Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: July)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: July)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• I know there’s been some consternation with Skenes as he’s been less godlike than normal lately but I kept him at #1 in my recent rankings update as I didn’t find the 4-start blip to be actionable. I wouldn’t quibble with someone slotting in a new #1, but for me he holds for now. He’ll calm any and all fears with a gem here and I’m eager to see how he handles one of the best offenses going.
• Burns draws today’s top spot and ascended to Ace status in my latest update as the #7 overall arm. He is truly a 2.0 version of Hunter Greene, improving both the HR and BB rates that plagued Greene early on in his career. Burns is up at 1.2 HR9 this year (after a 1.0 flat in last year’s debut), but Greene sat at 1.6 in his first two years before improving. It took Greene three seasons to post a BB rate under 9% while Burns is toting an 8% mark right now (not a huge difference there, admittedly). Imagine if Cincy can get these two clicking together.
• Cease is returning from a hamstring injury that cost him a couple weeks but he did make a rehab start and I’m willing to get him right back in. As I always mention with these, every fantasy manager has their own way of handling first starts off the IL, so do what works best for you. I do consider the injury type in my start/sit with arm-related injuries being more worrisome. That isn’t to say a hammy can’t hamper you, just that I’m more inclined to get back in right away on non-arm related issues.
• I believe Melton is quite a bit better than his 4% K-BB and having watched all three of his starts this year, I can confirm he has pitched like someone with 4-5x that mark, including back-to-back long outings of 7 and 8 IP where he allowed just 3 ER on 10 H and 3 BB but with just 6 Ks. The dam will break if he doesn’t improve, though, as a .175 BABIP will only hold for so long, particularly when you’re allowing that much contact. The Tigers are on the verge of potentially a trio of arms returning (Skubal-Mize-JV), including their ace, but I really hope Melton’s job isn’t threatened. With Jack Flaherty pitching better of late (26% K-BB in L3) and his lofty contract – which does matter whether we like it or not – he’s unlikely to be unseated, either. I wonder if they consider a 6-man to ease Skubal and Verlander back, shifting Montero to the pen and going Skubal-Framber-Mize-Flaherty-JV-Melton.
• I wasn’t sold on May during his April rebound as he worked off the ugly 13 ER from his first two starts with a 1.95 ERA in his final four starts of the month as they came with a modest 12% K-BB. But his last 30 IP have drawn my interest as his 3.90 ERA is powered by a 1.00 WHIP and 20% K-BB, including at least 7 Ks in each of his last 3 (and 4 of 5). He has nearly doubled his swinging strike rate, going from 7% to 13%, and done so by dialing up his cutter usage 10 pts to 29%. A great matchup here gives him a chance to stay hot and then folds into a potential 2-step next week v. SDP and at KCR.
• I couldn’t see myself sitting Kyle Harrison in any format yesterday, even knowing the dangers of Vegas. But after seeing this game… and still seeing it in fact, as I’m watching the 12th inning while writing this… you will not see a single “x” for the rest of that series. Ginn, Perkins for ATH and Gasser, Sproat for MIL will be nowhere near any lineups. Meanwhile, daily players are left with an interesting choice between stacking Vegas or Coors.
• Holmes is predominantly a Win chase. The White Sox are no joke as a lineup so they could clip him as their strength is homers and he has a 1.7 HR9, but he has managed to avoid letting the longball sink of late w/a 2.91 ERA in his L4 despite five bombs. This is probably more a 1.5-x (maybe even 1) reco as I look deeper into it. If you’re OK chasing Wins at the potential expense of ratios, feel free to run him.
• I’ve been tracking Alvarez the last few weeks as he’s been stretched out into a starter. He got his first traditional start last time out and fell just an out shy of a strong 5 IP (4.7 IP/1 ER/5 base runners/5 Ks) while reaching a season-high 82 pitches. He also lines up for a 2-step next week v. KCR and at TBR, so don’t be afraid to stash him for that even if you skip this one.
• I miiiight have still given Cecconi 1-x if Judge was in the lineup as he’s put up a decent 3.09 ERA/1.28 WHIP/14% K-BB in his L6 including a gem against the Yanks last time out (though they were already Judge-free at that point).

If you have questions on anyone else, drop a comment!

—

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: July)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

It’s a pretty straightforward board today with some easy locks at the top and few decisions on the streaming front.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

6/5/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WK11 (June 8th)

• AUTO-START: Paul Skenes, Cristopher Sánchez, Kyle Harrison, Gavin Williams, George Kirby, Logan Gilbert, Nathan Eovaldi, Logan Webb, Payton Tolle, Gerrit Cole
• Aaron Judge shutdown 4-6 wks meaning he’s likely out at least 8, maybe 10 wks when you consider that he’ll have to ramp back up 6:00
• Shota Imanaga CHC – @ COL (26 wOBA rank), @ SF (21) 10:23
• Davis Martin CWS – vs ATL (3), vs LAD (1) 14:13
• Taj Bradley MIN – @ DET (23), vs STL (21) 19:00
• Steven Matz TB – vs BOS (7), @ LAA (13) 22:45
• Jeffrey Springs ATH – vs MIL (25), vs COL (26) 24:33
• Stephen Kolek KC – vs TEX (15), vs HOU (14) 27:25
• Dustin May STL – @ NYM (30), @ MIN (18) 29:55
• Trevor Rogers BAL – vs SEA (30), vs SD (29) 34:15

Read the rest of this entry »

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS

I’ll be in the comments answering questions and discussing changes!

