Beat the Shift Podcast – Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021

October 19, 2021

The Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021 of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Derek Carty

What’s new in THE BAT X for 2022?

Strategy Section

Risk
- How to deal with injury risk
- How to discount for binary risk
- Low risk players / consistent players
  - Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
- Categorical Risk
  - Who would you rather draft – Bo Bichette or Vladimir Guerrero Jr.?
- Replacement Level Risk
  - The risk of paying up for a super elite catcher (Salvador Perez / J.T. Realmuto).
- Ace Pitcher Risk – Should you draft pitchers in the first few rounds?
- Stacking Risk – Doubling up in one league vs. spreading out in two different leagues
Auction
- Spread the Risk vs. Stars & Scrubs
  - League depth matters
  - Grab value in every price tier
- The value at the corner infield position
- The Joey Votto nomination strategy

First Round of 2022 Drafts

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Undervalued players in the first round
Overvalued players in the first round
- Derek Carty is very down on Walker Buehler
Players that won’t be drafted in the first round, but should

Live Q&A

Which is worse – Overpaying for a player, or leaving money on the table in auctions?
Anthony Rendon for 2022
Elite catchers – Positional Scarcity vs. Market Premium
Budgeting / Money distribution in auctions
ATC minimizes parameter risk
Planing auctions by positions & price points
When you should ignore projections, and buy a player that you “like”

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.

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BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG