays really not going to make Alvarado their undisputed closer?
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| 4:22 |
: Pretty sure they’re going to go with lefty and righty stoppers
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| 4:22 |
: So Diego Castillo could end up with more SVs
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| 4:22 |
: Luis Castillo or German Marquez as my last keeper? 10 team NL only.
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| 4:22 |
: Good spot to be in. While I’d usually say Marquez is risky because of his home park, it’s not like GABP is a friendly venue
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| 4:23 |
: I think Marquez is a little more talented
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| 4:23 |
: Is Trevor May the closer for the Twins from the first save opport7nity. I keep seeing mixed projections where Parker starts as the closer.
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| 4:23 |
: We don’t know yet
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| 4:23 |
: It’s an open battle.
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| 4:23 |
: May was more talented last year
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| 4:24 |
: but that doesn’t automatically mean he’s better now
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| 4:24 |
: to add to Nick’s question . . . Paddack over Luzardo over Urias* for this year and going forward too?
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| 4:24 |
: Yes for now. Reevaluate in a year.
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| 4:24 |
: Wide range of mostly very positive outcomes for that trio
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| 4:24 |
: Domingo Santana thoughts?
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| 4:25 |
: Love him this year. Streaky hitter with a team that can afford to live with the downs.
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| 4:25 |
: That’s the main reason he vanished from the Brewers lineup.
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| 4:25 |
: Nothing noticeably changed
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| 4:25 |
: Better value at their ADP? Jorge Polanco (219) or Semien (238)?
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| 4:25 |
: Technically Semien
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| 4:26 |
: I’d probably pick Polanco though for upside
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| 4:26 |
: You mention Choo as DH. Does that mean he’ll stay (relatively) healthy this year? Was a delight for my OBP last season…
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| 4:26 |
: Hopefully. It should be a lot easier than if he’s playing the field
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| 4:26 |
: But they have Mazara and Gallo in the corners
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| 4:27 |
: Saw you had Presley as one of your bold predictions. What would it take for him to becime closer? A total Osuna implosion or simply outpitcchung Osuna?
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| 4:27 |
: I don’t think an implosion is necessary. Giles lost his job several times in Houston just by slumping a little.
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| 4:27 |
: The thing is, he also recovered the job.
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| 4:28 |
: Though Will Harris, Hector Rondon, and others who stepped in weren’t anything like Pressly
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| 4:28 |
: So you need an Osuna slump and Pressly pitching at least somewhere between where he was with the Twins (good) and with the Astros (3rd best RP in league).
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| 4:28 |
: Martin Perez worth a flier?
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| 4:29 |
: Yes
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| 4:29 |
: Any +3 mph guy is flier worthy
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| 4:29 |
: 12 team and deeper at least
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| 4:29 |
: Can probably skip in 10-team
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| 4:29 |
: Thoughts on Loaisiga in a 4×4 Ottoneu classic league? Worth a $1-3 bid?
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| 4:29 |
: Maybe $1-$2. Don’t spend the third dollar.
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| 4:30 |
: Highly likely to be a non-factor this year
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| 4:30 |
: but there’s a chance he’ll be interesting
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| 4:30 |
: and tbf, I’m quite sure you can find a better play
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| 4:30 |
: A couple “final player” questions as I’m rounding things out in a 16 team H2H dynasty. 1. Laureano or Franmil? I like Franmil more but Mondesi is my only real SB threat now. 2. Are we giving up on Fulmer with his velocity dip? I have him as one of my last pitchers now, and was debating adding McHugh or Strahm for upside with a last roster spot, but might give up on Fulmer and go for both (I have some specs in waiting that I hope will contribute later in the year).
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| 4:30 |
: Laureano for me. He’ll 100% play all the time because of his defense
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| 4:31 |
: Franmil is mixed in a roster crunch and is kind of a DH
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| 4:31 |
: I’m out on Fulmer. Grab both.
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| 4:31 |
: I know they are Spring stats, but Lois Castillo is not looking good. Should I be worried?
