Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1485 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 3

3/9/26

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2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 3

Juice Worth the Squeeze? Pt. 2

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1483 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 2

3/5/26

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2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 2

Not Quite Aces

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Starting Pitcher 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Changelog


Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Online Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • Change is the difference in rankings since the last update
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Here is the opening look at the top 150 pitchers for the 2026 season. I’ll have plenty of updates including some tier updates/changes as I dive deeper on players and figure out better fits for them. I will eventually expand the list, too. I cut it at 150 for now just to have an endpoint, but I have something like 264 ranked. Drop a comment if you have questions on anyone, even if I haven’t written them up yet, but check back regularly for more profile additions.

Jan. 6th: First big update brings an expansion, lots of ranking changes, and tons of new profiles. Starting from this update forward, I will track the guys who change but there were just so many with this update that I didn’t end up keeping track of everything.

Jan. 21st: Smaller update here refreshes the ADP & dollar values along with some of the recent moves plus a handful of new profiles. We’re supposed to get a bad ice storm here in Austin this weekend and anyyyy measure of inclement weather can eat up our garbage electrical grid so I’m reluctant to guarantee a weekend update because of that.

Feb. 5th: If you’re coming on the morning of the 5th looking for the update promised in my chat yesterday, it’s being moved to the afternoon.

Feb. 25th: Huge update with tons of news, Spring Training starting, a few more key signings, and many added profiles!

Mar. 5th: Several new profiles added of interesting mid-to-late round targets who could pop off this year, plus a lot of rankings movement as I continue to battle test them in drafts of various formats.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – March 4th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!!!

1:08

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:08

Yo, Lertz: Seeing a couple of big bold predictions for Rafaela from your colleagues this season. Do you also think he takes another step forward with the bat?

1:09

Paul Sporer: Aww you only read their BPs? I even used his picture for mine!!! https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-2026-bold-predictions/

1:10

First pick: 6×6 ops league. Judge or ohtani who ya got for pick 1?

1:10

Paul Sporer: I’m an Ohtani at 1 type of guy, but I don’t think it’s *wrong* to prefer Judge

1:10

Ceddanne’s Agent: You and Zimmerman both on the Ceddanne train!  Feels bankable — you’re a dreamer and Jeff’s stone cold, and you still arrive at the same spot.  Love it.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1482 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 1

3/3/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2026 STARTER PREVIEW

The 1st Rd Kings

  • Do you have an overarching pitching plan that you follow in standard 5×5 waiver wire leagues? 6:55
  • Are there formats where you won’t take one? 10:57
  • Tarik Skubal, Paul Skenes, Garrett Crochet: What’s your order? 13:20

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Paul Sporer’s 2026 Bold Predictions

Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

I’ve got 10 coming with one per position at C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, RP plus two at both OF and SP. While the first one will be catcher, we’re not going around the horn in that order, rather we’ll get spicier as we go through these in a Hot Ones-esque sort of way. You may have a different spice meter and I’m happy to hear if you think I have one firmly out of place.

C: Will Smith is the #1 Catcher on the Player Rater

How He Gets There: Mostly just by being himself. His career high 153 wRC+ last year came in just 110 games which relegated him to C7. His .345 BABIP seems ripe for regression against a .285 career mark, but he hit the ball much better last year to fuel that surge. It wasn’t just a bunch of bleeders and doinkers driving some extra hits in a sub-500 PA sample. I see him holding at least some of those gains while returning to the >500 PA plateau and easily paying off that C9 pricepoint. The competition is a bigger hurdle for this one than Smith’s skill but that’s also why it’s my opening salvo. They’ll get spicier!

Full Line: .285 AVG-25 HR-78 RBI-84 R-1 SB

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1481 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 6

2/27/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

More Power Bats 💪🏻

Volume Plays 🔊

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1480 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 5

2/26/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
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2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Bankable Boring Bats

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – February 25th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!! A freshly updated SP rankings just dropped right in time: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/starting-pitcher-2026-fantasy-rankings/

1:06

Jason: How are we feeling about Colt Keith this season?  Quality MI/CI in a 15-team OBP league?

1:06

Datt Mamon: In a vacuum, how would you view J. Duran for Sasaki?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Whoops, hit the button too fast. I’ll answer both, but is that Jhoan Duran v. Sasaki in a pitcher v. pitcher comp or Jarren?

1:11

Paul Sporer: As for Colt Keith, I’m in especially for OBP. He took a step forward last year and could take another this year even if it’s not a leap. There is still developing power and if he jumps to the 20-HR plateau, it’ll be a nice season. Great price, too

1:11

Nick: NL-only dynasty league, 10 teams, standard 5×5…

I have Edwin Diaz at $24, Mason Miller at $16 and Abner Uribe at $10… do I keep Uribe, toss him back, try and trade him? Unsure of how the Brewers pen situation unfolds between now and Opening Day

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1478 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 4

2/20/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Group 5

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