Author: Paul Sporer | Page 25 | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – May 29th, 2024

May 29, 2024

Thanks for coming out!

1:01	Paul Sporer: How’s it going, y’all? Thanks for coming out!

1:01	weekly Corbin Carroll sob session: even his sprint speed is down (or is that just crappier contact => less reason to run fast?)

1:03	Paul Sporer: Yeah, I’m not too worried about the speed. I definitely think if he were healthy and hitting like expected, we’d be seeing the 2Bs and 3Bs w/his blazing speed

1:03	Guest: Do I give up on Corbin Carroll and try to trade him for a 3rd/4th rounder?

1:04	Paul Sporer: You can. As long as you’ll be comfortable if he rebounds. Just got weigh the two and decide how you’ll feel.

1:04	Broken Bat: Cubs had 6 years to fix Estrada. Padres get in done in 4 months? What is with that?

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 29th, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 28, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the May SP Rankings

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 28th, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 27, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the May SP Rankings

Taking a partial holiday in that I skipped out on comments tonight so I can head back to the couch to enjoy HOU/SEA plus the hockey and basketball games going on. As always, I’ll gladly answer questions in the comments section if you want to know more about anyone. Heavy stud slate definitely makes it easier to skip doing the commentary, too!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 27th, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 27, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the May SP Rankings

Sorry there was no chart on Friday. I wasn’t feeling well Thursday night and by the time I got to feeling better, it was around noon on Friday.

2-Start Rankings for the Week

RANK	TYPE	PITCHER	MATCHUPS
1	1	Tarik Skubal	PIT/at BOS
2	1	Cole Ragans	at MIN/SDP
3	1	Freddy Peralta	CHC/CHW
4	1	Max Fried	WSN/OAK
5	1	Luis Castillo	HOU/LAA
6	1	Joe Ryan	KCR/at HOU
7	1	Framber Valdez	at SEA/MIN
8	2	Justin Steele	at MIL/CIN
9	2	Bryce Miller	HOU/LAA
10	2	Nick Lodolo	STL/at CHC
11	2	Chris Bassitt	at CHW/PIT
12	3	Nestor Cortes	at LAA/at SFG
13	3	Brayan Bello	at BAL/DET
14	3	Robert Gasser	CHC/CHW
15	3	Charlie Morton	WSN/OAK
16	3	Michael King	MIA/at KCR
17	3	Blake Snell	PHI/NYY
18	3	Gavin Stone	at NYM/COL
19	3	Zack Littell	OAK/at BAL
20	4	Brandon Pfaadt	at TEX/at NYM
21	4	Alec Marsh	at MIN/SDP
22	4	Griffin Canning	NYY/at SEA
23	4	Mitchell Parker	at ATL/at CLE
24	4	Cooper Criswell	at BAL/DET
25	4	Simeon Woods Richardson	KCR/at HOU
26	4	Lance Lynn	at CIN/at PHI
27	4	Cole Irvin	BOS/TBR
28	4	Trevor Rogers	at SDP/TEX
29	5	Taijuan Walker	at SFG/STL
30	5	Tylor Megill	LAD/ARI
31	5	Mitch Spence	at TBR/at ATL
32	6	Jake Irvin	at ATL/at CLE
33	6	Austin Gomber	CLE/at LAD
34	6	Nick Nastrini	TOR/at MIL
35	6	Xzavion Curry	at COL/WSN

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1300 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 9

by Paul Sporer

May 25, 2024

5/24/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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@sporer – Host
@justinmasonfwfb – Co-Host/Producer

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Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START FOR WEEK 8

Ryne Nelson at TEX/at NYM
Charlie Morton WSH/OAK
Cole Irvin BOS/TBR
Cooper Criswell at BAL/DET

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 23rd, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 22, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

It’s a pretty straightforward board on Thursday. Be careful with the landmines out there, even the 1-x recos but also guys like Waldron, Black, and Smith-Shawver who have moderately intriguing matchups. I just don’t trust them in any of those road setups. If you want to discuss anyone further, drop a comment and I’ll get to ’em throughout Thursday!

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – May 22nd, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 22, 2024

Thanks for coming out!!

1:04	Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, y’all! We’ve got Skubal/Ragans on the iPad ready to talk some baseball!!!

1:04	Guest: Why does MLB hate home runs now??

1:04	Paul Sporer: lol, no idea… they can’t get their balls right!

1:04	Houzer: Who says no … Tigers send Skubal to the Orioles for Westburg and Kjerstad

1:05	Paul Sporer: Maaannnn, if we got BOTH of them, I’d have to be on board for that. That’d be really compelling

1:05	Houzer: Another one .. who says no- Tigers send Tork and Foley to the Blue Jays for Vladdy

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 22nd, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 22, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

I wanted to see what kind of pitching has been available on the wire this year so I took a quick look. I used the NFBC’s Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team setup with 9 pitcher slots in the starting lineup and just 7 reserves, no IL or minor leaguers. I took the pitchers who were picked up in at least 25% of the 228 leagues in the contest, so 57 or more leagues. From there, I just calculated their results from the time they were picked up through May 21st. I realize that’s not perfect because some guys have definitely been cut so many teams might’ve missed some of the ugliness.

Just a note that the date listed in the chart is the Sunday they were picked up so the data starts the day after which is definitely worth noting because several of these guys threw gems on that Sunday which no doubt raised their bid price that night. Also there are some guys listed twice and that’s not an error, they had more than one period where they met the 57-league threshold. Obviously in comparison to last year’s non-stop rush of pitching prospects who came up and succeeded, this feels light, but even compared to a standard year it feels like we aren’t getting much. Streaming is no doubt a grind in 15-teamers right now and it feels like that is trickling down to 12-teamers, too.

