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Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

I’ll take a closer look on some mid-tier guys in the morning, but a mostly straightforward shortened Monday board for us to attack.

3-x

• Scott, our posterboy today, has been great since returning: 3.25 ERA/1.17 WHIP/23% K-BB in 33.7 IP including a great outing and a meh outing against the same ATL team he faces today. (The great one is the more recent one).
• I’m not jumping off Mize just because of the brutal SDP debut. It happens, it was awful, and it still only moved his ERA to 3.04 on the year which underscores just how great he’d been prior to the meltdown.

2-x

• Wesneski maybe a bit shakier than I ranked here especially with SFG’s offense being mid-pack vR. I’m a big fan of Wes, but more for 27 when he’s further away from his surgery. I am starting the 2-step in weeklies with more confidence, though (v. SEA on the wknd).
• Cameron earned 2 for his recent performance (3.34/0.86/18% in last 35 IP) even with a trip to LAD today. They’re down to 12th vL in the L30 days which is still fine, but a good bit lower than their 6th season rank as they have been sputtering a bit of late as a team (2-8 in L10). LAD can always go off on someone so I get fading Cameron even with this encouraging outlook.
• Dobbins and Elder are pitching well on the season and of late, but still carry modest skills profiles (sub-15% K-BB for both) so they are susceptible to blowups, but I like both here. Philly, despite their record and presence of superstars, just never move up the wOBA board.
• Hughes might become my new Ryan Feltner – Rockies pitcher I desperately want out of COL to fully excel. I’d like to see more swing-and-miss in line with his MiLB figure this year (12% v. just 9% in MLB), but I don’t mind giving him a shot on the road.
• I might be overly cautious with Soroka off the IL getting Rockie Road (shoutout Nick Pollack!) so he’s more 1.5-x as I’m certainly open to running him in shallower formats if you’re comfortable w/guys immediately off the IL.

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8/7/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

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• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

DISCORD/YOUTUBE

• Join our Discord for live video feeds of each show
• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WK21 (August 10th)

• AUTO-START: Tarik Skubal, Paul Skenes, Dylan Cease, Bryan Woo, Sonny Gray, Eury Pérez, Logan Henderson, Christian Scott, Ranger Suarez
• Sean Burke CWS – vs CIN (30), @ DET (6)
• Reid Detmers LAA – vs TEX (7), vs KC (18) 7:00
• Ryan Weathers NYY – vs SEA (29), @ TOR (30) 9:58
• MacKenzie Gore TEX – @ LAA (15), @ ATH (10) 15:20
• Casey Mize SDP – vs MIL (5), @ CLE (20) 17:00
• Trevor Rogers BAL – @ MIN (25), @ TB (24) 22:14
• Freddy Peralta TB – @ ATH (18), vs BAL (13) 26:16
• Tanner Bibee CLE – @ DET (6), vs SD (19) 29:29
• Dean Kremer MIN – vs BAL (13), vs PHI (25) 31:35
• Noah Cameron KC – @ LAD (6), @ LAA (15) 33:55
• Hunter Dobbins STL – vs PHI (25), @ CHC (9) 37:42
• Hayden Wesneski HOU – @ SF (12), vs SEA (11) 39:20
• Bryce Elder ATL – vs NYM (28), vs ARI (29) 41:55
• Andrew Painter PHI – @ STL (24), @ MIN (8) 44:31
• Nick Lodolo CIN – @ CWS (11), vs MIA (13) 48:09
• Cody Bradford TEX – @ LAA (15), @ ATH (10) 51:10
• THE REST – 52:27
• Drew Anderson 앤더슨 DET – vs CLE (20), vs CWS (15)
• Jacob Lopez ATH – vs TB (24), vs TEX (7)
• Jameson Taillon TOR – vs BOS (27), vs NYY (14)
• Gabriel Hughes COL – @ ARI (29), @ SF (12)
• Ryan Johnson LAA – vs TEX (16), vs KC (21)
• Jake Irvin WSH – vs CHC (9), @ NYM (28)
• Blade Tidwell SFG – vs HOU (4), vs COL (22)

—

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Approximately 56 minutes of joyous analysis.