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| 4:31 |
: Only insofar as you could have already worried about him being a slow starter
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| 4:32 |
: We’ve only seen him shove in the second half (small sample)
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| 4:32 |
: I’m not especially concerned, but it helps that I own zero shares
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| 4:32 |
: Astudillo’s PA projection?
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| 4:32 |
: Didn’t you see my bold predictions? 500 PA!
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| 4:33 |
: More seriously, probably like 130?
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| 4:33 |
: As hard as I pray to the baseball gods for him to get 750 PA, he has a constantly uphill battle for playing time.
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| 4:33 |
: Am I paying too much for Eloy with Mize, McCullers, and Eaton?
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| 4:33 |
: No
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| 4:34 |
: I do love Eaton for right now
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| 4:34 |
: I assume we’re talking dynasty though
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| 4:34 |
: Someone ghosted our Ottoneu draft the other day, then declined to renew their team. Now we’re stuck with a dead team. This isn’t a question. I’m just upset.
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| 4:35 |
: Maybe just lock the roster and play an 11-team league this year rather than trying to get a replacement
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| 4:35 |
: The issue with replacement owners is they almost always say “oh shit, I can’t contend, hey best team, give me some crap for all my best players”
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| 4:36 |
: and then it ruins everybody’s fun
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| 4:36 |
: Daily moves 5×5 head-to-head is broken right? Because there’s no IP limit? Why not make your entire bench SP’s and play the best matchups each week?
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| 4:36 |
: Actually no. If you’re streaming SP, you’re sacrificing ERA and WHIP every week
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| 4:37 |
: Or you’ve paid 60% of your budget for pitchers which is generally frowned upon
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| 4:37 |
: (although that’s exactly what I usually do)
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| 4:37 |
: Brad, could you speak a bit to how to interpret negative values with the auction calculator? Many thanks!!
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| 4:37 |
: It just means they’re sub-replacement level
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| 4:37 |
: If a guy you think is good is sub-rep, check his PA projection
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| 4:37 |
: The calc can be a little harsh about part-time guys even though they can be very useful
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| 4:38 |
: We talk about it every year, but we can’t figure out how to teach the calc to assume you know how to manage a bench
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| 4:38 |
: As built, the calc considers every bench player to be a $1 guy.
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| 4:38 |
: But that’s not usually how we build teams
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| 4:39 |
: How would you rank Eaton, Winker, Laureano, Domingo Santana? (our league has AVG, OBP, HR, RBI, R, SB and TB)
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| 4:39 |
: Off the top of my head… Santana is definitely last
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| 4:39 |
: Eaton in an AVG/OBP could be a monster
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| 4:39 |
: Most hitters do one or the other – he does both
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| 4:39 |
: Winker is a OBP monster with a solid AVG
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| 4:40 |
: Laureano is probably third best even though I really love him
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| 4:40 |
: Winker’s PT could be compromised in the OF so I’ll say Eaton first
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| 4:40 |
: You might get away with picking him after Winker though.
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| 4:40 |
: Am I crazy to project JBJ at 80-20-70-15-.255? He comes out as my 96th best player which tells me I’m crazy
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| 4:40 |
: Seems a tad aggressive
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| 4:40 |
: Like a 65-70th percentile outcome
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| 4:41 |
: Better hurt guy stash: C Mart or Morrow?
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| 4:41 |
: Gimme Morrow
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| 4:41 |
: What’s the highest you would draft Joey Votto?
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| 4:41 |
: Depends on format. Kept him for over $50 in ottoneu FGpts
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| 4:41 |
: Where his bust season was still hugely productive
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| 4:41 |
: Normal $260 12-mixed draft… maybe mid-$20s
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| 4:42 |
: Merrill Kelly: in play for relatively deep 12-teamers?
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| 4:42 |
: Yes
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| 4:42 |
: Should be owned until we learn more
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| 4:42 |
: For all the questions, gripes and suggestions about the Auction Calculator, just wanted to mention it is amazing and I’d be lost without it. Thank you!
