Beat the Shift Podcast – LIVE from First Pitch Arizona w/ Tristan Cockcroft & Derek Carty

by
November 9, 2022

The Beat the Shift Podcast – LIVE from First Pitch Arizona Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guests: Tristan Cockcroft & Derek Carty

2023 Projections

  • How will projections handle the new MLB rule changes?
    • Hits due to banning the shift
    • Stolen Bases
    • Balanced Schedule
  • Will fantasy players overreact to the changes?
  • How did 2022 projections handle the universal DH?

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Strategy Section

  • What makes a risky player?
    • Can we determine / quantify player risk?
      • ATC Parameter Risk
  • Should we be avoiding risk more in drafts, particularly in the early rounds?
  • Should risk be looked at on the (fantasy) team aggregate level, or only on an individual player basis?
  • Corner Infielders in 2022 – Where was the value?
    • Where will the value be for corner infielders in 2023?

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

2023 First Round

  • Potentially overvalued 2023 first round players
  • Potentially undervalued players that won’t be taken in the first round of 2023 drafts, but should be
  • Potentially undervalued players that will be taken in the first round of 2023 drafts, and should be drafted higher

Audience Questions & Mailbag

  • Is 4-5 years of consistent play enough to consider a player “consistent?”
  • How will the increase in SBs (particularly in the 10-20 SB range) change the SB drafting approach for 2023?
  • Closers – How much higher will they be drafted?
  • If a player was injured in the past season, how does that get factored into the following season’s projections?
  • Do players in a “contract year” perform better than expected? Do players perform worse after signing a new deal?
  • Are saves now obsolete as a category?
  • Who is a player type that you might select at an auction but not in a snake draft?
  • How will the rookie class be pushed up in 2023 drafts? Who are the next potential breakout prospects?
  • What is the difference between two players who have earned the same roto value over time, but who have different levels of consistency?

 

Follow us on Twitter

Podcast (beat-the-shift): Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS





 

Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

Comments are closed.