Starting Pitcher Chart – June 30th, 2026
by Paul Sporer
June 30, 2026
- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: mid-July)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
- Skubal at 4 might be lowest he lands on a board all year. These are razor-thin margins between the Top 4 and while he hasn’t been his untouchable self since returning from surgery, his 31% K and 28% K-BB are both better than his pre-injury marks. 6 HRs have been the problem in his 3 starts back. He gets the worst matchup of the 4 from a season standpoint, but Judge-less NYY is down to 17th vL over the L14 days.
- Miller is listed as Opener (and his stats are shown in the chart) but they don’t do traditional Openers and he should get a regular start’s worth of innings if he’s doing well. Castillo could get whatever’s left and if he doesn’t falter like last time, he could be in line for a Win or even a 3-inning Save (though Muñoz has had 3 days off now so they’ll likely go to him if it’s close), so there’s some merit to starting him, too.
- Even after coming unglued late last time out v. CHC (6 ER), McLean still has a 3.21 ERA/1.18 WHIP in the last month of work. He’s grinding through his rookie year a bit, but there’s been way more good than bad.
- The slightly arbitrary 30-day cutoff giveth and taketh… it perfectly sliced off a May 25th Dud for McLean, but just missed 7 scoreless IP for Early that would bring his recent ERA down from 5.06 to 4.01! I don’t even need that start included to still fee strongly about sticking w/Early, though. He still has a 26% K and 17% K-BB despite the 5.06 ERA/1.46 WHIP. The Nats are great vL, but I just can’t see sitting him.
- The Pirates clipped Wrobleski in Pittsburgh but he immediately bounced back with 2 gems (TBR, at MIN) despite continuing his meager K-BB (12% in those 2 gms; 10% on the yr). Will he struggle in Sacramento? Maybe, but the reason I remain undaunted in starting him in the Win upside even if he’s not at his best. Although I say that and all 9 of his Ws have come in great outings and he didn’t come close to winning any of his 3 bad starts. Ah well, we’re running him in Sactown!
- Roupp spent the whole trying to work off the 8 ER he opened the month with and back-to-back 6 IP/2 ER outings certainly helped with that. Another brilliant matchup affords him a great chance to stay hot.
- Boyd had a decent outing fresh off the IL, keeping the Mets scoreless for 4.7 IP, but he was a bit lucky, too, with 4 BB and 4 H. He catches a surging SDP team, too, sitting 8th the L14 days vL.
- Probably should’ve been a bit more cautious with Alcantara heading into Coors, so I won’t double down on that misstep with a blind Eury reco. He’s the more dominant pitcher which gives him a better shot to survive Coors, but the Rockies have found their home groove. In fact, they’re #1 overall vR in the last month so it’s not just Coors (worth noting they did get a series in Vegas, but still, they’re clearly doing more than just taking advantage of nice parks).
- Cameron/Sproat are classic matchup streams, both catching bottom-7 teams v. their respective handedness. Cameron started the month strong before hitting some bumps recently, including v. the same Rays he’ll face today but I’ll take the shot at home. Sproat is coming off his best start of the season: 6 scoreless w/10 Ks against the same Reds he’ll face today. The only time he had two solid starts in a row he was likely on everyone’s bench as they came at COL and at ATH! I guess his TOR (6.7 IP/1 ER)/at DET (5.3 IP/3 ER) combo in mid-April was fine but with a 5.43 ERA, the good starts are scant in total volume, let alone pairing them up.
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