• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

Big board of studs to choose from today! I’ll drop some comments in the morning.

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

I’ll have updated SP rankings out this week! Targeting Thursday for that, stay tuned.

• 1 bad IP v. HOU led to Early’s only Dud of the year but maybe it unlocked something for him because he’s been electric since: 1.79 ERA/0.96 WHIP/20% K-BB. The 5% BB stands out because control was an issue through his F7 starts (11% BB), though his ERA has never eclipsed 3.80 so even as he worked through that, he was still delivering value.
• In a season of impressive pitching breakouts, Martin stands out. After shelving his slider and curve to show-me status last year (4-5% usage for both), he’s dialed ’em up nearly 3x to 15% and 12%, respectively, and as a result his K% has surged 10 pts to 27%!! Paired with 13% SwStr, there is some realness to this and I’m running him everywhere confidently right now.
• Elder caught his first Dud of the year and there could be more on the way as it’s still hard to fully buy into his success with just a 13% K-BB, but if you can take the ratio risk there’s plenty of Win upside.
• Vásquez has been a bit wobbly in his L2 (7 ER in 10 IP w/4 HRs and 2:4 K:BB) but this is what I mean when I say we’re not jumping off at the first sign of trouble w/someone. Last year, that would’ve been enough to run from Vásquez given how flimsy his skills were (5% K-BB). His 12% this year isn’t amazing, but much more palatable than a single-digit rate. Let’s check-in after the 2-start this week (NYM on the wknd).
• I debated the 3-x on Soroka given how good he’s been this year but LAD is always tough to go against with any non-ace. Health, not skills, remains the biggest hurdle for Soroka as he hasn’t reached even 90 IP since his 2019 breakout season. I would definitely run him in weekly 10-teamers to get the 2-step even with it being 2 pretty difficult matchups (WSN this wknd).
• Huge 2-step this week for Prielipp. After running out to a 2.88 ERA/0.96 WHIP in his first 5 MLB starts, he’s gotten his socks knocked off in his L2 at BOS and at CHW, allowing 11 ER in 8.3 IP (6 BB definitely a big part of the issue). I’m willing to give him a shot against the Murakami-less White Sox in order to get the KCR start in weekly setups. In daily setups, I can see skipping this in shallow-medium formats.
• Matz has 6 good and 3 bad starts on the year but the latter have smothered the former resulting in a 4.67 ERA/1.24 WHIP through 44.3 IP. Most of my confidence to start him comes from how impossibly bad my favorite team has been lately (casual 4-22 record over their L26, very fun to watch everyday!).
• It was great to see the 11-K game from Roy Reuben Chandler but we knew that wasn’t the end of his control issues (he even walked 3 during the big strikeout game). HOU is down to 12th in wOBA on the year after a really fast start and now they essentially boil down to Yordan Alvarez, Christian Walker, Jeremy Pena,  and friends… wherein the friends are essentially free outs. Just don’t let those three get you and they’re very beatable.
• McDonald is yet another interesting arm with a difficult 2-step on tap (at CHC this wknd) but one I’m certainly open to running. A 7 ER Dud v. CHW has inflated the ERA to 4.34 but the 17% K-BB and 2.92 SIERA draw my attention. In fact, as I dive in deeper, I would favor T-Mc over Matz and Chandler for both today and the whole week.
• I’m nervous about all five 1-x guys and wouldn’t bat an eye at sitting any of them. Baz and Abbott at least have decent matchups while Cantillo, Jump, and Cameron are all on the road facing Top 10 offenses. Even still, I’d likely run all three in weekly formats for their 2-steps… at least in 15-teamers.
• Comments sold me on giving Nola, May and even Grayson 1-x. If I could figure out how to half an x, I would’ve given Grayson that, but I’m just nervous from being burnt in the past by him (mostly due to health, in fairness). Edit to add: I guess a slash one way or the other is technically half an “x” so that’s what he gets!

I’ll have more comments in the morning. Got a late start and need to get some rest!

