Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1389 – Podapallooza SP Discussion ft. Nick Pollack

3/12/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

 

Topics

  • What is your general Starting Pitching Strategy? 
  • Who is the most like top 10 starter to bust this season? 
  • Who is your favorite starter going after pick 300? 
  • Who is the starting pitcher you are targeting in every draft? 
  • How are you treating the studs coming off of TJ/Injury
    • McClanahan, Strider, Alcantara, deGrom etc
  • Would You Rathers
    • Paul Skenes vs Tarik Skubal vs Garret Crochet
    • Corbin Burnes vs Zack Wheeler vs Logan Gilbert
    • Chris Sale vs Cole Ragans vs Jacob deGrom vs Blake Snell vs Dylan Cease
    • Yoshinbu Yamamoto vs Michael King vs Framber Valdez vs Pablo Lopez
    • Shoto Imanaga vs Bryce Miller vs Bailey Ober vs Aaron Nola vs Luis Castillo vs Spencer Schwellenbach

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 63 minutes of joyous analysis.


Shortstop 2025 Fantasy Rankings

Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

Shortstop Overview

Shortstop is a fun position with a lot of big drop offs. The top of the tiers make up half of the first six picks in the ADP and there are 10 shortstops in the top 100 pick. While there are a lot of interesting players at the position that present a lot of upside, the drop offs are pretty severe and in deeper leagues you can find yourself pretty weak at the position if you wait too long.

Changelog

  • 3/10/2025 – Gunnar Henderson injury and projections/ADP Update
  • 2/18/2025 – Projections and ADP Update
  • 1/29/2025 – Projections and ADP Update
  • 1/13/2025 – Projections and ADP Update
  • 12/12/2024 – Adames signs in San Francisco
  • 12/5/2024 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

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Catcher 2025 Fantasy Rankings

Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Catcher Overview

Catcher is a much better fantasy position than it used to be, but it still has pretty big drop offs that fantasy managers need to be aware of. The position is filled with a plethora of interesting young players and older vets to pick from, but the deeper the league you are in, the tougher the position becomes.

Today’s Discussion

New year, new catcher ranks!

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Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – March 10, 2025

Here is today’s chat transcript
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Podapallooza 2025 Day 2 Live Stream

Justin Mason is joined by some of the best fantasy analysts in the industry to raise money for Fantasy Cares.

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Podapallooza 2025 Day 1 Live Stream

Justin Mason is joined by some of the best fantasy analysts in the industry to raise money for Fantasy Cares. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – March 3, 2025

Here is today’s chat transcript:
 

12:09
Justin Mason: Starting a little late today because it is TGFBI Day! I will begin as soon as I have enough questions so get those in. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!

12:14
Todd Gak: Cristopher Sanchez is a top ___ pitcher in 2025.

12:14
Justin Mason: 30-35 SP on my ranks right now

12:15
Adenolith: Do you build your projections from scratch or do you start with a projection system and then manually adjust for playing time/injury context etc…?

12:16
Justin Mason: I do my projections from scratch. I look at the historical data and then adjust from there. I think this leads to less bias for me.

12:16
Greg: How would you rank Bryan Woo, Jared Jones, Bubba Chandler in a 12-team keep forever points league that more heavily weighs IP and Ks?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1383 – News and AL LABR Recap

3/2/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

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Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – February 24th, 2025

Here is today’s chat transcript
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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1379 – EARTH Leagues Recap

2/23/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

 

Notable Transactions/News/Rumors

 

 

EARTH Draft Breakdowns

  • WHARF
  • BARF
    • Strategy coming in
    • How the team came together
    • Biggest reaches in first 23 rounds (by last 2 weeks ADP):
    • Biggest bargains in first 23 rounds (by last 2 weeks ADP):
BARF vs WHARF
Round Justin BARF WHARF W vs B Last 2 weeks ADP Justin Diff Jason WHARF BARF W vs B Last 2 weeks ADP
1 Juan Soto 8 7 1 8 0 Vlad Guerrero Jr 13 14 -1 14
2 Trea Turner 23 23 0 26 -3 Bryce Harper 18 28 -10 22
3 Matt Olson 38 39 -1 36 2 Dylan Cease 43 43 0 48
4 Emmanuel Clase 53 35 18 34 19 CJ Abrams 48 44 4 48
5 Pablo Lopez 68 55 13 67 1 Robert Suarez 73 104 -31 83
6 Bailey Ober 83 88 -5 80 3 Yoshi Yamamoto 78 61 17 60
7 Kyle Schwarber 98 70 28 80 18 Marcus Semien 103 92 11 102
8 Royce Lewis 113 141 -28 131 -18 Riley Greene 108 110 -2 106
9 J.T. Realmuto 128 152 -24 141 -13 Lane Thomas 133 185 -52 174
10 Steven Kwan 143 155 -12 147 -4 David Bednar 138 144 -6 136
11 Cristopher Sanchez 158 158 0 169 -11 Jeremy Pena 163 168 -5 168
12 Zack Eflin 173 185 -12 189 -16 Brandon Pfaadt 168 148 20 168
13 Maikel Garcia 188 211 -23 214 -26 Josh Jung 193 194 -1 216
14 Jose Berrios 203 232 -29 241 -38 Sean Murphy 198 214 -16 214
15 Colt Keith 218 257 -39 245 -27 Taj Bradley 223 205 18 198
16 Jeffrey Springs 233 273 -40 276 -43 Nick Lodolo 228 228 0 246
17 JJ Bleday 248 299 -51 275 -27 Nolan Jones 253 227 26 253
18 Liam Hendriks 263 222 41 243 20 Jo Adell 258 258 0 291
19 Jacob Young 278 287 -9 285 -7 Ranger Suarez 283 276 7 263
20 Aroldis Chapman 293 306 -13 280 13 Hunter Goodman 288 310 -22 372
21 Cody Bradford 308 290 18 340 -32 David Robertson 313 412 -99 429
22 Roman Anthony 323 277 46 301 22 Jhonkensy Noel 318 404 -86 388
23 Ke’Bryan Hayes 338 ND #VALUE! 335 3 Daulton Varsho 343 316 27 341
24 Jacob Wilson윌슨 353 ND #VALUE! 338 15 Jason Adam 348 369 -21 346
25 Pavin Smith 368 441 -73 380 -12 Jose Miranda 373 367 6 354
26 Max Meyer 383 363 20 426 -43 Austin Hays 378 416 -38 428
27 LaMonte Wade Jr 398 415 -17 439 -41 Richie Palacios 403 ND #VALUE! 521
28 Freddy Fermin 413 345 68 376 37 Ryne Nelson 408 370 38 377
29 Mike Tauchman 428 ND #VALUE! 492 -64 Andrew Kittredge 433 ND #VALUE! 579
30 Trevor Rogers 443 ND #VALUE! 720 -277 Chase Meidroth 438 ND #VALUE! 618
SOURCE: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12DJf8ct-8ZxYHhezK1xXWb3gUNUrQeupJCb0AhqsH2M/edit?gid=0#gid=0

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

You can show your support to Fangraphs by becoming a member! With a standard $10 ad-free membership or yearlong $60 ad-free membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors while gaining access to dark & classic theme modes, RosterResource Excel exports, and the optional removal of photos on the homepage.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Approximately 70 minutes of joyous analysis.