Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1402 – Are These SPs in Trouble?

4/15/25

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

ARE THESE SPs IN TROUBLE?

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 15th, 2025

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 14th, 2025

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year and will do the same this year), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or being careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

The 2-Start chart is a Monday feature ranking the expected 2-start pitchers. I added the 2025 data to this board despite most guys still being around 3 starts. I’ll make the switch on the Daily SP Chart soon, too. I am a bit riskier early in the season when it comes to 2-start guys. It does put a bit more pressure on the ratios if you eat too many blowups, but we’ve got 5+ months to work on it and ratios can move a lot all year long. Plus, it’s not like I’m just frivolously starting any 2-start arm, just that I’ll take on some tougher starts at one end of the 2-step to get the potential gem against one of the worst teams in the league.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1400 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 3

4/11/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2-STARTS FOR WEEK 3

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 11th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Chart – April 10th, 2025

© Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – April 9th, 2025

Thanks for coming out, transcript is below:

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:02

Lord Thunder: Will Max Muncy or Michael Conforto reach 120 games played for LAD this season?

1:04

Paul Sporer: They will get the chance to if healthy, but I have no idea if either will stay healthy enough

1:04

Eye of the Tiger: Hi Paul, in 14-team H2H 5×5, do you like Moreno or Murphy at C and Cronenworth or Bell at CI rest of season? Thanks again!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Moreno/Bell for me w/those duos

1:06

Guest: Jesus but it feels like MLB should be sponsored by IcyHot or something right now

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 9th, 2025

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1399 – Fast Start SP: Buy or Sell?

4/8/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

FAST START SPs

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 8th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

 

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Another gem for Hunter Greene, coming an out shy of a shutout. I won’t run from my L if he pops off this year, not conceding after three starts, either. He does look amazing, though… does Sugarfree Red Bull go well with crow?

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