Author Archive

Building a $245 NFBC Pitching Staff

Sadly, the NFBC team building fun comes to a close. To go along with my splendid $14 offense, I attempted to assemble a $246 pitching staff using NFBC average auction values from March 15 and on. Just as I failed to spend all my money when buying a dominant offense, I left a buck on the table here as well, only spending $245. Let’s see what such an insane staff looks like.

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Building a $249 NFBC Offense

As we continue to maintain hope that there will be a baseball season this year, last week I decided to have a bit of fun and build a $9 pitching staff using NFBC average auction values calculated from March 15. While that was a joy, commenter runningfrog demanded that I share what a $251 offense would look like. If I were to save all those auction dollars by buying such cheap pitching, how incredible might my offense look?! I decided to find out.

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The NFBC Unauctioned — Building a Pitching Staff

Yesterday, I assembled a 14-player offense from the hitters who weren’t bought in NFBC auctions since March 15. Today, let’s flip over to the pitching side.

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The NFBC Unauctioned — Building an Offense

Last week, I built a $14 offense using only $1 players from the NFBC average auction values starting March 15. The following day, I shared my $9 pitching staff. One commenter asked my thoughts on Taijuan Walker, who I realized wasn’t even rostered in any of the 8 leagues, even for a buck. So I completely forgot about him and hadn’t even considered those not purchased in any leagues. Commenter Johnnie T suggested I perform the same exercise, but this time only select from players not rostered in any of the auctions. Another fake draft?! Sure! There are now nine auctions run since March 15, so this 14-player offense will be solely composed of hitters who failed to be bought in any of them.

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What Do You Want to Read From RotoGraphs and Myself Now?

It’s a bizarro world we’re living in right now. With no baseball and no set date for baseball to resume at this point, it’s getting more and more difficult to decide what topic tomorrow’s article should be on. Even if I do land on such a topic, I don’t really have any idea if it’s what you actually want to read right now. So help me, and the rest of the RotoGraphs crew, brainstorm content ideas.

What do you want to read from me? Any topic is fair game. In fact, I’m sure no one will mind if we go slightly off-baseball, as long as there is at least some loose connection to the sport.

Feel free to suggest as many players as you want to get a Pod Projections post, so you can learn the details of my forecasting process.

Or perhaps you want a strategy article or even my thoughts on handling a particular situation.

Heck, even if you have keeper or league-specific questions, I could potentially write about it, as long as there’s a way to frame the question so my answer appeals to a broad range of readers, and not just you and your league.

Is there a research project or an xMetric you have been dying to analyze/develop but never had the time or Excel/analytic skills? Now’s the time to tell me!

If you’re not sure whether it’s something I would be willing to write or am capable of writing, publish a comment about it anyway! The worst that could happen is I ignore your suggestion. Even if that happens, I could pass the idea along to another writer.

Thanks for your help in ensuring RotoGraphs remains a daily destination during this difficult time.

Don’t forget to strongly consider becoming a FanGraphs member, if you have the means to do so, to help keep my favorite website and invaluable resource running.


Building a $9 NFBC Pitching Staff

On Thursday, I had a bit of fun and shared my dominant, future category-leading $14 offense, assembled using NFBC auction values and selecting 14 $1 hitters. Today, I flip to the pitching side and share with you the pitching staff you fear will earn top points in each category.

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Building a $14 NFBC Offense

Auction day is one of my favorite days of the year. Luckily, I get to enjoy three of those days annually. Unfortunately, COVID-19 and the delayed season has caused me to postpone the local league auction I commish, while a second AL-Only keeper league was postponed as well. So what to do when you love auctioning, but won’t have the chance to for a while? Fake buy players from auctions that did actually take place! For fun, I decided to check out the NFBC average auction values and build a standard 14-player offense for $14. That’s right, every player I selected had to be a buck. Imagine the pitching staff you could assemble with $246!

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Are NFBC Drafters Correctly Adjusting Prices Post-Delay News?

MLB announced the season would be delayed by at last two weeks on March 12. Since, it’s become pretty clear that the season will start much later than previously anticipated. The later start will have a dramatic effect on many players’ values. As I’ve discussed recently, there are a bunch of less obvious players who should see a boost in value, as well as a group of players who should suffer a decline in value. Are NFBC drafters correctly making those adjustments? Let’s compare March 1-11 ADP (pre-delay) to March 18-24 ADP (post-delay) to find out. I chose to start the post-delay period on March 18 somewhat arbitrarily, but wanted it to be more recent to account for the assumption that we won’t have baseball until sometime in May, at the earliest.

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Are 2019’s Busts This Season’s Rebounds?

Yesterday, I discussed six 2019 fantasy breakouts and concluded with a verdict as to whether I believed each was for real or would be a 2020 bust. Today, let’s flip to the 2019 busts.

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Are 2019’s Breakouts This Season’s Busts?

Two years ago during Fantasy Baseball Week at The Hardball Times, I researched whether last season’s breakouts were solid investments the following year. Spoiler alert: they are actually terrible investments. Of course, that’s as a group. That means that not every breakout from the previous season is going to fall flat the following year. So let’s discuss some of the big breakouts from 2019 and decide whether each turns out to be a poor investment bust or ends up holding onto their gains.

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