Beat the Shift Podcast – Sabermetrics Episode w/ Bill James

The Sabermetrics Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Bill James

Personal History

Sabermetrics Section

  • How has sabermetrics changed over the years?
  • What metric is Bill James most proud of creating?
    • Bring your dog to the park day
  • Ariel’s suggestion for Bill James’ Runs Created formula
  • Undervalued statistics in today’s game
  • The best defensive metrics to use
  • Closer by Committee in baseball today
  • Beating the Shift
  • Similarity Scores

Injury Guru Trivia of the Week

  • Career batting averages – Ariel vs. Bill

Baseball Across the Decades

  • Greatest Players of all time
    • Hitter – Babe Ruth
    • Pitcher – Roger Clemens
  • How would Babe Ruth & past baseball players stack up against 2021’s major leaguers?
  • Expansion in Baseball


  • Rule changes to improve the game
  • Pitcher’s Game Score
  • What is next for Bill James?

Waiver Wire

New Closer Situations

Pitcher Preview

Strategy Section

  • High gradient categories

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.


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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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