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| 4:43 |
: Yea for sure. Appelman was asking us if we use other tools after we listed like 15 things we wanted addressed. We all looked at each other and saw, “nah, this is the best thing out there”
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| 4:44 |
: The strength is the flexibility. It’s relatively easy to build something that’s better for a very specific format. But covering almost every iteration of fantasy with one calc is really impressive
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| 4:44 |
: Do you like Berrios more than Severino this year?
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| 4:44 |
: I do not, even with the injury
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| 4:44 |
: Please ranked the following 1-5, most 2019 saves: Andrew Miller Seranthony Dominguez Jordan Hicks Archie Bradley David Robertson |
| 4:45 |
: Sure, ask me an easy question
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| 4:46 |
: So I think the Phillies bullpen will be split something like Robertson 20, Seranthony 12, Neris 8, with the other 5-10 spread around to others
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| 4:46 |
: I don’t have a good read on the Cardinals bullpen. For now, call that a 40/40 split with 20% going to others.
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| 4:47 |
: Bradley’s insanely volatile too. Seems like he should be the guy over Hirano (Holland is out reportedly)
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| 4:47 |
: But they might just use both as stoppers
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| 4:48 |
: I’ll say Bradley gets the most saves of the 5
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| 4:48 |
: But there’s no a lot of science in that guess
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| 4:48 |
: What’s the earliest in a 12 team league (standard roto scoring) you would take a closer?
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| 4:48 |
: I think the earliest I’ve ever done it is Jansen/Kimbrel on a 3/4 turn. Few years back that was.
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| 4:49 |
: This year I find myself too late to pick Diaz and the rest of the good CL are clumped around the 6-9th region (often all in the same round)
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| 4:50 |
: I do think it’s a good idea to secure one of those top 11 or so guys
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| 4:50 |
: But you don’t need multiple since so many good non-CL are going to end up with saves
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| 4:50 |
: Sale’s IP in 2019 – over/under 180?
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| 4:50 |
: Pretty close to the push line for me
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| 4:50 |
: I’ll say 190
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| 4:51 |
: I am planning on Vlad Jr. as my starting 3B for the year. I get to keep him as a minor leaguer. Would you target someone in your draft who is starter level to hold his place or wait and use a bench fill in?
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| 4:51 |
: 3B is really deep so I’d go cheap but good
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| 4:51 |
: Eduardo Escobar for example
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| 4:51 |
: Is there a target number of auction dollars you would want to hold onto for the last few players. Like ideally keep $25 for the final 7 players on your team?
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| 4:51 |
: Well..
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| 4:52 |
: It depends on the format. For super deep or an only format, perhaps something like that
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| 4:52 |
: though I don’t have a set number
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| 4:52 |
: For nearly all formats, I would prefer to have $10 for my last 10 players
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| 4:52 |
: Yandy Diaz, Dom Smith, Or Vogelbach as a speculation stash? Who’s gets most playing time ? Who would you pick up?
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| 4:52 |
: I bet Yandy has the most PA, but Dom and Vogey probably play more in April
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| 4:52 |
: Or at least the first 2 weeks
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| 4:53 |
: Today my answer is Smith
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| 4:53 |
: Ask again in 2 weeks and I’ll likely have a different take
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| 4:53 |
: Forever dynasty in 6×6 roto: Brujan or Jazz?
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| 4:53 |
: EZ Brujan
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| 4:53 |
: So hype-tastic right now
|
| 4:53 |
: And that matters from a value perspective
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| 4:53 |
: caleb smith or tyler anderson?
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| 4:54 |
: Anderson has a better mean/median but Smith would still be my pick
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| 4:54 |
: Breakout potential, non-lethal home park
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| 4:54 |
: Tough division though and few Ws
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| 4:54 |
: Why are you never on Sleeper and the Bust?
