Beat the Shift Podcast – Player Analysis Episode w/ Lance Brozdowski
The Player Analysis episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.
Guest: Lance Brozdowski
Personal History
- The future of Statcast broadcasts
Recent News
- Recent free agent signings
- Will we see more short term / with opt outs / high AAV contracts going forward?
ATC Projections
- Accounting for fluke seasons
- Making adjustments to the projections
- Using the ATC Projections
Player Analysis
- Should we pay attention to players who “went to driveline?”
- Potential rookie pitcher breakouts
- Changes in pitchers’ pitch mix
- Trends for 2026
- The future of projections
- Will pitchers focus on their best pitch, or spread around the mix more?
- Using Stuff+
- Using Bat speed
- Minors vs. Majors
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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.