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Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

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5/29/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WK10 (June 1st)

• AUTO-START: Cam Schlittler NYY, Jacob deGrom TEX, Chase Burns CIN, Kyle Harrison MIL, Joe Ryan MIN, Kevin Gausman TOR, José Soriano LAA, Emmet Sheehan LAD, Michael Soroka ARI, Landen Roupp SF, Emerson Hancock SEA
• Sandy Alcantara MIA – @ WSH (11), vs TB (7) – 3:51
• Connelly Early BOS – vs BAL (23), @ NYY (1) – 13:35
• Joey Cantillo CLE – @ NYY (1), @ TEX (28) – 17:02
• Casey Mize DET – @ TB (7), vs SEA (5) – 19:30
• Randy Vasquez SD – @ PHI (26), vs NYM (30) – 21:47
• Cade Cavalli WSH – vs MIA (18), @ ARI (25) – 24:24
• Bryce Elder ATL – vs TOR (17), vs PIT (4) – 26:15
• Eduardo Rodriguez ARI – vs LAD (2), vs WSH (4) – 30:10

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

• I forgot Taj got moved and still had Ober loaded. Pittsburgh is no joke, but Bradley has done his best work v. lefties this year, which is their lineup’s strength so I’m running him everywhere. Ober is much scarier tomorrow given his work v. lefties (7 HRs in 129 PA). Ober’s .181 BABIP vL is saving him… for now.
• Gore is back up the board with a good matchup and 2 excellent starts in his L3 with the third being an injury-shortened Coors outing. In the other two, he allowed 4 H and 3 BB in 14 IP with 12 Ks.
• Wrigley giventh and Wrigley taketh — Imanaga’s HR rate was always going to regress as the weather warmed up, especially given his home park. And it came crashing down in a 15 ER 2-start run against MIL/HOU, one of which was a Wrigley classic with the wind blowing out at 15 mph to center. After 5 HRs in his first 9 starts, he doubled his season total in these last two. This is why I ranked him in the 50s in March. I moved him up during first update as he was running hot and the weather was cooperating. He’ll move back down in the next update and likely live more in the 35-50 range going forward. He wasn’t as good as his first 9 starts nor is he as bad as these last 2. He should be around a 3.80-4.20 ERA range with a good WHIP and plenty of Ks (26% this yr; 24% career).
• The bottom half of the full recos carry some concern, but I have a hard time sitting them anywhere:
  • Valdez gets a CHW team that is cooking vL as he navigates thru an inconsistent May (6.10 ERA – 2 QS, a Dud, and a bland 5 IP/4 ER/4 BB start) but he remains a lineup lock. It’s Melton, not Framber, but you can use that Framber info for tomorrow. CHW isn’t quite as good vR but they can still bite ya. That said, I’m running Melton.
  • Rodón is now making his 4th start of the year, having reached 95 pitches and 5 IP last time out so he seems fully stretched out. The problem is he has 5, 3, and 3 BB during the first three resulting in a 1.46 WHIP. Can ATH take advantage, though? They have just an 8% BB vL (20th).
  • Webb is coming off the IL with a start in Coors… less than ideal, but I’m running him!
  • Wrobleski has excellent ratios (and 6 Ws!) this year but I can’t simply ignore his 14% K and 7% K-BB rates. PHI is looking more like the team we thought they’d be so while I can’t see myself sitting him in any league setup, he’s not nearly as appealing on the DFS landscape.
  • And then Martinez is an even more extreme version of Wrobo with great ratios (1.51 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) that aren’t well supported by his skills (15% K, 10% K-BB). I worry more about a mega Dud from him than Wrobleski and yet I still have a really hard time sitting him. Martinez survived a trip to NYY with a 6 IP/1 ER gem despite 9 H and only 1 K!!!
• I added the 3rd “x” to Alvarez because he’s getting an Opener which enhances his Win potential. He has impressed in three extended relief outings, putting together a 30% K-BB and 0.99 WHIP in 11.3 IP (4.3, 3, and 4 IP). My friend Gregg put Alvarez on my radar a couple weeks ago as he could be someone the Nats make a fixture in their rotation (and we’re fine if they keep giving him the Opener!!).
• Teng was also put on my radar by Gregg as he’s really been keyed in on the super RPs with SP upside (we’re both Ben Brown stans, too). 7 BB in his L2 starts has pushed his WHIP, but a 1.93 ERA/1.21 WHIP combo in his 3 actual starts is impressive. He obviously needs to reign in the BBs but we can live with a 9-10% BB as long as he’s missing enough bats to maintain his 15% K-BB. Will he hold a rotation spot after Brown returns?
• I’m interested in Ureña on the whole but this could be a tough matchup where the Rays exploit his 1.38 WHIP despite the great 2.58 ERA. Those just aren’t compatible and usually an ERA/WHIP mismatch that strong suggests ERA trouble ahead. He does get COL at home next week, though, so even if you pass this start, hold him for that one.
• Another Brewers gem developing with Crow or just a handful of good IP? He throws 92 and has just an 8% SwStr, so it’s probably just the latter, but any MIL pitcher at least gets my attention to dive deeper. This feels like the 3% BB and .226 BABIP are doing all the work.
• Love Jared Jones, just want to see something before diving in. He could be a huge target in FAAB this weekend, especially on the NFBC landscape where he isn’t available to pick up until debuting (unless he was drafted & dropped).

