Solid board for Friday with plenty of opportunities at every level. As always, there is risk which is heightened in September as we have less time to undo a dud, but we can’t just sit on our hands being afraid of a dud if we are chasing points in the standings. Speaking of risk, I just don’t see myself starting Luis Gil anywhere right now. He’s fresh off the IL and hasn’t been pitching that well for some time. I’m very thankful for what he gave us this season and I’ll happily revisit in 2025, but I’m OK cutting him for the remainder of 2024.
Let me know if you have questions about anyone else.
Drop a comment if you have a question about any of the pitchers. It’s a relatively straightforward board with a good number of 3-x’s and then some Hail Mary 1-x’s.
An earlier version accidentally had Suárez facing TOR with just a 2-x reco. With his proper matchup at MIA loaded in, I moved him to the 3-x group.
Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!
1:07
Chad: Tell me about Lawrence Butler. Top ___ hitter next year?
1:07
Paul Sporer: 150? I’m excited, but don’t wanna get drunk on hype
1:09
Greg: Keep one for next year – Bichette, Sandy Alcantara, Springs, Woo, Gausman.
1:13
Paul Sporer: I’m inclined to run with Woo there. Sandy is out bc he’s returning from TJ, even if we agree Bichette is better than his 2024 washout, I’m still not sure he ever nabs 20+ SBs again, and then w/Woo-Springs-Gausman, i just prefer Woo the most there even w/some of the health issues he has experienced so far
1:18
Kate: Do we know why Masyn Winn has kind of stopped running midseason? Is this injury related?
I ended up using the holiday as a chance to go to sleep early hence no SP chart last night, but I can’t leave y’all hanging for Tuesday!
Brady Singer has been more good than bad of late w/a 3.69 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 18% K-BB since July 1st though that elevated WHIP hints at how the bad starts during the run have been particularly bad. During the 11 starts, he has 7 starts w/an average of 65 Game Score (which is really good), but the other 4 are at a 33 average. So there’s a big range here which does make him a little scary down the stretch, but I still have a hard time finding too many sits.
SEA is a great Rx for any starter in need of gem so Jeffrey Springs’s 5 IP of 1-hit ball with 9 Ks was a welcomed sight and he now has 5 IP in 4 of his L5.
The results for Kutter Crawford are better of late — 3.71 ERA, 0.94 WHIP — but the meager 7% K-BB tells me the .200 BABIP is doing a looottt of the heavy lifting there. There’s upside, there’s decent W potential, but there’s definitely real downside so be careful!
Cade Povich’s insane schedule (NYY 2x, HOU, LAD, CLE, BOS, ATL) explains some of the lagging #s so he deserves this outing v. CHW.
I don’t even really trust Walker Buehler that much v. LAA… he just doesn’t look right and I’m not sure an easy matchup will necessarily help that.
David Peterson threw another gem, this time at ARI, giving him a 1.86 ERA/1.13 WHIP combo in 6 August starts (38.7 IP) and it wasn’t like he just smoked bad teams with 3 great teams, a brutally tough venue in Coors, and an upstart offense with OAK accounting for 5 of the 6: at LAA, at COL, OAK, BAL, SDP, at ARI.
Kyle Harrison is a pure lottery ticket play, especially as well as Arizona is playing in the second half.
I still love Reid Detmers, but can’t start him here v. LAD; if he’s good, I can see the at MIN being usable next wk.
We have a star-studded board to open up September so we could see some strong pitching scores this week. There is definitely some risk in the streaming tiers, but that’s always the case. It just feels more severe because we have so little time left in the season (last gm is Sept. 29th) so every dud feels more impactful. Trust your decisions, realize that they won’t all work, and don’t let a bad start make you reluctant to keep streaming if that’s your best path to scaling the standings.
