Beat the Shift Podcast – First Pitch Arizona 2024 LIVE!

by
November 11, 2024

The First Pitch Arizona 2024 LIVE! episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guests: Chris Towers & Sara Sanchez

Strategy Section

  • Projections
    • Are projections getting more accurate?
    • Are projections more important to use than ever?
    • What blindspots of projections do we adjust for well?
    • Which blindspots do we still not take into account properly?
      • Park factors
    • Prospects – Should we take into account (good) playoff performances?
  • Mark Vientos
    • 2025 Ranking
  • In-Season
    • When should we pick up “hot” players off of the waiver wire?
    • When should we drop “cold” players off of our rosters?
    • FAAB Spending
      • How to distribute FAAB dollars throughout the season.
  • Stolen bases
    • Will the current stolen base landscape / levels continue in 2025?
  • Elly De La Cruz
    • Many of us took the “L” on not drafting him in 2024. Was this the right process to pass on him?
    • Was 2024 his ceiling?
    • What kind of regression will he exhibit in 2025?
    • Where should we draft him in 2025 drafts?
  • Agree or disagree
    • Luis Arraez will win another batting title in his career.
    • Shohei Ohtani won’t be able to replicate his projdction in 2024.
      • Will pitching hurt his offensive production?
    • Juan Soto will get at least $700m in free agency.

2025 First Round

  • Who is a player that will be drafted in the first round of 2025 that is overvalued?
  • Who is a player that will not be drafted in the first round of 2025 that should be?

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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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