Focus more on tier differences over rankings differences within a given tier. Sure, the top and bottom of a tier can be discussed, but 7-10 rankings within the same tier isn’t a huge split to me and comparing them would likely come down to short-term matchups.

Full Rankings Without Tiers

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: Friday 6/5)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

SP rankings out todayyyyy. I know I’d said Thursday, but I blame this new game for distracting me. It’s called Chasin’ 117 and it’s amazing!! It’s not really why I didn’t have the rankings out yesterday, but it is undoubtedly a new obsession. These games are apparently on fire across the internet with basketball and football having one, too. Say goodbye to your free time! Not an ad, just a mega fan of these!

•  I know Framber’s ratios aren’t great right now but I don’t see it as actionable and I’m still starting him everywhere. I always link him and Logan Webb as lefty-righty versions of each other and now they’re even struggling in unison but just when we started getting nervous about Webb, he dropped 7 IP of 1-hit ball at MIL to reassure us. Hopefully Framber can do something similar against SEA and their 30th ranked offense vL.
• Sasaki had a wonderful May (3.20 ERA/1.00 WHIP/19% K-BB) and has risen to must-start status for now.
• Detmers has a 61% LOB rate creating a chasm between his 4.63 ERA and 3.31 SIERA, but I’m encouraged by the 21% K-BB that matches what he did out of the bullpen last year. Don’t get daunted by the ERA, you’re still getting a 1.16 WHIP and 29% K and while he might not start his ERA improvement tonight at LAD, I have confidence that he’s better than a mid-4.00s guy.
• Griffin has been a revelation for WSN but the D’Backs slam lefties so I’m definitely open to skipping in 10s and could even see some sits in 12s.
• Cabrera is coming off the IL but it’s from a blister so I’m more open to running him right away. The lack of a 3-x reco is more due to his modest output this year than concerns about first start off the IL in this case.
• Rocker always makes me nervous but this is a good streaming spot for him. Don’t get completely duped by his 2.30/1.17 over the L30 days as it comes with an 18% K and 4% K-BB. The matchup is driving my interest here.
• Ray hasn’t made it 5 IP in any of his L4 after posting a 2.76 ERA through his first 8 starts. I’d still reserve before cutting in a lot of situations, but he doesn’t have to be in your starting lineup right now.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The whole 1-x pack is pretty scary, but not without merit to take a shot in spots. Nelson, Ginn, and Bello draw difficult matchups, Jones is working back from injury, while Giolito and Crow have solid matchups but shaky skills. Anyone else y’all want to discuss? Drop a comment!

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

Big board of studs to choose from today! I’ll drop some comments in the morning.

• Meyer, like Davis Martin yesterday v. MIN, ate his first Dud (5+ ER) of the year after facing a team for the second time in a row (NYM), but it was a bad first inning (4 R) but he still settled down to go 6 and fan 6.
• Cole is all of 2 starts into his return so there may still be hiccups, but I just can’t see sitting him anywhere.
• This is the 10-start mark for Webb and barring an absolute gem, he’ll be toting some pretty mediocre ratios with his worst K-BB since the fake season (2020). He’s also staring down the barrel of WSH/CHC 2-step next week after this trip to MIL. I’m not looking to cut him, even in 10s, but is there a world where we skip the 2-step if this one goes south today?
• To that end, I should’ve slotted Peralta/Taj/Arrighetti, and maybe even Melton over Webb right now.
• Wish the Nats were giving Alvarez an opener again, but he’s slated for the traditional start and I’m still open to streaming him. Even with just 1 K in a meh 3 IP outing last time, he still has a 27% K rate on the year. He pitches backwards with his curve (33%) and slider (28%) leading the way over his fastball (24%) as he hopes to establish himself in the rotation. I wonder if a good start here could get the Nats to slot him for the 2-step next week (projections currently have Mikolas getting it).
• Melton is a fave of mine who I was really excited about in the offseason before the injury. I’m not thrown by his hideous 0% K-BB through 2 starts after just 1 K in a 7-IP gem at CHW (1 ER, 1 BB, 6 H), but obviously he has to drastically improve there to be fantasy viable. I believe he will and would gladly roster him anywhere right now. Let’s check in after another handful of starts to see where the strikeouts sit and decide if he’s an all-formats play for the long haul.

—

Read the rest of this entry »