Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 702 – Fireside Chat: Prospect Arms

6/7/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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PROSPECT PITCHER ANALYSIS:

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – June 7th, 2019

Transcript is available!

12:09

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, let’s talk some baseball on this glorious Friday afternoon!

12:10

hscer: good pod as usual. here’s a vote for not trading Ketel for Ramirez

12:10

Paul Sporer: Thanks! I love Ketel and I’m definitely worried about Ramirez

12:11

Jerry: Who’s the better IL stash: Severino, Glasnow, or Taillon?

12:11

Paul Sporer: I like them in the order you’ve listed

12:11

Christian: I’m running out of patience with Donaldson and Puig…any hopes they do better than this?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 701 – Hitter Check-Ins and SP Disputes

6/6/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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HITTER CHECK-INS

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Five Big Fallers from My SP Rankings

I released my June rankings yesterday. Justin and I also discussed some of the biggest movers into the top 50 on the podcast. There are 40 pitchers who moved up or down at least 15 spots. I can’t cover all of them here today, that’d be like a 5000-word piece, but I do have some thoughts on the biggest fallers on the list. We start with a mea culpa, but I stand by the others!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 700 – Starting Pitchers Moved Into Top 50

6/4/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS, INJURIES, RUMORS (2:00)

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June Starting Pitcher Rankings

Another month is in the books and pitching landscape remains a mess. We lost 10 pitchers off last month’s rankings from underperformance, injuries, and demotions (to the pen or minors) and frankly, I could’ve maybe cut it to 105, but a lot of us play in deep leagues so we have to know the dregs. There are some major moves within even the top 50, let alone the rest of the rankings so I’ll have either an article or solo pod diving into reasoning behind the largest changes and how I feel about them going forward.

I look at my in-season rankings in 4-6 week blocks so the potential innings limits facing some of the younger arms rated highly aren’t really that important right now. Given that so much is going to change in the next month let alone the next four, I don’t see the point in pretending that these updates are viable for the rest of the season.

Pay attention to the tier! If I didn’t rank someone as high as you thought I should, but they are still a must or usually start, then it’s probably not worth freaking out too much. Those tiers mean they are in the rotation pretty much all the time. I’m open to debating slotting, too, but worrying about a 4-spot difference between two guys in the same tier is probably a waste of time.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 698 – Fireside Chat: Biggest Movers from 2CLs

5/31/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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NEW TOP 100 PITCHERS:

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – May 31st, 2019

This week’s transcript:

12:29

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, everyone! It’s time to chat!

12:29

Peter: I need HRs/RBIs, what bat should I be targeting in a trade for Lucas Giolito? Should I wait a start before trading him to get more value?

12:30

Paul Sporer: “Who do I target” qs are really hard bc it’s all about what your market will bear, so I don’t really know, but you should be able to request a strong power bat

12:32

Manny: OBP League Keeper, would you move Vogelbach straight up for Mallex Smith, given the state of speed?

12:32

Paul Sporer: Ya that definitely works

12:33

Ralph: How good is Caleb Smith as a keeper? Better than Musgrove? Can he reach Nola/Buehler/Flaherty levels?

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The 10: Savant’s New Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Baseball Savant recently released these new Pitch Movement leaderboards and they’re very cool. I don’t always get in the weeds on movement numbers to find out who leads what, but this has definitely made that easier. They explain at the top how they come up with the metrics and then show how much better than average the pitcher is with a given pitch’s break or drop.

Caleb Smith’s Fastball Horizontal Movement

Smith’s breakout season has been aided by big improvements in his fastball, including a jump in horizontal break. Only Richard Rodriguez (86% better than average) and Chris Sale (80%) are further above average than Smith’s 71% mark. His 4.8 pitch value on the heater is 25th-best this year and up from -3.0 last year.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 697 – Rotation Check-Ins Pt. 3

5/29/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Rotation Check-Ins Part 3:

  • Philadelphia
  • Pittsburgh
  • San Diego
  • Seattle
  • San Francisco
  • St. Louis
  • Tampa Bay
  • Texas
  • Toronto
  • Washington

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