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode ranking
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• Zebby in for Prielipp, dropped to a shaky 1-x reco. as MIL is much better vR.
• Drohan broke his 4 QS streak in a tough 5 ER start v. COL but then immediately started a new streak with 6 IP/2 ER at LAA in his most recent outing.
• Really eager to see if Gausman can shave that .318 with one of the best defenses in baseball behind him now.
• Roki’s on another heater (2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP/20% K-BB in 24 IP) and gets a great matchup to stay hot. Of course, his last bad outing was a 3 IP/6 ER Dud against SDP, one of the worst offenses in the league, so there are never any guarantees with him.
• Despite getting SDP today, I did drop Blanco down to 1-x just because we really haven’t seen a ton in his 3 starts off the IL.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode ranking
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Read the rest of this entry »

• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode ranking
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• Weird as hell board. I’m not super confident in a #1, so I chose my guy Detmers: 21% K-BB for the year and 30% over the L30 days. Eury was close and actually had the #1 spot initially, but I balked with a trip to ATL. Woo’s excellent at home, but DET is raking right now so that’ll be a nice unstoppable force vs immovable object type of vibe.
• Maybe Scott should’ve been more of a contender for the #1 as he’s dominating lately (1.77 ERA/0.98 WHIP/25% K-BB in L30) and gets a good matchup with CLE. Hell, with that in mind, maybe Burke is underrated at 9. He’s been electric over the last month (1.05 ERA/0.66 WHIP/32% K-BB) but BOS has been sizzling so don’t let that 28 wOBA rank fool you, they’re 12th over the last month so I got cold feet pushing him too high. He’s still an easy must-start and would make a nice pivot in daily games if you want someone who won’t be highly rostered.
• Mize gets a strong landing spot with his new team, facing an ARI team that hasn’t done much vR. If he can stay healthy – a big IF with him – he could be a huge add for the Pads.
• Skenes he’s the lowest he’s been in… forever? Back-to-Back Duds (with 18 Ks in 9.3 IP, to be fair) and a 6.46 ERA/1.57 WHIP in his L7 (36.7 IP). I’ve been slow to this move as I didn’t even consider a tangible move down back in May and then held firm in June, feeling comforted by his 2.84 ERA/1.17 WHIP/27% K-BB run in the first four starts of the month. That last one of the month where he had the bad 2nd inning (4 ER) sink him v. CIN has started this tailspin. And we’re still talking “tailspin” relative to his obscene heights because even in the midst of this, he ran off three in a row with a 2.49 ERA/1.22 WHIP/22% K-BB against three playoff-positioned teams (ATL, MIL, at CLE). I grant that 22% K-BB is almost pedestrian for him, but let’s remember that’s a Top 10 mark on the year (11 guys hit the mark if you round Luzardo up — and of course, I do as a hater of decimals in fantasy baseball percentages).
• Harrison, you know my spiel on the IL returners – everyone has their personal way of handling guys off the IL so just follow that. Some are firm “never start” and I think that’s likely a winning proposition in the aggregate. It’s always been case-by-case for me and I nervously ran Harrison in the Main Event. I’d have been more scared with a righty against PIT in this scenario but they can clip lefties (up to 17th in L30), too. I’m just so in the bag for Harrison that I don’t want to miss a start of his so here we go!!
• Will likely add some more in the AM!

—

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8/3/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer
• Jason Collette | Bluesky | Linktree – Co-Host

YOUTUBE

• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

TEAM-BY-TEAM TRADE DEADLINE AFTERMATH

• Lars Nootbaar to the Diamondbacks 2:05
• Tyler Mahle and Lane Thomas to the Braves 6:33
• Adley Rutschman, Erik Miller, and Eli White to the Red Sox 13:15
  • Marcelo Mayer to the Giants
• Kevin Gausman, Clay Holmes, Braxton Garrett, Ryan Zeferjahn, and Tyrone Taylor to the Cubs 21:56
• Luis Castillo, Joey Bart and Brenton Doyle to the White Sox 27:16
• Foster Griffin, Jo Adell and Nathaniel Lowe to the Guardians 32:23
• Connor Norby to the Rockies 37:55
• Daulton Varsho to the Astros 40:10
• Moisés Ballesteros to the Angels 41:33

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• Daily SP Chart archive
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• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

I’m wiped after a pair of Trade Deadline shows (with Nick Pollack here and then a Sleeper & The Best ep. that should be up by the morning for audio and can be watched here) so I’ll drop some comments in the morning!

