Beat the Shift Podcast – Bold Predictions Episode w/ Scott Pianowski

The Bold Predictions Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Scott Pianowski

Strategy Section

  • 2021 Draft Trends
    • Starters pushed up
    • Reliever pricing
    • Prospects
  • Adalberto Mondesi
    • Injury Update
    • The case for drafting him
    • The case against drafting him
      • Discussion of Risk and Risk-Adjusted Pricing
    • Comparison to Byron Buxton
    • Comparison to Carlos Gomez

Bold Predictions

  • Hitter Predictions
  • Pitcher Predictions
  • Award Predictions
  • Division Winner Predictions

Waiver Wire


  • How much should Luis Castillo be discounted in drafts that will count Opening Day stats?

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.


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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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