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Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Pretty straightforward board of starts/sits. Check back for some notes in the AM.

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Thanks for coming out!! Sorry I forgot to post my goodbye before closing the chat. I just totally brainfarted and hit the end button before enter.

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

• Sandlin, part of the Garrett Crochet deal, is making his MLB debut for the White Sox. Exciting live arm with a 35% K rate in the minors this year, but also a 15% BB and averaging just over 2 IP/outing so this might end up being more of an open leading into a bullpen game. Martin moved to tomorrow.
• Pérez is simply NOT a must-use in shallower leagues and this might be a do-or-die start for his roster status in those formats, too. He and Alcantara just aren’t getting it done and we have to divorce the name value from the skills (Sandy more so, tbh, as Pérez at least has the 25% K rate to cling to.
• Mize should pitch well before Jansen blows his win by somehow getting walked off at home.
• I know we’re nervously waiting for the bottom to drop out on Elder, but after 11 starts of 1.97 ERA/0.99 WHIP, I’m inclined to ride it out even if means possibly eating a bad regression start. He has the hallmarks of a fluky hot start with a .227 BABIP, 83% LOB, and 7% HR/FB – all career bests that won’t last – and yet he keeps cooking and plays on a great team so maybe even a “meh” start steals a Win!
• Cole is right back into all lineups even if you wanted to see one off the IL.
• Can we give Matz some love while numbers remain strong? I did shave an “x” off him to 2 after digging into the skills a bit (11% K-BB, 9% BB, 1.3 HR9, 4.40 SIERA) but plenty startable in medium and deeper leagues. Being on the Rays helps the Win upside, too.
• An 11-K game doesn’t take Chandler completely out of the woods… still came w/3 BB and 3 unearned runs at TOR.
• That 1 “x” for Cameron was an accident. Don’t throw him v. NYY!

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Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

I took the holiday off so no Monday board, hope y’all navigated the day well without me! I’ll be back tonight with a feature write up and comments.

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5/22/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WK9 (May 25th)

• AUTO-START: Cam Schlittler, Jacob Misiorowski, Chris Sale, Nolan McLean, Joe Ryan, Jesús Luzardo, Landen Roupp
• Kyle Bradish BAL – vs TB, vs TOR 3:33
• Trey Yesavage TOR – vs MIA, at BAL 7:00
• Nick Lodolo CIN – at NYM, vs ATL 11:43
• Tanner Bibee CLE – vs WSH, vs BOS 14:08
• Ranger Suarez BOS – vs ATL, at CLE 15:56
• Ben Brown CHC – at PIT, at STL 17:55
• Edward Cabrera CHC – at PIT, at STL 20:48
• Sean Burke CWS – vs MIN, vs DET 23:20
• Keider Montero DET – vs LAA, at CWS 28:10~
• Jack Leiter TEX – vs HOU, vs KC 34:11
• Steven Matz TB – at BAL, vs LAA 38:21

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