Author Archive: Paul Sporer

11/11/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer
• Joe Orrico | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host
• Jason Collette | Bluesky | Linktree – Co-Host

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

FPAZ EPISODE

Be Careful w/AI

• Paul’s constructed list burns him
• Zack Gelof/Yandy Díaz

ADP Roundtable

Catcher

• Leo Bernal at C14, topping Yainer Diaz, Liam Hicks, Ryan Jeffers, Kyle Teel, & Alejandro Kirk, among others.
• Anything to Patrick Bailey’s (C40, 505 ADP) 9 HR and 90 wRC+ w/CLE (75 career wRC+)

First Base

• Is it thin w/4 of Top 10 elig. elsewhere (Sal Stewart/Miguel Vargas 3B; Bryce Harper/Jac Caglianone OF)
• Gotta have the Vladimir Guerrero Jr. convo (1B9, 83 OVR) – where do we go from here?

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Fall drafts are already underway over at the NFBC and I’ll be getting started on some myself in November. I’ve been hard at work making my initial lists and in the process found a handful of guys I’m willing to rebuy in 2027 despite less than stellar results this year. Three of the four were north of a 5.00 ERA while the other was at 4.57 which still isn’t helping in any format. That said, I think all of ’em have enough talent and/or a cheap enough price to run it back next year. The 4th is definitely more of the Hail Mary variety with niche fantasy viability, but the other three all have major breakout potential next season.

Emmet Sheehan | LAD – 4.57 ERA/1.18 WHIP/21% K-BB in 112 IP

The skills were there even if the results never quite followed, but there is a clear issue that needs fixing. The juxtaposition of his struggles in comparison to teammate Justin Wrobleski’s success was particularly frustrating for those who had Sheehan on their roster. Through their first 14 starts, Sheehan had a 5.32 ERA/1.30 WHIP combo despite a 26% K and 19% K-BB while Wrobleski boasted a sparkling 2.51 ERA/1.00 WHIP combo with his meager 15% K and 10% K-BB. It did show that as valuable as K% and K-BB% can be, they don’t always tell the whole story. BABIP and HR rates underscored their stark differences in results.

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Let’s take a look at how my BPs went last year!

Original Piece 

C: Will Smith is the #1 Catcher on the Player Rater

Full Line: .285 AVG-25 HR-78 RBI-84 R-1 SB

Result: Alright, we come stumbling out of the gate, not only falling shy of the mark but getting a brutal half season from Smith. He hit .260/.355/.426 with 10 HRs en route to the 25th ranked C on the Player Rater. I think this might be my stop with Smith. I bought in big the last two years and came out 1 up, 1 down, though both shortened by injury. Entering his age-32 season, he has just 712 PA the last two seasons after four straight reaching 500. Pair that with the booming catcher market and I expect to be looking elsewhere for my C1 next season. 0-for-1

SS: Nasim Nuñez Steals 40 Bases

Full Line: .272-7-53-48-43

Result: You’d have to be a complete idiot to predict anything north of 40 here. Imagine thinking he could steal 50, that’d be crazy embarrassing! Nuñez did nab an MLB-best 49 bases but did so little else around them that he landed just 173rd among hitters on the Player Rater and 53rd at middle infield, qualifying at both positions. His .209 AVG was a huge negative while you also had to make up the negatives of just 1 HR, 37 RBI, and 55 R. Thankfully, I only focused on his SBs in the Bold Prediction, but his season perfectly underscores why I have such an aversion to rabbits. 1-for-2

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10/1/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer
• Joe Orrico | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube
• Join our Discord for live video feeds of each show

NFBC POSTSEASON CONTEST

Closer Talk

• Joe’s Win
• Who Carried Joe?
• Key Tenets for Success
• Filling Out a Lineup

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
• No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!

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9/25/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube
• Join our Discord for live video feeds of each show

2027 DRAFT REVIEW PT. 3

Closer Talk

• SVs leaders
• Riley O’Brien
• Justin Martinez
• Félix Bautista
• Daniel Palencia
• Grant Taylor
• Hagen Smith
• Jacob Latz
• Ben Joyce

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
• No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!
• Several doubleheaders today and both CLE & SDP coming off a clinch night which could give Cameron & Pfaadt a little extra boost against potentially hungover lineups.

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
• No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!

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Last chat of the season.

I’ll take a couple weeks of chatting off and then back it for some offseason talk in late-Oct/early-Nov.

Thanks for a great season, y’all!

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
• No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!

—

Read the rest of this entry »