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| 4:55 |
: Paul occasionally asks if I want to be on sometime in the future, I say yes, and then there’s no follow up
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| 4:55 |
: I don’t know when they record, but I don’t work at night which leaves me out of the podcast circuit for the most part
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| 4:56 |
: That’s what I thought in regards to negative values. That said, some values are REALLY hard on guys that I wouldn’t have thought have a below replacement level cost and/or guys are way lower than I’d have thought (E.g. Muncy at $1). I’ve been playing with the calculator for years so I think I am setting it up correctly to reflect my league setup. Does this mean I am overvaluing Muncy if I see him as more than $1 over replacement value?
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| 4:56 |
: No, that’s a situation where he’s getting nuked for 1. projection systems including 2 pre-breakout years and 2. Not having a 650 PA projection
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| 4:57 |
: It’s necessary to make some manual adjustments. Can’t be avoided.
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| 4:57 |
: When you approach a dynasty draft, what’s your thought process when you evaluate drafting a pitcher who’s 3 years away (i.e. Gore, Greene)… does TINSTAAPP just run through your head?
|
| 4:58 |
: I did a 25-team start up in December. 45 rounds. My only pitchers were late picks of Daniel Norris and Jordan Montgomery. Also later grabbed Tyler Phillips off the waiver wire.
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| 4:59 |
: In general, I try to get a future Gore or Greene via waivers. My dynasty pitching staffs tend to skew heavily to veterans (it works well enough).
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| 4:59 |
: So… to answer your question, I don’t draft pitchers.
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| 5:00 |
: In this case, I teamed up with Tom Trudeau to pilot his full-in prospect approach
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| 5:00 |
: I usually would eventually shift to Anibal/Cahill type SP in the mid-late rounds
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| 5:00 |
: You know what gets my goat? When a guy offering me a trade has obviously not even considered my needs. I have Altuve and Whit in a standard stat, limited keeper league and someone offered me his DJ LeMahieu for my Brantley.
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| 5:00 |
: How many AB’s do you think I’ll see this year?
|
| 5:01 |
: 250-450
|
| 5:01 |
: Over/under on PA for Frazier this year in NY? 350?
|
| 5:01 |
: Hard under
|
| 5:01 |
: Poor guy is squashed
|
| 5:01 |
: Sad he wasn’t in the Paxton deal
|
| 5:01 |
: Though at least Seattle later freed Domingo
|
| 5:01 |
: Any tips in for a rebuild in a deep dynasty league? Everyone seems hesitant to part with young talent and I am currently an old team that is at best middle of the pack.
|
| 5:02 |
: It’s a tough position to find yourself in. I tend to just keep plugging away – both at contending and trying to find that guy who will trade a young stud for 3 of my older guys
|
| 5:02 |
: on a scale from 1-10, 10 being getting every share, where are you on Buxton?
|
| 5:02 |
: Well… I have no shares
|
| 5:03 |
: I’d love to have some, he’s just never there
|
| 5:03 |
: I’ll say a 4
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| 5:03 |
: the world is mine!
|
| 5:03 |
: 4X4, McNeil or Moran?
|
| 5:03 |
: McNeil.
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| 5:03 |
: Cautiously…
|
| 5:03 |
: With regular PA, Mitch Garver is a top ___ catcher this year?
|
| 5:03 |
: Like how regular?
|
| 5:03 |
: I doubt he can squeeze more than 350-400
|
| 5:04 |
: And that’s a stretch
|
| 5:04 |
: So… like top 20-25?
|
| 5:04 |
: Is there a realistic(non-injury) chance that Yordan Alvarez hits the majors before September, now that they’ve been trying him at OF? How would you value him in dynasty, given all the people blocking him now will still be under contract for the Astros in 2020?
|
| 5:05 |
: Don’t worry about the blockers, if he’s talented enough to play, he’ll worm his way into 1B
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| 5:05 |
: Playing OF is only a ploy to increase his trade value as far as I’m concerned
|
| 5:05 |
: 1B is the easiest position for a prospect to claim in HOU
|
| 5:06 |
: I wanted to thank you for avoiding all food related questions, unlike your FG colleagues’ live chats.
|
| 5:06 |
: tbf, nobody has asked me any food related questions
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| 5:06 |
: I’ll get the rare beer question, but I don’t have anything insightful to say about it
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| 5:06 |
: I like good beer
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| 5:07 |
: $15 for Maeda in NL only?
|
| 5:07 |
: Seems reasonable
|
| 5:07 |
: Any bold predictions you wanted to include but just didn’t make the cut?