April SP Pickups

PITCHER	PICKUP PERIOD	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB%
Brady Singer	31-Mar	49.2	3.08	1.20	17%
Garrett Crochet	31-Mar	45.2	4.53	1.04	27%
Brady Singer	7-Apr	43.1	3.32	1.30	17%
Graham Ashcraft	7-Apr	42.2	4.43	1.52	9%
Javier Assad	7-Apr	42.1	1.70	1.07	13%
Spencer Turnbull	7-Apr	34.1	2.88	1.06	14%
Ronel Blanco	7-Apr	32.1	3.06	1.34	14%
Steven Matz	7-Apr	17.1	8.83	2.11	3%
Cody Bradford	7-Apr	6.2	0.00	0.97	22%
Javier Assad	14-Apr	31.2	1.14	1.09	11%
Martín Pérez	14-Apr	31	6.68	1.68	11%
Paul Blackburn	14-Apr	26.2	7.09	1.49	13%
Keaton Winn	14-Apr	26.1	6.84	1.38	11%
José Buttó	14-Apr	26	4.15	1.31	5%
Ben Brown	14-Apr	25	2.52	1.16	18%
Steven Matz	14-Apr	12.2	11.37	2.30	2%
Yariel Rodríguez	14-Apr	11.2	4.63	1.88	7%
Mitchell Parker	21-Apr	26	4.15	1.42	11%
José Soriano	21-Apr	25.1	3.20	1.27	9%
José Buttó	21-Apr	21.2	4.15	1.23	6%
Edward Cabrera	21-Apr	10.1	11.32	1.78	8%
Yariel Rodríguez	21-Apr	7.2	5.87	2.36	-5%
Bailey Falter	28-Apr	24	3.75	1.08	5%
Erick Fedde 페디	28-Apr	23.1	3.86	1.13	7%
Jameson Taillon	28-Apr	22	2.45	1.23	6%
Simeon Woods Richardson	28-Apr	19.1	3.26	1.26	12%
Bryce Elder	28-Apr	11.2	11.57	2.68	9%

Pitchers acquired in at least 25% (57 of 228) of leagues in the Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team, 5×5 roto setup using a $1000 FAAB

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 21st, 2024

by Paul Sporer

May 20, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the May SP Rankings

Individual SP comments back tomorrow… but as always, I’ll answer as many comments as I can throughout the day tomorrow so if you have a question about someone, just let me know!

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Starter Notes May 21, 2024

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK L30/Season
1	Joe Ryan	MIN at WSN	x	x	x	53	3.57	1.02	24%	26th/23rd
2	Logan Webb	SFG at PIT	x	x	x	59	3.03	1.35	12%	30th/29th
3	Garrett Crochet	CHW at TOR	x	x	x	51	4.18	1.01	28%	26th/26th
4	Ranger Suárez	PHI v TEX	x	x	x	59	1.37	0.76	22%	18th/6th
5	Kyle Bradish	BAL at STL	x	x	x	13	2.63	1.32	18%	8th/10th
6	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR v CHW	x	x	x	52	2.60	1.10	22%	28th/30th
7	Clarke Schmidt	NYY v SEA	x	x	x	50	2.49	1.13	20%	16th/24th
8	Cristian Javier	HOU v LAA	x	x	x	30	3.23	1.24	8%	14th/15th
9	Robert Gasser	MIL at MIA	x	x	x	11	0.82	0.82	12%	23rd/25th
10	Jon Gray	TEX at PHI		x	x	52	2.08	1.17	18%	2nd/5th
11	Zack Littell	TBR v BOS		x	x	49	3.44	1.31	19%	5th/9th
12	Casey Mize	DET at KCR		x	x	43	3.50	1.19	12%	19th/12th
13	Joe Musgrove	SDP at CIN		x	x	41	6.37	1.51	13%	28th/28th
14	Gavin Stone	LAD v ARI		x	x	44	3.27	1.27	7%	22nd/27th
15	Andrew Abbott	CIN v SDP		x	x	50	3.06	1.14	13%	29th/4th
16	Alec Marsh	KCR v DET		x	x	37	2.43	1.05	14%	10th/14th
17	Bryan Woo	SEA at NYY		x	x	9	0.93	0.62	17%	1st/1st
18	Javier Assad	CHC v ATL		x	x	48	1.49	1.03	14%	27th/8th
19	Griffin Canning	LAA at HOU			x	46	5.21	1.35	8%	11th/7th
20	Charlie Morton	ATL v CHC			x	46	3.52	1.15	15%	20th/16th
21	Cooper Criswell	BOS at TBR			x	29	2.76	1.09	18%	15th/19th
22	Martín Pérez	PIT v SFG			x	50	4.86	1.50	12%	16th/11th
23	Cal Quantrill	COL at OAK			x	51	3.66	1.32	7%	9th/21st
24	Aaron Brooks 브룩스	OAK v COL			x	7	3.86	1.14	14%	21st/13th
25	Lance Lynn	STL v BAL			x	45	4.17	1.48	11%	29th/20th
26	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI at LAD				54	4.17	1.11	18%	3rd/3rd
27	Trevor Rogers	MIA v MIL				42	5.79	1.76	9%	8th/2nd
28	Carlos Carrasco	CLE v NYM				45	5.16	1.46	8%	17th/17th
29	Patrick Corbin	WSN v MIN				48	5.59	1.74	5%	5th/18th
30	Adrian Houser	NYM at CLE				32	7.44	1.84	-4%	18th/22nd

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.