Beat the Shift Podcast – LIVE from First Pitch Arizona w/ Tristan Cockcroft & Derek Carty

The Beat the Shift Podcast – LIVE from First Pitch Arizona Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guests: Tristan Cockcroft & Derek Carty

2023 Projections

  • How will projections handle the new MLB rule changes?
    • Hits due to banning the shift
    • Stolen Bases
    • Balanced Schedule
  • Will fantasy players overreact to the changes?
  • How did 2022 projections handle the universal DH?

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Strategy Section

  • What makes a risky player?
    • Can we determine / quantify player risk?
      • ATC Parameter Risk
  • Should we be avoiding risk more in drafts, particularly in the early rounds?
  • Should risk be looked at on the (fantasy) team aggregate level, or only on an individual player basis?
  • Corner Infielders in 2022 – Where was the value?
    • Where will the value be for corner infielders in 2023?

2023 First Round

  • Potentially overvalued 2023 first round players
  • Potentially undervalued players that won’t be taken in the first round of 2023 drafts, but should be
  • Potentially undervalued players that will be taken in the first round of 2023 drafts, and should be drafted higher

Audience Questions & Mailbag

  • Is 4-5 years of consistent play enough to consider a player “consistent?”
  • How will the increase in SBs (particularly in the 10-20 SB range) change the SB drafting approach for 2023?
  • Closers – How much higher will they be drafted?
  • If a player was injured in the past season, how does that get factored into the following season’s projections?
  • Do players in a “contract year” perform better than expected? Do players perform worse after signing a new deal?
  • Are saves now obsolete as a category?
  • Who is a player type that you might select at an auction but not in a snake draft?
  • How will the rookie class be pushed up in 2023 drafts? Who are the next potential breakout prospects?
  • What is the difference between two players who have earned the same roto value over time, but who have different levels of consistency?


Follow us on Twitter

Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

Comments are closed.