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| 5:07 |
: Haha, hundreds. It wasn’t really a keep/cut process though
|
| 5:07 |
: I just listed the first 10 I thought of
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| 5:07 |
: My lunch ended a while back. Shouldn’t I be working instead of asking you this question?
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| 5:07 |
: I am working!
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| 5:08 |
: So you are too?
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| 5:08 |
: What’s Scott Kingery’s true fantasy worth? Closer to last year’s hype or this year’s post-hype?
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| 5:08 |
: I love this “true fantasy worth” phrase
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| 5:08 |
: comes down the aisle once and awhile
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| 5:08 |
: He has a wide range of outcomes
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| 5:08 |
: He should be very cheap right now
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| 5:09 |
: Because the Phillies have every reason to just leave him in a super utility role forever
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| 5:09 |
: And only his bat can help him to escape
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| 5:09 |
: My first auction after 15 years of fantasy baseball. I’m going with Stars and Scrubs, and am curious, what do you think the hardest tier of players will be to stay away from when they are a good value: the $10-15 or $5-10?
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| 5:09 |
: It’s definitely the $3-8 range or so
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| 5:10 |
: Because this year they’re 1. still really good players 2. they actually go for that price
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| 5:10 |
: The $10-$15 guys cost $20 more often than not
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| 5:11 |
: 5*5 Al only std 12 team league (23 man). Keep ryan O’Hearn for $5?
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| 5:11 |
: I have reservations about O’Hearn but that might be a reasonable gamble
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| 5:11 |
: Can we get a like button for questions and comments submitted here?
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| 5:12 |
: Talk to JotCast, that’s outside of my influence
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| 5:12 |
: You said your Bold Predictions were too bold last year. What’s a hot take you talked yourself out of publishing this time around?
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| 5:13 |
: Not exactly the same, but I told myself to avoid so-and-so will lead league in X
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| 5:13 |
: If I drafted only SFG players, would my fantasy team in a standard 5×5 head to head do better or worse than the real life Giants this season?
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| 5:13 |
: Better
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| 5:13 |
: Actually worse
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| 5:13 |
: I forgot you’ll never earn wins and saves
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| 5:14 |
: I like their pitching staff though
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| 5:14 |
: especially the bullpen
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| 5:14 |
: Which hitters have you consistently drafted in your leagues this year? Most common players you get?
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| 5:14 |
: lemme look around
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| 5:15 |
: Mike Trout is my most owned hitter. That feels nice
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| 5:15 |
: All keeper shares
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| 5:15 |
: I try to diversify my teams
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| 5:15 |
: The exception is with deeper pitchers. Anibal Sanchez is on nearly all my teams
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| 5:15 |
: Lot of Cahills
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| 5:15 |
: Lot of Brad Kellers
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| 5:16 |
: Any updates on the Smith Melancon closer battle?
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| 5:16 |
: Smith appears to have it
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| 5:16 |
: I watched Melancon serve up solo oppo bombs to Chapman and Semien
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| 5:16 |
: Working 90-91
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| 5:16 |
: In terms of talent, might be their 7th best RP
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| 5:16 |
: Upgrading status on Beede and Black
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| 5:17 |
: Will we ever see Tim Tebow on a major league roster?
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| 5:17 |
: Sadly, probably yes
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| 5:17 |
: Ok, time to start wrapping up
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| 5:17 |
: Where do you rank Hader among RP’s in SV+H leagues?
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| 5:17 |
: Somewhere in the 8-15 range
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| 5:17 |
: Too late to get him
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| 5:18 |
: when do you think luzardo is going to be up? how is his FGpts profile? I’ve got a $2 share and not sure if I should shop or hold
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| 5:18 |
: Perhaps shop with the intent to hold?