• Skubal debut in LA… I’m sure everyone will be tuned in as there was absolutely zero pushback or consternation about it! Btw, people can be annoyed with the deal and how the Dodgers get everyone, but taking it out on Skubal who was simply traded by his team is silly.
• I won’t pretend it was the consensus but I didn’t think any pushback on Minnesota keeping Ryan had merit. They’re very much in the mix, were clearly buying, and still have another year of Ryan to consider dealing him this winter/next year if things go south.
• I have no idea if Milwaukee offered Henderson in the River Ryan role of a Skubal trade, but if so, I’d have rather gone that route. But it’s pure speculation, we have no idea who Milwaukee offered (or if it’s out there, I haven’t seen it). I wanted them to go hard for Skubal not just so my Tigers get what I perceive to be a better return (if Hendo was in it) but also so the Dodgers didn’t get another elite piece.
• Maybe Jared Jones is more firmly back than I originally thought. I preached some caution on a couple recent pod appearances where he was getting promoted as a 2H breakout because I didn’t want to get caught up using a small sample to think someone is fully back from TJ. It is 5 starts and 27 IP where Jones has been completely dialed: 2.00 ERA/.63 WHIP/28% K-BB. Even if I still have a bit of residual caution on thinking he’s fully back, he has done enough to be a rotation lock for the foreseeable future. He gets a 2-step this week (NYM on the wknd) and even if this didn’t go super well, I still think he’d be a firm 3-x next week v. BOS whereas in the throes of my panic, I might’ve run him to the bench at the first sign of trouble.

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode ranking
• SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

• I willing to take a shot on Javier after the excellent 5 IP relief appearance thanks to the good TOR matchup. He’s an even easier start for me in weekly leagues with a trip to SDP on the weekend.
• Pfaadt is surging since his return w/a 1.85 ERA/1.06 WHIP in six starts, running up a beautiful 5-0 record in the process. The cold water comes when we see just a 10% K-BB during this run. I’m still running him today because of the matchup but I don’t think he’s fully emerged from his previous troubles with this run. He’s still toting a 200-pt OPS platoon split as lefties remain a major hurdle. Until we see significant improvement there, it’s hard to see any run as a real breakout.
• Boyd is rolling so I’m sticking w/him even v. LAD!
• Taking anyone into Coors is always fraught and Seymour is hardly an ace, but I’m OK taking the shot here.
• None of the 3 1-x’ers are close to a must start. In fact, they’re all probably “half” x’s for me as I can see taking a chance on talented-but-inconsistent pitchers. Be very careful with them!

—

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7/31/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

Follow Our Socials

• Paul Sporer | Twitter | Bluesky – Host
• Justin Mason | Twitter | Bluesky – Co-Host/Producer

YOUTUBE

• Join our Discord for live video feeds of each show
• Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WK20 (July 31st)

• AUTO-START: Cam Schlittler, Chris Sale, Jesús Luzardo, Joe Ryan, Troy Melton, Logan Webb, Logan Henderson, Christian Scott, Jared Jones, Reid Detmers
• Leaderboard
• Matthew Boyd CHC – vs LAD (7), @ KC (12) – 27:56
• Ian Seymour TB – @ COL (16), @ SEA (29) – 29:52
• Peter Lambert HOU – vs TOR (18), @ SD (30) – 31:05
• Brandon Sproat MIL – vs PIT (2), vs MIN (19) – 35:15
• Davis Martin CWS – @ BOS (27), vs CLE (25) – 37:35
• Trey Yesavage TOR – @ HOU (15), @ PHI (26) – 40:25

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