Author: Paul Sporer | Page 61 | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball

1:00	Hank Scorpio: Would you consider trading my W. Smith (closer) for their D. German fair value, or should I be looking for better than a mid-60s arm based on your rankings? I have Hader + Duran otherwise, so no problem offloading Smith and his fluid bullpen situation

1:00	Paul Sporer: I think that’s fair. You might be able to shop higher, but if you’re comfortable w/German, it works. He’s always got that HR risk, but the upside is still strong when he’s on

1:01

Hank Scorpio: Hey Paul, thanks as always for the chat. 12tm 6×6 roto. I have a trade on the table currently: my Schwarber/Monty for their Cease/Teoscar. The other team is asking for F. Peralta instead of Monty, but I think it works as is and it becomes too like for like. What are your thoughts in either direction? I can afford to give up Schwarber since I have Muncy, I was just really hoping Teoscar got moved yesterday to no avail. Need Avg, RBI, R, XBH on offense; pretty much everything in pitching

1:01	Paul Sporer: Totally agree re: it becoming pointless to shift Monty to Peralta with respect to Ks specifically

1:03	Sam: Is it time to drop Springer? 10 man h2h 5×5 league, other options include Muncy, Kwan, B Lowe

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – August 2nd

by Paul Sporer

August 2, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – August 1st

by Paul Sporer

July 31, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 31st

by Paul Sporer

July 31, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Recent Top 150 SP Rankings

—

Monday, July 31st Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Corbin Burnes	MIL	at	WSN	x	x	x	127.1	3.46	1.04	17%	18th	Just 2 ER in his L3 starts (20 IP, 29 Ks)
2	Tyler Glasnow	TBR	at	NYY	x	x	x	61.2	3.36	1.12	27%	22nd	Averaging over 6 IP/start in his 5 July outings: 2.30 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 30% K-BB
3	Nick Pivetta	BOS	at	SEA	x	x	x	81	4.11	1.17	19%	10th	Really impressive v. ATL and could get a pair of bulk outings this wk
4	Andrew Abbott	CIN	at	CHC	x	x	x	61.2	1.90	0.96	20%	18th	After that 6 ER dud at MIL, he’s reeled off an 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 18% K-BB in his L20 IP
5	George Kirby	SEA		BOS	x	x	x	123.2	3.49	1.08	20%	4th	Sometimes ya get barreled up living in the zone like that, but he doesn’t leave the lineup
6	Alex Cobb	SFG		ARI	x	x	x	106	2.97	1.35	16%	15th	Has a 2.86 ERA in his L8 w/dodgeable bombs at CIN & at COL
7	Taijuan Walker	PHI	at	MIA	x	x	x	113	4.06	1.27	11%	24th	Great matchup to stay hot
8	Chris Bassitt	TOR		BAL	x	x	x	126.2	3.91	1.22	14%	27th	The HRs (+.5 to 1.4 this yr) make him more volatile start-to-start, but he’s still hitting his marks w/those ratios
9	Marcus Stroman	CHC		CIN		x	x	125.2	3.51	1.20	12%	17th	We knew the regression was coming on that .235 BABIP and it’s at .375 over his L6
10	J.P. France	HOU		CLE		x	x	84.2	2.87	1.22	10%	11th	That 4.85 SIERA is staring us in the face and I get it w/the 10% K-BB, but I can’t get him out of the lineup right now
11	Ryne Nelson	ARI	at	SFG		x	x	112.1	4.97	1.41	9%	29th	Has a crazy home/road split where he loves being on the road: 2.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 14% K-BB
12	Charlie Morton	ATL		LAA			x	113.1	3.57	1.42	14%	13th	If you’re win-chasing, I get it, but otherwise he’s far from a must start here
13	Domingo Germán	NYY		TBR			x	103.2	4.77	1.09	18%	23rd	A minor power outage w/the TBR lineup makes this playable if you’re playing catch up
14	Kyle Gibson	BAL	at	TOR			x	127	4.68	1.32	12%	12th	B2B QS but that usually just means a dud is lurking around the corner… you know the risks
15	Jake Irvin	WSN		MIL			x	74.1	4.96	1.43	9%	19th	I know Jirvin’s been swervin a bit lately for deep lgs (4.36 ERA, 1.25, 14% K-BB WHIP in 43 IP), but I’d be careful here
16	Edward Cabrera	MIA		PHI			x	74	4.74	1.42	14%	20th	Just can’t be trusted start-to-start so you’re always gambling, regardless of the matchup
17	Griffin Canning	LAA	at	ATL				84.2	4.46	1.24	19%	3rd	Great skills over his L7 (4.46 ERA/1.25 WHIP) w/a 25% K-BB; duds v. ARI & at LAD spoil the ERA
18	Seth Lugo	SDP	at	COL				82	3.62	1.20	19%	21st	We’re dodging the classic Coors bomb, it’s just not worth the risk
19	Noah Syndergaard	CLE	at	HOU				55.1	7.16	1.45	12%	14th	I’m rooting for him!
20	Austin Gomber	COL		SDP				108	5.83	1.44	9%	15th	#NeverGomber… yeah, I saw the last game!

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1200 – Deadline Deals Begin!

by Paul Sporer

July 29, 2023

7/28/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

@sporer – Host
@justinmasonfwfb – Co-Host/Producer

PATREON

Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

Lucas Giolito to LAA
- Jared Walsh DFA’d
- Edgar Quero to CWS
Amed Rosario to LAD
- For Thor
Gabriel Arias to SS
Enrique Hernández back to LAD
David Robertson & Jorge López to MIA – will either close?
- Mets backfill – Adam Ottavino/Brooks Raley 레일리
Carlos Santana to MIL

Read the rest of this entry »

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 28th

by Paul Sporer

July 28, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 27th

by Paul Sporer

July 27, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Update: Minutes after posting I saw that Lucas Giolito was traded to the Angels. This could spell trouble for my guy Silseth! Obviously he should still start tomorrow, but I’m a lottt less bullish on his fantasy prospects in the immediate future than I was just 10 minutes ago. If we’re being honest, it should be Tyler Anderson getting removed given his struggles this year. Well… maybe not. He has a 3.99 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 18% K-BB in his last 6 outings and of course he brings gifts and a various assortment of veteran presents. Enjoy the Detroit start with Silseth, but stay tuned to the news on whether or not he remains in the rotation afterwards.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – July 26th, 2023

by Paul Sporer

July 26, 2023

Transcript is below!

1:02	Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:02	Guest: is Ty France hurt still/again? he’s barely been a 1 cat contributor (runs) in any format YTD

1:02	Paul Sporer: Yeah he’s been rough. Not sure he’s a must-hold anywhere right now

1:03	Paul Sporer: Sometimes guys play through injury and we don’t learn about it until the end of the year bc they don’t want to make excuses

1:03	Ben: H2H keepers – I know flags fly forever, but would you move three years of minimum priced elly (auction league – $3) for tatis, yordan and gausman? with the increased weekly variance of H2H i’m more hesitant than if it was a roto league.

1:04	Paul Sporer: If you don’t think the upgrades from who you have to Gaus & Yordan (we can call Tatis/Elly even-ish) then I’m OK passing, but it’s the right kind of offer to get someone like Elly

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 26th

by Paul Sporer

July 25, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Author Archive