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| 5:18 |
: There’s a lot of factors to how much he pitches this year
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| 5:18 |
: but probably about 80 IP
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| 5:18 |
: What should we expect from Luis Urias in a keeper league? Better real life than fantasy player? We use ave, batter k, hr,rbi,Sb.
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| 5:18 |
: Urias owners need to prepare to be patient
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| 5:19 |
: Reminds me of Ketel Marte although a MLB guy told me Marte is a much better hitter when I said that to him
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| 5:19 |
: louder contact
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| 5:20 |
: Better year. Robles or Eloy?
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| 5:20 |
: gimme Robles
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| 5:20 |
: Paddock or Kyle Wright in a keeper?
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| 5:20 |
: Paddock still, but the Wright hype is catching up
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| 5:21 |
: Do you think Alex Reyes has a chance to get a decent amount of holds in the bullpen? Have him in a dynasty league and looking for optimism for something he can contribute at immediately.
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| 5:21 |
: Yea, should be high leverage
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| 5:21 |
: If they’re not worried about making him a SP in the future, he could even walk away as the CL
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| 5:21 |
: In the earlier question about timeshare CL, the 20% I dedicated to not Miller/Hicks was mostly Reyes
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| 5:22 |
: Danny Jansen a top 10 C?
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| 5:22 |
: I hope so, by projection, maybe not in 2019
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| 5:22 |
: eventually
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| 5:22 |
: Better year…Keuchel or Hendricks?
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| 5:22 |
: I’ll take Keuchel
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| 5:22 |
: Is NFBC ADP data generally good, or pretty flawed? (Yahoo’s default ADP is awful)
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| 5:22 |
: I mean, that’s not really how ADP should be approached
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| 5:23 |
: ADP is just a straight report of what has happened across all formats on that site
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| 5:23 |
: The nice thing about NFBC ADP is that 1. the format is standardized 2. the participants are better than the average fantasy player 3. it’s available super early in the offseason
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| 5:24 |
: The downside is that 15-team 5×5 draft and hold doesn’t reflect a typical fantasy league after the first couple hundred picks
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| 5:24 |
: Am I a top 15 pitcher this year?
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| 5:24 |
: Maybe
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| 5:24 |
: I won’t say no
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| 5:24 |
: Or yes
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| 5:24 |
: What is the hitting equivalent of Robbie Ray in a dynasty league?
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| 5:24 |
: Shaw?
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| 5:25 |
: That might be too good
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| 5:25 |
: Puig is going to be an absolute monster in his new bandbox. Think he’s worthy of $14 given a $150 budget?
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| 5:25 |
: 1/10th of budget seems high
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| 5:25 |
: What’s Trout go for?
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| 5:26 |
: Please rank Keller, Caleb Smith, Pablo Lopez, Touki and Wright in a keeper league. Thanks!
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| 5:26 |
: I assume that’s Mitch Keller?
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| 5:26 |
: Wright, Keller, don’t worry about them as keepers
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| 5:26 |
: Touki is probably a nasty reliever btw
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| 5:27 |
: I am at $399 and 40 filled spots in ottoneu FGPts. Would it be wise and prudent to try to make a 2 players with more than $1 salaries for 1 guy deal where I clear some cap and a roster spot? Even if it means giving up some uncertain upside
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| 5:27 |
: Nah, look for broken players on larger contracts. Like CMart
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| 5:27 |
: Trade a cheap guy for CMart and a full loan
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| 5:27 |
: Cut CMart and recoup the full contract
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| 5:27 |
: I am thinking of cutting one of these players off the back end of my rotation 10 team H2H where I usually carry 10 SP. Stripling, Nelson, Skaggs.
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| 5:28 |
: I’d hang onto Strip. No need to cling to Nelson/Skaggs in 10 team
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| 5:28 |
: Holy crap thats genius
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| 5:28 |
: And on that note, I’ll take a bow
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| 5:28 |
: As always, thanks for playing folks!
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You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
Verlander>Kluber>DeGrom…CBS points league this year. Correct?