Author Archive: Jeff Zimmerman

Big Kid Adds (Week 17)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They were originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and there are ten of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (7/27/24)

Note: I know that the information here could be dated the minute it gets published because of a trade. This will be one weekend to track the news and overreact to weekend lineups.

American League

Angels

• They have too many guys at second, third, and designated hitter with one of Luis Rengifo, Brandon Drury, Anthony Rendon, and Willie Calhoun sitting each game.

• Mickey Moniak has started in 15 of 16 games in centerfield. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (7/23/24)

American League

White Sox

• Drew Thorpe is throwing his changeup at different speeds.

“He learned his changeup plays three times in a row to certain guys,” said White Sox manager Pedro Grifol, commending Thorpe for greater fastball command since Arizona put seven earned runs on him on June 16. “Normally, that doesn’t happen because you don’t throw the same pitch three times in a row.

“People make adjustments. He learned today he can with the changeup if he continues to mix the speeds of the changeup. There are some really good learning moments.”

Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the winning bids in the three 15-team Tout Wars teams.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:33
Seth: Are River Ryan and Jose Soriano pretty much the same value? Figure Soriano is closer to an innings cap and Ryan might only last a start, but has higher upside?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go with Ryan

7:33
Jeff: River Ryan or Robbie Ray ROS? Ws/ERA/WHIP/Ks/SOLDs 10-team roto league

Read the rest of this entry »


Quick All-Star Break Study #3: Month-to-Month Correlation for ERA and Related Stats

Over the break, I’m going to run a few quick studies. If you want to request, add it to this Twitter thread.

The final study I’ll run is looking at how much stock should a person have in a month of pitching stats. I wanted to understand these correlations since I quote them a ton. The usual suspects top the list with an interesting find on WHIP projections. Read the rest of this entry »


FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 17)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (7/20/24)

American League

Astros

• Yainer Diaz is getting some reps at first base.

Since Abreu’s departure, Singleton is hitting .301/.374/.411 in 83 plate appearances. Whether the Astros believe this is sustainable may dictate their deadline approach at first base. That the team hasn’t ruled out catcher Yainer Diaz as a possibility at first base is intriguing, too.

Diaz took groundballs at first base during the team’s last homestand before the All-Star break, though that itself isn’t newsworthy. Backup catcher Victor Caratini’s imminent return from a hip flexor strain could free Espada to experiment with Diaz at first base, perhaps putting him in a platoon with Singleton on days he does not catch.

Read the rest of this entry »


Quick All-Star Break Study #2: Pitcher Wins Based on Pitcher & Team Talent

Over the break, I’m going to run a few quick studies. If you want to request, add it to this Twitter thread.

Over at the Pull Hitter Patreon, there was a discussion on starting pitcher Wins from shi … bad teams (e.g. Paul Skenes). Here are the results I found. Read the rest of this entry »


Quick All-Star Break Study #1: Batting Average Regression

Over the break, I’m going to run a few quick studies. If you want to request, add it to this Twitter thread.

Someone I know said they drafted for batting average (AVG) this spring, but their team is struggling in the category. They wondered how much upward regression should be expected. This is a simple study with a reasonable answer, some but not all. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Not Tout Wars FAAB results since the leagues will run their FAAB on Wednesday

7:31
Daniel: Add Lawrence Butler for Trevor Larnach? Other option is add Butler for DJ LeMahieu and wait for IKF to return for DJs spot. AL Only. Thx

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Take a chance on Butler

7:32
Eric: Ignoring coors, would you take toglia or Lawrence butler? H2h standard categories

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Toglia

Read the rest of this entry »