Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1400 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 3

4/11/25

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2-STARTS FOR WEEK 3

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 11th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 10th, 2025

© Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – April 9th, 2025

Thanks for coming out, transcript is below:

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:02

Lord Thunder: Will Max Muncy or Michael Conforto reach 120 games played for LAD this season?

1:04

Paul Sporer: They will get the chance to if healthy, but I have no idea if either will stay healthy enough

1:04

Eye of the Tiger: Hi Paul, in 14-team H2H 5×5, do you like Moreno or Murphy at C and Cronenworth or Bell at CI rest of season? Thanks again!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Moreno/Bell for me w/those duos

1:06

Guest: Jesus but it feels like MLB should be sponsored by IcyHot or something right now

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 9th, 2025

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1399 – Fast Start SP: Buy or Sell?

4/8/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

FAST START SPs

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 8th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

 

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Another gem for Hunter Greene, coming an out shy of a shutout. I won’t run from my L if he pops off this year, not conceding after three starts, either. He does look amazing, though… does Sugarfree Red Bull go well with crow?

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 7th, 2025

Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Pardon my tardiness this morning, I was on the Rotowire Fantasy Baseball podcast last night and wasn’t able to finish up the boards before crashing out. I’m working on a new format so the comments show up underneath the player data, but my first few attempts went south so I got frustrated and just went back to the normal setup. If and when I get it working properly, it’ll look like this:

View post on imgur.com

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1397 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 2

4/4/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2-STARTS FOR WEEK 2

Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Chart – April 4th, 2025

© Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Starter Notes April 4, 2025
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD at PHI x x x 90 3.00 1.11 23% 9th
2 Max Fried NYY at PIT x x x 174 3.25 1.16 15% 17th
3 Spencer Schwellenbach ATL v MIA x x x 123 3.35 1.04 21% 21st
4 Jack Flaherty DET v CHW x x x 162 3.17 1.07 24% 30th
5 Gavin Williams CLE at LAA x x x 76 4.86 1.37 14% 27th
6 Shota Imanaga CHC v SDP x x x 173 2.91 1.02 21% 19th
7 Seth Lugo KCR v BAL x x x 206 3.00 1.09 16% 5th
8 Justin Verlander SFG v SEA x x x 90 5.48 1.38 12% 8th
9 Kevin Gausman TOR at NYM x x x 181 3.83 1.22 14% 11th
10 Brandon Pfaadt ARI at WSN x x x 181 4.71 1.24 19% 20th WSN does run six lefties (well 3, and 3 switch-hitters) and that group comprise their 6 best hitters
11 Tylor Megill NYM v TOR x x x 78 4.04 1.31 18% 12th Great at HOU in his season debut (5 IP/1 ER/6 Ks/1 BB)
12 José Soriano LAA v CLE x x x 113 3.42 1.20 11% 26th Dominating CHW doesn’t add to my confidence, but I’m open to starting him anywhere
13 Max Meyer MIA at ATL x x 57 5.68 1.42 11% 17th ATL is still a scary offense despite their brutal start, but Meyer also has major upside so I’m OK to go at ATL while they’re down
14 Nick Martinez CIN at MIL x x 142 3.10 1.03 17% 7th A 3-run 6th inning (incl. 2-run HR v. Chapman) spoiled his season debut; 5 K/1 BB was nice, though
15 Zack Littell TBR at TEX x x 156 3.63 1.25 17% 24th Smoking COL at home doesn’t greatly change his outlook, but TEX is sputtering so I don’t hate a stream here
16 Tyler Mahle TEX v TBR x 12 4.97 1.42 11% 29th Maybe the spring concerns had merit? Brutal 4 BB limited him to fewer than 2 IP in season debut
17 Jesús Luzardo PHI v LAD x 66 5.00 1.25 13% 2nd I know he was brilliant at WSN, but let’s be very careful v. LAD
18 Mitch Keller PIT v NYY x 178 4.25 1.30 15% 1st I don’t have any issue sitting him, even at home
19 Walker Buehler BOS v STL 75 5.38 1.55 10% 15th Not cutting off 1 start, but the debut was rooough and I’d like to see something before diving in
20 Jonathan Cannon CHW at DET 124 4.49 1.33 10% 22nd
21 Osvaldo Bido ATH at COL 63 3.41 1.09 14% 16th
22 Ryan Feltner COL v ATH 162 4.49 1.34 12% 23rd
23 Jake Irvin WSN v ARI 187 4.41 1.20 14% 3rd
24 Erick Fedde STL at BOS 177 3.30 1.16 14% 6th
25 Randy Vásquez SDP at CHC 98 4.87 1.51 8% 14th
26 Dean Kremer BAL at KCR 129 4.10 1.24 13% 13th
27 Tyler Alexander MIL v CIN 107 5.10 1.24 15% 22nd
28 Luis F. Castillo SEA at SFG #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 25th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues