Evaluating Every Ottoneu Trade I Made – Part III
Part I covered 35-22 and Part II covered 21-11, so now we are onto the top ten trades I made in Ottoneu this year.
Part I covered 35-22 and Part II covered 21-11, so now we are onto the top ten trades I made in Ottoneu this year.
Yesterday, Lucas Kelly went through some tough keep or cut decisions at for his Ottoneu teams. Today, I’ll do the same. Before diving in, I’ll note that Lucas and I have slightly different values on middle infield.
In Part I, I went from #35 through #22, and today we’ll continue the countdown from worst-to-best, setting up a finale with the top 10 tomorrow.
Over the course of the just-ended Ottoneu season, I made a total of 35 trades across seven leagues. I have no idea if that is a lot of trades or a small number or what. I know that I am pretty active on the trade market, so I assume it is a relatively high number. But the raw count isn’t what matters here. The only way we get better at making trades is by taking a moment to reflect on what went right and what went wrong, so we can learn and make better decisions in the future. So I did that. I ranked all 35 of my trades from best (I would do this again 10 times out of 10) to worst (I really wish I hadn’t done that). These articles will hopefully not just review that list but share some lessons learned along the way.
Lucas Kelly has offered two interesting Ottoneu arbitration techniques already this week, and I want to hit you with a third before the weekend. This technique isn’t my favorite – it isn’t the most strategic or most impactful – but sometimes you just can’t do everything you want to do. You don’t have time to identify player values and figure out who has the most surplus. You don’t want to compare salaries to average salaries. Or you just got caught up in non-fantasy-baseball-life and time ran out. When that happens, this approach can be a lifesaver.
In a points format with a games cap, like Ottoneu, you win by a) scoring the most points per game and b) making sure to use up all your games. That’s an oversimplification but it is also fairly accurate. And so while I often used stats like wOBA as a proxy for player value in Ottoneu points league, at the end of the day, their value is best reflected in their points/game (P/G).
Kind of. P/G misses one key element and it can help you find underappreciated bats to add to your roster.
Back in March, I shared my annual look at the players most likely to be found on my Ottoneu rosters, focusing on six players who were on four or more of my seven teams. This year I was interested to see how my rosters changed by the end of the season. So I redid the exercise of totalling up the players on my rosters to see where things shook out.
Yesterday, Lucas Kelly shared three lessons he learned playing Ottoneu this year, leading off with “Reach your maximums!” Lucas showed that the teams that finished atop the standings in league 184 did so, at least in part, by making sure they reached 162 games played at each position and 1500 IP.
This sparked an interesting discussion in Ottoneu slack around hitting those caps, including questions of just how important it is and how much hitting your caps is a result of being a contender (because contenders actively try to maximize points while rebuilders might be less engaged) vs. a cause of being a contender. And we got some very interesting data as a result.
The Ottoneu off-season has already commenced, as the first steps to turn the calendar to 2024 are underway. Over the off-season, we will continue to provide Ottoneu content, including some season recaps of what went right and wrong for our teams. But today, I want to look at positional eligibility.
You’ve pushed through six months of baseball. You have set your lineups daily (or almost daily, or weekly, or something). You have bid on more auctions than you can count. And here you are, six days of baseball remaining until we hit the off-season, and you are wondering what to do now.
That depends a lot on where you are in the standings but there are a few things to keep in mind as you enjoy this final week of fantasy baseball.