Beat the Shift Podcast – 2023 Pre-Draft Injury Episode

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March 14, 2023

The 2023 Pre-Draft Injury episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Injury Overview / Ortho 101
  • Injury reoccurrences
  • World Baseball Classic injury concerns

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Injury Update

 

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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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Kevin Cosgrovemember
1 year ago

Ariel love your work. Please can you clarify the difference between your projections and auction prices? Are the auction prices simply a reflection of a representative sampling from various leagues? Or are they values based upon your projections?

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Ariel Cohenmember
1 year ago
Reply to  Kevin Cosgrove

Thanks!

The prices that I mention a player is “worth” is the ATC projections valued at a 15 team mixed 5×5 league (call it NFBC settings). I pick one format so that you can always compare players to. Not too shallow a league, but not deep like a mono league.

The “market” prices are derived from ADP to convert to an auction equivalent. I don’t think in terms of pure ADP, because that distorts value. ADP 40 to 50 is a bigger jump from 200 to 250, etc.

Hope that helps …

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